philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
Online
Activity: 4228
Merit: 8397
'The right to privacy matters'
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 17, 2015, 07:09:48 PM Last edit: May 28, 2015, 11:18:41 AM by philipma1957 |
|
Just opened thread.
same rules as last picks start at block 300---- and end at block 1000.
No picks honored till block 300.
we are at block 56 for this period this is block # 356888 18:57 we started with block # 356832 10:27 that is 8 ½ hours in x 6 = 51 blocks
so 51 = 0% 56 = 9.8%
bitcoinwisdom has a 5% pick
I am thinking some gear has been built and this will be a big jump adjustment.
Well picks do not start until 300 so we have 244 to go.
cakir won last week and has been paid.
Remember please wait until block 300.
|
|
|
|
notlist3d
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 17, 2015, 08:46:51 PM |
|
Bitwisdom is like you said showing a decent positive number. We can hope it goes down.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245 Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,805,819,553 (+4.09%) Adjust time: After 2015 Blocks, About 13.5 days Hashrate(?): 360,447,056 GH/s
|
|
|
|
akashamar
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 38
Merit: 0
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 17, 2015, 10:19:08 PM |
|
The current pattern of increase is similar to the one after Mar 22 2015 adjustment ... signaling another decent diff increase ... yep, it is more than obvious that new mining hw is still being deployed despite summer and stagnating BTC/USD price.
|
|
|
|
philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
Online
Activity: 4228
Merit: 8397
'The right to privacy matters'
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 17, 2015, 10:34:34 PM Last edit: May 19, 2015, 01:57:26 PM by philipma1957 |
|
The current pattern of increase is similar to the one after Mar 22 2015 adjustment ... signaling another decent diff increase ... yep, it is more than obvious that new mining hw is still being deployed despite summer and stagnating BTC/USD price.
well avalon has written software for a 80-120gh miner using 5 chips. it may be very efficient and they may be doing a burn in. wiki page has info. here is a quote comes from here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=140539.msg11382007#msg11382007if you go to wiki link https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Avalon4_mini and see this line of code I think the mini miner will drop to .4 watts per gh sudo ./cgminer --avalonm-freq 275:250:200 --avalonm-voltage 6250 the big miner at 420:390:370 volts 7625 does .55 - .57 watts so with avalon doing something and sfards doing something I believe we get 3-6%
|
|
|
|
notlist3d
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 17, 2015, 11:58:41 PM |
|
The current pattern of increase is similar to the one after Mar 22 2015 adjustment ... signaling another decent diff increase ... yep, it is more than obvious that new mining hw is still being deployed despite summer and stagnating BTC/USD price.
well avalon has written software for a 80-120gh miner using 5 chips. it may be very efficient and they may be doing a burn in. wiki page has info. here is a quote comes from here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=140539.msg11382007#msg11382007if you go to wiki link https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Avalon4_mini and see this line of code I think the mini miner will drop to .4 watts per gh sudo ./cgminer --avalonm-freq 275:250:200 --avalonm-voltage 6250 the big miner at 420:390:370 volts 7625 does .55 - .57 watts so with avalon doing something and sfards doing something I believe we get 3-6% I think your right avalon will have underclocked the "mini" to .4x limit's. The 4.1's do a low .5x easy. SFards I see as a wild card. We really don't know what they have ready to go. They showed a dev ket that looked very nice. I still wonder what what price will be for final product.
|
|
|
|
philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
Online
Activity: 4228
Merit: 8397
'The right to privacy matters'
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 01:49:07 AM Last edit: May 19, 2015, 01:57:47 PM by philipma1957 |
|
blocks for the day were 170-171 https://blockchain.info/blocks/1431826989443356747 to 356917 171 vs 144 is plus 27 have to hope for this to drop off about 60 of them were on the last adjustment and about 111 were on this adjustment I estimate real number as plus 15 blocks and about plus 12% on day 1.
|
|
|
|
skuser
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 08:44:03 AM |
|
This is just variance, we will finish oscilating +/- one percent in the end after 20 pages of this thread which will follow ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
|
|
|
|
notlist3d
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 09:00:16 AM |
|
have to hope for this to drop off
about 60 of them were on the last adjustment and about 111 were on this adjustment I estimate real number as plus 15 blocks and about plus 12% on day 1.
