Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[HairyMaclairy]

with the 'heady" adrenaline rush of 'fear' 'panic' and damn...now wtf do I do? Sell/Hodl/Panic?

sh*t at least my life is 'exciting' with crypto in the recesses and windmills of my mind.  

The best thing to do, when you don’t know what to do, is nothing.

As a hodler you have already put yourself in the best possible position.  Only take yourself out of that position if you know exactly what you are doing.  

[El duderino_]

via Imgflip Meme Generator

Little bit OT but Made me laugh (offcourse not like bitcoin is making me laugh)

[HairyMaclairy]

I love empty 2 GB blocks.

What people fail to realize is a paid subscription service that copies data hourly from an existing website (http://OpenWeatherMap.org ) and pastes it into BSV blocks accounts for 98.4% of BSV transactions over the past 30 days

Beautiful. That's worth the hundreds in disk space that I have to pay for to maintain my blockchain history. I love keeping track of the weather.

Well how else are you going to have immutable weather?

[lightfoot]

It is to note that Greyscale is closed to new investors. So these are existing people clamoring for 14k+ bitcoin, not newbies.

Interesting. This is fine.

[BitcoinNewsMagazine]

Symmetrical triangle forming. Usually the break out is in the direction of the existing trend but with bitcoin there are no guarantees:

As expected price broke up from the triangle hope everyone bought the breakout. Price has stalled at the 50% Fibonacci retracement from last ATH to swing low. Next price target is the 61.8% retracement at $13346:

[serveria.com]

Let's see if it's only a dip or a bigger correction. Much needed imho.

I would say that it's not only much needed, but somewhat overdue...

Beartrolls detected 

[HairyMaclairy]

You think having a botnet of real Bots is a bad idea?

Quite. But also very hard to see how the economic and business models will ever stack up.  

They are looking to recoup maintenance cost but I don't think they will unless something drastically changes. If they break even then they will be happy.

But its added decentralized security for the network and LEA supporting Crypto so it's a Win Win in my book.

How could they break even when they are competing against ASICs in data centers?

[HairyMaclairy]

I love empty 2 GB blocks.

What people fail to realize is a paid subscription service that copies data hourly from an existing website (http://OpenWeatherMap.org ) and pastes it into BSV blocks accounts for 98.4% of BSV transactions over the past 30 days

Beautiful. That's worth the hundreds in disk space that I have to pay for to maintain my blockchain history. I love keeping track of the weather.

they forked to a shitcoin version that removed spam protection .... and guess what? ... it's getting spammed to death.

whoulda thunk eh?

Nobody's standing up for BSV here so I'll fill in for them.

Every transaction is legitimate. There's no such thing as a fake transaction.

Every sperm is sacred
Every sperm is great
If a sperm is wasted,
God gets quite irate

[HairyMaclairy]

Lol, I will sell all my Bitcoin if it reaches $20,000, then wait for months to buy it back around 40% below $20,000. This way will help me to enrich my Bitcoin and I will hold them for months till the halving or later to take profits.

Ok, I’m going to sell 15% at $25,000. JJG, you’ll be happy to know I’ve perfected my plan now

Are you actually retarded or just pretending ?

[Alexander_Z]

Let's see if it's only a dip or a bigger correction. Much needed imho.

I would say that it's not only much needed, but somewhat overdue...

Beartrolls detected 

I would be very happy if it goes to $20k uninterrupted, but I think it's a bit... unrealistic

[HairyMaclairy]

Ok, I’m going to sell 15% at $25,000. JJG, you’ll be happy to know I’ve perfected my plan now in theory.

Way too much way too early. 1% maybe at $100k. Maybe.

I think we’ll see $100,000 per BTC in 2021 (mid to end of the year). It’d just be nice to take something off the table a bit earlier. I was a millionaire (GBP) in unrealised/unbanked BTC during the last bull run & I sold nothing.

The drop to $3,000 was gut wrenching, I thought I’d ruined my life by selling nothing near the top.

I’m not going to make that mistake again this time. I know everything points to us breaking 6 figures (USD) per coin on this cycle but I want some insurance against a potential crash.

I’ll be selling 15% at or near $25,000.

Don’t do it in one hit.  Scale out.

Sell 1.5% for every $1k rise from $20k to $30k.

That way if it hits $23.5k and retraces you won’t hate yourself.  Also if it hits $30k you won’t hate yourself.  It also gives you time for fiat from selling at $20k to hit your bank account before you deposit Bitcoin for sale at $21k, meaning you reduce your exposure to exchange risk.  Once the fiat hits your bank account, transfer the fiat to another account with a different bank. 

Personally I think $25k is too low a target but I can appreciate that some people may have a hell of a lot more than me invested in Bitcoin and need to recoup a fraction of their investment.

Make sure you have a longer term plan for Bitcoin hitting $1 million in another 10 or 15 years.

