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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 754568 times)
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March 01, 2024, 04:50:25 PM
 #70121

-snip
Napoli has lost the quality it had last season and it will be difficult for them to regain that form. Winning a game in five matches doesn't show the right will to compete for the Seria A title. One of the reasons for this poor run was the absence of Victor Osimhen due to his engagement in the African Nations Cup.

He is back and they have started having positive results. In the last three games, there has been some improvement. They played a draw with Barcelona in the UCL second round, would have won the game with Cagliari if not for the late equalizer, and got a convincing win yesterday against Sassuolo. The return of the Nigerian striker has added more quality to the team and it has also been seen that the partnership between him and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been rekindled.
-snip

Honestly, I do not think he is going to stay even if Napoli qualify for the Champions League. Because he is already getting great offers and there is no reason for him to actually turn those offers down and stay in Napoli. I believe it is just a matter of time before he leaves Napoli. I believe that he was supposed to leave in the last season. But Napoli was able to win the league title and also was able to convince him to stay. But this time nothing like that is going to happen in my opinion. They are not winning the league title. And if Osimhen actually stays, he is a fool.



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March 01, 2024, 04:57:57 PM
 #70122

-snip
Napoli has lost the quality it had last season and it will be difficult for them to regain that form. Winning a game in five matches doesn't show the right will to compete for the Seria A title. One of the reasons for this poor run was the absence of Victor Osimhen due to his engagement in the African Nations Cup.

He is back and they have started having positive results. In the last three games, there has been some improvement. They played a draw with Barcelona in the UCL second round, would have won the game with Cagliari if not for the late equalizer, and got a convincing win yesterday against Sassuolo. The return of the Nigerian striker has added more quality to the team and it has also been seen that the partnership between him and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been rekindled.
-snip

Honestly, I do not think he is going to stay even if Napoli qualify for the Champions League. Because he is already getting great offers and there is no reason for him to actually turn those offers down and stay in Napoli. I believe it is just a matter of time before he leaves Napoli. I believe that he was supposed to leave in the last season. But Napoli was able to win the league title and also was able to convince him to stay. But this time nothing like that is going to happen in my opinion. They are not winning the league title. And if Osimhen actually stays, he is a fool.
Just like you, I think it'll be very difficult for Napoli to keep their most lethal weapon in the person of Victor Osimhen beyond the end of the current season and that's because of the numerous top European clubs that are trying to secure the services of the Nigeria striker. It's been reported that he's received offers from top English Premier League clubs like Arsenal and Chelsea and rumours also have it that he's also been monitored by French champions Paris Saint Germaine. According to a report I read in the media recently, Victor Osimhen's release clause will exceed 110 million pounds but for striker that's as prolific as the Nigeria international, I think most of these clubs wouldn't mind to trigger the release clause. Since he returned to the club from the CAF African Cup Of Nations, he's been very instrumental to the clubs impressive results but will he continue to shine for the club beyond the current season? I think it's question that only time will give us the best answer

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March 01, 2024, 05:15:24 PM
 #70123

Napoli showed an inconsistent graph so far and even though Napoli won in the last fight I haven't seen any sign of improvement I mean maybe it's just luck. This week on March 4 Napoli will face Juventus, this will be a difficult match for both teams we cannot predict who will win because both teams won in the last fight. There is a possibility that this fight will end up a draw because both teams do not target anything Juventus are safe in the 2nd place and Napoli need more effort to go up to the 5th place, so a draw may be fair to both teams.
not luck, I would say they faced a very poor team
let's say that at the moment Napoli is a strong mid-table team in my opinion
it's not ready to go to cup competitions, like the Champions League
maybe next year he will settle down better and can compete
I do think that they played a team that wasn't all that good, but there was a little bit of luck involved as well if you watched the game. I mean we can have both at the same time, just because you played against a team that wasn't good, doesn't mean that you can't get lucky on that game neither, you can have it both at the same time. In this case, both happened for Napoli, which gave them a great result and we should consider that as something quite fun and motivating for them.

Will they end up using this momentum to do better on the upcoming games? We will have to see about it but so far we can say that it is going to be something that will seriously get them to be a lot better on the long run, that's just how it is in most cases.

