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notig (OP)
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February 03, 2013, 02:14:31 AM |
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Go!
I'm going to say 99 dollars per BTC.
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adamstgBit
Legendary
 Offline
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
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February 03, 2013, 02:16:34 AM |
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5$  |
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Melbustus
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1003
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February 03, 2013, 02:17:50 AM |
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1/4ozAU / BTC
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Bitcoin is the first monetary system to credibly offer perfect information to all economic participants.
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evoorhees
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1021
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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February 03, 2013, 02:19:51 AM |
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Between $200-$2000
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Bowjob
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February 03, 2013, 02:20:30 AM |
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1000.32 I am six significant figures sure.
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It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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smoothie
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
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February 03, 2013, 02:48:17 AM |
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2010 - $0.50
2011 - $5.00
2012 - $13.00
2013 - $50.00
2014 - $100.00
2015 - $200.00
2016 - $400.00
2017 - $800.00
2018 - $1600.00
So my guess is at least $1600 per btc
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███████████████████████████████████████
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²²²
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| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS.
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ArticMine
Legendary
Offline
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Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
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February 03, 2013, 03:08:10 AM |
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Over 10000 USD or possibly even over 100000 USD by 2018 are by far the most probable. If Bitcoin does not reach 1% market share by 2018 it is because it has failed drastically, so I will also give a small but finite probability of way under 0.01 USD.
As for the range of 0.01 USD to 10000 USD very unlikely.
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Zangelbert Bingledack
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
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February 03, 2013, 03:19:22 AM |
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75% probability of $0.
25% probability of $10,000+.
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chriswilmer
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
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February 03, 2013, 03:20:30 AM |
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Over 10000 USD or possibly even over 100000 USD by 2018 are by far the most probable. If Bitcoin does not reach 1% market share by 2018 it is because it has failed drastically, so I will also give a small but finite probability of way under 0.01 USD.
As for the range of 0.01 USD to 10000 USD very unlikely.
I have to say, I kind of fall into this line of thinking. |
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Luceo
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Per aspera ad astra!
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February 03, 2013, 03:53:41 AM |
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75% probability of $0.
25% probability of $10,000+.
This is probably spot on. |
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Bowjob
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February 03, 2013, 05:28:41 AM |
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75% probability of $0.
25% probability of $10,000+.
This is probably spot on. That's basically suggesting all or nothing, which seems like the least likely scenario in a short 5 years. Those odds are a delicious gamble though. |
It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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goldlyre
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February 03, 2013, 05:58:28 AM |
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I wish to get on a time machine in order to have a look at price of bitcoin in 2018.  |
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evolve
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February 03, 2013, 08:14:05 AM |
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5$ This. Or in the midst of a double digit bubble (like now)...boom and bust, just like the american economy. |
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Foxpup
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3044
Vile Vixen and Miss Bitcointalk 2021-2023
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February 03, 2013, 08:19:00 AM |
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3 oz AU
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Will pretend to do unspeakable things (while actually eating a taco) for bitcoins: 1K6d1EviQKX3SVKjPYmJGyWBb1avbmCFM4I am not on the scammers' paradise known as Telegram! Do not believe anyone claiming to be me off-forum without a signed message from the above address! Accept no excuses and make no exceptions! |
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FreeMoney
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1014
Strength in numbers
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February 03, 2013, 08:25:02 AM |
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75% probability of $0.
25% probability of $10,000+.
This is probably spot on. That's basically suggesting all or nothing, which seems like the least likely scenario in a short 5 years. Bitcoin has gone from essentially not a money to here in about 3 years. It's gunna be happening for real in 5 or never. |
Play Bitcoin Poker at sealswithclubs.eu. We're active and open to everyone. |
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Jutarul
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 994
Merit: 1000
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February 03, 2013, 09:01:11 AM |
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I say if people quote bitcoin prices they should denominate it in gold. USD won't exist for long.
Currently 1 BTC = 0.4 gram of gold
Thus BTC market cap is about 4 tons of gold. Assuming a max of 21 million coins and equal wealth distribution between bitcoin and gold, we're likely to see a BTC market cap of around 8,000 tons of gold (*/ 2), which would price a BTC at 400 gram of gold, or 21,200 USD by TODAYS gold price.
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zoinky
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February 03, 2013, 09:03:47 AM |
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I think we will be close to a 5 billion dollar market cap by 2018.
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TraderTimm
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1121
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February 03, 2013, 09:37:42 AM |
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I think it will defy any attempt to predict its true value.
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fortitudinem multis - catenum regit omnia
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phatsphere
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February 03, 2013, 09:46:22 AM |
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I want to remind everyone posting here USD values, that it isn't sure if the USD is still around in 5 years. (same goes for the EUR, with a higher probablility). So, maybe some more general measurements are necessary … AU is an example.
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Vladimir
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February 03, 2013, 11:37:19 AM |
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Now this is my kind of thread (as opposed to "Bitcoin price in 5 days"). LOL
Optimistically, parity with 1 oz of gold in 5 years. But it is possible that it will be much more than that.
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proudhon
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
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February 03, 2013, 12:11:12 PM |
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~$50
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Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
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Vladimir
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February 03, 2013, 12:42:08 PM |
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Another stab at it.
100 000 000 000 000 USD (one hundred trillion US dollars), give or take one-two zeroes, lol
P.S. BTW the guess in my post above still stands i.e. both 100 000 000 000 USD and 1 oz of gold could be possible at the same time.
