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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 999618 times)
*Ace*
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May 12, 2026, 08:41:30 PM

Last night, Napoli were devastated after conceding a late goal at home.

Bologna scored the winning goal shortly before the end of the match and won the game.

If Napoli had won this match, they would have secured qualification for the Champions League. However, they still risk dropping further down the table.

In Serie A, there are only 3 points between 2nd and 5th place. With 2 weeks remaining in the season, the results these teams get will be extremely important.

Unfortunately, Napoli put in a very disappointing performance last night, and it’s not the first time they’ve produced such poor displays. Let’s just say that in recent weeks they’ve really let their standards slip. Whilst injuries used to be the excuse for their poor performances, it now seems a bit far-fetched to keep thinking that way; Antonio Conte has literally worn these players out, and they’re now at serious risk

Lillominato89
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May 12, 2026, 10:08:14 PM

Last night, Napoli were devastated after conceding a late goal at home.

Bologna scored the winning goal shortly before the end of the match and won the game.

If Napoli had won this match, they would have secured qualification for the Champions League. However, they still risk dropping further down the table.

In Serie A, there are only 3 points between 2nd and 5th place. With 2 weeks remaining in the season, the results these teams get will be extremely important.

Unfortunately, Napoli put in a very disappointing performance last night, and it’s not the first time they’ve produced such poor displays. Let’s just say that in recent weeks they’ve really let their standards slip. Whilst injuries used to be the excuse for their poor performances, it now seems a bit far-fetched to keep thinking that way; Antonio Conte has literally worn these players out, and they’re now at serious risk

Well, Antonio Conte’s whining is entirely deserved in this situation.
At the start of the season, he was always at the microphones complaining, and strangely enough, he’s not complaining anymore! I wonder why!?
He’ll finish second because the fixture list is very favourable, whereas Juventus and Milan have tougher matches ahead

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snipie
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May 12, 2026, 10:21:27 PM

Last night, Napoli were devastated after conceding a late goal at home.

Bologna scored the winning goal shortly before the end of the match and won the game.

If Napoli had won this match, they would have secured qualification for the Champions League. However, they still risk dropping further down the table.

In Serie A, there are only 3 points between 2nd and 5th place. With 2 weeks remaining in the season, the results these teams get will be extremely important.

Unfortunately, Napoli put in a very disappointing performance last night, and it’s not the first time they’ve produced such poor displays. Let’s just say that in recent weeks they’ve really let their standards slip. Whilst injuries used to be the excuse for their poor performances, it now seems a bit far-fetched to keep thinking that way; Antonio Conte has literally worn these players out, and they’re now at serious risk

Well, Antonio Conte’s whining is entirely deserved in this situation.
At the start of the season, he was always at the microphones complaining, and strangely enough, he’s not complaining anymore! I wonder why!?
He’ll finish second because the fixture list is very favourable, whereas Juventus and Milan have tougher matches ahead

So far Napoli was considered safe in the second place in Serie A but to be honest, I think it is no more. The other teams are getting closer, the points gap between them and Roma in the 5th place is just 3 points and the goals difference are equal or less than the other three teams under them. I doubt Napoli will lose UEFA Champions League spots but finishing in the second place has a powerful meaning for the next season.
Udinese and especially Pisa are weaker than Napoli and at worst I suppose Napoli can collect 3 points from them at least which will make them almost safe. Nevertheless, I suppose they will collect all 6 points.

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whiteblue
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May 12, 2026, 10:44:11 PM

So far Napoli was considered safe in the second place in Serie A but to be honest, I think it is no more. The other teams are getting closer, the points gap between them and Roma in the 5th place is just 3 points and the goals difference are equal or less than the other three teams under them. I doubt Napoli will lose UEFA Champions League spots but finishing in the second place has a powerful meaning for the next season.
Udinese and especially Pisa are weaker than Napoli and at worst I suppose Napoli can collect 3 points from them at least which will make them almost safe. Nevertheless, I suppose they will collect all 6 points.
The exciting Competition in Serie A with the final two matches remaining is undoubtedly the battle for a place in next season champions league. Roma is one of the teams that has performed brilliantly in their last five matches, collecting points and catching up with the teams above them.

I believe Roma will qualify for next season champions league. They are gaining confidence because the teams above them have not performed Consistently in the remaining matches, Which is certainly an advantage for them.

Of course, napoli will also be under threat, given their close points gap. However, I don't see napoli under pressure because they can secure a champions league spot next Season. However, I think Ac milan position is starting to be threatened because roma continues to chase them.


