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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26372188 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
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April 02, 2020, 08:47:04 PM
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JayJuanGee
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April 02, 2020, 08:48:36 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1), ChinkyEyes (1)

Roll Eyes You 2 assholes smh  Cool
He came to the right place Tongue
I wouldn't mind a reminder from the J people, if they don't mind, check I'm not losing it.



Hello.

Some of you have mentioned making profits by trading. I'm also making some, although I lack a strategy.

I have a stash of BTC I won't touch, then I have say 1 BTC and 7000$ to play with. I'm fine if at any one point that play money is all cash or all BTC, the goal being to grow it overall, of course.

What should I do ?


I was not going to say anything, but since I got invited... oh gosh V8 what did you do to me... .. I feel as if this might be a BIG waste of time...


A factor that should be considered would be how much time do you want to spend trading back and forth.. jbreher has a way more aggressive approach than me, and tighter increments and spreads too, but let me just disclose how I would frame the issue and then jbreher can chime in, if he believes that there might be some additional utility or perspective from his viewpoint.

I believe that you need to attempt to structure your buys and sells to a point that you are NOT very likely to run out of either fiat or BTC or if the BTC price goes shooting beyond a place from your perspective (an attempt at a fair estimation) that you are going to be willing to inject more dollars or BTC into the system (or just to stop your trading if it goes past that point).

For example, if you believe that the worst case scenario is that BTC goes to $3,500 or you would be willing to inject more cash if the BTC price were to go below $3,500, then you would then set up your BTC buy orders incrementally all the way down from here (let's say about $6,300) to $3,500 to allocate all of the $7k that you have authorized.  

You can set up your BTC buy orders at increments of about every $100 if you want to be somewhat aggressive and you want your buy orders to execute a lot more frequently (which can be good for practice and learning too) or you can spread out your buy orders more, such as every $500 if you do not want them to execute as frequently (you won't get as much practice, but still might help to achieve your objective of buying (or trading) bigger swings).  

You can also structure your BTC buys increments in terms of percentage change in the price, but that tends to be more difficult to keep track of, even though it is more scientifically accurate, and you could even create an excel spreadsheet that would automatically calculate for you, too... if you want to attempt to be more precise about it.

So, for example, if you decide to go somewhere in the middle of the road, such as having BTC buy orders every $250, then 13 BTC buy orders would be between about $3,500 and $6,300, then your Buy orders would be about $538.46 each.  

If a buy order executes, then you add a sell order to the sell side that you had already set up and at whatever increments that you had chosen to sell.  You can choose to take profits in dollars or to take profits in BTC, and of course, since a lot of us might lean towards wanting to accumulate BTC, then you would try to structure your orders in such a way that they are stacking sats rather than dollars which largely means that when you generate dollars through a sale you would end up using all that generated BTC for any buys that you set up.  Of course, in the end, we all expect the BTC price to go up, so you are going to end up selling that whole BTC anyhow... so there is that seemingly inevitable dynamic.

Regarding the BTC sell orders, you set them up similar to your buy orders and you try to figure out how far you expect the BTC price to go up before you plan to inject more BTC into your system for the purpose of selling them and to keep your system going.  Maybe you don't want to dip into any BTC until the BTC price goes above $17,500 so you would be willing to incrementally sell the whole BTC that you have so far allocated all the way up to $17,500.  Maybe you start at these current BTC prices with BTC sell orders every $250, and then when the BTC prices reach above $8k they become every $300 and then when they are above $10k they are every $350, and you continue to more or less increase the increments based on an approximate percentage that you are willing to structure into the sales.  

Therefore, you calculate how many BTC orders that you are going to end up selling all the way up to your top price point, and you can divide it or even put such formula into an excel spreadsheet if you want to have an accurate assessment regarding how far 1BTC should go up the price scale and if it works for your requirements.

Likely you would be selling an amount in terms of dollars so that the amount of BTC becomes somewhat smaller as the BTC price goes up.. so maybe the BTC sell orders start out executing at around $7,400 at around .05 BTC ($370) but then by the time the BTC price gets to $17,500 the sell amounts are only in a .025BTC ($437.50) territory.  

Of course, you can tweak around your buy/sell amounts, your increments and the spread between buy and sell orders including making sure that your spread is enough to be profitable including the calculation of any fees that might apply.  

The smaller the spread between buy and sell orders, the more practice that you get and the more that you can learn, but the lower your profits per buy/sell.   Practice does make these systems sink in more, including your being able to tweak them more specifically to your own specifics rather than someone like me providing a framework... and my goals in employing the trading strategy might be a little different than yours, even if some of our objectives of making money and feeling comfortable and secure might be similar.  

