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Author Topic: Win 10 BTC: Guess the price on February 1st (no entry fee)  (Read 15222 times)
maxbit
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January 29, 2013, 05:45:47 AM
 #261

18.83
1GiiLmurSsnSQA5BFVQUkyBN8AG51m8p3h
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lophie
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January 29, 2013, 09:03:19 AM
 #262

$22.3

Will take me a while to climb up again, But where is a will, there is a way...
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January 29, 2013, 12:27:37 PM
 #263

17.553
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January 29, 2013, 01:06:22 PM
 #264

$20.75

I know this because Tyler knows this.
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January 29, 2013, 02:06:09 PM
 #265

$19.64

1CAbceRSzThLrJaE1bdqozFxGfAzLKPZi5
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January 29, 2013, 02:33:15 PM
 #266

$23.75
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January 29, 2013, 03:29:11 PM
 #267

20.44

Donations are accepted:
BTC:  1NCrF3F6S6T511dedU1puWXhs1bEVmLuY8
LTC:   LPksBuKVNWvLaiBKG4wDDCF3fqrQoTL7Sg       XRP: rLubad3VQxaeT6qk43jEGPJX7ADkMBkwTM
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January 29, 2013, 03:30:45 PM
 #268

$20.0099

Would be great there was a torrent file of all referenced materials of the paper: "How to Build Time-Lock Encryption" by Tibor Jager. And having its magnet link published on bitcoin blockchain!
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January 29, 2013, 04:22:30 PM
 #269

I'll take a shot at a bit of a correction.  $15.8125

Donations happily accepted @ 15qxNsc7pBiz5kXpAJykw4etzMbZitm2mk
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January 29, 2013, 04:33:02 PM
 #270

20.32/btc

Bitcoin Poker at Seals (https://sealswithclubs.eu/aff.php?aff=125)
If you register, I'd appreciate a referral for username: MAWSwC
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January 29, 2013, 05:01:51 PM
 #271

21.96

Mycelium let's you hold your private keys private.
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January 29, 2013, 05:07:47 PM
 #272

$24.43
1486DmG3QdZSP8BCuLRYGhSGCY4js58hia

1gaLaxy9csuBTvNLJYoUy6sengQbh1TpV
Pyramining - Invest in mining!
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January 29, 2013, 06:25:34 PM
 #273

20.69
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January 29, 2013, 06:30:16 PM
 #274

20.32

20.33, because someone else already took 20.32.



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EAR1000 ACT TOKEN


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January 29, 2013, 07:26:58 PM
 #275

19.17
GIANNAT
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January 29, 2013, 07:45:33 PM
 #276

19.87

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January 29, 2013, 08:01:59 PM
 #277

Unique bets as of when I started monkeying, about an hour ago: http://www.bitbin.it/leTAYO0H

EXTRACTED USING:
Code:

grep -o '[1-9][0-9]\.[0-9][0-9]' guesstheprice.html | sort -u | sed 's/^/\$ /' > unique_bets.txt

Code:

$ 10.00

 $ 11.50

 $ 12.47

 $ 13.58
 $ 13.93

 $ 14.07
 $ 14.26
 $ 14.81
 $ 14.95

 $ 15.34
 $ 15.50
 $ 15.51
 $ 15.52
 $ 15.53
 $ 15.54
 $ 15.61
 $ 15.65
 $ 15.71
 $ 15.72
 $ 15.75
 $ 15.81
 $ 15.85
 $ 15.87

 $ 16.05
 $ 16.06
 $ 16.22
 $ 16.28
 $ 16.29
 $ 16.42
 $ 16.43
 $ 16.44
 $ 16.45
 $ 16.71
 $ 16.75
 $ 16.85
 $ 16.90
 $ 16.95

 $ 17.17
 $ 17.25
 $ 17.31
 $ 17.34
 $ 17.43
 $ 17.46
 $ 17.52
 $ 17.55
 $ 17.59
 $ 17.64
 $ 17.67
 $ 17.68
 $ 17.69
 $ 17.75
 $ 17.79
 $ 17.85
 $ 17.88
 $ 17.90
 $ 17.95
 $ 17.97

 $ 18.01
 $ 18.05
 $ 18.06
 $ 18.11
 $ 18.13
 $ 18.14
 $ 18.16
 $ 18.20
 $ 18.22
 $ 18.24
 $ 18.25
 $ 18.26
 $ 18.30
 $ 18.31
 $ 18.33
 $ 18.34
 $ 18.35
 $ 18.36
 $ 18.37
 $ 18.40
 $ 18.49
 $ 18.50
 $ 18.52
 $ 18.53
 $ 18.55
 $ 18.59
 $ 18.66
 $ 18.67
 $ 18.75
 $ 18.76
 $ 18.77
 $ 18.78
 $ 18.82
 $ 18.83
 $ 18.85
 $ 18.86
 $ 18.88
 $ 18.95
 $ 18.97
 $ 18.99

