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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 767911 times)
minairia3
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March 25, 2022, 06:23:09 PM
 #27201

There are three clubs ahead of Juventus, it is almost impossible that all three clubs will play worse than Juventus. At the moment they have more points than Juventus which means they are playing better. One club can (albeit with a small probability) get into the black stripe, but not three at once. That is why the chances of Juventus for the championship are so low (if I'm not mistaken, it's about 10% in terms of bookmakers).
Juventus have little chance of winning the title this season and I think that statement is justified given the instability of their form to win in a match. Juventus lost 5 and drew 8 in 30 matches. 7 points difference from the leaders will make Juventus less ahead in the title race although mathematically everything is still possible for them.

Although in the last few games their performances have looked much more promising, Inter and Napoli are far more likely to overtake AC Milan. But I don't expect AC Milan to fail to maintain their current lead, they have to stay top of the table until the last match of the season and they have to get the title this season.

I think if Inter loses their next match Juventus has a really good chance of fighting for the third spot in the league.
But, that obviously depends on if Inter does loose their next match.

And AC Milan obviously is going to be dethroned from their first spot in the league because the other teams are playing really good football and it is quite challenging for AC Milan to hold onto their trusted place.

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March 25, 2022, 07:23:21 PM
 #27202

The other day i was seeing a stat that show the ammount of salary in most of the top 5 leagues in europe.

Mamma Mia! the Serie A didnt have one player between the top 10. I dont find right now the infographic to share with you but if you search can find this one.

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March 25, 2022, 07:52:12 PM
 #27203

One of the interesting matches this week is the battle between Juventus and Inter Milan. Whoever wins they will get third place this week, but Juventus have a bigger chance than Inter Milan from my eyes. Inter several times had to accept bitter results in their last few matches. Meanwhile, Juventus managed to impress by beating their opponents.
Juventus and Intermilan matches are quite crucial matches for both teams, because if Inter Milan manages to win of course they can still maintain their chances in the fight for the Scudetto, but if they lose in that match it is certain that the Scudetto will be very difficult for them to achieve later, now I think Juventus also starting to enter the Scudetto competition because if they can beat Inter of course it will reduce the distance with AC Milan at the top of the standings later, indeed the chances of Juventus winning the match seem bigger, because so far Juventus are quite consistent in their matches, but I think Inter also not in too bad shape, so most likely if they will also go all out to get points at home to juventus, I personally would bet if juventus and intermilan match will end in a draw.
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March 25, 2022, 07:55:25 PM
 #27204

~snip
Does it make sense to bet on Inter and Milan, assuming that the rest of the clubs will not interfere in the fight?

would not be so sure that Juventus is out from the race, IMO, they have better chances than Napoli to be champions
situation on the table gives advantage to Milan, but they do not have team to prove it, will be a very interesting finish this season, rare lately in Italy, where Juventus took many title, and Inter last season took title long before end

But at the moment, Milan have more points, from which it can be concluded that they have a team to score points and that they are doing better than others. Seeing these quotes, on the contrary, I think that bookmakers overestimate Juventus. They can overtake Napoli, or Inter or Milan, but not all three at the same time.

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March 25, 2022, 08:05:41 PM
 #27205

~snip
Does it make sense to bet on Inter and Milan, assuming that the rest of the clubs will not interfere in the fight?

would not be so sure that Juventus is out from the race, IMO, they have better chances than Napoli to be champions
situation on the table gives advantage to Milan, but they do not have team to prove it, will be a very interesting finish this season, rare lately in Italy, where Juventus took many title, and Inter last season took title long before end

But at the moment, Milan have more points, from which it can be concluded that they have a team to score points and that they are doing better than others. Seeing these quotes, on the contrary, I think that bookmakers overestimate Juventus. They can overtake Napoli, or Inter or Milan, but not all three at the same time.
Obviously Milan has more points and also have a team to maintain the points if they truly wish, and I believe at this critical condition of the league no club will want to slag. Then, Juventus in the other hand resuscitated lately and their current form has proven that they can do the unimaginable. They should not be written off because they have the potential to overtake even two teams. Besides,  the point difference between the clubs is so small that even one match mistake can change the whole narrative in the table arrangement. What I love about Italian league this season is the competitiveness which I so believe will be maintained even in the next season.

