Prediction Markets at Fairlay - Suggest your own and Bet on them

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Theresa May shaked up government with new-look cabinet, but who will leave it first?

Interesting week is behind us in UK politics as new Prime Minister Theresa May has unveiled a nearly completely new look cabinet, in a major departure from predecessor David Cameron's top team. And it couldn’t be more interesting.

George Osborne, Michael Gove, John Whittingdale, Nicky Morgan and Oliver Letwin have all been sacked by Mrs May.
Liz Truss is justice secretary, Justine Greening takes education and Tory leadership contender Andrea Leadsom has been promoted to environment secretary. Boris Johnson became foreign secretary. Philip Hammond was made chancellor.

First Cabinet Member to Leave, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/first-cabinet-member-to-leave-1/.

So, new cabinet has plenty of interesting names, at the end of which is Eurosceptic David Davis who will, meanwhile, take charge of negotiating Britain's exit from the European Union, in a newly created post of Brexit secretary.

And, it is Davis who is amongst those who could be the first one to leave the cabinet if things don’t go as he or May want. Andrea Leadsom, who was seen as a candidate for the new Prime minister, is also with good chances to leave first. But, of course, the first favorite is a new foreign secretary Boris Jonson as many see him leave before the end of year.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

To win the 2016 Nobel Prize in Literature – Murakami or someone else?

For the last few years, Japanese writer Haruki Murakami was the biggest favorite to win the Nobel Prize in Literature but he never won in. This October we will get new Nobel literature laureate and popular Murakami is once again the biggest favorite.

But once again he could be skipped and for the time being second favorite is a Kenyan writer Ngugi Wa Thiong'o, while good chances are also given to an America writer Joyce Carol Oates. And if you don’t trust in any of them, odds on authors like Philip Roth, Adunis, Ismail Kadare, Jon Fosse, or any other you can find at Fairlay:

Nobel Prize in Literature, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/nobel-prize-in-literature/.


To win the 2016 Nobel Peace Prize – Are Greek Islanders sure bet?

Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009, whole European Union in 2012, Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet last year but now we have the question who will win it this year? At the moment most people think that it should be
Greek Islanders who have been on the frontline of the refugee crisis.

But if you don’t think that they will become Nobel laureate, then the second favorite is a global civil society coalition International Campaign To Abolish Nuclear Weapons, but also Denis Mukwege and Angela Merkel. They are followed by Pope Francis and if you have some other favorites, then you can find all the odds at Fairlay:

Nobel Peace Prize, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/nobel-peace-prize/.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Steem is now the world's third-largest cryptocurreny, so what will its price be on September 1?

In the last ten days Steem, a new digital coin, started huge discussion in the cryptocurrency community as its value quickly increased from around 25 cents a coin to around $5. With this rais, Steem established itsefl as the world's third-largest cryptocurreny, behind Bitcoin and Ethereum. But, will it stay there?

As we all know, cryptocurrencies are notoriously volatile, and there is already plenty of people who want to make a quick profit on Steem. But, at the same time, prices can easily go down if those same investors rush for the exits. And many think that this will happen and that current Steem price is already on its high end (currently: $3.60).

Price of Steem on September 1, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/price-of-steem-on-september-1/.

On the other side, Steem's creators tout it as a revolutionary social-media platform that subverts the business model of Facebook and Reddit, allowing its users to profit from the content they create. Because of this, many think that its price could only go up. Is it true, or is it, and some say 'pump and dump economy that only favors the handful at the top?'

All in all, it will be interesting to see how Steem develops in the future, and what will happen with its price. So, now you have few different price ranges that could meet Steem on September 1. Will it go up, down, or stay on the current price level? And, what is your long-term opinion about Steem, do you agree that it is a great idea or just a dump economy?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

What will happen with Ethereum Classic, and what will its price be at the year end?

A project called Ethereum Classic, initially dismissed due to a lack of vocal support, got in the center of attention yesterday as Poloniex, long the largest exchange for ethers (ETH), the digital currency native to the ethereum blockchain, added support for the native token running on the Ethereum Classic blockchain, called classic ether (ETC).

This move by Poloniex has succeeded in invoking a highly politicized debate, given its implications for wider conversations across the blockchain industry. It went so far that Chandler Guo, a well-known and respected figure in the Chinese digital currency community even stated that he, assisted by other miners, will 51% attack Ethereum Classic as soon as possible.

