philipma1957 (OP)
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November 21, 2015, 06:54:26 PM |
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384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8 384667 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:14:30 Slush 000000000000000001b11ef38a2a4d7e30ad9064529ef50e4a77bd1ddb72f099
110 Expected and 135 Found so 23% TODAY!
huge fucking spike today 384669 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:46:14 384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 138 in the time it should be 113 so that would be 174 in 24 hours. 10% looks pretty certain.
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d57heinz
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November 21, 2015, 07:53:38 PM |
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Glad to see you all are starting to see what I've been saying. I think it's above the realm of variance I would expect 10% spike for variance. So possible that it's only a 10% of network sized farm cranking on. Could be hw tests. Hell the diff should technically double at least with the new efficiency of machines. Just have to see what's up:). Sure is fun to speculate ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Best regards D57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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philipma1957 (OP)
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November 21, 2015, 08:01:07 PM |
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Glad to see you all are starting to see what I've been saying. I think it's above the realm of variance I would expect 10% spike for variance. So possible that it's only a 10% of network sized farm cranking on. Could be hw tests. Hell the diff should technically double at least with the new efficiency of machines. Just have to see what's up:). Sure is fun to speculate ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Best regards D57heinz diff to catch up to sept 4 price diff eff ratio needs to be over 110. this won't happen since all that .5 watt gear won't vanish. Somewhere 2 months ago I predicted a quick move to 70 then flat . with not a big price jump. well price jumped. I will changed prediction higher. 85 then flat. going past 85 will not be easy. (price at 350 or so) once again WTF do I know? Bottom line is it is just a guess!
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adaseb
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November 21, 2015, 09:35:02 PM |
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384689 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 21:25:42 BW.COM 000000000000000006bc8785d43270bdf0ec0f03dc3b496781b11d5c0de29bf9 384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
22.65% more then it should have.
In a few hours we will get the final tally but its definately going to be around 30 blocks extra created than usual.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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November 21, 2015, 11:15:31 PM |
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In the last 180 days 17? Nov 21 169 Nov 20 175 Nov 16 169 Nov 11 167 Oct 30 167 Oct 19
170 Sept 29 167 Sept 25 168 Sept 10 170 Aug 11 168 Aug 10 174 July 24 171 July 6 172 June 6
Easy to see Oct and Nov are really moving the dial upwards.
May 17 to Sep 17 48.8 bill to 59.3 bill in 4 months a jump of 21.5%
Sept 17 to Nov 21 59.3 bill to 72.2 bill in 2 months a jump of 21.7%
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adaseb
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November 22, 2015, 12:03:49 AM |
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Day is done so
384705 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 23:57:32 000000000000000001da84b1e1c3ce89af70960989397061eadeb4596444d7ca 384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
173 blocks found when should of been 144
+29
20%
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notlist3d
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November 22, 2015, 01:38:47 AM |
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Day is done so
384705 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 23:57:32 000000000000000001da84b1e1c3ce89af70960989397061eadeb4596444d7ca 384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
173 blocks found when should of been 144
+29
20%
That is crazy never thought I would see those numbers again with size of hashrate now. Below is bitwisdom: Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180 Estimated Next Difficulty: 72,222,173,626 (+9.68%) Adjust time: After 336 Blocks, About 2.1 days Hashrate(?): 526,826,811 GH/s I think i agree with those saying over 10 chances are... which is not really the way we want it to go.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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November 22, 2015, 02:24:05 AM Last edit: November 22, 2015, 04:14:50 AM by philipma1957 |
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okay day 11 http://btc.blockr.io/charts11-11-2015 169 blocks this is a plus 25 now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment So on a part day I guess +14 11-12-2015 158 blocks this is plus 14 total is +28 11-13-2015 161 blocks this is plus 17 total is +45 11-14-2015 146 + 2 +47 11-15-2015 156 is +12 +59 11-16-2015 172 is +28 +87 11-17-2015 146 is +2 +89 and plus 2 looks nice 11-18-2015 156 is +12 +101 11-19-2015 131 is -13 +88 same drop about the same time last diff adj 11-20-2015 169 blocks or + 25 back up to a very big 113 over. 11-21-2015 178 blocks or + 35 148 over more then 1 full day! we made 1704 should be 1556 I get (+9.51%)https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+10.24%)Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180 Estimated Next Difficulty: 72,593,586,602 (+10.24%) Adjust time: After 312 Blocks, About 1.9 days Hashrate(?): 535,654,674 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 8.9 minutes 3 blocks: 26.9 minutes 6 blocks: 53.7 minutes Updated: 23:10 (2.5 minutes ago)
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mavericklm
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November 22, 2015, 03:34:50 AM |
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Estimated Next Difficulty: 72,591,042,295 (+10.24%) Adjust time: After 317 Blocks, About 2.0 days Hashrate(?): 536,067,649 GH/s
craaaaap! fuckin' big leap, fuckin' big swings... damn the price!!!