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katanic97
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May 12, 2026, 11:13:04 PM

Let’s be honest, serie a has dropped a lot in quality lately, and Inter, without changing much of the squad, were still really strong this season. Chivu came in as a replacement for Inzaghi, who pretty much ran away after losing the final. He took over a good team that had lost confidence after the defeat against PSG, but he managed to get them back on the right track. In serie a, only a few teams could really compete with them
Surely this is a far cry from what Serie A used to be in the '90s and '00s but the positive thing is that we've seen several different teams winning the title over the years. So at least it's interesting. Let's take a look at the other leagues: in Germany we already know that 99% Bayern Munich are going to win; in France it's always the PSG; in Spain it's either Real Madrid or Barcelona; and in England there is a little more competition but usually Manchester City win pretty often.

I agree with that, in the other leagues it’s usually the same teams winning the titles over and over again. In serie a we’ve had some really interesting title races for many years now. Since 2023, when Napoli won the title, the league became even more interesting to me because it was a real rollercoaster. The next season they finished 10th in the table, and then in 2025 they won the title again. So serie a is definitely entertaining, but when we talk about overall quality, it has dropped quite a lot

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May 12, 2026, 11:25:24 PM

I am happy that you followed your instinct and bet only on BTTS because Napoli would have disappointed you. Bologna took the lead 2-0 and in the second half, Napoli was able to equalize the goals but couldn't hold on till the final whistle as they allowed Bologna to score the winning goal which separated both sides.
It was a real surprise because before the match, I had favored Napoli because it was at home. But the last-minute goal immediately made Napoli resigned to the outcome, as there was no time to respond. And because of Napoli's defeat, the race for the top two to four positions is now looking even more intense until the end of the season. It's quite an interesting situation, even though the winner is already known, but the battle for position is also very interesting because most teams are eager to be in the Champions League next season.

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May 12, 2026, 11:34:11 PM

I think Milan are in a really bad way and their form is in freefall. Both Como and Roma deserve a place in the Champions League, and in the end I think they’ll manage to overtake Milan, and I think it’s only fair that Roma get the spot.
They're tied on points, and Juve is right there, watch out because anything can happen. To be honest, these teams are very good. I didn't think the fight would be so close, so hard-fought, but in the end, I'd like Milan to go through because of Modric. For me, he's a key player who has done a lot of good for the team. Before Modric, they didn't have such a good mentality. The Croatian arrived at the right time for the team.

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May 12, 2026, 11:54:01 PM

I think Milan are in a really bad way and their form is in freefall. Both Como and Roma deserve a place in the Champions League, and in the end I think they’ll manage to overtake Milan, and I think it’s only fair that Roma get the spot.
They're tied on points, and Juve is right there, watch out because anything can happen. To be honest, these teams are very good. I didn't think the fight would be so close, so hard-fought, but in the end, I'd like Milan to go through because of Modric. For me, he's a key player who has done a lot of good for the team. Before Modric, they didn't have such a good mentality. The Croatian arrived at the right time for the team.

I haven’t being any excited with the way AC Milan performed in lost of their games. They’ve never played as though they are hungry for it, there is usually a lot of uncertainty about their fixtures unlike the likes of Inter. They’ve never played were the very dominant side in the league this season and winning the league early with well enough points showed it.

Unlike AC Milan, I think Roma would present a much better performance if they go through.

R


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May 13, 2026, 12:51:47 AM

I think Milan are in a really bad way and their form is in freefall. Both Como and Roma deserve a place in the Champions League, and in the end I think they’ll manage to overtake Milan, and I think it’s only fair that Roma get the spot.
They're tied on points, and Juve is right there, watch out because anything can happen. To be honest, these teams are very good. I didn't think the fight would be so close, so hard-fought, but in the end, I'd like Milan to go through because of Modric. For me, he's a key player who has done a lot of good for the team. Before Modric, they didn't have such a good mentality. The Croatian arrived at the right time for the team.
Milan are still in the Champions League qualifying race. I like their style of play, but their performance has dropped recently. They also lost to Atalanta, putting their Champions League qualification at risk. They are level on points with Roma and could drop in at any moment. I like this aspect of Italy; all the teams are very close to each other.

 
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May 13, 2026, 03:24:51 AM

So far Napoli was considered safe in the second place in Serie A but to be honest, I think it is no more. The other teams are getting closer, the points gap between them and Roma in the 5th place is just 3 points and the goals difference are equal or less than the other three teams under them. I doubt Napoli will lose UEFA Champions League spots but finishing in the second place has a powerful meaning for the next season.
Udinese and especially Pisa are weaker than Napoli and at worst I suppose Napoli can collect 3 points from them at least which will make them almost safe. Nevertheless, I suppose they will collect all 6 points.
Yes,, I also agree with you, my friend, on this matter. Napoli currently only have matches left against Pisa and Udinese, and I am also confident that Napoli can beat both of those teams well. So, that's why I don't think we need to worry about Napoli right now. Because, basically, even though their performance lately seems less than optimal, but I believe with the performance that Napoli has now,, they will definitely be able to finish this season in second place in Serie A.