ETC vs ETH: Value of Ethereum Classic at year end, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/etc-vs-eth-value-of-ethereum-classic-at-year-end-1/.

So, what will happen now and will Ethereum Classic survive? As for Guo, this wouldn’t be the first time an altcoin has been 51% attacked, and with this there are chances that it could cease to exist. Thus, in order to survive, Ethereum Classic needs to provide liquidity for the network’s new cryptocurrency.

On the other side, after Poloniex, Bitfinex representatives confirmed that the Hong Kong-based exchange would list ETC as early as Wednesday. But whether other exchanges that list ETH move to add ETC trading remains to be seen. And how much will it go up you can predict now at Fairlay’s ‘ETC vs ETH: Value of Ethereum Classic at year end’ market. So, on which option will you put your money?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

It looks like Trump could defeat Hillary, but can Republicans also keep the Senate?

We talk for months about following US Elections, but things got even more interesting these days. Especially yesterday when, while Democrats started their National Convention, Political analyst Nate Silver’s latest forecast had Donald Trump with a 15 percentage point-greater chance of beating presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

Next President, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/next-president-11/.

But, even if Trump becomes the next President, will Republicans be able to keep the Senate as well? These elections will also be held on November 8, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested. Currently, Democrats are expected to have 10 seats up for election, and Republicans are expected to have 24 seats up for election.

However, as of June 7, only 9 Democratic held seats are in contention, as the Democrats have already secured California, with the top two finishers in the California Senate jungle primary both being Democrats. So, Senate race is really tight, though some recent polls showed that Senate Republicans have taken big leads in key battleground states.

Will Republicans keep the Senate? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/will-republicans-keep-the-senate/.

These polls at the same time showed that Donald Trump at the top of the ticket may not be as damaging for congressional candidates as some party leaders feared and complicating Democrats’ hopes of taking back control of the chamber. All in all, it looks like favors are currently going in Republicans’ favor but could that change till November?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Will Segregated Witness be activated before 2017?

Occupied with some other important topics, we moved our minds a bit away from Segregated Witness, or 'SegWit' for short, but recently it once again started to be part of the trending topics in Bitcoin community.

And it should, as this upgrade to Bitcoin protocol might be the most significant improvement to the protocol ever. It is set to fix transaction malleability, offers an effective block size increase, enables development flexibility and so on.

Segregated Witness to be activated in 2016? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/segregated-witness-to-be-activated-in-2016/.

But, when will SegWit be activated? You have the next steps in SegWit activation process described at Bitcoin Core website, so we surely have few months more before we get miners (at least those representing 95% of hash power) to lock in this soft fork.

At the start of the year, most people in the community thought that it will be activated during the summer, but that didn’t happen, so now you have the end of the year as the time when SegWit activation could happen. So, what do you think?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Bitcoin drops nearly 20% after Bitfinex, but where will it be on September 1?

The price of bitcoin fell sharply yesterday as market reacted to news that Bitfinex, one of the largest digital currency exchanges, had been hacked. But even before that, Bitcoin price was already on decline, and there is a lot of discussion if some insiders knew about Bitfinex hack before the other traders did.

When will Bitfinex resume withdrawals? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/when-will-bitfinex-resume-withdrawals/.

Anyway, last night price was roughly 20% lower than the day’s opening of $607 and 27% below the high of $658 reached on Saturday, when the digital currency began pushing lower. But, what will happen next with Bitcoin price?

As CoinDesk writes, the drop below $600 may also indicate a change from the bullish sentiment that has so far characterized 2016. For example, Joe Lee, founder of leveraged derivatives trading platform Magnr, stated that bitcoin's drop below $600 could indicate that the currency's long-term fundamentals are weak.

Bitcoin price on September 1, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-september-1-1/.

On the other side, Tim Enneking, chairman of cryptocurrency investment manager EAM, interpreted the recent price decline as evidence of a post-halving fallback, further stating that bitcoin will find support above $500.

Currently, Bitcoin price is at today’s high of $554, after being at today’s low of $524. So, will it go up over $600 once again, or even $650 or higher? Or will it once again go above $550, or even under $500? You surely have your own opinion on this matter, and don’t miss the chance to predict the Bitcoin price on September 1 at Fairlay.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

ETC vs ETH potential parity: Will it happen before 2017?

Bitfinex hack took a focus of community for few days, but there is still a plenty of talk about Ethereum Classic as a number of exchanges have moved to support it in recent weeks. Even Coinbase announced yesterday that it intends to let users access and withdraw classic ether balances.