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March 25, 2022, 08:07:06 PM
 #27206

This season's competition only has 8 games left, AC Milan can have a chance to win because in the remaining 8 matches they don't meet difficult teams, only Lazio and Atlanta will be their tough opponents, while Napoli have three difficult matches remaining, they must face Roma, Atlanta and Fiorentina, while Inter Milan have to face Juventus and AS Roma, the competition is very tight this season, because there are 4 clubs who still have the same chance to get the title this season.
AC Milan is at the top of the points table. And I think they are the ones who are most likely to win the title. Opponents are not too difficult in their upcoming matches. Winning will not be difficult if they perform with some caution. On the other hand, Inter Milan is not in good form now. So I think AC Milan or Napoli will win the title. Winning against Atalanta will increase Napoli's chances of winning the title.
Sometimes big teams will lose points against weaker teams but indeed, we will always be careful when it is a big match which means a big team against a big team. The situation this time can be said that all the top teams in Serie A will certainly focus more on getting points in each match, because they have also been knocked out of the European competition. So yeah, with this close points difference, the title race is still uncertain who will get it and it's getting more competitive like the EPL and interesting to look forward to.

AC Milan is playing well but I think if Inter does win their next match which they have in hand, they will have a good competition with Milan and  Napoli.  but for now, you know, Milan is obviously at the top of the points table. At the moment I think Juventus has a really good chance of finishing the league in the top 3 but it will be really hard for them to challenge the first-place team and win the title.

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March 25, 2022, 08:09:28 PM
 #27207

so in my opinion in the remaining matches of this season these 3 teams still have the same chance to win the Scudetto this season.

Why only 3 teams while Juventus is also still have the chance to win the Scudetto? The gap between Juventus and Milan is 7 only while there are still 8 matches remaining, so mathematically the chance for Juventus is still open especially if they can win against Inter next month. Serie A is a league with full of surprise, big teams may lose some points against mediocre teams. I think we will need to wait till the last round to know the real winner of Serie A this season. After so many years seeing Serie A dominated by single team only, this season looks better since it is tougher now.

Mathematically Juventus does have an option to win the league title but I think it is going to be quite childish and hilarious to believe that they are going to be able to do it. because they haven't been in really good form and I think the competition that they are facing is quite high from their standards. but at the same time, I will not be surprised if they actually go on to have some great matches and win the title.

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March 25, 2022, 08:19:33 PM
 #27208

Next week is going to be really interesting too seemingly. Because there are two big games like Juventus vs Inter and Atalanta vs Napoli. These games are directly related to the title rivalry as well. Juventus have an important chance to leave Inter behind in the league standings. But they have no other choice than winning here to do that. And Inter have lost many points for many weeks. They would fight hard here not to lose the game at least. When it comes to the other game, I see Napoli as the favourite. However, Atalanta are tough to beat so a draw is likely to be seen.

I always thought that Inter would have won this Serie A and apparently they relied on the fact that they would win every game they had less than the other teams,the behind schedule ones but the reality was different and are now in a position which is difficult to win the Serie A.I think now Milan will not screw up again in these few weeks remaining to be played and will most probably be the new Serie A Champions.Napoli for me was never consistent in results for many years now and I doubt this will change.

Inter were doing really well again this season until some point in fact. But now, there is no such thing as their performance level has dropped down a lot. I don't know what is wrong with the players now as they haven't made significant changes in their game plan as far as I know. Simone Inzaghi must find a way out of this bad situation of theirs. Otherwise, their title chance won't be as high as especially Milan. I really like Milan this season as there has been a big improvement in their game. If they don't make simple mistakes, it looks like they will reach the title.

R


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March 25, 2022, 08:28:09 PM
 #27209

This season's competition only has 8 games left, AC Milan can have a chance to win because in the remaining 8 matches they don't meet difficult teams, only Lazio and Atlanta will be their tough opponents, while Napoli have three difficult matches remaining, they must face Roma, Atlanta and Fiorentina, while Inter Milan have to face Juventus and AS Roma, the competition is very tight this season, because there are 4 clubs who still have the same chance to get the title this season.
AC Milan is at the top of the points table. And I think they are the ones who are most likely to win the title. Opponents are not too difficult in their upcoming matches. Winning will not be difficult if they perform with some caution. On the other hand, Inter Milan is not in good form now. So I think AC Milan or Napoli will win the title. Winning against Atalanta will increase Napoli's chances of winning the title.
Sometimes big teams will lose points against weaker teams but indeed, we will always be careful when it is a big match which means a big team against a big team. The situation this time can be said that all the top teams in Serie A will certainly focus more on getting points in each match, because they have also been knocked out of the European competition. So yeah, with this close points difference, the title race is still uncertain who will get it and it's getting more competitive like the EPL and interesting to look forward to.