 $ 19.00
 $ 19.05
 $ 19.09
 $ 19.10
 $ 19.11
 $ 19.13
 $ 19.18
 $ 19.19
 $ 19.21
 $ 19.22
 $ 19.25
 $ 19.27
 $ 19.32
 $ 19.35
 $ 19.38
 $ 19.45
 $ 19.47
 $ 19.50
 $ 19.59
 $ 19.64
 $ 19.67
 $ 19.69
 $ 19.73
 $ 19.80
 $ 19.82
 $ 19.83
 $ 19.86
 $ 19.87
 $ 19.88
 $ 19.91

 $ 20.00
 $ 20.02
 $ 20.05
 $ 20.09
 $ 20.10
 $ 20.11
 $ 20.12
 $ 20.13
 $ 20.14
 $ 20.21
 $ 20.23
 $ 20.25
 $ 20.32
 $ 20.33
 $ 20.43
 $ 20.44
 $ 20.54
 $ 20.60
 $ 20.69
 $ 20.75
 $ 20.80
 $ 20.95

 $ 21.07
 $ 21.12
 $ 21.17
 $ 21.21
 $ 21.22
 $ 21.23
 $ 21.29
 $ 21.44
 $ 21.47
 $ 21.84
 $ 21.96
 $ 21.97
 $ 21.99

 $ 22.09
 $ 22.22
 $ 22.32
 $ 22.38
 $ 22.42
 $ 22.45
 $ 22.60

 $ 23.11
 $ 23.15
 $ 23.18
 $ 23.22
 $ 23.23
 $ 23.31
 $ 23.45
 $ 23.62
 $ 23.74
 $ 23.75
 $ 23.95

 $ 24.00
 $ 24.43

 $ 25.00
 $ 25.24
 $ 26.81
 $ 26.89
 $ 27.33

 $ 28.10
 $ 28.11
 $ 28.12
 $ 28.13
 $ 28.14
 $ 28.15
 $ 28.16
 $ 28.17
 $ 28.18
 $ 28.19
 $ 28.20
 $ 28.21
 $ 28.22
 $ 28.23
 $ 28.24
 $ 28.25
 $ 28.26
 $ 28.27
 $ 28.28
 $ 28.29
 $ 28.30
 $ 28.31
 $ 28.32
 $ 28.33
 $ 28.34
 $ 28.35
 $ 28.36
 $ 28.37
 $ 28.38
 $ 28.39
 $ 28.40
 $ 28.41
 $ 28.42
 $ 28.43
 $ 28.44
 $ 28.45
 $ 28.46
 $ 28.47
 $ 28.48
 $ 28.49
 $ 28.50
 $ 28.51
 $ 28.52
 $ 28.53
 $ 28.54
 $ 28.55
 $ 28.56
 $ 28.57
 $ 28.58
 $ 28.59
 $ 28.60
 $ 28.61
 $ 28.62
 $ 28.63
 $ 28.64
 $ 28.65
 $ 28.66
 $ 28.67
 $ 28.68
 $ 28.69
 $ 28.70
 $ 28.71
 $ 28.72
 $ 28.73
 $ 28.74
 $ 28.75
 $ 28.76
 $ 28.77
 $ 28.78
 $ 28.79
 $ 28.80
 $ 28.81
 $ 28.82
 $ 28.83
 $ 28.84
 $ 28.85
 $ 28.86
 $ 28.87
 $ 28.88
 $ 28.89
 $ 28.90
 $ 28.91
 $ 28.92
 $ 28.93
 $ 28.94
 $ 28.95
 $ 28.96
 $ 28.97
 $ 28.98
 $ 28.99

 $ 29.07

 $ 30.01
 $ 30.12

 $ 32.95

 $ 33.10
 $ 33.50

 $ 36.75

 $ 50.01

 $ 99.00


Really strange distribution of bets. (Compare the number of bets at $24.XX to the number of bets at $28.XX)
Anchoring? Status quo bias? ...Gives some insight into the price expectations of the forum.



Edit: Regex fail! The strange series at twenty-eight are from posts in this thread. *facepalm* Embarrassed Roll Eyes Grin

I'd (try to) fix it... But I've already made my bet. Smiley
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January 29, 2013, 08:15:27 PM
 #278

19.89 

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January 29, 2013, 08:16:20 PM
 #279

$22.89
BrannigansLaw
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January 29, 2013, 08:20:57 PM
 #280

My guess is the 'mean' of everyone's guess up until 1st Feb.
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