At the moment, ETC (Ethereum Classic) has about 23% of ETH (Ethereum) value expressed in BTC on Poloniex, as bulk of ETC liquidity located there. Still, many think that this % will go only higher in the following months, and there is plenty of opinion that ETC will reach parity with ETH even before the end of year.

ETC to reach parity with ETH before 2017? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/etc-to-reach-parity-with-eth-before-2017/.

So, will it? After having almost no support few weeks ago, ETC chain is recently gaining more developer support, and its hashrate is growing as well. ETC also had that huge 140,000BTC volume day, that is the most volume that Ethereum has ever seen (ETH’s largest volume day was 100,000 BTC).

At the same time, ETH price started to grow a bit recently, while ETC has yet to establish solid support and resistance levels, but there is opinion that it could go up to 0.01 BTC and thus reach the parity with ETH that could go down to 0.01 BTC. Whether this will happen in 2016, you can now predict at Fairlay.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

What is next for Bitfinex? Withdrawals, tokens, inside job?

Bitfinex hack is still a trending topics with plenty of unknows. Their latest Blog post tried to answer some questions, but also opened some new ones. One of these new questions is about BTX tokens.

"In place of the loss in each wallet, we are crediting a token labeled BFX to record each customer’s discrete losses," says blog announcement. But, will these tokens gain any real value? You can now predict on this matter at Fairlay.

What will be Bitfinex tokens value? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/what-will-be-bitfinex-tokens-value/.

Another topic that drew attention on Reddit, regarding recent hack, is that it was actually an inside job. Most of the arguments are not going in that favor, but option that it could indeed be an inside job is still open. So, what do you think?

Was Bitfinex hack an inside job? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/was-bitfinex-hack-an-inside-job/.

Still, at the moment, the most important question is when will Bifinex be back, and when will its customers be able to withdrew their funds, or at least that part that they are now left with. Tomorrow, next week, next month?

When will Bitfinex resume withdrawals? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/when-will-bitfinex-resume-withdrawals-1/.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Men’s 100m and 200m in Rio: Can Justin Gatlin stop Usain Bolt from making history?

Yesterday, Usain Bolt has once again encouraged people to come and watch him make history in Rio. Of course, in those events that will probably be peak of Olympics that are already brining us plenty of great events and enormous heroes.

But, let’s not kid ourselves with other heroes, as we can’t wait to see Jamaican sprint star who has set his sights on a remarkable 'triple-triple' as he attempts to win three more gold medals to add to the 100m, 200m, and 4x100m relay he won at Beijing 2008 and London 2012. Is Bolt able to do this, or someone else can finally stop him this year?

Men's 100m winner, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/men-s-100m-winner/.

And it looks like that only Justin Gatlin, the fastest man in the world this year, can stop Bolt from creating even more history. Some are confident that Gatlin will defeat him at least once in Rio as he has the better results this year.

Also, Gatlin is completely healthy, while Bolt had some issues with a grade one tear in his left hamstring. And though people think that Bolt is more likely to lose 100m, there are more contenders to hurt him in 200m race. Anyway, history will surely be created, one way or another, so don’t miss to use the great odds Fairlay offers for these two races.

Men's 200m winner, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/men-s-200m-winner/.


The men’s 100m final will be held on Sunday 14th August 2016.
The race will start at approximately 1.25am Monday 15th August UTC (22.25pm local time in Rio).

The men’s 200m final will be held on Thursday 18th August 2016.
The race will start at approximately 1.30am Friday 19th August UTC (22.30pm local time in Rio).

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

One of Bitfinex big questions: Will its token reach 1 USD?

After the August 2 hack, Bitfinex resumed its trading and withdrawals yesterday, so now most of the talk regarding this exchange market is about their previously issued Bitfinex tokens (BFX). These tokens are debt-based blockchain convertible to USD equity at Bitfinex exchange.

So, after every Bitfinex depositor took a 36% loss, he was credited with an equivalent number of BFX tokens representing the dollar value of the loss. Thus, $1 loss grants 1 BFX in return. Long term idea is that Bitfinex attempts to buy back those tokens as close to face value as possible.

Will 1 BFX reach 1 USD? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-1-bfx-reach-1-usd/.

And after BFX opened at at $0.10 it rose to as much as $0.40. Currently it is traded around $0.30 and there is already a lot of talk is it the right time to sell as no one knows what will happen with BFX. Some are still scared that Bifinex could face bankruptcy, while others think it is smarter to wait.