Ouch I really hope it drops aswell. It's been quite a while since double digit change. A 12 percent would hurt us for sure.
|
|
|
|
philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
Online
Activity: 4228
Merit: 8397
'The right to privacy matters'
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 02:18:04 PM Last edit: May 19, 2015, 01:58:12 PM by philipma1957 |
|
This is just variance, we will finish oscilating +/- one percent in the end after 20 pages of this thread which will follow ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) would be nice.. no question variance has been the ruler for months but a small steady rise of just under 2% an adjustment is the real gain since Nov 2014 a 170 block day is a killer only if 3 or 4 in a row happen .
|
|
|
|
Mikestang
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 10:12:59 PM |
|
So far I don't think we've seen any impact from "summer" in the northern hemisphere, I expect those changes will start showing up soon.
|
|
|
|
jonnybravo0311
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1023
Mine at Jonny's Pool
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 10:28:59 PM |
|
Anybody else notice that bitcoinwisdom's difficulty page hasn't updated for over 15 hours? How am I supposed to make a completely random guess about the change in network difficulty now??? ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif)
|
Jonny's Pool - Mine with us and help us grow! Support a pool that supports Bitcoin, not a hardware manufacturer's pockets! No SPV cheats. No empty blocks.
|
|
|
notlist3d
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 18, 2015, 10:54:52 PM |
|
Anybody else notice that bitcoinwisdom's difficulty page hasn't updated for over 15 hours? How am I supposed to make a completely random guess about the change in network difficulty now??? ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) That is odd normally it is much more active then this. I wonder if it's dying like i did when hearing a double digit number ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) . On a serious note hopefully they fix it soon, as I enjoy watching it go up and down over on it.
|
|
|
|
|
notlist3d
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 19, 2015, 01:31:33 AM |
|
Thank you for posting! This looks much better then original estimates. Guess there were some lucky pools or something. I'm hoping to keep difficulty low all summer, don't know if I will get this luck but sure would be nice.
|
|
|
|
|
zebedee
Donator
Hero Member
Offline
Activity: 668
Merit: 500
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 19, 2015, 01:31:50 PM |
|
OK, we've had 300 blocks. I'll take +0.26% to +0.50%. ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif)
|
|
|
|
philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
Online
Activity: 4228
Merit: 8397
'The right to privacy matters'
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 19, 2015, 01:56:33 PM Last edit: May 19, 2015, 03:19:56 PM by philipma1957 |
|
OK, we've had 300 blocks. I'll take +0.26% to +0.50%. ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) www.bitcoinwisdom.com is down well we just hit block 300 http://www.bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 357132 Total BTC 14.178M Difficulty 48807487245 Estimated 48847686985 in 1716 blks Network total 320856.917 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.51 / 653 s (+0.08%) -1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957 +0.26% to +0.50% zebedee +0.51% to +0.75% valkir +0.76% to +1.00% gallery2000 note I switched to this since jonnybravo0311 had picked your pick already +1.01% to +1.25% jonnybravo0311
|
|
|
|
valkir
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1004
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 19, 2015, 02:26:46 PM |
|
+0.51% to + 0.75% for me! Thanks
|
██ Please support sidehack with his new miner project Send to :
1BURGERAXHH6Yi6LRybRJK7ybEm5m5HwTr
|
|
|
jonnybravo0311
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1023
Mine at Jonny's Pool
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 19, 2015, 02:44:52 PM |
|
I'll take the + 1.01 to 1.25 slot please.
|
Jonny's Pool - Mine with us and help us grow! Support a pool that supports Bitcoin, not a hardware manufacturer's pockets! No SPV cheats. No empty blocks.
|
|
|
gallery2000
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
May 19, 2015, 03:09:23 PM Last edit: May 19, 2015, 03:42:44 PM by gallery2000 |
|
+ 1.26% - 1.50
|
|
|
|
|