Bitcoin Forum
April 28, 2024, 05:31:15 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

Pages: « 1 ... 33098 33099 33100 33101 33102 33103 33104 33105 33106 33107 33108 33109 33110 33111 33112 33113 33114 33115 33116 33117 33118 33119 33120 33121 33122 33123 33124 33125 33126 33127 33128 33129 33130 33131 33132 33133 33134 33135 33136 33137 33138 33139 33140 33141 33142 33143 33144 33145 33146 33147 [33148] 33149 33150 33151 33152 33153 33154 33155 33156 33157 33158 33159 33160 33161 33162 33163 33164 33165 33166 33167 33168 33169 33170 33171 33172 33173 33174 33175 33176 33177 33178 33179 33180 33181 33182 33183 33184 33185 33186 33187 33188 33189 33190 33191 33192 33193 33194 33195 33196 33197 33198 ... 33304 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368764 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Chibit01
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 42
Merit: 5


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 09:31:04 PM


Sure And still counting uptrend it is going up daily  and daily I told my colleague that bitcoin will soon hit $100k they thought 💭 that am joking that was when it was still $54k but today is about $72k and still counting Extra $1k in just 1hr it's not wonderful 👍
"If you don't want people to know you're a scumbag then don't be a scumbag." -- margaritahuyan
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
1714282275
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714282275

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714282275
Reply with quote  #2

1714282275
Report to moderator
1714282275
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714282275

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714282275
Reply with quote  #2

1714282275
Report to moderator
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 10:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3696
Merit: 10180


Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 10:02:12 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)

[edited out]
I found those scenarios to be unlikely in a short time frame (1-2 years).
Most likely, we would pull up to a significant % of the gold market cap of about 12 tril (anywhere between 30 and 50%) aka $4-6 tril or 200-300K/btc.
My favorite number, if someone asks, is currently $236K/btc.

I am starting to think $120k to $180k for 2024 - based on currently known dynamics and trends from ongoing ETF demand coupled with the halvening. (which is 2x to 3x) from $60k

Thus perhaps another 2x to 3x from the 2024 numbers for 2025 based on sheer momentum that has historically tended to go along with the cycles - which gives us $240k to $540k for 2025

Of course, my numbers are surely not anticipating anything close to straight up so there will probably be 4 or more corrections of 30% or more that might even last several weeks each time, and there could be something like 20 or more 10-15% or more corrections.

That would be the base-case scenario for price predictions, which surely means we could over or under perform, but we might have to revisit each leg along the way in order to consider if anything has really changed.  As far as personal finances, stick with the 200-WMA rather than getting worked up about spot price, yet for 2024 and perhaps even 2025, I don't expect any corrections to get below within 20% above the 200-WMA - and if there is any correction that goes that low it would be a spike rather than anything lasting.

My upper scenarios would still be similar to my chart from 2021 which would probably have the top number of $2 million plus for this cycle at less then 0.5% odds.

welcome to the clown-world Grin Roll Eyes
french television reports that the Bitcoin price will be halved after the halving...

https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1767284805966672170

They probably got their maths and sciences from proudhon, which means they need to reverse it (do the exact opposite) for the numbers to actually make sense.  In other words, change the negative to a positive.. which means 2x (at a bare minimum).
Leahized
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 22
Merit: 4


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 10:16:13 PM

WO Top
El duderino_
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2492
Merit: 12008


BTC + Crossfit, living life.


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 10:42:47 PM
Merited by BitcoinBunny (21), LFC_Bitcoin (3), philipma1957 (2), vapourminer (1), ivomm (1), strawbs (1)

The Dude would enjoy.
An overnight ATH…

Increasing while sleeping.
Sounds heavenly.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 11:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
BitcoinBunny
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1442
Merit: 2493



View Profile
March 12, 2024, 11:04:38 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4)

The Dude would enjoy.
An overnight ATH…

Increasing while sleeping.
Sounds heavenly.

LFC_Bitcoin
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3514
Merit: 9499


#1 VIP Crypto Casino


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 11:14:30 PM

I am starting to think $120k to $180k for 2024 - based on currently known dynamics and trends from ongoing ETF demand coupled with the halvening. (which is 2x to 3x) from $60k

Thus perhaps another 2x to 3x from the 2024 numbers for 2025 based on sheer momentum that has historically tended to go along with the cycles - which gives us $240k to $540k for 2025

JimboToronto
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3990
Merit: 4460


You're never too old to think young.


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 11:14:45 PM
Last edit: March 12, 2024, 11:58:00 PM by JimboToronto
Merited by El duderino_ (2), AlcoHoDL (1)

The Dude would enjoy.
An overnight ATH…

Increasing while sleeping.
Sounds heavenly.



Edit: I just had to add this.  Cool



Buffett and Wilde, two completely different attitudes, but they seem to be in agreement.

Life's too short. Savor every moment.
El duderino_
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2492
Merit: 12008


BTC + Crossfit, living life.


View Profile
March 12, 2024, 11:54:37 PM
Merited by bitebits (1)

Long time written these exact words

But the dude goes in

#HODLsleep
JimboToronto
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3990
Merit: 4460


You're never too old to think young.


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 12:02:25 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)

Long time written these exact words

But the dude goes in

#HODLsleep


Sleep tight.