Those deciding to wait think that Bitfinex will buy a lot of tokens through time and then redeem those left on the market. But what about the price? Will it go up to $1 in the future, or could even Bitfinex redeem remaining tokens after recovery (or regaining back lost funds) at price of $1?

Well, predict at Fairlay.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Everyone is crazy about Rio, but who will host 2024 Olympic Games?

Whole world is watching Rio Olympics, as every hour we get another national but also world heroes. New records, new medals, and new sports for us to learn about. But it is also the right time to predict the 2024 Olympics host city that will be announced in September next year. We are now left with four options: Paris, Los Angeles, Rome, and Budapest.

Despite the recent terrorist attacks, Paris is still determined to push ahead with its bid to host the 2024 Olympics. The Paris bid, which is believed to have an infrastructure budget of $4.5 billion and operational costs of $4.8 billion, already has over 70 percent of its venues in place. And French also proved they can put on a show and cope with heightened security for athletes and spectators with the European Football Championships that took place in June and July.

And as the Paris is the first favorite, least chances are given to Budapest, though Budapest has announced a $2.7 billion budget to build their entire infrastructure, which would be on both sides of the Danube River and utilize existing iconic locations. It is also claiming support from many south and central European countries so could Budapest still prevail?

2024 Summer Olympics - Host City, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/2024-summer-olympics-host-city/.

On the other side of the ocean, Los Angeles mayor Eric Garcetti touted on Tuesday his city as the safest bet for organizers of the 2024 Olympic Games to make in choosing a location, with many of the sports venues needed for hosting the event already built in the city. He also noted that Los Angeles’ ties to the entertainment industry ought to help the IOC better reach out to a younger audience, a group that’s needed to carry on the Olympics tradition.

Things like that are not great in Rome where its bid for the 2024 Olympics is in serious trouble with the city's new mayor maintaining her opposition to the candidacy. “My position isn't changing. Right now it's really not a priority for Romans,” Virginia Raggi told Euronews at the end of June in her first interview since being elected for the Major of this city.

So, it looks like Rome could be first one out, but there is still more than a year until the host city is announced, so could things change in its favor? In fact, they already turned into Paris favor after Los Angeles was the hot favorite early on but some infrastructure problems reduced its chances. Anyway, we are still enjoying Rio Olympics, next one will be held in Tokyo and then where in 2024? Back in Europe or once again America, this time North? Predict now at Fairlay.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton: How huge will their September debate be?

Things between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump couldn’t be more interesting, but they will surely get on top at their three presidential debates scheduled for September 26, October 9, and October 19 this year. On the other side, vice presidential debate is set for October 4.

Many are sure that the presidential debates will almost surely decide the election. History tells us that as well. A month ago it was confirmed that the first debate is moved to New York, home state of both candidates, so things got even
more interesting with this fact.

Will the first 2016 presidential debate be the most watched debate ever? Predict at:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-the-first-2016-presidential-debate-be-the-most-watched-debate-ever/.

And will this mean that it could be the most watched debate as well? The 1980 debates drew 80 million viewers out of a 226 million. Recent debates have drawn decidedly smaller audiences, ranging from 46 million for the first 2000 debate to a high of over 67 million for the first debate in 2012.

But, with Trump and Clinton in New York, the first debate this year will be the most interesting in recent years. So, it will surely go over 67 million for the one in 2012, but could be the most watched first debate in history of both television and debate? Predict right now at Fairlay.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Aidan Turner, James Norton, Jack Huston, or someone else? Who will be the next James Bond?

In the last couple of years, since we found out that Daniel Craig will be replaced as James Bond, we got different favorites for this role every couple of months. From Tom Hardy to Idris Elba, and then Tom Hiddleston who won’t be picked by Barbara Broccoli to play James Bond, at least that was said by a spy thriller writer Frederick Forsyth.

So, who then? Well, the first favorite at the moment is still Aidan Turner, the 33-year old Irish actor who won legions of admirers for his role in BBC drama Poldark, who few days ago said: “I’d rather not say anything. It seems like it’s the Judas kiss – once you comment on it, it disappears. It’s hugely coveted. Let’s see how it goes.”

And Turner is probably right as his chances started to go down recently, and Poldark's star is now in close race with American Hustle's Jack Huston and Granchester's James Norton. But, no one is sure, thus you will get great odds if you guess right the next James Bond actor. And after that we can move our focus to the next Bond Girl.

