Block rate has been going wild for a while
It's at 5% at the moment.
I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago
But I was thinking that the higher that get the better!
42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change
So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ...
Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC
+42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong
)
Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess.
and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC
10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC
So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN