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Author Topic: Bitcoin price in 5 years - 2/2013  (Read 3316 times)
notig
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February 03, 2013, 02:14:31 AM
 #1

Go!

I'm going to say 99 dollars per BTC.
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adamstgBit
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February 03, 2013, 02:16:34 AM
 #2

5$  Wink

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February 03, 2013, 02:17:50 AM
 #3

1/4ozAU / BTC

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February 03, 2013, 02:19:51 AM
 #4

Between $200-$2000
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February 03, 2013, 02:20:30 AM
 #5

1000.32 I am six significant figures sure.

It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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February 03, 2013, 02:48:17 AM
 #6

2010 - $0.50
2011 - $5.00
2012 - $13.00
2013 - $50.00
2014 - $100.00
2015 - $200.00
2016 - $400.00
2017 - $800.00
2018 - $1600.00

So my guess is at least $1600 per btc

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February 03, 2013, 03:08:10 AM
 #7

Over 10000 USD or possibly even over 100000 USD by 2018 are by far the most probable. If Bitcoin does not reach 1% market share by 2018 it is because it has failed drastically, so I will also give a small but finite probability of way under 0.01 USD.

As for the range of 0.01 USD to 10000 USD very unlikely.

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February 03, 2013, 03:19:22 AM
 #8

75% probability of $0.

25% probability of $10,000+.
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February 03, 2013, 03:20:30 AM
 #9

Over 10000 USD or possibly even over 100000 USD by 2018 are by far the most probable. If Bitcoin does not reach 1% market share by 2018 it is because it has failed drastically, so I will also give a small but finite probability of way under 0.01 USD.

As for the range of 0.01 USD to 10000 USD very unlikely.

I have to say, I kind of fall into this line of thinking.
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February 03, 2013, 03:53:41 AM
 #10

75% probability of $0.

25% probability of $10,000+.

This is probably spot on.

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February 03, 2013, 05:28:41 AM
 #11

75% probability of $0.

25% probability of $10,000+.

This is probably spot on.

That's basically suggesting all or nothing, which seems like the least likely scenario in a short 5 years.

Those odds are a delicious gamble though.

It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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February 03, 2013, 05:58:28 AM
 #12

I wish to get on a time machine in order to have a look at price of bitcoin in 2018.


                               
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February 03, 2013, 08:14:05 AM
 #13

5$  Wink

This. Or in the midst of a double digit bubble (like now)...boom and bust, just like the american economy.



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February 03, 2013, 08:19:00 AM
 #14

3 oz AU

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February 03, 2013, 08:25:02 AM
 #15

75% probability of $0.

25% probability of $10,000+.

This is probably spot on.

That's basically suggesting all or nothing, which seems like the least likely scenario in a short 5 years.

Bitcoin has gone from essentially not a money to here in about 3 years. It's gunna be happening for real in 5 or never.

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February 03, 2013, 09:01:11 AM
 #16

I say if people quote bitcoin prices they should denominate it in gold. USD won't exist for long.
Currently 1 BTC = 0.4 gram of gold
Thus BTC market cap is about 4 tons of gold. Assuming a max of 21 million coins and equal wealth distribution between bitcoin and gold, we're likely to see a BTC market cap of around 8,000 tons of gold (*/ 2), which would price a BTC at 400 gram of gold, or 21,200 USD by TODAYS gold price.

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February 03, 2013, 09:03:47 AM
 #17

I think we will be close to a 5 billion dollar market cap by 2018.
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February 03, 2013, 09:37:42 AM
 #18

I think it will defy any attempt to predict its true value.

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February 03, 2013, 09:46:22 AM
 #19

I want to remind everyone posting here USD values, that it isn't sure if the USD is still around in 5 years. (same goes for the EUR, with a higher probablility). So, maybe some more general measurements are necessary … AU is an example.
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February 03, 2013, 11:37:19 AM
 #20

Now this is my kind of thread (as opposed to "Bitcoin price in 5 days"). LOL

Optimistically, parity with 1 oz of gold in 5 years. But it is possible that it will be much more than that.



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