Next James Bond, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/next-james-bond/.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Emmy Awards: Will Game of Thrones and Veep dominate again, or The People v. O.J. Simpson and Fargo?

Evening of September 18 will bring us the 68th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards that will once again honor the best in U.S. prime time television programming in the year before. So, who will take the most awards this year?

Last year’s biggest winners are in prime position yet again, as Game of Thrones and Veep lead their respective fields in nominations. HBO’s drama snagged the most of any program with 23 nods, while the premium cable giant’s defending comedy champ led the half-hour series with 17.

Outstanding Drama Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-drama-series/.

But it was FX who took control of the limited series categories, as The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story with 22 nominations and Fargo with 18 had the second and third most nominations overall. But, will they become awards?

Outstanding Comedy Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-comedy-series/.

And as Game of Thrones and Veep are huge favorites to win the awards for the best Drama Series and Comedy Series, it is The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story with more chances to win the best Limited Series, with Fargo being the second favorite in this category.

Outstanding Limited Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-limited-series/.

None of this four series have a nomination for a Lead Actor, either for Drama or Comedy. First favorite for Lead Actor in a Drama is Kevin Spacey as President Frank Underwood on House of Cards, while Jeffrey Tambor as Maura Pfefferman on Transparent is the big favorite to win the Lead Actor in a Comedy.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-comedy-series-1/.

Robin Wright as First Lady Claire Underwood could bring House of Cards another award as the Lead Actress in Drama Series, while Julia Louis-Dreyfus as President Selina Meyer on Veep should win the Lead Actress award for Comedy.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actress-in-a-drama-series/.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/outstanding-lead-actress-in-a-comedy-series/.

Still, all of these are only the first favorites at the moment, while predicting some other nominees you can easily change that. What was your favorite television programming in the last year, and who are your favorites to take these awards?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Who will be 2016 TIME Person of the Year? Harambe, Sanders, Trump, Bolt, Trudeau?

How our world changes can easily be seen if we go through the winners of TIME Person of the Year, which is an annual issue of the United States news magazine TIME that features and profiles a person, group, idea or object that "for better or for worse...has done the most to influence the events of the year".

In 1930 it was Mahatma Gandhi, eight years later Adolf Hitler, then U.S. Scientists in 1960, and The Computer in 1982, all way round to The Protester five years ago and Angela Merkel last year. But now, thanks to the prediction markets like this one Fairlay offers, we can see how the world changes within one year.

TIME Person of the Year, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/time-person-of-the-year/.

So, in April we were all almost sure that Hillary Clinton will be Person of the Year, and though she will probably be the next US President, she had so many problems since April that she is now given almost no chances. In fact, it is Bernie Sanders who is the second favorite, and he is followed by Donald Trump.

And how much only one event changes things shows the fact that the first favorite to be one the cover of TIME at the end of the year is Harambe, a gorilla shot and killed by staff at the Cincinnati Zoo after it grabbed and dragged the boy who fell into the moat, after climbing into Harambe’s enclosure.

But if you think that Harambe is not likely to win this award, or either Trump or Sanders, good chances are also given to Usain Bolt and Justin Trudeau who are loved by almost anyone. Or, you can go for anyone else, as we could get new heroes in the following months. So, who is your favorite for this TIME cover?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Bitcoin’s price is still in range between $565 and $585, but where will it go after that?

After few calm weeks, we are now heading towards a seasonal period that is more conducive to volatility in all financial markets, so could that affect big changes in Bitcoin price as well? Its price has been steady as a rock over the past couple of weeks as a consolidation range between $565 and $585 remained intact.

Currently, some analysists are saying that if the market can keep price above the $550 support zone we may be looking at the formation of a base pattern prior to an advance toward $680. They are also saying that the smart strategy in the current chart is to wait for price to advance above $600, since that will open the way to $680.

Bitcoin price on October 1, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/bitcoin-price-on-october-1/.

But, as always, there are plenty of other opinions of price going in difference directions. Though many think that it will not go lower as it didn’t after Bitfinex hack, while there are always those who think that it can go few hundreds up in the following weeks. And, are you among those who can use the knowledge in these predictions?

At ‘Bitcoin price on October 1’ Fairlay market you have five options and those least likely to happen are that it will go under $500, or over $650. With current price at $572, biggest chances are that it will stay in the range of $550 - $600, though it wouldn’t be big surprise to go a bit under or over that range. So, what do you predict?