[HairyMaclairy]

Google Trends and data on wallet sizes. Very little retail interest so far - it's mainly big holders who have accumulated.
Even when BTC broke $10k we saw little mainstream media interest. In 2017 the BBC and just about every other major news site ran daily articles on crypto. Almost nothing this time. I guess they still feel burned by last time.
It's starting to change, but only just getting going now.

You don’t want retail interest at this part of the cycle. We should still be in accumulation phase.  If we start to see meaningful distribution that would be concerning.

[Globb0]

[Bitcoinaire]

Ok, I’m going to sell 15% at $25,000. JJG, you’ll be happy to know I’ve perfected my plan now in theory.

Way too much way too early. 1% maybe at $100k. Maybe.

I think we’ll see $100,000 per BTC in 2021 (mid to end of the year). It’d just be nice to take something off the table a bit earlier. I was a millionaire (GBP) in unrealised/unbanked BTC during the last bull run & I sold nothing.

The drop to $3,000 was gut wrenching, I thought I’d ruined my life by selling nothing near the top.

I’m not going to make that mistake again this time. I know everything points to us breaking 6 figures (USD) per coin on this cycle but I want some insurance against a potential crash.

I’ll be selling 15% at or near $25,000.

Don’t do it in one hit.  Scale out.

Sell 1.5% for every $1k rise from $20k to $30k.

That way if it hits $23.5k and retraces you won’t hate yourself.  Also if it hits $30k you won’t hate yourself.

Personally I think $25k is too low a target but I can appreciate that some people may have a hell of a lot more than me invested in Bitcoin and need to recoup a fraction of their investment.

Make sure you have a longer term plan for Bitcoin hitting $1 million in another 10 or 15 years.

I agree, selling at $25,000 will be too early. If/when we break $20,000 we should conservatively reach $30,000 to $35,000. That's the point I plan on selling 10% to 15%.

[RejectedBanana]

Tales from the Crypt

Last couple years, instead of cash, my wife has been gifting BTC for friends and family kids’ birthdays. Small amounts labeled as “college fund”. Every once in a while, she pings the parents: how’s that college fund doing? Some of the returns are approaching 2-3x. Still, few if any of the parents are buying on their own.

Got an Ozzie mate I tried and tried again to convince investing in BTC well before the 2017 run up. He finally caught the fever near the ATH. Fearing he was too late for BTC, he started buying XRP and a host of other shitcoins. Had to have a serious sit down. Might have involved some bitch-slapping. He managed to DCA himself into BTC over the past couple years and calls me up this week: “I’m back in the black!! Wish I bought more at the start of the year!” I suspect we've got a hodler for life.

Know a Chinese gal recently married to a Yankee expat who caught shitcoin fever like only the Chinese can. Unbeknownst to her hubbie, she started dumping massive amounts of her yuan savings into the 2017 hype. When she was down 20% last year, my wife and I spent hours trying to convince her to cut her shitcoin losses. She had no exit plan and remained convinced they would all bounce back. She’s since lost enough she confided in my wife she has been contemplating suicide. Intervention time.

Know a recently retired couple in their 60s, an old boss actually, who came to town in Feb to visit their newlywed daughter. I’ve never spoken a word to them about Bitcoin. One morning they point blank ask, do I own any Bitcoin? Is now a good time to buy? Why yes, now is the perfect time to buy. They’d be sitting on 2-3x returns if they actually pulled the trigger back then. I’m thinking they didn’t though and probably mistakenly think they’ve already missed the boat. Time will tell.

It’s a fine line advocating at the same time impressing upon others the importance of dyor, dca, hodl, don’t overextend, think years not weeks/months. For every success story lurks a potential tragedy, and that’s an albatross no one wants hanging around their neck.

[JayJuanGee]

You will end up praying that the crash from $70-$100k takes us back below $20k to buy back in. We're at $11k with next-to-zero FOMO.

LOL, I think people already FOMOed with bitcoin, around $11,000. Nearly 7 months of bull run, that is too long and bitcoin has gone very far from its start. I could be wrong but I will keep my principle to stay away from FOMO, and keep my patience to be safe and have better chances. Months ago, no one believed that bitcoin would even drop to $6,000, but it actually dropped deeper than that range. From now on, I will keep waiting (taking profits of rest of my bitcoin, and waiting for chances to buy back).

In essence, who knows?  Hopefully, for your own good you did not overplay your hand with too much: 1) valuing your wealth in fiat and 2) lack of confidence in bitcoin and/or understanding that bitcoin is likely in an s-curve exponential up phase.

Yes, significant and meaningful BTC price corrections can still happen, but they are not guaranteed, so the larger your expectations in terms of a correction, the greater gamble you are taking regarding preparing ur selfie for up.

[jackbauercsgo]

Tales from the Crypt

Last couple years, instead of cash, my wife has been gifting BTC for friends and family kids’ birthdays. Small amounts labeled as “college fund”. Every once in a while, she pings the parents: how’s that college fund doing? Some of the returns are approaching 2-3x. Still, few if any of the parents are buying on their own.