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March 01, 2024, 05:25:11 PM
 #70124

8th placed Lazio with 40 points, hosting 3rd place 53 points AC Milan in today's Italian Serie A game, and judging from the point of their Head-to-head meetings between the host team Lazio and their visitors Milan, I found that Ac Milan has met with Lazio a number of 62 times and have had more wins in their overall meetings where Lazio has won only direct 12 games, and AC Milan won 30 of this matches whereas they've shared a point in the rest 20 matches. Then Lazio has more of either playing draws hosting Milan at their home games or winning and have had a little of lost at the home against AC Milan, I expect this game to likely end in a draw looking at how important that this game is to both teams.
AC Milan's dominance over Lazio and analytics make them clear favorites. The fact that they've won roughly half their matches suggests a psychological advantage in this game. I dont ride past achievements' bandwagon. The unpredictable nature of football gives Lazio's home performance versus Milan hope for an upset or a hard-fought draw.

Lets be honest. Milan wants points to climb the Serie A ladder and needs them now. They sometimes fall to counterattacks due to their eager pursuit of success. Lazio plays in front of their own fans, so Milan shouldnt underestimate them. It will be interesting to watch if Milan can keep their cool and not let ambition cloud their judgment. Taking advantage of the opportunity and being overambitious are delicate.

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March 01, 2024, 05:29:40 PM
 #70125

If Milan really wants to pursue the runner up position in Serie A, they should be able to beat Lazio with a stronger effort because Lazio will be very strong competing at home, which usually makes Lazio's defense very strong and can make things difficult for Milan.
What I'm worried about is that Milan often has big ambitions to win and ultimately loses control and doesn't see the risk of a comeback from the opponent.
I just want to see if Milan really has difficulty scoring a win, at least getting 1 score from a draw would be safer.
AC Milan have to get three points and beat Lazio tonight if want close with runner up position, but next several days Milan have focus for playing in the first leg Europe League against Slavia Praha and need to make some rotation if want secure the winning result for the first leg match. Which the match will priority by AC Milan's manager Stefano Pioli between domestic league or first leg of Europe League, Milan remaining 4 points to reach 2n position from Juventus but last several matches performance in domestic league Milan losses many points and difficult for catching up Juventus points.

Lazio has good perform when playing in their home, current standing outside from Europe League and Champion League spot I don't think easily for Lazio losing three points against AC Milan.

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March 01, 2024, 05:38:10 PM
 #70126

Pogba now is 30 years old and with the 4-year suspension, his football career as a player ends here. It's hard for a player who is not professional with training to return to football at highest level in Europe at 34-years old. If he returns, I guess a possible destination for him is Saudi Arabia.
Paul Pogba said on his X account that he is heartbroken to see everything he has built in his football career taken away. It is a pity that Paul Pogba's career will end in this way when he is supposed to enjoy his career by signing a big-money contract, maybe with any Saudi Arabia club or any club in Major League Soccer.

I saw in a football news site that Paul Pogba will appeal his four years ban maybe to get it shortened or even get the ban reversed. This is not going to be an easy one for him, I just feel his pain and the type of trauma he is going through after been banned from football. He is a great midfielder and have made a very big contribution to every club he has played in. He was to be in his best seasons as his retirement age keeps approaching but unfortunately he has to meet this bad luck, I hope things gets better for him soon.

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March 01, 2024, 05:39:35 PM
 #70127

8th placed Lazio with 40 points, hosting 3rd place 53 points AC Milan in today's Italian Serie A game, and judging from the point of their Head-to-head meetings between the host team Lazio and their visitors Milan, I found that Ac Milan has met with Lazio a number of 62 times and have had more wins in their overall meetings where Lazio has won only direct 12 games, and AC Milan won 30 of this matches whereas they've shared a point in the rest 20 matches. Then Lazio has more of either playing draws hosting Milan at their home games or winning and have had a little of lost at the home against AC Milan, I expect this game to likely end in a draw looking at how important that this game is to both teams.
AC Milan's dominance over Lazio and analytics make them clear favorites. The fact that they've won roughly half their matches suggests a psychological advantage in this game. I dont ride past achievements' bandwagon. The unpredictable nature of football gives Lazio's home performance versus Milan hope for an upset or a hard-fought draw.

Milan's previous matches against Lazio have been very good. We have always seen Milan's dominance in head-to-head matches. Milan have won four of their last five matches against Lazio. So naturally Milan are favorites in this match. Also Lazio are not in good form right now. Lazio have lost three of their last five matches. They won both matches. This team cannot be called weak. However, the performance of this team is very erratic. So Milan should definitely not take Lazio lightly. Milan's players must play well and dominate from the start of the match if they want to win.


Quote
Lets be honest. Milan wants points to climb the Serie A ladder and needs them now. They sometimes fall to counterattacks due to their eager pursuit of success. Lazio plays in front of their own fans, so Milan shouldnt underestimate them. It will be interesting to watch if Milan can keep their cool and not let ambition cloud their judgment. Taking advantage of the opportunity and being overambitious are delicate.

