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Author Topic: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club  (Read 408841 times)
jostorres
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January 12, 2020, 07:16:06 AM
 #8001

Watford is good and all these days and that is great but there are too many things involved in the wager that is irrelevant to which team is better and which team is worse. Like corners for example, that could be in any game ever and you still wouldn't know if it will be 8 or more corners at all, or yellow cards over 3 (I mean maybe if there is a historically aggressive team that could change things).

I just hope Watford would just simply win, won't be betting on the Watford special this week so all I hope for Watford to finish the game with +1 goals and possibly without any injuries as well, those suck during a good run like this and breaks your chemistry all of a sudden. We are literally at the grap of going above the relegation zone now, if Aston villa loses and we beat Bournemout that means we are out of relegation zone this week!
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January 12, 2020, 10:49:39 AM
 #8002

Who thinks todays Sportsbet Special has a chance?  I think Watford is worth a sprinkle paying 2.73



Corner 7,5 , Yellow card over 2.5 , Watford +0.5  YES, But over 2.5 goals I doubt it I don't think there are many goals in this match

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January 12, 2020, 11:00:52 AM
Merited by DireWolfM14 (1)
 #8003

Norwich lost to ManU, but I don't see how a Norwich win would have affected the table to keep Watford below the 17th position.

If Norwich had won would have 17 points and the next game would be against Boumemouth, something I believe Norwich can win and would have 20 points. and then play against tottenham that in my opinion Norwich has a 50% chance of winning the game. while Watford if lost today will still have the same 19 points, and next game will play against tottenham which in my opinion will be a very difficult game for Watford. then Watford will play with Aston Villa. if they win today and Aston villa lose today, Watford will be in a good position for the next games




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January 12, 2020, 11:34:28 AM
 #8004

Who thinks todays Sportsbet Special has a chance?  I think Watford is worth a sprinkle paying 2.73



Corner 7,5 , Yellow card over 2.5 , Watford +0.5  YES, But over 2.5 goals I doubt it I don't think there are many goals in this match


Crucial game for both with Watford in form lately. I actually expect more than 3 goals so todays special might really be worth a shot. Corners = easy, yellows = easy, Watford +0.5 = mhhhh, not sure, Over 2.5 goals = quite easy

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January 12, 2020, 02:26:40 PM
 #8005

Watford special's a bit risky, because I'm sure the Hornets will win, but might be 1-0 or 2-0. Bournemouth's got venom but it's been hard to extract lately, so I don't see them scoring tonight. Anyway, game's on. Let's enjoy.

I don't even have price boost anymore Wink

That thing you are doing in your thread is a pretty good showcase of what is possible and why it's of utmost importance to shop for odds for any ambitious betting person. But then again, no offense, it's pretty pointless, if you are comparing odds from bookies with average odds. You can get way better odds with other books than the ones you are using/comparing. This is like comparing your VW to a Smart, when there is Ferraris out there you could drive.

Do you have any (more understandable) P/L for your bets ? Any yield/ROI ? Just getting higher odds in one book compared to other books doesn't mean these odds carry any value no matter what.

As a successful punter, you will always run into trouble with limits and all those things. There is only few books out there, that are welcoming winning players. And thats just because they follow their bets and get valuable information for rather few money.

Doesn't look like you checked out my thread at all then! I display all P/L running since last season on every single day's bet slips, with proof of the bet slip too, and even exact unit count on the bet, so you can see yourself. But again, I point out, my only purpose is to show how odds shopping helps, I'm not a tipster so I only keep P/L and yield stats for myself as an extremely casual punter

Show me another bookie for a bet on a future date, and we'll compare with the ones I'm already using, because if you're saying I can get "way better" odds, I'd love to see those! Though I don't think you actually checked my thread;)

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January 12, 2020, 02:31:45 PM
 #8006

Crucial game for both with Watford in form lately. I actually expect more than 3 goals so todays special might really be worth a shot. Corners = easy, yellows = easy, Watford +0.5 = mhhhh, not sure, Over 2.5 goals = quite easy

30 minutes in & it’s 0-0, very important game for Watford would be really good if they could steal a win here because another team fighting to stay up (Aston Villa) are playing Man City today. Every point counts at the moment.