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Hillary email archive is still a top story, but when will Julian Assange leave the Ecuadorian embassy?

Two years ago, Julian Assange’s press conference, at which he told an expectant world that he would be leaving the Ecuadorian embassy “soon”, induced yawns from the assembled hacks. And indeed, nothing happened. Weeks, months, years passed by and the founder of WikiLeaks is still staying in the embassy of Ecuador in London.

Julian Assange again got into the center of world attention as U.S. intelligence agencies are still sorting out how emails and documents from the Democratic National Committee made their way to WikiLeaks. With all of this, he even had a long video interview with The New York Times, but it still not sure when will he leave the UK.

Will Assange escape the UK before 2020? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-assange-escape-the-uk-before-2020/.

As you probably know, Ecuador granted him asylum in August 2012, but as soon as he sets foot outside the building Britain will deport him to Sweden as the UK courts have ruled he must be sent to Sweden. And in Sweden, the most serious of the allegations he faced there, that of rape, will not expire until 2020.

And as the Ecuadorian authorities have stated that he can remain in the embassy as long as he wishes, Julian Assange still thinks that there is a real risk he will be extradited from Sweden to the US. But, it still wouldn’t be a surprise if he found ways to leave the UK before 2020, but will that really happen? Predict at Fairlay.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Oscars 2017: Who will be the host and which movie will win the Best Picture?

For some it is only the start of September, but for others it is just the time to talk about Oscars contenders. This year 89th Academy Awards is scheduled to take place on February 26 and most favorites are still to be released but being one of Fairlay's most popular market it is never too early to predict which movie will win the Best Picture for this year.

The Oscars 2017 - Best Picture, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-best-picture/.

At the moment, early favorite is the ‘La La Land’, Hollywood-set musical about the romance between a jazz pianist and an aspiring actress, with Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone in lead roles. It is directed by Damien Chazelle whose ‘Whiplash’ won three Oscars two years ago. But it is common that early favorite wins nothing later. But, this movie looks beautiful.

Second favorite is drama ‘Manchester by the Sea’ which involves Casey Affleck and was big Sundance success. Another Sundance sensation, and Grand Jury Prize winner, ‘The Birth of a Nation’ is also amongst the favorites, as well as ‘Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk’, story about a group of soldiers set during a salute to the soldiers at the football game.

Three movies with short titles ‘Fences’, ‘Loving’, and ‘Lion’, but with beautiful stories, are amongst those top seven on the first edition of Fairlay’s Best Picture market. Of course, you have option ‘Other’ if your favorite for the Best Picture is not amongst these seven movies. Anyway, choose wisely as all odds are great and right prediction brings the high value.

The Oscars 2017 - Host, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/the-oscars-2017-host/.

Another interesting early Oscars markets is who will be announced as a host of the following ceremony. At the moment, the first favorite is Kevin Hart, the star of many hit comedies who openly and repeatedly has begged for the job. And he is closely followed by Louis CK who last year impressed with his hilarious presentation of the best documentary short.

Still, Louis CK fan base is rather small, and because of this the comedy team of Keegan-Michael Key and Jordan Peele is the third favorite at the moment. Some other popular names like Amy Schumer, Justin Timberlake, Ricky Gervais, Chris Pratt, and Anna Kendrick are ranked high and you can get great odds if you guess right that any of them will be the host.

[FairlayBTCPredictions]

Will the US Federal Reserve lift the rate in 2016?

As Financial Times explains, slower jobs growth and overseas hazards prompted the Federal Reserve in its recent statements to keep rates unchanged and trim back its longer-term interest rate forecasts, in a sign of greater caution.

The US central bank held the target range for the federal funds rate at 0.25 per cent to 0.5 per cent, where it has been since the Fed lifted rates by a quarter point from near-zero levels in December, as it assesses a mixed set of economic indicators.

US Federal Reserve to lift the rate in 2016? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/us-federal-reserve-to-lift-the-rate-in-2016/.

The median of Fed forecasts suggested that policymakers were still expecting two interest rate increases this year, but not one happened till now, and traders are split on whether the Fed will raise rates even once this year.

"An increase is on the table" at the Fed's next meeting, on Sept 20-21, San Francisco Fed President John Williams told reporters recently. So, we will have to wait and see will this increase happen, and by then you can predict the outcome at Fairlay’s market.