Milan will definitely want to win this match. Milan have no chance of winning the Serie A title. They will still be looking to grab second place in the table. And if they want to go to the second place in the points table, Milan must maintain the winning streak. Lazio's performances have been erratic but their defense is not weak. Lazio have a strong defense. However, the performance of Lazio's attacking players is poor. If Lazio can score first in today's match, it will be much more difficult for Milan to come back. So Milan's defenders have to be very careful from the start of the match.

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March 01, 2024, 05:58:29 PM
 #70128

<snip>
Lazio has good perform when playing in their home, current standing outside from Europe League and Champion League spot I don't think easily for Lazio losing three points against AC Milan.
They were beaten badly by Lazio with a score of 4:0 at the Stadio Olimpico at the end of January 2023. At that time Lazio appeared to be a pretty good team. At this meeting, I doubt if AC Milan can get full points to target the runner up position even though Lazio this season is not very good because they appear at home, Lazio is different when playing away.
The home match factor makes me doubt AC Milan will win.

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March 01, 2024, 06:29:06 PM
 #70129

I think this is one of the toughest games for Milan this season.  Sad  Lazio might seem like they aren't as good as the previous season. But they are always a threat as they are more than just an average team. You know how great they are in the Champions League on one hand as well. I expect them to make Milan big difficulties tonight.

Milan aren't having very consistent days honestly. They lost quite many points in their most recent games in the Serie A. I won't trust their win with my bet today. Instead I might think of betting on both teams to score instead. It sounds more logical to me.  Smiley
Lazio has been a strong side in the Italy Serie A League. I will not be surprised if Lazio proves difficult for AC Milan to win because Lazio knows how to do damage to the big clubs in Italy's Serie A league. This is not the toughest match for AC Milan because Lazio is not the best club in the Italy Serie A League.

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March 01, 2024, 06:33:46 PM
 #70130

<snip>
Lazio has good perform when playing in their home, current standing outside from Europe League and Champion League spot I don't think easily for Lazio losing three points against AC Milan.
They were beaten badly by Lazio with a score of 4:0 at the Stadio Olimpico at the end of January 2023. At that time Lazio appeared to be a pretty good team. At this meeting, I doubt if AC Milan can get full points to target the runner up position even though Lazio this season is not very good because they appear at home, Lazio is different when playing away.
The home match factor makes me doubt AC Milan will win.

Basically I also doubt Milan will win this match because ya, basically Lazio is not bad at all. Although indeed, it looks like it will still be difficult for Lazio to beat Milan. But yes, at least Lazio can still end the match with a draw because after all, the most important thing is not to lose because in this match Lazio is playing at home. Likewise regarding Milan, although atleast Milan still has a target of overtaking Juventus, but in recent away matches the reality is that Milan is not always easy to get points in away matches. Therefore, it seems quite difficult to determine which team will win this match, but even so, it seems like two goals or maybe three goals can still happen in this match.

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March 01, 2024, 06:49:18 PM
 #70131

Today Lazio and Milan will open the new week. Milan have stumbled a bit in recent games, they haven't won their last three matches. They have conceded 8 goals in these games, which shows the weakness of their defense. They have conceded a lot of goals in general this season. They had chased Juve in the league but missed the opportunity to catch them after failing to win their last two games. They still have a chance to finish 2nd and they are in a comfortable position in 3rd place, with no team below them close enough to bother them.
Lazio on the other hand are having good and bad results. They don't have much ambition in the league, they are in the middle of the table but they have Bayern München game on their minds. I think that's where all their focus is. So I don't think they can prepare much for the Milan game.

In the last matches between the two teams, there has always been a winner, never a draw. And usually the home team have won. But I see Milan with the advantage today. Lazio's mind will be on the next game. Milan seems to have more appetite for second place in the league. At odds above 2.05, a Milan win is a risk worth taking to me.
The Serie A game for the weekend will be opened with a tussle between Lazio who are very much confident in themselves and their ability so far to outshine Milan. They're the hosts and they've been able to record an encouraging game outcome in the past few weeks. The Serie A is gradually becoming a competitive league and it won't be a shock to see Lazio who for one in past times have been good competitors in the league, hold unto Milan till the last minutes.

 Checking the team stats, Lazio have been seen to have more wins than Milan, at thesame time, possessing bigger chances this time due to the drop in Milan's intensity of performance. Inter Milan have in the last weeks struggled to stay in every game they've had and even the few wins they've had were narrow victories which isn't a fully vested confidence against Lazio tonight. They're the visitors, they've had less wins all time against Lazio, recent performances have been poor and so there's less advantage for them to come out as the victors today.

