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Author Topic: Win 10 BTC: Guess the price on February 1st (no entry fee)  (Read 15221 times)
davidspitzer
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January 22, 2013, 11:12:28 PM
 #101

18.05
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Unlike traditional banking where clients have only a few account numbers, with Bitcoin people can create an unlimited number of accounts (addresses). This can be used to easily track payments, and it improves anonymity.
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btctalk
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January 22, 2013, 11:13:28 PM
 #102

$19.86

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January 22, 2013, 11:19:33 PM
 #103

$ 20.543
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January 22, 2013, 11:22:47 PM
 #104

$ 18.85

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January 22, 2013, 11:34:06 PM
 #105

$20.21
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January 22, 2013, 11:37:30 PM
 #106

$20.14

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January 23, 2013, 12:01:28 AM
 #107

19.67

BTC: 1ASociaLbBZzBUR8hSw8CryajncADsR1m6 - Bitmessage: BM-orfFdAgAmtnBokTivq3vj1RtSVtXbrftM
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January 23, 2013, 12:02:38 AM
 #108

lets see if post count correlates with bullish or bearish predictions:

hmm ... I see no clear trend towards bullishism or bearishism but to realism maybe:



I removed one (noob) vote of $124 so the chart gets readable. Interesting that the 2 3k-posters and the 2 6k-posters each agree to different prices.
If you are interested in the raw data (up to 4 5 posts ago):
163/21.29;3309/19.6;818/21.17;525/18.82;66/19.05;410/15.72;87/19.80;353/18.26;20/19.83;381/22.60;6073/16.438559;166/24.00;813/20;1064/18.11;257/19;830/16.8;35/16.05;137/25.00;38/10.00;120/12.5;20/20.43;76/127;1623/18.8666;4/23.22;760/23.15;22/23.18;7/18.76;17/18.50;31/19.87;365/16.45;98/23.23;99/15.71;207/30.12;74/19.911;877/18.16;30/27;55/17.3;1193/18.24;112/17.95;127/19.387453;32/22.42;149/18.40;101/15.5;419/19.73;135/22.09;658/20.05;18/19.59;30/18.37;490/17.46;8/26.81;700/18.97;159/16.71;1346/18.53;40/18.01;109/14.4;1086/23.74;56/15.52;28/27.33;17/15.85;6076/16.42;28/17.97;271/18.14;204/17.31;16/13.5892;355/18.20;7/19.45;68/15.34;175/17.75;6/22.38;3383/19.2765;4/29.9;43/18.36;42/21.12;116/22.32;3/19.82;45/21.2;105/19.50;60/18.95;115/20.131;6/21.22;107/22.45;20/19.00;421/20.09;305/19.45;11/26.89;343/19.09;8/23.62351;16/14.07;252/18.05;43/19.86;249/20.543;12/18.85

The median poster had 109 posts and the median estimate was $19.09.

My conclusion: The longer your track record here on the forum the less you want to look stupid by saying "$8" or "$34" even if you think it's likely.

More interesting than the post count would maybe be the account age. Guess the above picture would be clearer with that.

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January 23, 2013, 12:13:11 AM
 #109

$20.80
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January 23, 2013, 12:14:30 AM
 #110

my guess = USD 22.22

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January 23, 2013, 12:15:55 AM
 #111

giszmo, cool.

Here's the link to the data in an easily digestible format for stats making: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AndZWiwa1OJddGY4ckZHTFhIM1gxUWRLYS02NmQwWWc

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January 23, 2013, 12:30:08 AM
 #112

$18.25  Cool

blease resbond -> 1BYJKxpntNn6TZbM5M5CWkEb8vr8vDcBrr
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January 23, 2013, 12:37:15 AM
 #113

$18.7833

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January 23, 2013, 12:39:41 AM
 #114

$17.69

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January 23, 2013, 12:40:49 AM
 #115

19.21
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January 23, 2013, 12:41:42 AM
 #116

$ 25.24

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January 23, 2013, 12:42:47 AM
 #117

$15.75

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January 23, 2013, 01:43:00 AM
 #118

19.22
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January 23, 2013, 01:47:26 AM
 #119

$33.10

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January 23, 2013, 01:55:59 AM
 #120

$14

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