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Astro
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November 27, 2012, 11:00:38 PM |
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It will have no impact on value either way.
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Make sure you back up your wallet regularly! Unlike a bank account, nobody can help you if you lose access to your BTC.
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kano
Legendary
 Offline
Activity: 4466
Merit: 1800
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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November 27, 2012, 11:23:07 PM |
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Heh difficulty for the last change was 2.08% - matched my guess (2%) surprisingly enough, so I should have used it for the last calculation rather than the reported (incomplete) value at the time of 1.2%  Anyway with it simply counting down blocks and no more changes - currently it's 116 27-Nov 23:20 UTC now 116 at 10 minutes is of course 19hrs 20min -2% is 19hrs 43min +10% is 17hrs 24min So that's now a 2.33 hour range and at a 2% guess thats: 18hrs 57min to go or 28-Nov 18:17 UTC |
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slothbag (OP)
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November 28, 2012, 01:34:46 AM |
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Looks like my 6 week rough estimate of 30th November (AEST) was pretty close, its now looking like 29th @ 6:30am (AEST).
So had any big party been organised for the 30th with say a 2 day buffer either side would have been sufficient.
Tough to organise a kick-ass party for 6:30am though.. lol
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Ente
Legendary
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Activity: 2126
Merit: 1001
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November 28, 2012, 06:55:26 AM |
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That's around 6pm in the Room77, Berlin! :-)
..the most awesome geeky reason to celebrate yet, and celebrate we will!
Ente
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kano
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4466
Merit: 1800
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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November 28, 2012, 10:07:12 AM |
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Block rate has been going wild for a while  It's at 5% at the moment. I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago But I was thinking that the higher that get the better! 42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ... Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC +42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong ) Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess. and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC 10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN |
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Frequency
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November 28, 2012, 11:35:10 AM |
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Block rate has been going wild for a while It's at 5% at the moment. I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago But I was thinking that the higher that get the better! 42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ... Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC +42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong ) Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess. and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC 10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN Countdown today is the day...whioeeeeee ...o no my incom halves today happy or sad but what ever it is a milestone  I am also intrested to see how many hashes will get plugged out after today  Cheerzzzzzz    |
COINDER
COINDER
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mcgravier
Member
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Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 12:03:14 PM |
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Guys - 26 more to go Lets Count em all!!! |
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Remember remember the 5th of November
Legendary
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Activity: 1862
Merit: 1011
Reverse engineer from time to time
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November 28, 2012, 12:03:31 PM |
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Block rate has been going wild for a while It's at 5% at the moment. I saw 17 in 95 minutes 2.5 hours ago But I was thinking that the higher that get the better! 42 left to go now - but the change of hte hash rate dropping after 1/2 is quite high and it's only 13% into the difficulty change So that remaining 87% could possibly take a while ... Anyway it's now 28-Nov 10:00UTC +42 at 2% (yeah I'll stick with 2% anyway even though it looks like it'll be wrong ) Is 6hrs 52min or 28-Nov 16:52 UTC - already more than hour earlier than my last guess. and if it stays around 5% it'll be 6hrs 39min - so 28-Nov 16:39 UTC 10% will be 6hrs 18min or 28-Nov 16:18 UTC So anyway - with it this close it's almost certainly 28-Nov 16:NN UTC for some value NN Countdown today is the day...whioeeeeee ...o no my incom halves today happy or sad but what ever it is a milestone I am also intrested to see how many hashes will get plugged out after today Cheerzzzzzz Little or big, some miners will shutdown OR move to other coins. |
BTC:1AiCRMxgf1ptVQwx6hDuKMu4f7F27QmJC2
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mcgravier
Member
Offline
Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 12:16:29 PM |
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24
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Come-from-Beyond
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2142
Merit: 1009
Newbie
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November 28, 2012, 12:19:39 PM |
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23.5  |
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mcgravier
Member
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Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 12:28:50 PM |
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23  |
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mcgravier
Member
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Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 12:31:34 PM |
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mcgravier
Member
Offline
Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 12:39:24 PM |
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21 god I must be bored |
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RaTTuS
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November 28, 2012, 12:48:24 PM |
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In the Beginning there was CPU , then GPU , then FPGA then ASIC, what next I hear to ask ....
1RaTTuSEN7jJUDiW1EGogHwtek7g9BiEn
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Ente
Legendary
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Activity: 2126
Merit: 1001
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November 28, 2012, 12:54:34 PM |
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Oh shi-!
I better hurry to not be late! Guys, slow down the hashes, I can't leave work yet! :-)
Ente
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mcgravier
Member
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Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 12:57:10 PM |
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20 -  |
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Savior
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November 28, 2012, 01:00:50 PM |
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18 ..going faster then expected. Keep hashing |
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mcgravier
Member
Offline
Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 01:01:32 PM |
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whoa 18 ...I missed one |
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Come-from-Beyond
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2142
Merit: 1009
Newbie
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November 28, 2012, 01:10:00 PM |
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Someone could send a transaction with 25 BTC fee right after 209999th block found ===> FTW, make the 210001th block the 1st block with 25 BTC reward! |
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mcgravier
Member
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Activity: 83
Merit: 10
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November 28, 2012, 01:13:45 PM |
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16!
somone could send 25BTC fee every next block for 4 years so we all can mine as always xD
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