 The odds in the game favours Lazio and then it's understandable that Milan will have to put in extra fighting efforts to give off a good, better performance. Fairly, the game ought to end in a draw, bit the chances are very much slim. They'll be inflow of goals no doubt but for my prediction, just one from these teams would gain the 3points tonight. We'd only have to stay back and watch patiently to see which of the two teams would have a brilliant performance played out on the pitch tonight too.

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March 01, 2024, 07:36:55 PM
 #70132

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.


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March 01, 2024, 07:43:27 PM
 #70133

 In the last five games for Lazio, they have been able to win three and lost two and they lost their very last to Fiorentina who currently are one point above them in 7th place and as they play hosts to AC Milan, they will want to put on a fight to at least secure points but it will be a tough tasj to achieve especially as their opponents are a very strong and formidable side who are in the top three of the Serie A table. It's safe to say this will be a difficult game for Lazio as Ac Milan are still smarting from the draw Atalanta forced them to during the week and they will be looking to get their pound of flesh from the hosts. It's difficult to predict who will be the winner but it's going to be a GG affair.

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March 01, 2024, 07:44:44 PM
Last edit: March 04, 2024, 02:15:45 PM by tusandii
 #70134

If Milan really wants to pursue the runner up position in Serie A, they should be able to beat Lazio with a stronger effort because Lazio will be very strong competing at home, which usually makes Lazio's defense very strong and can make things difficult for Milan.
What I'm worried about is that Milan often has big ambitions to win and ultimately loses control and doesn't see the risk of a comeback from the opponent.
I just want to see if Milan really has difficulty scoring a win, at least getting 1 score from a draw would be safer.
AC Milan have to get three points and beat Lazio tonight if want close with runner up position, but next several days Milan have focus for playing in the first leg Europe League against Slavia Praha and need to make some rotation if want secure the winning result for the first leg match. Which the match will priority by AC Milan's manager Stefano Pioli between domestic league or first leg of Europe League, Milan remaining 4 points to reach 2n position from Juventus but last several matches performance in domestic league Milan losses many points and difficult for catching up Juventus points.

Lazio has good perform when playing in their home, current standing outside from Europe League and Champion League spot I don't think easily for Lazio losing three points against AC Milan.
Currently the formation data has started to be published and I see Giroud in the front position and supported by other players such as Pulisic who is usually Giroud's partner, creating a good partnership.
The two clubs use different formations. Lazio uses a 4-3-3 formation, which means they prioritize defense and Milan 4-2-3-1, which means Milan still has attacking and defensive ambitions.
Regarding the pressure of the match schedule in the Champions League and in Serie A, it seems to be affecting the current performance and after seeing all this data I believe betting on both clubs scoring with odds @1.79 is safer and looks more convincing.

Looking at Milan's current performance makes us a little confident that we can beat Lazio because there is another goal to get second place, displacing Juventus, so this is an opportunity for Milan to get 3 points, but Lazio cannot be underestimated, the most important thing is that Milan must be careful because Lazio has very high attacking speed. quickly and without the opponent realizing it, he could break into Milan's goal.

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March 01, 2024, 07:50:54 PM
 #70135

They were beaten badly by Lazio with a score of 4:0 at the Stadio Olimpico at the end of January 2023. At that time Lazio appeared to be a pretty good team. At this meeting, I doubt if AC Milan can get full points to target the runner up position even though Lazio this season is not very good because they appear at home, Lazio is different when playing away.
The home match factor makes me doubt AC Milan will win.
In just a few minutes the match which we can call a big match will start soon, the Lazio vs Milan match will certainly be a hot and crucial match for the two teams at this time, Milan who was able to beat Lazio 2-0 in the first match of the season of course  will try to repeat the same results later, but Milan's performance is much different now compared to the start of the season so it might give Lazio a chance to avenge this defeat.

The match against Lazio is very crucial for Milan after 3 consecutive matches they failed to win and maybe Milan will looking for revenge over lazio in today match,  Meanwhile for Lazio, achieving three points will absolutely be their target so they can get back into the top big four zone like last season, apart from that the match against Milan will certainly be a mental test for them before facing Bayern Munich in the Champions League later, Lazio and Milan are actually the same performance is less stable at the moment so it looks like both teams will end the match with a draw, even though maybe Lazio will be slightly favored when they play at home.

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March 01, 2024, 07:51:35 PM
 #70136

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.
Lazio is only favored to play at home but that does not guarantee because we know AC Milan will try to win points so as not to be pursued by Bologna even though the difference in points is still quite far, it's just that so far Milan has not won points well twice but this time it must be possible.