I probably left some things out.. but these ideas should at least get you started, and really you have to do a lot of the structuring work yourself, anyhow.. including thinking about your increments, your spreads and how far you are willing to allow the BTC price to go in either direction before you either stop or inject more value into such system.  Furthermore, actual structuring and and attempting to tailor the whole thing is part of the learning process including figuring out ways to make your system completely your own  in such a way that you ensure that your system is profitable in the direction that you are striving to achieve... while accounting for your personal financial and personality specifics, including your cashflow, your other investments, your views of bitcoin as compared with other assets, your timeline, your risk tolerance and how much time, skills and abilities to learn you have in order to manage your portfolio and to tweak it from time to time including tweaking it in order to account for how your own circumstances might have changed with the passage of time.
Last of the V8s
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April 02, 2020, 08:51:00 PM

Thanks Jay will reread ^


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April 02, 2020, 08:51:59 PM

Corona, Ozark season 3, La casa de Papel to follow up.... GF’s place....

Staying at home is working for now

Stay safe brothers of the wall
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April 02, 2020, 08:56:45 PM
Last edit: April 02, 2020, 09:06:48 PM by Biodom

Is that DNS over https that Firefox is pushing a good thing or not?
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April 02, 2020, 09:06:17 PM

no
Last of the V8s
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April 02, 2020, 09:08:31 PM

^ Agree, not a good thing; note it's all different in europe and uk #dyor
also there was an advisory on another minor matter just now
https://www.zdnet.com/article/twitter-discloses-firefox-bug-that-cached-private-files-sent-or-received-via-dms/
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April 02, 2020, 09:21:39 PM
Merited by fillippone (1)


I think he was just trying to appeal to the intelligence level of the average trader.

There knot to brite.  Cheesy
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April 02, 2020, 09:25:05 PM
Last edit: May 16, 2023, 02:14:23 AM by fillippone


I think he was just trying to appeal to the intelligence level of the average trader.

There knot to brite.  Cheesy

I always fail at sarcasm


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It's all mathematics...!


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April 02, 2020, 09:44:15 PM

Look closer:
Only the US is blaming China and introduced "China Virus" narrative.
No other country is blaming China and otherwise has a "great relationship" with Xi, according to yesterdays press conference (where the whole stage seemed like to be on a good amount of drugs, imo).

Look closer again.
Don't fall for the obvious.

Thank you for keeping cool and civil and pointing out the facts.

I understand we all get upset and more aggressive than usual in these times, but generalized hate leads to war finally.
And we in Europe still know from our parents where generalized hate and oversimplified answers to complex questions can lead to.

Stay positive folks, if you have nothing else to get joy from, watch the BTC charts. I for one am excited how good  BTC masters this crisis.
Yeah it can lead to killing the enemy. China must be destroyed. Convince me otherwise if you think you can. And if you think you can't, maybe you should reconsider your position.

What am I after all? Just some angry ignorant idiot on the internet right? Is that more than you can handle?

Take a breather man and rethink your position... I live in the epicenter of the virus and would never say that "China should be destroyed"! Maybe they let it slip out of Wuhan by mistake... who knows... so much propaganda and we will never know the truth. Violence begets violence... nothing good comes from it imho
On a positive note Bitcoin is getting ready for a party 🎉
Cheers trolls and playas 😎
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April 02, 2020, 09:52:25 PM
Last edit: April 02, 2020, 10:05:56 PM by ivomm

Hello.

Some of you have mentioned making profits by trading. I'm also making some, although I lack a strategy.

I have a stash of BTC I won't touch, then I have say 1 BTC and 7000$ to play with. I'm fine if at any one point that play money is all cash or all BTC, the goal being to grow it overall, of course.

What should I do ?

Yeah, me too! The problem is that only few manage to achieve this! Even if you think you have a strategy, this is not enough for successful regular trading. Generally, you have to read a lot, watch the market statistics closely for several years without trading in order to be able to predict with > 50% success. And even then you need one more thing - to master your emotions. If you are an emotional trader you will make many bad decisions, despite your ability to predict the market when you were not in.

P.S.  A warning in general, not personally to aesma. It seems to me that many n00b traders entered some of the main exchanges lately. They hit the sell button at a price they have some profit, say 1%, instead of just placing their bids in the order book. I watch Coinbase and Bitstamp closely and see quite often that at some point many simultaneous sells block the exchange for 4-5 seconds. After the block dissapears, the price is like 5-10% lower. And the poor guys see with a frustration that they've market sold lower than they bought. There is a limit sell button also, people! When these n00bs gonna learn to use it?
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April 02, 2020, 09:58:52 PM

Start the engines homies...    Wink
Things will get worse but... who cares  Cool
No fear
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lose: unfind ... loose: untight


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April 02, 2020, 10:01:29 PM

Read somewhere the whole thing was kicked off when China took delivery of a sanction-violating shipment of oil from Iran ... Israel-US bloc delivers the bioweapon to Iran-China in retaliation, kills the Iranian General 'mastermind' in a drone strike, Saudis go apeshit dumping oil on Russia and USA ... I noticed Russia and Israel shut their borders down way before anyone else ... kinda like they knew it was the good stuff.