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flipperfish
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 350
Merit: 251
Dolphie Selfie
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February 03, 2013, 12:44:14 PM |
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I want to remind everyone posting here USD values, that it isn't sure if the USD is still around in 5 years. (same goes for the EUR, with a higher probablility). So, maybe some more general measurements are necessary … AU is an example.
I think most statements involving USD assume a constant USD value, even if that's not the reality. So what actually is meant is the value of today's USD. |
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Mageant
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1145
Merit: 1001
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February 03, 2013, 12:44:35 PM |
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I say around $1000. That is in today's dollar purchasing value.
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cjgames.com
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Chaz
Member
Offline
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
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February 03, 2013, 01:25:46 PM |
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US$6,189 in 2013 dollars  |
1FsQJtY4vbvbkJj4Pd869rDcbFmu11RHge
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Bowjob
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February 03, 2013, 01:31:40 PM |
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 Whatever it is you guys are smoking, stop. The correct value is $9421.02 on Feb 4, 2018
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It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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muyuu
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
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February 03, 2013, 01:43:18 PM |
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$100 in today's purchasing power.
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GPG ID: 7294199D - OTC ID: muyuu (470F97EB7294199D)
forum tea fund BTC 1Epv7KHbNjYzqYVhTCgXWYhGSkv7BuKGEU DOGE DF1eTJ2vsxjHpmmbKu9jpqsrg5uyQLWksM CAP F1MzvmmHwP2UhFq82NQT7qDU9NQ8oQbtkQ
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piramida
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
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February 03, 2013, 03:36:06 PM |
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exactly 1 BTC minus exchange commision!  |
i am satoshi
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proudhon
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
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February 03, 2013, 03:51:53 PM |
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$50 in 2018's purchasing power.
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Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
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johnyj
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
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February 03, 2013, 10:56:40 PM |
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No, by that time, there is no other currency, no exchange rate |
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CurbsideProphet
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February 03, 2013, 11:05:46 PM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
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1ProphetnvP8ju2SxxRvVvyzCtTXDgLPJV
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johnyj
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
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February 03, 2013, 11:16:45 PM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
If there is really a fork with unlimited transaction size, then most will follow it without questioning, people are ignorant, as long as their coins are valid  |
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01BTC10
VIP
Hero Member
Offline
Activity: 756
Merit: 503
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February 03, 2013, 11:19:03 PM |
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The oracle say realistically between $0.00000099 and $99999999.99!  |
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Vladimir
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February 03, 2013, 11:45:10 PM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
If there is really a fork with unlimited transaction size, then most will follow it without questioning, people are ignorant, as long as their coins are valid It's not a bug, it is a feature. P.S. Ignorance, is definitely a factor with Bitcoin, however. |
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notig (OP)
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February 04, 2013, 01:17:16 AM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
If there is really a fork with unlimited transaction size, then most will follow it without questioning, people are ignorant, as long as their coins are valid It's not a bug, it is a feature. P.S. Ignorance, is definitely a factor with Bitcoin, however. is there a possibility of bitcoin not forking though? Is the feature of the block size limit to make transactions more profitable to entice more miners once the bitcoins have been mined? |
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XxionxX
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 254
Merit: 250
Digital money you say?
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February 04, 2013, 02:30:43 AM |
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If the usd collapses $10k+
If not $500-$1000
If a major flaw is found in the code or encryption $0-$5
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FAP Turbo 2.0, the FOREX trading robot which also trades bitcoin! I had to link it because I love the name. Seriously, that is the real name.
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farfiman
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1449
Merit: 1001
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February 04, 2013, 07:04:58 PM |
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I say if people quote bitcoin prices they should denominate it in gold. USD won't exist for long.
Currently 1 BTC = 0.4 gram of gold
I agree. I don't give the dollar much chance of survival in 5 years ( well, the name could be the same but wouldn't be surprised if its worth 1/10 - 1/100 of what it is now. |
"We are just fools. We insanely believe that we can replace one politician with another and something will really change. The ONLY possible way to achieve change is to change the very system of how government functions. Until we are prepared to do that, suck it up for your future belongs to the madness and corruption of politicians."
Martin Armstrong
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notig (OP)
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November 04, 2017, 04:22:56 AM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
How prescient! |
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thecodebear
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November 04, 2017, 07:22:01 AM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
How prescient! haha wow nice find. I enjoyed seeing people's predictions. and then read that post and was like wow he was spot on 5 years ago! |
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Granxis
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November 04, 2017, 09:01:46 AM |
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It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself. The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it. As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility. Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.
If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains. An early adopter bonus, if you will.
How prescient! Five years ago, they made really accurate predictions, and what they say is not happening. the username gives us a clue."prophet" |
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AIRDROPSQUAD
Member
Offline
Activity: 252
Merit: 11
PLAYHALL - SKILL GAMING PLATFORM
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November 04, 2017, 09:06:49 AM |
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Damn! Old thread. To much speculation, but now, it is become true. What about 5 year later (2017)? $1500??
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Chris314
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November 04, 2017, 10:43:58 AM |
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Whatever it is you guys are smoking, stop. The correct value is $9421.02 on Feb 4, 2018 He may not be so far from the truth... Closer predicted value of the actual situation, but that supposes bitcoin will survive the upcoming fork. |
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VuLDK
Member
Offline
Activity: 284
Merit: 16
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November 04, 2017, 12:47:30 PM |
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