This is no more than a clustering illusion
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clustering_illusionIf people are moving their hashrate due to apparent lucky streaks on a pool with a hop-proof pay scheme then they are fooling themselves. Having a huge mining operation does not make people smarter.
Hey -ck, I wasn't commenting on the naturally expected behavior of the masses... Running to where the winnings take place.
My observations were in regards to pool performance (luck) in contrast to pool network speed.
Simply put, after the pool "naturally" has a streak as streaks will naturally occur... Hash rate increases (following not during) the jump. Once the hash rate has increases... Not even 100% luck is achieved... Rather a 1 day 200% luck is directly followed by 4-5 days at 85%. The end result after 6-7 days is 100% as expected.
Variance, strictly numbers speaking, would argue we would or should see months of 120% luck, or even higher.
I don't believe Ive ever seen 30 day luck more than 2 maybe 3% above PAR.
We have to simply blind faith trust what we see. Directing hash power using a proxy is by no means even difficult... And all we have to really rely on is the dashboard stats supplied by the pool.