Luceo
Sr. Member
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Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Per aspera ad astra!
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January 24, 2013, 05:29:40 PM |
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$17.79
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vssa
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January 24, 2013, 05:38:00 PM |
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12.2
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Korbman
Legendary
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Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
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January 24, 2013, 07:28:30 PM |
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$17.75
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dserrano5
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1974
Merit: 1029
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January 24, 2013, 07:35:10 PM |
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You could risk your guess already being taken by then.
I see nothing in the first post that prevents a guess like e.g. $19.19191919, therefore making a collision highly improbable. Or am I missing something?
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uncaer9
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January 24, 2013, 07:40:18 PM |
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17.7$
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Raize
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1419
Merit: 1015
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January 24, 2013, 07:44:54 PM |
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33.50
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FreshJR
Member
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Offline
Activity: 65
Merit: 10
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January 24, 2013, 08:12:49 PM |
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14.81 ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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fimp (OP)
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January 24, 2013, 09:33:48 PM |
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You could risk your guess already being taken by then.
I see nothing in the first post that prevents a guess like e.g. $19.19191919, therefore making a collision highly improbable. Or am I missing something? That's true. But rounder numbers have a higher probability of being the actual last price, because human traders tend to use rounder numbers.
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homeyhomedawg
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 31
Merit: 0
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January 24, 2013, 10:20:51 PM |
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19.69 bucks
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Phinnaeus Gage
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1570
Bitcoin: An Idea Worth Spending
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January 25, 2013, 01:44:43 AM |
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In before somebody else: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowdMy guess will be the exact number obtained when all the guesses (minus all guesses that are more than doubled the current price--$18.3790 USD or half of same) are totaled, divided by the number of guesses tallied, and rounded to the nearest satoshi. To be clear, no guesses over 36.758 or under 9.1895 will be considered for the calculation. If the resulting number proves to be the winning entry, the prize pool will be donated to the I-can't-believe-I-created-this-stupid-Pirate-bet fund, namely Matthew, to disperse how he sees fit. This is a serious entry, and I desire fimp to accept it as it is. I will PM the link to this post since, with this unique guess/entry I will be breaking one of the rules: Step 1: Fill out this form with your guess. All he'll have to do is quote this post, and somebody quote him doing such, and my guess will be validated. At the very least, we'll learn how close wisdom-of-the-crowd will work in this case. I, nor any one of my other accounts, will be submitting another guess. ~Bruno K~ EDIT: PM sent. You'll have to submit a regular guess like everybody else, but that doesn't stop you from using your desired strategy. All guesses are available in an easy-to-handle format here. Shortly before the guessing deadline Jan 30, 00:00:01 AM UTC you can do the calculation and submit a guess the normal way. Fair enough. I can submit a weighted average a couple hours before closing. Thanks, fimp, for your consideration. ~Bruno K~
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Thursday
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January 25, 2013, 04:33:27 AM |
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$15.87
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1AXBRFK5a8dP7z8T3gb3hvUjm2F6KYFmgS
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smoothie
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
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January 25, 2013, 05:29:16 AM |
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BITCOIN NORDIC charges 9% on top of the exchange price for bitcoins.
That IMO is waaaay over priced.
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███████████████████████████████████████
,╓p@@███████@╗╖, ,p████████████████████N, d█████████████████████████b d██████████████████████████████æ ,████²█████████████████████████████, ,█████ ╙████████████████████╨ █████y ██████ `████████████████` ██████ ║██████ Ñ███████████` ███████ ███████ ╩██████Ñ ███████ ███████ ▐▄ ²██╩ a▌ ███████ ╢██████ ▐▓█▄ ▄█▓▌ ███████ ██████ ▐▓▓▓▓▌, ▄█▓▓▓▌ ██████─ ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌ ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌ ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─ ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩ ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀ ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀` ²²² ███████████████████████████████████████
| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ . LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS. |
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TheDarKnight
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January 25, 2013, 09:02:50 AM |
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Please consider trading on bter.com via my referral link shown here, it's a great site for profit with a wide selection of currencies and low fees. https://bter.com/signup/1566Ziftrcoin tips please! ZZK4rj1yPRKjmZ26y9tvWq8oeEDUwiV31R
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TheButterZone
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3024
Merit: 1032
RIP Mommy
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January 25, 2013, 09:33:34 AM |
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$15
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Saying that you don't trust someone because of their behavior is completely valid.
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fimp (OP)
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January 25, 2013, 10:25:53 AM |
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Distribution of first 209 guesses ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F5H6AQDo.png&t=665&c=_eeqIAdynnH4jQ)
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bushstar
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January 25, 2013, 12:42:57 PM |
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$11.50
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JTurner
Newbie
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Activity: 40
Merit: 0
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January 25, 2013, 01:20:29 PM |
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$16.95
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TooCasual
Member
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Offline
Activity: 114
Merit: 10
You can't be Serious?!?
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January 26, 2013, 03:35:54 PM |
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$17.90 USD
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localhost
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January 26, 2013, 04:04:21 PM |
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16.85
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-
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Vorksholk
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1713
Merit: 1029
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January 26, 2013, 04:12:02 PM |
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I'm betting on $19.32 USD per bitcoin. That number came out of virtually nowhere.
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