Got an Ozzie mate I tried and tried again to convince investing in BTC well before the 2017 run up. He finally caught the fever near the ATH. Fearing he was too late for BTC, he started buying XRP and a host of other shitcoins. Had to have a serious sit down. Might have involved some bitch-slapping. He managed to DCA himself into BTC over the past couple years and calls me up this week: “I’m back in the black!! Wish I bought more at the start of the year!” I suspect we've got a hodler for life.

Know a Chinese gal recently married to a Yankee expat who caught shitcoin fever like only the Chinese can. Unbeknownst to her hubbie, she started dumping massive amounts of her yuan savings into the 2017 hype. When she was down 20% last year, my wife and I spent hours trying to convince her to cut her shitcoin losses. She had no exit plan and remained convinced they would all bounce back. She’s since lost enough she confided in my wife she has been contemplating suicide. Intervention time.

Know a recently retired couple in their 60s, an old boss actually, who came to town in Feb to visit their newlywed daughter. I’ve never spoken a word to them about Bitcoin. One morning they point blank ask, do I own any Bitcoin? Is now a good time to buy? Why yes, now is the perfect time to buy. They’d be sitting on 2-3x returns if they actually pulled the trigger back then. I’m thinking they didn’t though and probably mistakenly think they’ve already missed the boat. Time will tell.

It’s a fine line advocating at the same time impressing upon others the importance of dyor, dca, hodl, don’t overextend, think years not weeks/months. For every success story lurks a potential tragedy, and that’s an albatross no one wants hanging around their neck.

Fun to pat ourselves on the back but let's not kid ourselves - watching walls get cut like a knife all the way down to $3k's was not exciting or fun.  Most bitcoiners likely had been dollar cost averaging for a year in around the $6-8k range thinking 6k was the floor and then *poof* it dropped to $3.5k.  Immediately after that, there was no reason to suspect we had hit rock bottom.  Honestly, I think it would've been insane to have been strongly suggesting that normies be putting their life savings in, even at $3.5k.  Price could've realistically fallen more (not to $0, but to $2k?  Sure!) & then they'd be calling you crying about little Jimmy's college savings being down 50%.

I'm just saying, it's easy to feel great when everything is 3x up from the bottom.  We have been greatly rewarded for taking our great risks & I don't think we should encourage the uneducated normies to take the same risks we do.  DCA is always the only way I encourage people to get in.

[HI-TEC99]

Don’t think I’ve ever seen a thread here discussing cashing out plans, techniques, strategies. I would start one but it’ll be filled with nocoiner noobs, one liner posting, broken English & sig spam.

This might be worth looking at. Although you'll have to read the whole thread because the OP hasn't been updated for a while.

List of Bitcoin Hostile (and friendly) Banks

edit

And there's also this thread.

Free EU bank accounts that you can be opened directly online

[Hueristic]

I have always worked for myself and still have a small company.

One of the guys has worked for me for nearly 20 years, but he has always opted out of the pension scheme 'waste of money - everyone in my family died before they reached pension age' he said.

He rents an apartment, and what worries me is that when he retires (he's in his mid 40's), he just won't be able to afford to keep paying rent on a state pension.  He told me - 'I am saving, but I can't see how I will ever save up enough - prices keep going up, but my savings are climbing too slowly'.

Last year was a struggle - but we had a big contract in late in the year.  I said "If you can help me get this delivered before the end of the year, I will give you a bonus in January."

He did it.  I then said, I want to give the bonus to you in Bitcoin, but you have to hold it for at least a year.  If it has not gone up in that time, I will simply give you the cash instead - if it does - you just might be able to actually afford that deposit on a place of your own.

The bonus was around $6000 (in my currency) and the company bought him the BTC in Jan.

At this rate - he is well on his way to what will be a very positive change in his circumstances.  

This will be huge in terms of his outlook; THIS is the transformative power of Bitcoin.

I am so happy I was able to do this. Thank you, Bitcoin.

Thats friggin awesome man, you know he won't want to sell and will end up holding till he dies though.

Like the rest of us.

[Globb0]

Don’t think I’ve ever seen a thread here discussing cashing out plans, techniques, strategies. I would start one but it’ll be filled with nocoiner noobs, one liner posting, broken English & sig spam.

This might be worth looking at. Although you'll have to read the whole thread because the OP han't been updated for a while.

List of Bitcoin Hostile (and friendly) Banks

Barclays stopped my trade with Bittylicious because "suspicious it may not be you" strange because I used their own little encrypted calculator thing so they really knew full well it was me.

Had my account locked a few days, I said I'm buying something from the internet? do you want to tell me anything like a good reason? bad seller? what? nothing. They just didn't want to let me.

Interesting how they get to decide if you are allowed to spend your money.