diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc

[RichBC]

Well dare I say it, things are looking quite nice at the moment. Yesterday was -7.46% with only 133 Blocks and the Period run rate has been close to Zero for Today so far, (7Hours) so here's hoping it continues that way....

Rich

[philipma1957]

Well dare I say it, things are looking quite nice at the moment. Yesterday was -7.46% with only 133 Blocks and the Period run rate has been close to Zero for Today so far, (7Hours) so here's hoping it continues that way....

Rich

yeah we are dropping

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   161,800,550,081 (+2.13%)
Adjust time:   After 1516 Blocks, About 10.2 days >>>>>>>> 100 blocks to the start
Hashrate(?):   1,141,928,733 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.1 minutes
6 blocks: 58.1 minutes
Updated:   5:45 (2.2 minutes ago)


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

3-5-2016  = 152    +8 blocks
3-6-2106  = 147    +3 blocks    +11
3-7-2016  = 139    -5  blocks     + 6



https://blockchain.info/

401684 (Main Chain)   2016-03-08 10:30:14
401620 (Main Chain)   2016-03-08 00:03:49

65 blocks   in the time it takes for 65 blocks   so we are about +7 blocks

or 500/493 =    +1.41%       lots of time for bad things to happen

[fr4nkthetank]

A flat diff for the next few months would make me a happy camper.  This s7 ain't going to pay itself you know...paid 4.7 btc with shipping, it has returned a little more than half (i havent calculated it exactly), its on kano pool so thats good.  To get the other 1/3 to 1/2 in btc....its going to be tough (or long).  unless btc increases in price, a flat diff is the best thing to happen for s7 resell value.  also would help if bitmain stopped selling freakin batches

[notlist3d]

A flat diff for the next few months would make me a happy camper.  This s7 ain't going to pay itself you know...paid 4.7 btc with shipping, it has returned a little more than half (i havent calculated it exactly), its on kano pool so thats good.  To get the other 1/3 to 1/2 in btc....its going to be tough (or long).  unless btc increases in price, a flat diff is the best thing to happen for s7 resell value.  also would help if bitmain stopped selling freakin batches

The problem on flat difficulty is there is no facts out there.  I still have yet to hear a good reason that is confirmed as fact that could cause huge jumps up multiple periods in a row.   Now it's going low... it's crazy

Price I'm just hoping does not dive.  I keep hoping to be in 440-450 area but I think we have a ways to go till then.

[Mikestang]

Well I found this story about a new bitcoin mine opeing up in Ghana, http://www.coindesk.com/africa-internet-pioneer-bitcoin-mining-ghana/, but at the end they only claim to have a capacity of "several hundred terahash" which wouldn't show up on a network difficulty adjustment.  Of course they could be underselling their capacity... or there could be multiple "small" mines coming online.

[philipma1957]

I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon.
+3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha

@ leowonderful

picks will start soon   so if you want this pick make sure to come back to ask for it when the picks open


  https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   161,866,161,329 (+2.17%)
Adjust time:   After 1425 Blocks, About 9.6 days >>>>>>>>>   9 more blocks.
Hashrate(?):   1,131,798,011 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes
Updated:   19:40 (3.1 minutes ago)


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty




Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   162,609,935,806 (+2.64%)
Adjust time:   After 1416 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<<<< we have opened for picks!
Hashrate(?):   1,147,579,761 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.0 minutes
6 blocks: 58.0 minutes
Updated:   20:20 (2.4 minutes ago)




Picks are now open


I pick

-1.2 = philipma1957

[notlist3d]

I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon.
+3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha

@ leowonderful

picks will start soon   so if you want this pick make sure to come back to ask for it when the picks open


  https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   161,866,161,329 (+2.17%)
Adjust time:   After 1425 Blocks, About 9.6 days >>>>>>>>>   9 more blocks.
Hashrate(?):   1,131,798,011 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes
Updated:   19:40 (3.1 minutes ago)

I want to pick soon.... but i feel like I will be wrong.  I did not see it going back to slow low difficulty changes. I thought it might even get worse once bitfury get's perfected and B11 I think it is.   Difficulty is honestly guessing at this point.

Price heading down a little at 409... so could be better.  Hope price goes up. 

[VRobb]

I'm keeping my last pick:

+1.3 = VRobb

Let's hope it stays nice and level, or even heads down again (unlikely I suspect!)

[philipma1957]

I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon.
+3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha

@ leowonderful

picks will start soon   so if you want this pick make sure to come back to ask for it when the picks open


  https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   161,866,161,329 (+2.17%)
Adjust time:   After 1425 Blocks, About 9.6 days >>>>>>>>>   9 more blocks.
Hashrate(?):   1,131,798,011 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes
Updated:   19:40 (3.1 minutes ago)


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty




Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   162,609,935,806 (+2.64%)
Adjust time:   After 1416 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<<<< we have opened for picks!
Hashrate(?):   1,147,579,761 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.0 minutes
6 blocks: 58.0 minutes
Updated:   20:20 (2.4 minutes ago)




Picks are now open


I pick

-1.2 = philipma1957  If I hit I will roll it over.


+1.3 = VRobb

[RichBC]

So Day 3 and the pace seems to have picked up a bit with +6.94% and 154 Blocks. Today has started very aggressively and at 8 Hours in is running at +45%. Some of that will be variance which will wash out during the Day, but I think some Hash has been added. It is of course now lifting the period to date Run Rate which is at +4.6%. Never a dull moment........

Rich

[leowonderful]

+2.30
Nuff said, i'm gonna be head on now
With the current trend beginning to -somewhat- slow down, my conservative 2.30 should be my best prediction yet. You just watch me win. There is NO WAY we will go negative unless some miracle happens. A terrible miracle that would be incredibly cruel.

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open


I pick

-1.2 = philipma1957  If I hit I will roll it over.


+1.3 = VRobb
+2.3 = leowonderful

[edonkey]

Interesting that few are jumping in early this time around

The cats are waiting for more data before deigning to guess.

[philipma1957]

Interesting that few are jumping in early this time around

The cats are waiting for more data before deigning to guess.

smart to wait

we are  around 3 days away from dead line

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   164,551,712,463 (+3.87%)
Adjust time:   After 1278 Blocks, About 8.5 days>>>>>>>>>>>> 816 is deadline.
Hashrate(?):   1,178,521,779 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.7 minutes
6 blocks: 57.4 minutes
Updated:   16:40 (5.1 minutes ago)

[alh]

Even at this early date, I think we are looking at an increase (i.e. a positive value). Unfortunately that puts Phil on the wrong side of zero.

Magic 8-Ball says "Try again later".....

[adaseb]

+0.0 = adaseb


Whether too early or too late, its next to impossible to predict these difficulty changes.

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open


I pick

-1.2 = philipma1957  If I hit I will roll it over.

+0.0 = adaseb

+1.3 = VRobb
+2.3 = leowonderful

[Mikestang]

Even at this early date, I think we are looking at an increase (i.e. a positive value). Unfortunately that puts Phil on the wrong side of zero.

Magic 8-Ball says "Try again later".....

So far in this period the trend is up, but the good news is that the up trend isn't as vertical as it has been.  I'm guessing that averaged with the last adjustment the net will be ~ 0.

Phil could multiply his pick by -1 and he might end up in the running.  I think if Phil ever wins then that means we all have to send him 0.1btc. 

[ingiltere]

+4.4 = ingiltere

I was about to write lower number but I see +5.17% now so I revised my pick.

[ezeminer]

I'll go for lucky number 7

+7.0 = ezeminer