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Author Topic: Happy halving day  (Read 28616 times)
Astro
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November 27, 2012, 11:00:38 PM
 #81

It will have no impact on value either way.
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kano
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November 27, 2012, 11:23:07 PM
 #82

Heh difficulty for the last change was 2.08% - matched my guess (2%) surprisingly enough, so I should have used it for the last calculation rather than the reported (incomplete) value at the time of 1.2% Tongue

Anyway with it simply counting down blocks and no more changes - currently it's 116
27-Nov 23:20 UTC now

116 at 10 minutes is of course 19hrs 20min

-2% is 19hrs 43min

+10% is 17hrs 24min

So that's now a 2.33 hour range

and at a 2% guess thats: 18hrs 57min to go or 28-Nov 18:17 UTC


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November 28, 2012, 01:34:46 AM
 #83

Looks like my 6 week rough estimate of 30th November (AEST) was pretty close, its now looking like 29th @ 6:30am (AEST).

So had any big party been organised for the 30th with say a 2 day buffer either side would have been sufficient.

Tough to organise a kick-ass party for 6:30am though.. lol

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November 28, 2012, 06:55:26 AM
 #84

That's around 6pm in the Room77, Berlin! :-)
..the most awesome geeky reason to celebrate yet, and celebrate we will!

Ente
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November 28, 2012, 10:07:12 AM
 #85

Block rate has been going wild for a while Smiley
It's at 5% at the moment.
I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago

But I was thinking that the higher that get the better!
42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change
So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ...

Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC

+42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong Tongue)
Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess.

and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC

10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC

So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN Smiley

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Frequency
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November 28, 2012, 11:35:10 AM
 #86

Block rate has been going wild for a while Smiley
It's at 5% at the moment.
I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago

But I was thinking that the higher that get the better!
42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change
So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ...

Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC

+42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong Tongue)
Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess.

and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC

10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC

So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN Smiley

Countdown today is the day...whioeeeeee  ...o no my incom halves today happy or sad but what ever it is a milestone  Shocked

I am also intrested to see how many hashes will get plugged out after today  Cry

Cheerzzzzzz   Wink Roll Eyes Undecided

Put your money were your mouth is…       #coinderdotcom
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 12:03:14 PM
 #87

Guys - 26 more to go Wink

Lets Count em all!!!
Remember remember the 5th of November
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November 28, 2012, 12:03:31 PM
 #88

Block rate has been going wild for a while Smiley
It's at 5% at the moment.
I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago

But I was thinking that the higher that get the better!
42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change
So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ...

Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC

+42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong Tongue)
Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess.

and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC

10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC

So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN Smiley

Countdown today is the day...whioeeeeee  ...o no my incom halves today happy or sad but what ever it is a milestone  Shocked

I am also intrested to see how many hashes will get plugged out after today  Cry

Cheerzzzzzz   Wink Roll Eyes Undecided
Little or big, some miners will shutdown OR move to other coins.

BTC:1AiCRMxgf1ptVQwx6hDuKMu4f7F27QmJC2
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 12:16:29 PM
 #89

24
Come-from-Beyond
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November 28, 2012, 12:19:39 PM
 #90

23.5  Grin
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 12:28:50 PM
 #91

23  Cool
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 12:31:34 PM
 #92

22  Tongue Tongue Tongue
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 12:39:24 PM
 #93

21

 god I must be bored    Roll Eyes
RaTTuS
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November 28, 2012, 12:48:24 PM
 #94

21 and it's made the beeb
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-20510447

In the Beginning there was CPU , then GPU , then FPGA then ASIC, what next I hear to ask ....

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Ente
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November 28, 2012, 12:54:34 PM
 #95

Oh shi-!
I better hurry to not be late! Guys, slow down the hashes, I can't leave work yet! :-)

Ente
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November 28, 2012, 12:57:10 PM
 #96

20 -  Kiss
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November 28, 2012, 01:00:50 PM
 #97

18 ..going faster then expected. Keep hashing Smiley
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 01:01:32 PM
 #98

whoa 18


...I missed one  Cry
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November 28, 2012, 01:10:00 PM
 #99

Someone could send a transaction with 25 BTC fee right after 209999th block found ===> FTW, make the 210001th block the 1st block with 25 BTC reward!  Grin
mcgravier
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November 28, 2012, 01:13:45 PM
 #100

16!
somone could send 25BTC fee every next block for 4  years so we all can mine as always xD
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