AC Milan is playing well but I think if Inter does win their next match which they have in hand, they will have a good competition with Milan and  Napoli.  but for now, you know, Milan is obviously at the top of the points table. At the moment I think Juventus has a really good chance of finishing the league in the top 3 but it will be really hard for them to challenge the first-place team and win the title.

Compared to other competitors, it must be admitted that AC Milan's performance is currently the best, because AC Milan is currently in first position.
Which is 3 points ahead of Napoli who are in second place, while Inter have only played 29 times in Serie A, meaning Inter still has one game left and
if Inter manage to win it will be close to the points owned by AC Milan. The competition between AC Milan, Napoli and Inter is indeed very tight.
Therefore near the end of this season all matches are very important to be won, so which team can play consistently by winning the most wins,
that team deserves to be the winner of the Serie A trophy.

Then for Juventus, who is in 4th position, there is still a chance to win this season, but the chance is very small. Because Juventus in addition to having
to win the remaining 8 matches, Juventus should also expect the three teams above to lose a lot of points. Which is unlikely to happen, considering
all three teams also want to be winners of the Serie A trophy, so they will try not to lose points. So in my opinion Juventus for this season is indeed
difficult to hope to be champions, but next season Juventus could be a strong candidate to win the Serie A trophy.

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March 25, 2022, 10:15:39 PM
 #27210

Juventus also have a lot of motivation now, especially when they no longer need to play in the Champions League, they will try to pick up points in Serie A. It is now becoming clear that Inter have started to play worse than before, while Juventus, on the contrary, are picking up points. I think Juventus will not lose their next game against Inter at home. It will not be easy for Inter to hold on to third place, they have strong rivals ahead except Juventus.
Motivation means nothing when two great teams face each other. Anything could happen at any moment when you are talking about giants. Look at la liga, we had Real Madrid who beat PSG with an amazing roster, 3-1 to eliminated them, then we had Barcelona who got a tie against 15th team in Turkish league, then barely got a 2-1 win from a comeback.

What happened when they faced? Barcelona managed to beat Real 4-0 very easily. This is why I believe that momentum, team chemistry, good luck all goes out of the window when we are talking about something like this, it is more about which team would be better on a single day, just for 90 minutes.
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March 25, 2022, 10:25:57 PM
 #27211

Milan must be really motivated to win the Serie A championship this season now. They were never this much close to the championship last season as Inter had a huge point gap with them earlier in the season already. But this scenario is very different comparing to that one. It is like they are changing roles as Inter started to have bad results in the recent times. But it is still early to say that Milan will make Inter experience the same feeling they did in the previous season. We need to see the coming matches for a few weeks at least to have a clearer idea.

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March 25, 2022, 10:49:51 PM
 #27212

Juventus have little chance of winning the title this season and I think that statement is justified given the instability of their form to win in a match. Juventus lost 5 and drew 8 in 30 matches. 7 points difference from the leaders will make Juventus less ahead in the title race although mathematically everything is still possible for them.
I think Juventus chance of winning Scudetto in this season not on have little chance but also have close opportunity how to get scudetto after missing two years. Left 7 points behind AC Milan and with 8 match later and only Inter Milan as left match against by Juventus, still not any chance for PSG how to stop AC Milan to get scudetto in this season, except have any match left between Juventus vs AC Milan still possibility chance get trophy.

AC Milan left match only as potential against with Fiorentina and Atalanta but I don't see both club can stop winning record achieve by AC Milan have on consistent performance, I have choose as AC Milan bigger chance as the winning Serie A in this season than chance Napoli or Inter Milan.

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March 25, 2022, 11:00:24 PM
 #27213

One of the interesting matches this week is the battle between Juventus and Inter Milan. Whoever wins they will get third place this week, but Juventus have a bigger chance than Inter Milan from my eyes. Inter several times had to accept bitter results in their last few matches. Meanwhile, Juventus managed to impress by beating their opponents.

Don't think so, Juventus is missing 8-10 players gonna be and hard match.
They are playing the same 11 players since months

I think it will be a X

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March 25, 2022, 11:03:29 PM
 #27214

The point gap between Milan and Juventus is seven points now. As there are still eight weeks for the end of the season, it is still not impossible for Juventus to catch up with Milan mathematically of course. But if we look at it from a sensible aspect, I think that Juventus don't have a very big chance to succeed in this goal. They must be realistic before making that effort for the title and then they can still fight with their best with a clear mind. The pressure is on Milan the most now in the end.
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March 25, 2022, 11:11:44 PM
 #27215

Milan must be really motivated to win the Serie A championship this season now.
Indeed. They have already waited for a long time to be back in 1st place on Serie A standings. Now, they are leading with 3 points, they must win every remaining match if they want to win the title. AC Milan must be careful about the chance for Napoli or Inter to overtake them. The point gap is quite small, the position can be changed in 2 matches only. It is still too early to claim winning the trophy right now, AC Milan must have more motivation to win all the next matches.