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adaseb
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November 22, 2015, 03:46:25 AM |
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I think 20% is considered a good thing.
Right now
384741 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 03:31:09 Slush 000000000000000001ac0df7bfb9349fd6d8cd7acdea584520d33f8b3ad8d915
384706 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 00:01:54 F2Pool 00000000000000000bcf3e6f7580c8cddcef9bcc460447fcca368c41c5b2a724
66%
But its much too early in the day.
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d57heinz
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November 22, 2015, 04:08:20 AM |
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I think 20% is considered a good thing.
Right now
384741 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 03:31:09 Slush 000000000000000001ac0df7bfb9349fd6d8cd7acdea584520d33f8b3ad8d915
384706 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 00:01:54 F2Pool 00000000000000000bcf3e6f7580c8cddcef9bcc460447fcca368c41c5b2a724
66%
But its much too early in the day.
Net Hashrate 664,821.06 TH/s and when the network gets that speed we will be at 92,874,428,825.17302000 diff http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.pngBest Regards d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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philipma1957 (OP)
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November 22, 2015, 04:17:35 AM |
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I think 20% is considered a good thing.
Right now
384741 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 03:31:09 Slush 000000000000000001ac0df7bfb9349fd6d8cd7acdea584520d33f8b3ad8d915
384706 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 00:01:54 F2Pool 00000000000000000bcf3e6f7580c8cddcef9bcc460447fcca368c41c5b2a724
66%
But its much too early in the day.
Net Hashrate 664,821.06 TH/s and when the network gets that speed we will be at 92,874,428,825.17302000 diff http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.pngBest Regards d57heinz fud and not accurate you use short time and state it to be fact. it is a half truth or yellow journalism. here is fact as of right now we are +9.5% and not +41.5% as you suggest. we made 1704 should be 1556 I get (+9.51%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+10.24%) Don't be a Seriouscoin dude.
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suchmoon
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November 22, 2015, 04:26:57 AM |
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I think 20% is considered a good thing.
Right now
384741 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 03:31:09 Slush 000000000000000001ac0df7bfb9349fd6d8cd7acdea584520d33f8b3ad8d915
384706 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 00:01:54 F2Pool 00000000000000000bcf3e6f7580c8cddcef9bcc460447fcca368c41c5b2a724
66%
But its much too early in the day.
Net Hashrate 664,821.06 TH/s and when the network gets that speed we will be at 92,874,428,825.17302000 diff http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.pngBest Regards d57heinz Guys you're getting ridiculous. There is a reason diff is adjusted based the average of 2016 blocks. Yes, it's going to be a big one. No, it's not 60% or even 20%, not even close. As an exercise try calculating the possible MAXIMUM diff increase this cycle, i.e. if all remaining blocks were solved instantaneously.
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Quickseller
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November 22, 2015, 07:20:57 AM |
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Using heavily rounded numbers, if the remaining blocks (until the difficulty adjusts) were to be solved nearly instantly then the difficulty would increase roughly 27%.
Again using heavily rounded numbers, we are about 150 blocks ahead where we would be expected to be if luck remained at 100% and no equipment was ever added nor removed from the network. Based on 11/14 days into this difficulty period (severe rounding is going to make this number inaccurate), we are looking at a roughly 15% increase.
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alh
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November 22, 2015, 07:26:37 AM |
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Using heavily rounded numbers, if the remaining blocks (until the difficulty adjusts) were to be solved nearly instantly then the difficulty would increase roughly 27%.