Come on you Hornets!


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January 12, 2020, 02:33:51 PM
 #8007

Crucial game for both with Watford in form lately. I actually expect more than 3 goals so todays special might really be worth a shot. Corners = easy, yellows = easy, Watford +0.5 = mhhhh, not sure, Over 2.5 goals = quite easy

30 minutes in & it’s 0-0, very important game for Watford would be really good if they could steal a win here because another team fighting to stay up (Aston Villa) are playing Man City today. Every point counts at the moment.

Come on you Hornets!



Yeah, both suck defensively so I hope we will still see a 1-2 or sth in that direction - of course cheering for hornets! Cheesy

Hornets 1111111111111111111111

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January 12, 2020, 02:50:14 PM
Merited by morvillz7z (1)
 #8008

Great time for Watford to score. I have a shitload of money on them today. I have played Watford x2 @1,6 for high stakes, Watford 2 @2,9 for medium stakes, Watford to win both halves @9,5 for beer money, Watford to win halftime/full time @4,5 for low stakes. And add to that that I have Sarr & Foster in my Fantasy team and you get probably the biggest Watford supporter in Croatia at the moment Smiley

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January 12, 2020, 03:03:01 PM
 #8009

Seems that Watford is about to win a crucial game for their premier league continuation in 2020-2021. If their game goes on like this , we might assist at 3 goals scoring from Watford because BOU is only good when it comes to fix chances and head goalies. 

What I don't like about their game is that somehow they manage to make a great first half or even a good amount of time from second half and in 5 minutes they get 2-3 goals which is odd  and I hope this round it won't happen to them.

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January 12, 2020, 03:24:29 PM
 #8010

Seems that Watford is about to win a crucial game for their premier league continuation in 2020-2021. If their game goes on like this , we might assist at 3 goals scoring from Watford because BOU is only good when it comes to fix chances and head goalies. 

What I don't like about their game is that somehow they manage to make a great first half or even a good amount of time from second half and in 5 minutes they get 2-3 goals which is odd  and I hope this round it won't happen to them.
Watford done for the day as now we are in 65th minute and they are leading by 0 - 2 almost win for them in a cruicial game.
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January 12, 2020, 03:28:26 PM
 #8011

Doesn't look like you checked out my thread at all then! I display all P/L running since last season on every single day's bet slips, with proof of the bet slip too, and even exact unit count on the bet, so you can see yourself. But again, I point out, my only purpose is to show how odds shopping helps, I'm not a tipster so I only keep P/L and yield stats for myself as an extremely casual punter

I did check your check thread out already multiple times and understand what you are doing, but I don't understand your statistics Wink:

Running advantage after 222 bets: +3,026.03 (+61)
All-time cumulative: +25,026.56
Running units after 221 bets (38W|183L): +9,923.31 (-100 units)

So what do these statistics mean ? You made +9,923.31 units profit ? With 100 units being 0.001 BTC, it means you have made around 1 BTC profit with winning 38 bets and losing 183, correct ? What does all-time cumulative mean ? Running advantage or P/L ?

Show me another bookie for a bet on a future date, and we'll compare with the ones I'm already using, because if you're saying I can get "way better" odds, I'd love to see those! Though I don't think you actually checked my thread;)

As far as I understood, you only compare Bitcoin bookies, but there is no point in just comparing those ones when you shop for odds. There is other (non Bitcoin) bookies out there, which have way higher odds. So why limit yourself to only a few ones. You are more or less doing this for fun afaik and can of course do what you want and like, but shopping for odds is getting the best odds from ALL bookies. I can get Aston Villa for around 20 (you play 14,91), Liverpool for 1,73 (you play 1,71) and Crystal Palace for 4,85 (you play 4,12) - that is a HUGE difference longterm.
You say you squeeze out great value every day, but you can get more, so just go for it Wink


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January 12, 2020, 03:28:58 PM
 #8012

2-0 Watford, this is going to be huge if they close this out. They’ll be 17th & out of the relegation are if they hold on. Massive pressure on Aston Villa now in the 4:30pm GMT game.