While Lazio is still far away to pursue the top 4 of Serie A.
Not sure Lazio will qualify in the Champion League it is in doubt despite winning the aggregate but Bayern playing at home will be even more aggressive they can even qualify with the second leg but not Lazio.

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March 01, 2024, 07:54:29 PM
 #70137

Paul Pogba said on his X account that he is heartbroken to see everything he has built in his football career taken away. It is a pity that Paul Pogba's career will end in this way when he is supposed to enjoy his career by signing a big-money contract, maybe with any Saudi Arabia club or any club in Major League Soccer.
Of course, Paul Pogba feels hurt because he got a 4 years ban. If he will be banned 4 years, he can play again when he is 34 years old. 4 years is a long time, it may kill Pogba's career because he has no chance to play in any professional team during 4 years. I don't know what Pogba will do in the next 4 years. If he is not patient, he may leave football career and try to have a new career in another field.

Sure, it is very unfortunate to see his career now. Pogba ever becomes a superstar, he becomes a big player in Juventus. Sadly, Pogba made a serious mistake, so he got the punishment now. I sill can't believe why Pogba uses doping or illegal drugs. As far as I know he is a religious person. However, the result of the test is positive, it means he really did it. I juts hope Pogba gets a big lesson from this case. So he must change his life and never do it again when he returns to the football again in the next 4 years.

By the way, I assume he can't play in any league when he is banned for 4 years. No Saudi teams that want to sign a player who can't play for the next 4 years.



Read: https://www.goal.com/en/lists/paul-pogba-banned-four-years-juventus-midfielder-punished-doping-scandal/blt729c25135d5cdecf#cs17461ea83770898b


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March 01, 2024, 08:34:28 PM
 #70138

AC Milan's dominance over Lazio and analytics make them clear favorites. The fact that they've won roughly half their matches suggests a psychological advantage in this game. I dont ride past achievements' bandwagon. The unpredictable nature of football gives Lazio's home performance versus Milan hope for an upset or a hard-fought draw.
In this match, Milan probably may have more ball possession, as well as slightly dominating the match compared to Lazio. But, the difference is, Milan still made the same mistakes, as in the past, namely they were less sharp in their attacks. It is proven that Lazio is the one that actually has more attack statistics, and has even fired a shot on target which is quite dangerous for Milan, while Milan has not. So, the farming this time is quite realistic and balanced. Both of them are trying hard to get the full 3 points to maintain their position, especially Lazio where competition is very tight in their position.

Napoli 19:45 Juventus

Monday 4th March
Inter Milan 19:45 Genoa
This will be a highly anticipated match. It would be much more interesting if Napoli could win, but in reality, Napoli's performance was not that great this time. It's just that, I was a little doubtful when I saw the results of Napoli's last match which were truly fantastic. But if it is against a big team like Juventus, I think this will make it quite difficult for Napoli to be more relaxed. Both of them definitely need full points, but it will really depend on what they can spare.

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March 01, 2024, 08:51:47 PM
 #70139

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.



I think this is a match that cannot be predicted correctly and seeing both teams very flat in the first half makes me think both teams will share the same points. It seems that both teams also want to play safe and avoid defeat as much as possible. If Milan wins outright they will be closer to Juventus and maybe Lazio will have to give up more for the champions league next season.
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March 01, 2024, 08:58:02 PM
 #70140

What happened to Napoli? have they risen from their ashes? Did they wake up from lethargy? Did the new coach give him a magical potion? Incredibly they are winning 1-6 against Sassuolo who unfortunately is not going through a good moment and fight not to retreat in Serie B

This is the first victory Napoli has had this season with a lot of goals. However, I think they are back to their winning ways like previous seasons. Since the start of the season, we were expecting that Napoli would play this way, winning all of their games against weak opponents. How is it possible that the team that won Seria A last season is struggling to win their matches? After the appointment of the new head coach, Napoli's performance has changed. When Sassuolo scored the first goal against Napoli match, I thought that Napoli would lose because that is how they are playing this season, but I was mistaken. Napoli made a strong comeback, scoring six goals.

Victor Osimhen has scored five goals in their three previous games, it is obvious that his absence during the Afcon games has had an effect on their games. Napoli's chances of finishing in the top four this season will be quite slim, it won't be a simple challenge. The next game for Napoli is against Juventus, and I don't think they can get any points there.

the change of coach at the beginning of the season played a fundamental role in the balance of the locker room, Rudy Garcia is a tough guy who tries to be the iron sergeant inside the locker room, quite the opposite of Spalletti. Then the forced arrival of Mazzarri honestly dealt the final blow, I hope that Calzona will be able to give enthusiasm to this group and maybe manage to get a place in the European competitions

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.Duelbits.
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