Again using heavily rounded numbers, we are about 150 blocks ahead where we would be expected to be if luck remained at 100% and no equipment was ever added nor removed from the network. Based on 11/14 days into this difficulty period (severe rounding is going to make this number inaccurate), we are looking at a roughly 15% increase.
There you go, messing up an exciting story with math and facts..... ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Yes, it's going to feel like a gut punch, but it's not going to even be 20%.
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UfoRia
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November 22, 2015, 07:52:19 AM |
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If it's less then 11% I will consider it a win, which it isn't from a mining perspective for me.
Any recommendations for asic co-lo's? I pay 0.085c right now, so I am looking for an exit already. Preferably, a recommendation from established members that have used the co-lo's that have positive ratings.
Thanks in advance!
Ufo
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If I have been a help, my BTC donation address -> 1GUEqAzbMvwkY7hbb6bauhY6AkVoCSXDkp
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d57heinz
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November 22, 2015, 01:45:59 PM |
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I think 20% is considered a good thing.
Right now
384741 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 03:31:09 Slush 000000000000000001ac0df7bfb9349fd6d8cd7acdea584520d33f8b3ad8d915
384706 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 00:01:54 F2Pool 00000000000000000bcf3e6f7580c8cddcef9bcc460447fcca368c41c5b2a724
66%
But its much too early in the day.
Net Hashrate 664,821.06 TH/s and when the network gets that speed we will be at 92,874,428,825.17302000 diff http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.pngBest Regards d57heinz fud and not accurate you use short time and state it to be fact. it is a half truth or yellow journalism. here is fact as of right now we are +9.5% and not +41.5% as you suggest. we made 1704 should be 1556 I get (+9.51%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+10.24%) Don't be a Seriouscoin dude. Gotcha.. well if i win this round just keep it! Best Regards and good luck with your contest Doug
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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d57heinz
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November 22, 2015, 01:46:45 PM Last edit: November 22, 2015, 01:59:39 PM by d57heinz |
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http://www.coindesk.com/bitfury-completion-16nm-bitcoin-mining-asic/Little reminder for all of you . thinking it will level off lmao ohh and this is a speculation thread.... But i can prove everything i said with charts and numbers.. so to flat out basically cal me a liar is rather bold of you to say the least not to mention not very good community liaison if you ask me. Keep sucking bitmain hind tit maybe that will get you somewhere! Best Regards Doug d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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philipma1957 (OP)
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November 22, 2015, 02:03:37 PM |
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hey don't be insulted it is not about predicting that 92 diff is happening or that 150 diff will happen. Both may happen down the road. you are writing like 92 bill diff is happening in 1 day it is not. And 72 bill diff is to happen in a day . sept 4 diff was 56 bill sept 4 price was 230 so 56 to 72 = 28% diff 235 to 325 = 38% price jump So if you stood pat with an s-5 from sept 4 until now you had 2 ½ good mining months. If you switched to S-7 in early sept and sold your s-5's when price spiked to 490-510 you also whaled. The sky has not fallen. And diff will level off again
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d57heinz
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November 22, 2015, 02:26:48 PM |
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hey don't be insulted it is not about predicting that 92 diff is happening or that 150 diff will happen. Both may happen down the road. you are writing like 92 bill diff is happening in 1 day it is not. And 72 bill diff is to happen in a day . sept 4 diff was 56 bill sept 4 price was 230 so 56 to 72 = 28% diff 235 to 325 = 38% price jump So if you stood pat with an s-5 from sept 4 until now you had 2 ½ good mining months. If you switched to S-7 in early sept and sold your s-5's when price spiked to 490-510 you also whaled. The sky has not fallen. And diff will level off again so let me get this straight. i wasnt saying the diff was where it was.. im working in 24 hour time frames and talking about what the current net hashrate is at the time i posted, which the swings we been having on the 24 hour isnt variance. but ok we agree to disagree.. but you tell me not to be insulted while you insult me.. how can i not be insulted...how about quit selling for bitmain as your opinions are obviously biased as hell.... but anyway im talking about the 24 hour time frame if you look here you can see it moving in big ways.. but im done here you insulted me for the one and only time.. Good luck with your thread. and by the looks of the list i think i have a good grip on whats going on.. just sorry that you all are on the philipma train with blinders on. http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.pngwatch the blue line Best Regards d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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