Because basically, even though the teams below Napoli also have good performances, but of course those teams can make mistakes and ultimately they can't catch Napoli. So, that's why I am currently quite optimistic about Napoli, because they are a team with a strong mentality. So with their current situation, I believe that it will not be a significant obstacle for Napoli players. So that's why we'll just have to see what happens next, but I still hope that Napoli can stay in second place until the end of the season,, because I think that's very fitting for them.

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May 13, 2026, 05:33:08 AM

Yes,, I also agree with you, my friend, on this matter. Napoli currently only have matches left against Pisa and Udinese, and I am also confident that Napoli can beat both of those teams well. So, that's why I don't think we need to worry about Napoli right now. Because, basically, even though their performance lately seems less than optimal, but I believe with the performance that Napoli has now,, they will definitely be able to finish this season in second place in Serie A.
Because basically, even though the teams below Napoli also have good performances, but of course those teams can make mistakes and ultimately they can't catch Napoli. So, that's why I am currently quite optimistic about Napoli, because they are a team with a strong mentality. So with their current situation, I believe that it will not be a significant obstacle for Napoli players. So that's why we'll just have to see what happens next, but I still hope that Napoli can stay in second place until the end of the season,, because I think that's very fitting for them.
Indeed Napoli's performance has declined slightly midway through this season making it understandable that they are currently in second place in the Serie A standings.
However for me Napoli is one of the most respected teams in the competition. If their performance hadn't declined yesterday they would certainly be in second place now even though they are in second place. Clearly their points gap with Inter isn't as far as it is now with a 15-point difference. In their remaining matches they will capitalize on the extra points to end the season with a win.

That's true because all teams can make mistakes especially since the teams below Napoli are teams with similar strengths. This means they can also end this season with the results they want. However Napoli's remaining matches will be easier for Napoli to pick up points so I'm confident that Napoli will finish second in the standings until the end of this season.

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May 13, 2026, 06:52:21 AM

I think Milan are in a really bad way and their form is in freefall. Both Como and Roma deserve a place in the Champions League, and in the end I think they’ll manage to overtake Milan, and I think it’s only fair that Roma get the spot.
They're tied on points, and Juve is right there, watch out because anything can happen. To be honest, these teams are very good. I didn't think the fight would be so close, so hard-fought, but in the end, I'd like Milan to go through because of Modric. For me, he's a key player who has done a lot of good for the team. Before Modric, they didn't have such a good mentality. The Croatian arrived at the right time for the team.
Milan are still in the Champions League qualifying race. I like their style of play, but their performance has dropped recently. They also lost to Atalanta, putting their Champions League qualification at risk. They are level on points with Roma and could drop in at any moment. I like this aspect of Italy; all the teams are very close to each other.
Apart from this season champions, the rest teams on the 2nd-5th position on the table have not safely secured a spot in the Champions League next season because of the tiny point difference they are using to gap each other. Assuming, Milan can win the rest of their matches, I will say their qualification is sure but nobody knows what will happen next.

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May 13, 2026, 06:54:39 AM

This evening we will have the fantastic Italian Cup final between Lazio and Inter
with a result that was already partly predictable
Don't you think Chivu wants to take home this small cup, but still a cup?
so he can tell the fans that he has achieved 2 goals and not 1

 Grin

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May 13, 2026, 07:16:38 AM

This evening we will have the fantastic Italian Cup final between Lazio and Inter
with a result that was already partly predictable
Don't you think Chivu wants to take home this small cup, but still a cup?
so he can tell the fans that he has achieved 2 goals and not 1

 Grin

It may be a minor trophy, but it adds to both the team’s and the manager’s honours list. And for Chivu, it will certainly serve as an excellent calling card for his future coaching career.
If I were Inter, I’d hold on tight to this manager; he has so much potential and is practically a product of the club – he’s managed Inter’s Primavera side as well as the club’s youth teams.

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May 13, 2026, 07:28:41 AM

This evening we will have the fantastic Italian Cup final between Lazio and Inter
with a result that was already partly predictable
Don't you think Chivu wants to take home this small cup, but still a cup?
so he can tell the fans that he has achieved 2 goals and not 1

 Grin

It may be a minor trophy, but it adds to both the team’s and the manager’s honours list. And for Chivu, it will certainly serve as an excellent calling card for his future coaching career.
If I were Inter, I’d hold on tight to this manager; he has so much potential and is practically a product of the club – he’s managed Inter’s Primavera side as well as the club’s youth teams.
You're right and of course no manager will have the opportunity to win 2 trophies and not want to take them both. So I think Chivu will definitely want to win both trophies to make his first season more decorative.
Inter Milan has always been good and one of the title contenders but so maybe Chivu didn't do anything special but let's see how he will perform in his second season. If he performs well then they should hold him tight. That was how Liverpool signed Slot and he did well in his first season but became one the worst teams this season.