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January 12, 2020, 03:40:22 PM
 #8013

Great time for Watford to score. I have a shitload of money on them today. I have played Watford x2 @1,6 for high stakes, Watford 2 @2,9 for medium stakes, Watford to win both halves @9,5 for beer money, Watford to win halftime/full time @4,5 for low stakes. And add to that that I have Sarr & Foster in my Fantasy team and you get probably the biggest Watford supporter in Croatia at the moment Smiley
I am truly really happy to see the turnaround in the season after having going through many changes and finally we are seeing a winning combination after drawing many matches, i was expecting Watford to win but i went under 3.5 goals rather than taking a risk like you but i like the confidence in putting money on winning halftime/full time and winning both halves and only a few minutes left and i hope Bournemouth will not score in this match.
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January 12, 2020, 03:42:25 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2)
 #8014

I did check your check thread out already multiple times and understand what you are doing, but I don't understand your statistics Wink:

Running advantage after 222 bets: +3,026.03 (+61)
All-time cumulative: +25,026.56
Running units after 221 bets (38W|183L): +9,923.31 (-100 units)


So what do these statistics mean ? You made +9,923.31 units profit ? With 100 units being 0.001 BTC, it means you have made around 1 BTC profit with winning 38 bets and losing 183, correct ? What does all-time cumulative mean ? Running advantage or P/L ?

Check out the VERY first post for an explanation. I reset every end of season. So far this season, yes, profit is in 9923 units, and 100 units was 0.001 btc back in season 1, but now it's actually 0.0005, so again, your maths is off. 10000 units would have been 0.1 BTC, but actually for this season it's only 0.05 BTC thereabouts.

All time cumulative is the units ADVANTAGE, or units more I've been accumulating ever since I first started counting. But the running units is only for the season, which, as I said resets every end of season.

As far as I understood, you only compare Bitcoin bookies, but there is no point in just comparing those ones when you shop for odds. There is other (non Bitcoin) bookies out there, which have way higher odds. So why limit yourself to only a few ones. You are more or less doing this for fun afaik and can of course do what you want and like, but shopping for odds is getting the best odds from ALL bookies. I can get Aston Villa for around 20 (you play 14,91), Liverpool for 1,73 (you play 1,71) and Crystal Palace for 4,85 (you play 4,12) - that is a HUGE difference longterm.
You say you squeeze out great value every day, but you can get more, so just go for it Wink

Dude, again, read my first post. Of course I'm only comparing Bitcoin bookies. This is bitcointalk.org, in case you haven't noticed.

Actually, fiat bookies have lower odds in general, but with promotions and boosts, they can have more. And I'm a Sunday, very casual punter, as I have to keep explaining. I really don't have time to bet across 10 or 20 bookies, but I might if I had the time.

It's for fun, yes, but I want people to be able to follow my bets if they want, which bitcoiners here like myself can. We don't all have access to fiat bookies like you might.

Also, you still didn't give an actual name or betslip. Show us your 20/1 Aston Villa. I can see 18/1 on boost on a couple of places, but I couldn't bet on them if I wanted to (and I have to put money where my mouth is, so bitcoin bookies is where I'm at).

Thanks for your criticisms but maybe you don't really get bitcoin bookies?

P.S. Guys! Watford is still the team (apart from Liverpool) with the most points in the last 5 games, if they hold on for the win. They will make history also if they survive this relegation battle, since no team who has ever been bottom after 17 games has ever stayed up. Can you imagine 20 days ago they only had 9 points?