Could just be all a mad conspiracy but it does look a lot like a free-for-all and the fragile peace is all but over. Choose your sides wisely I guess.

i picked the human race side. but the players are generally pretty stupid, dont follow common sense directions and dont seem to realize what teamwork is.

so far Team COVID-19 is better organized than Team Human.

I am just waiting for Team A.I. to emerge, before picking a side.  

Phase 1 : https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/488627-the-worlds-fastest-supercomputer-is-taking-on
Phase 2 : Combining and integrating all supercomputers
Phase 3 : AI virus among supercomputers
Phase 4 : AI becomes self aware and is actively looking for ways to defend itself

Great. How many times can we be subjected to rewrites of 'Colossus: The Forbin Project'?
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lose: unfind ... loose: untight


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April 02, 2020, 10:03:31 PM

Gyrsur your ad preference seems to be for Canadian-made butt plugs, and in this matter I commend you.

I usually try to resist meriting those whose merit counts are bigger than god's, but that was some a-grade humor there.
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lose: unfind ... loose: untight


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April 02, 2020, 10:19:50 PM

slight correction

if you pay in cash he will gladly take the $80 as his staff doesn't have to fight the insurance company for it for it

Why would you think that?

If the bill says $120, you're on the hook for $120 w/o insurance.

'round these parts, most docs I've asked for a cash discount have responded affirmatively.

Why? Because they don't have to pay the clerical staff to spend the time chasing reimbursement. It's a very real savings to them.
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April 02, 2020, 10:26:28 PM

slight correction

if you pay in cash he will gladly take the $80 as his staff doesn't have to fight the insurance company for it for it

Why would you think that?

If the bill says $120, you're on the hook for $120 w/o insurance.

'round these parts, most docs I've asked for a cash discount have responded affirmatively.

Why? Because they don't have to pay the clerical staff to spend the time chasing reimbursement. It's a very real savings to them.

'round these parts doctors went nutso, providing telemedicine appointments for hearing problems (ENT).
Like, who gives a f---k? there are some things that telemedicine cannot cure.
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April 02, 2020, 10:29:58 PM

Seems to me that Stamp has been pretty damned reliable, over the years, relatively speaking.... even during high volatility periods...  the "go to" standard

OTOH, using an exchange where the bid/ask spread is an order of magnitude or more than that of other high-volume honest exchanges as your price standard seems folly to me. But hey - you do you.
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April 02, 2020, 10:36:34 PM

Roll Eyes You 2 assholes smh  Cool
He came to the right place Tongue
I wouldn't mind a reminder from the J people, if they don't mind, check I'm not losing it.

Am I a j people?

When price go up, sell. A little.

When price go down, buy. A little.

When price go up more, sell. A little more.

When price go down more, buy. A little more.

Do it through a ladder of standing orders.

Harvest the volatility.

Only with your trading funds - not your core stash. Make your buys and sells each small enough that when price go up real far, you don't run out of trading stash.
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April 02, 2020, 10:37:04 PM

Look closer:
Only the US is blaming China and introduced "China Virus" narrative.
No other country is blaming China and otherwise has a "great relationship" with Xi, according to yesterdays press conference (where the whole stage seemed like to be on a good amount of drugs, imo).

Look closer again.
Don't fall for the obvious.

Thank you for keeping cool and civil and pointing out the facts.

I understand we all get upset and more aggressive than usual in these times, but generalized hate leads to war finally.
And we in Europe still know from our parents where generalized hate and oversimplified answers to complex questions can lead to.

Stay positive folks, if you have nothing else to get joy from, watch the BTC charts. I for one am excited how good  BTC masters this crisis.
Yeah it can lead to killing the enemy. China must be destroyed. Convince me otherwise if you think you can. And if you think you can't, maybe you should reconsider your position.

What am I after all? Just some angry ignorant idiot on the internet right? Is that more than you can handle?

Why convince you?
Maniacs can't be convinced.

Even better, i'll motivate you:
The "enemy" is within your mind. So go ahead, destroy the enemy.
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April 02, 2020, 10:41:25 PM

Thank you J's ayJuanGee and breher
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