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March 25, 2022, 11:28:33 PM
 #27216

Milan must be really motivated to win the Serie A championship this season now.
Indeed. They have already waited for a long time to be back in 1st place on Serie A standings. Now, they are leading with 3 points, they must win every remaining match if they want to win the title. AC Milan must be careful about the chance for Napoli or Inter to overtake them. The point gap is quite small, the position can be changed in 2 matches only. It is still too early to claim winning the trophy right now, AC Milan must have more motivation to win all the next matches.



Yes of course nobody claims Milan have secured the title it's just that they're getting closer keep the difference in points from competitors
There are still 8-9 games left, which means 24-27 points are still up for grabs Milan can secure the title if they can win all remaining games
At least don't lose in big match like against lazio the next few weeks.

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March 25, 2022, 11:37:47 PM
Last edit: March 26, 2022, 12:25:57 AM by AndySt
 #27217

Juventus have little chance of winning the title this season and I think that statement is justified given the instability of their form to win in a match. Juventus lost 5 and drew 8 in 30 matches. 7 points difference from the leaders will make Juventus less ahead in the title race although mathematically everything is still possible for them.
I think Juventus chance of winning Scudetto in this season not on have little chance but also have close opportunity how to get scudetto after missing two years. Left 7 points behind AC Milan and with 8 match later and only Inter Milan as left match against by Juventus, still not any chance for PSG how to stop AC Milan to get scudetto in this season, except have any match left between Juventus vs AC Milan still possibility chance get trophy.
AC Milan left match only as potential against with Fiorentina and Atalanta but I don't see both club can stop winning record achieve by AC Milan have on consistent performance, I have choose as AC Milan bigger chance as the winning Serie A in this season than chance Napoli or Inter Milan.
Of course, the entire leading four of the championship, including Juventus, have chances, given the instability of all the leaders who constantly have failures in replenishing point stocks. Another question is the number of these chances, at this point in time Milan is some favorite in this regard. But if Milan loses points in the next match, and the competitors, on the contrary, gain, as the talk about the contenders for the Scudetto will be revived again with renewed vigor. At least, we have already seen this many times during the championship. Juventus also has much less right to make mistakes than the competitors, you just have to try not to think about it and win all the upcoming matches.
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March 25, 2022, 11:49:58 PM
 #27218

Milan are the most comfortable team among the top teams next week. Their game is against Bologna home. And Bologna are not even close to being a good team this season. And this is one of the critical games for Milan like the rest of the games too. I'm waiting for zero mistake to be made by Milan here and they should be able to get a decent win. They must be very excited about their title opportunity now but they are handling this very professionally.

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March 25, 2022, 11:54:52 PM
 #27219

Milan are the most comfortable team among the top teams next week. Their game is against Bologna home. And Bologna are not even close to being a good team this season. And this is one of the critical games for Milan like the rest of the games too. I'm waiting for zero mistake to be made by Milan here and they should be able to get a decent win. They must be very excited about their title opportunity now but they are handling this very professionally.
Yet , historically .. bologna often become ac milan nightmare.

hopefully this time they could handle it , i wish really the scudetto landed in san siro of ac milan not the other milan. im sick of juventus domination and inter milan last season broke it.
this one are belong to ac milan who have woke up from a long sleep trophyless.

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March 25, 2022, 11:54:59 PM
Last edit: March 28, 2022, 04:55:54 AM by BitcoinHunt3r
 #27220

Milan are the most comfortable team among the top teams next week. Their game is against Bologna home. And Bologna are not even close to being a good team this season. And this is one of the critical games for Milan like the rest of the games too. I'm waiting for zero mistake to be made by Milan here and they should be able to get a decent win. They must be very excited about their title opportunity now but they are handling this very professionally.

Yes it should be a win for Milan besides that Milan also hopes that Napoli will get into trouble against Atalanta to hinder them in the standings
same thing with Inter against Juventus  and if these two teams play a draw then Mian's chances for the title are even greater
I can say the Serie A champions will be clear on April 3rd after seeing the final result Atalanta vs Napoli with a note match is not a draw.

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