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January 12, 2020, 04:15:49 PM
Merited by buwaytress (1)
 #8015

Actually, fiat bookies have lower odds in general, but with promotions and boosts, they can have more. And I'm a Sunday, very casual punter, as I have to keep explaining. I really don't have time to bet across 10 or 20 bookies, but I might if I had the time.

There really isn't any point in comparing odds at 20 different bookies if you don't play for the highest stakes (1000$+), you just add more stress without much benefits. I have accounts at 4 BTC accepting bookies and 6 fiat bookies. At the moment I actually use only one fiat bookie and 2 BTC accepting bookies. That one fiat bookie is only left because it still has much better interface than all BTC ones and more sports/match options than BTC ones. Hoping the need for that one will disappear soon Smiley Sportsbet has come furthest to close that gap but there is still room for improvement.

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January 12, 2020, 04:42:08 PM
 #8016

Watford special's a bit risky, because I'm sure the Hornets will win, but might be 1-0 or 2-0. Bournemouth's got venom but it's been hard to extract lately, so I don't see them scoring tonight. Anyway, game's on. Let's enjoy.

I threw some dust at that special bet, but it just needed one more yellow card to win.  So close.  I'm glad Watford made it out of relegation, now it's up to City to keep them out.


2-0 Watford, this is going to be huge if they close this out. They’ll be 17th & out of the relegation are if they hold on. Massive pressure on Aston Villa now in the 4:30pm GMT game.

That last goal by Pereyra was amazing.  What control and timing.  Congrats to the Hornets for the win.

I couldn't resist the odds on Aston Villa, so sorry to sportsbet, I'm rooting for AVFC.

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January 12, 2020, 05:16:26 PM
 #8017

I am truly really happy to see the turnaround in the season after having going through many changes and finally we are seeing a winning combination after drawing many matches, i was expecting Watford to win but i went under 3.5 goals rather than taking a risk like you but i like the confidence in putting money on winning halftime/full time and winning both halves and only a few minutes left and i hope Bournemouth will not score in this match.
Since they only won 2 matches out of 6 in December (and had two ties), which isn't that good, this year surely started pretty great with no losses, two wins, and one tie! What do those who did not express themselves on the matter yet think about the game on January 14th? The previous one with Tranmere ended in a tie, do you think Watford will win this time? It seems like their success will be the one to earn by a hard game, so let's wish them luck on Tuesday! The history of Watford vs Tranmere is at an interesting point because there's this balance with 4 wins for each F.C. and 2 draws. Who will break the balance in their favor this time?

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January 12, 2020, 05:25:44 PM
 #8018

@Steve, Sportsbet.io is there any special treat coming for celebration of Watford out of relegation zone and now staying here for some time in future they are doing very good back to back good performance  Grin Wink
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January 12, 2020, 05:45:02 PM
 #8019

@Steve, Sportsbet.io is there any special treat coming for celebration of Watford out of relegation zone and now staying here for some time in future they are doing very good back to back good performance  Grin Wink


indeed it has been great performances recently by watford, if they keep this up and manage to stay in premier league that would be huge for them,bitcoin,sportsbet, and us promo hungry gamblers  Grin  rooting for them hard!
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January 12, 2020, 05:45:28 PM
 #8020

Norwich lost to ManU, but I don't see how a Norwich win would have affected the table to keep Watford below the 17th position.

If Norwich had won would have 17 points and the next game would be against Boumemouth, something I believe Norwich can win and would have 20 points. and then play against tottenham that in my opinion Norwich has a 50% chance of winning the game. while Watford if lost today will still have the same 19 points, and next game will play against tottenham which in my opinion will be a very difficult game for Watford. then Watford will play with Aston Villa. if they win today and Aston villa lose today, Watford will be in a good position for the next games

I see, you're thinking way to far ahead for me to keep up, lol.  Anyway, it seems like the stars are aligned for Watford's escape.  I had the Aston Villa and City game on DVR, and started watching late, now I see City scored 3 goals in a matter of minutes, and they're already up by 4 before the half.

Watford has been looking strong the past few weeks, lets hope they can keep climbing up the table.

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