Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[infofront]

You can always trade some lambos and btc for more sluts.

[infofront]

[xhomerx10]

[lightfoot]

Infofront:

You have not just talked to God.
You have simply ingested 50 micrograms of LSD.

Relax and enjoy the ride.

[Paashaas]

[infofront]

[Biodom]

"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon." J. Livermore

BTC made it possible for a person who just "sit tight" to make a very nice return.
Almost everyone makes mistakes in trading/timing.
As long as you are bagging a 100-6000% return, don't worry about lousy timing that shaved an extra 10-20%.

[CjMapope]

it was like a whale sold out, we had a dip
then within a few hours we recovered most of it
In my streets the young people rejoice, tho im not sure its over BTC price (local grad night)

Nice to see you all happy(?) and healthy, best wishes in our latest bullrun
my 20k my 2020 prediction still on good path

[sheenshane]

HODLER's reward your self now!

Sorry for panic sellers...

[jojo69]

well

we ain't seen the mayor yet...

[hisslyness]

And the FOMO begins....

https://www.news.com.au/finance/markets/bitcoin-surges-to-17month-high-trading-at-more-than-18000/news-story/c4ef1ae0dfb18ec01ffd70993fa56ab3

[VB1001]

https://twitter.com/Pladizow/status/1143928938437259273

Good Morning WO,s

Only 18% below and we are already rising, Bitcoin is unique.
A pretty suggestive graph, we'll see how long it takes to double 12.8

[fillippone]

GOOD MORNING WO!
Observing 12,761!

Maybe we shouldn’t call Bitcoin Corn 🌽, But Avocado 🥑!

https://twitter.com/thestalwart/status/1143947871127035904?s=21

I know @tracyalloway has a patent on this chart, but the Avocadoes vs. Bitcoin chart really is outstanding

I know correlation is not causation, as proved in spuriouscorrelations.com

[VB1001]

https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/

No need to worry.

[LoyceV]

Did we just lose 1k in 5 minutes ?

More

Is this the typical "someone sold a lot because it went up"? Or is this the typical "someone sold a lot to trigger stop-losses and buy it back later"? Or is this going to trigger my (wife's) Q2 prediction of $7800?

Hahahahahaha

Blame your inner bear on your wife... 

Well, to be fair, she predicted $7800 for Q1. I'm the one who movedo it over to Q2.
About 6 weeks into Q2 she was right for quite a long time. So with some calibration, she should be able to make a perfect prediction for Q3 if I ask her to make a prediction for mid November

[Searing]

Anyone interested made a humor thread about HODL Sinner's (of which I am one of the fallen faithful)

I was bored. IF you are interested the thread link is below. Tell your stories of selling Bitcoin and not

keeping the HODL faith and how long you may NOW be on the wagon and reformed! There is also a poll.

Anyway, stuff to do.

Link:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5159004.0


------------------------------------------------------

Welcome, All.

At this meeting you will be allowed to repent for your lack of faith in the past of the HODL faith and seek forgiveness from the WO/Bitcointalk faithful.

You will also be able to talk about your successes of resisting the evil temptation of selling any of your HODL Hoard (shudders) as a testament to your HODL Faith.

Who is first?

-----------------------------------------------------

Brad

[fillippone]

Did we just lose 1k in 5 minutes ?

More

Is this the typical "someone sold a lot because it went up"? Or is this the typical "someone sold a lot to trigger stop-losses and buy it back later"? Or is this going to trigger my (wife's) Q2 prediction of $7800?

Hahahahahaha

Blame your inner bear on your wife... 

Well, to be fair, she predicted $7800 for Q1. I'm the one who movedo it over to Q2.
About 6 weeks into Q2 she was right for quite a long time. So with some calibration, she should be able to make a perfect prediction for Q3 if I ask her to make a prediction for mid November

Having a wife able to predict quarterly price target for Bitcoin is an invaluable ingredient for a long lasting relationship!
Well done LoyceV!

[Phil_S]

That's it folks, 12800 will be the new 6400.

[Lambie Slayer]

Does anyone besides Tone and Tyler still think we are in a Bear Market?  

I have been surprised by the power of the recent surge with so much time before the halvening, still think we are due for some serious pull backs in the near future, but surely no one can deny with a straight face that the Bull is upon us.

@JJG, Id like an update on your certainty of the Bull in percent terms kind sir. I remember a while back at a much lower price you stated 51 percent certainty. Hopefully you are in the 90's now

More or less I think that you are asking about the odds that the "bottom is in" for this cycle, and that bottom is the $3,122 price from mid-December 2018 (seems so long ago, but of course, not as long as it seems).

So yeah, I believe that the last time that I mentioned anything related to whether the bottom was in, was a couple of weeks ago, when we were still in the sub $9k-ish... and in that context, I was attempting to suggest to 48 that he might want to just pay hairy for the bottom is in prediction, and I think that I suggested that the odds were quite less than 40%.. and maybe even more realistically in the sub 33% arena.

Currently, I would say that we might even be in the sub 20% arena.. and perhaps 25% if we are trying to be charitable to bears.  90% does seem a bit too high of an assignment currently, but we are likely 90% likely to not go below $1k or maybe $2k, but even that could be pushing it a bit to assert that level of certainty towards something that could be within the power of some rich folks, banks and or governments to update unite forces in an attempt to achieve (though again, seemingly unlikely - in the sub 25% and maybe more realistically in the sub 20% - to get any kind of event (or set of events including FUD spreading) that could even bring BTC prices to new lows, currently when there is decently ongoing UP momentum).

Edit:
Furthermore, this out of control baby bull BTC seems to be growing up too damned fast for his own good, and likely needs a bit of a spanking.... but none of us really know how to tame this bad boy... instead he is trampling all over the clowns in the stadium... and seeming to be a wwwwwweeeeeeeeeee bit pissed off about his upbringing.       Sucks to be a bullpen clown, these days..... Wwwweeeeeeeeee.

I like your probabilities(optimistic but reasonable), even if I am higher in the 90 percent(optimistic perhaps to a fault) plus range in terms of certainty that the bottom is in. The baby bull has grown faster than foreseen due to the Fed printing so much fiat steroids and infusing them into his food and water supply.

I still expect a major correction back into the 5-7k range and I believe if this happens then the fall will be so large that bears and weak hands will start calling for a new low to materialize before the halving. Even if these prices occur I will be over 90 percent sure imo that the bottom is in. I have more fiat ready to buy such a correction, but as Im over 90 percent net worth invested I don't care if it never happens and we march straight to 100k If 3 months pass by without significant correction then I will probably just deploy the fiat and scoop up some more coin regardless of price.


@Central Bankers: We know you read this thread so listen up! You wont get one precious coin from me at sub 50k prices so stop calling my cell and pretending to be Microsoft technicians alerting me to a virus. I know who you are and what you really want

[AlcoHoDL]

That's it folks, 12800 will be the new 6400.

As I'm a power-of-two junkie, I second that.

Onwards to $25600 and towards $102400 (WO Party), and beyond...