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May 13, 2026, 08:38:17 AM

I don't know why people quote those odds from sites that don;t even get the rankings right..

Yes, Milan plays like crap, and I'm saying this as a fan that is disappointed to the max on the team but:
-Milan beat Roma once and drew once
-Milan beat Como and drew once
-Both games with Juventus ended 0-0
-They won 2-1 and lost 1-0 with Napoli

If they end up equal on points with Roma or Como, they would be ahead in the standings.
1 win and one draw is enough to keep ahead of Como even if Como wins both matches.

Milan plays Genoa and Cagliari, 14th and 16th.
Juventus plays Fiorentina and Torino, 12th and 15th.
Roma plays Lazio and Verona, 9th and 19th, but Lazio would love to screw their rivals in that match!
Como plays Parma and Cremonese, 13th and 18th, with Cremonese desperate for points to avoid relegation.

Only Milan and Juventus meet teams that have nothing to play for, and Milan faces the weaker ones!

So why is Comobetter than Milan, because Milan lost with Sassuolo? Oh what a surprise, Sassuolo also beat Como 4 roudns ago!

AC Milan is seriously risking throwing an entire season up in the air.
If he leaves the Champions League zone i don't think it will end well for Max Allegri.
It wouldn't be the same, but above all how did they manage to lose the last few games, like against Atalanta: a team, sorry, now in the mid-table.

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May 13, 2026, 10:17:32 AM

It may be a minor trophy, but it adds to both the team’s and the manager’s honours list. And for Chivu, it will certainly serve as an excellent calling card for his future coaching career.
If I were Inter, I’d hold on tight to this manager; he has so much potential and is practically a product of the club – he’s managed Inter’s Primavera side as well as the club’s youth teams.
I think the final should be treated differently, because if you look at the lineup that Chivu has used in cup, he always applies squad rotation. And honestly, even though many coaches give backup players a chance in cup matches or even in finals, I would like to see the strongest possible Inter lineup today and for them to win. But if Inter rotate again and Sommer is left on the bench, then I wouldn’t bet on this match.

R


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May 13, 2026, 10:22:14 AM



No, I’m more comfortable betting on the BTTS option only rather than using a bet builder. At first, I was also confident that Napoli could win, but after thinking about it again, this team no longer has anything to fight for in the standings, so their performance can easily become inconsistent again and create surprises.

And yeah, in the end Napoli really did surprise everyone by losing at home by a narrow margin. That was actually a bit embarrassing.
Even though Inter Milan has won the Scudetto, Napoli has something to fight for, they haven't seal their Champions League qualification so they were supposed to beat Bologna to book a spot in next season Champions League, and now they lost to Bologna they need to win their two remaining matches for them not to miss out in qualifying for the Champions League. That second thought that wanted you to play Napoli direct win is the thought that always cut gamblers bets but thank God you didn't listen to it if not your bet would have cut.

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aipercoin
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May 13, 2026, 11:06:43 AM


I don't know where you got that picture from, but put that website on your blocklist.

The placement in Seria A is decided by head-to-head results first, and Milan is ahead of Roma and will always be on same points. Roma can have a +100000 goal difference, but they would not pass them at same points.
Milan beat them 1-0 and draw 1-1, they have the advantage.
Same with Milan, Como, Milan beat them 3-1 and draw 1-1, again at the same points they will be ahead.


I thought the head-to-head tiebreaker only existed in the Turkish league. There's no such thing in the Premier League. I thought Serie A was similar to the Premier League.
There are two matches left, and I think the league will end with the points difference without considering head-to-head tiebreakers.
It looks like there will be points lost in the remaining matches.
By the way, thanks for the information. I've learned about the system in Serie A.

Of course, there is a system that provides for these things, and we must refer to that.
With two more games it's not a given that they will end up on the same points.
There are certainly few of them who could end up in the same points but also not, let's worry about it when they reach the end of the race and we'll see.
I think Milan won't let the Champions League be taken away easily.

kennycryptoitalia
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May 13, 2026, 11:30:10 AM

Juventus are currently better than Napoli.
If you look at the 3-0 victory over Napoli, yes, there is no denying it, perhaps it is true, as you said, that Juventus has shown and proven a game that looks aggressive, controlled and also fairly neat in the game.

However, if you look at the data between Napoli and Juventus in the May 2026 standings book, Juventus is two points behind Napoli, between 70 points and 68 points for Juventus, but this is not a far point. If Juventus can maintain what they have been fighting for now, it is certainly possible that Napoli will be far behind against Juventus.


Currently they seem better and seem to aspire to take Napoli's place, they certainly want to take the place to demonstrate that Juventus is there and above all that Luciano Spalletti's care has had the desired effect. He is very good as a coach.

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