I tip my glass (Margarita) to you.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 12:03:24 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 01:01:14 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 02:01:13 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 03:01:16 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
WatChe
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 896
Merit: 543



View Profile WWW
March 13, 2024, 03:38:44 AM

How much bitcoin (in percent) do you guys have of bitcoin in your overall portfolio?

I have nearly 30%, which i always thought to be quiet large.. however, I have the feelings it should be more now. at least 50%  Cheesy

I have no shitcoins, just traditional investments.

I am the one with 100% Bitcoin.

I have zero interest in Alts or Shit coins.

I’m about 1% alts. A large majority of that was from airdrops and giveaways. When it comes to alts I’ve probably purchased 0.1%. That being said, I’ve had a great deal of fun with that 0.1% and have explored probably more use cases than with the 99% stack of my BTC. So for entertainment purposes, alts are certainly king.

In my early days I invested some part in Ethereum but soon I realised that what's the point to invest in such Alt's that moves only when Bitcoin goes up. So why not invest in Bitcoin directly?
I have seen many people in my local boards getting benefit from Airdrops and I am too lazy to apply for that. I have a resolve to go for airdrops but struggling to accomplish my resolve.
0.1% is a safe bet if you are going to gamble with your money and yes it's fun too.   
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3696
Merit: 10180


Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 03:39:10 AM
Last edit: March 13, 2024, 05:27:51 AM by JayJuanGee
Merited by El duderino_ (3), AlcoHoDL (1), bitebits (1)

I think the flight will be into:
gold
silver
platinum
palladium

then btc

Maybe stones like ruby emeralds and diamonds.

But it still does not mean dump your btc.

You are so distracted on an ongoing basis.  

yes, there may be some value flowing into those other assets (commodities), but they are likely not going to move in terms of percentages like bitcoin will, even if you might possibly be correct about the order of flows, which that is even doubtful to be thinking about order of flows in that kind of way... because billions of dollars of flows into those other assets does not have the same effect as billions of dollars of flow into bitcoin.  In other words it takes way less capital to cause bitcoin to move the same amount.. or even multiples (and or magnitudes) more rapidly than those other assets.

So stop being so ongoingly distracted into largely irrelevant comparisons.

I am hoping for my btc savings to become higher than my wife's 'safe' 401k by 2026

First.  When did you first start getting supposedly interested in actually holding onto bitcoin rather than selling it right away.. probably around 2018/2019 no?  The value your bitcoin should have had already surpassed your wives 401k.   Let me throw out some numbers, and you don't need to correct me (or confirm), but let's say that your wives 401k is worth around $750k.. so then that would generate about $3k per income per month in terms of a 4% withdrawal rate.

Now, if you had been investing into bitcoin (and/or diverting capital over to bitcoin, you could have had accumulated 10 bitcoin and you would already be close to surpassing the value of your wive's 401k.. at least in terms of BTC spot price..

I just like to blame you for failing to focus on accumulation through buying.. rather than what you seem to be doing is shaving off profits on such a regular basis and probably hoping to buy back cheaper, but then you chicken out when the BTC price drops, so instead of buying BTC, you sell your BTC and you buy IBonds, and you still seem to believe that was the correct course for your situation.

Let's just say that instead you had focused on $500 per week into bitcoin since the beginning of 2019 (is that even possible?), then you would have had invested right around $136k and you could have had accumulated 9.4615 BTC (currently valued at $681k) until now, so you would already be very close to surpassing your wive's 401k.

Am I picking on you too much?  I am even giving you the benefit of the doubt that you admit that you screwed up the earlier part of your BTC involvement by not hanging onto enough BTC during your earlier years of your BTC involvement, so I picked a date that I thought might be reasonable..

..but then now on reflection, maybe I am picking too early of a date?  Maybe you did not convert to a supposed BTC accumulator until a later date.  because, just now, I did do a quick look at your post history and holy fucking shit, it seems that you don't seem to have been involved in this WO thread until maybe late 2020 .. so fuck.. that kind of screws up the timeline for being able to accumulate enough coins to catchup to your wive's 401k...

Let me rework the numbers for a conversion into a BTC accumulator starting in late 2020.. Let's go with October 2020.

so we have to remember the time factor when it comes to building a position.. .. but if we are building we need to be building rather than fucking around with selling and trying to buy back cheaper and other distractions that don't involve strict and straight forward ongoing accumulation until we get to enough cornz.

If I consider your conversions in to actually wanting to accumulate and HODL your BTC rather than selling right away, then I would then have to double the weekly contribution, so that if you had been investing $1k per week since October 1, 2020, then you would have had invested $180k, and you currently would have about 6.124 BTC (yes quite a coincidence), but still notably not a bad place to be since it would currently would be worth $441k, which also would put you within site of surpassing your wives 401k within the year rather than needing to get through this whole cycle.

Second:  The other point that you make about surpassing your wife in 2026 makes hardly any sense in terms of current anticipated BTC cycles.

Are you even with the cycle thing?  3 ups and a down.  Currently, we are ONLY in the second up, so only 1 more up then we get a down.  Don't you know dat? dee basics?

Whatever dumbassery there is in the legacy media, at least it is very clear that they are still talking about Bitcoin.

Certainly not Ethereum, not Vitalik walking zombie deep eye socket man, not BNB, not Solana and not bearded ape asswiped NFTs.

Other "cryptos" are not even worth mentioning here as they are bound to fall off the radar in a few years whichever position they currently enjoy on coinmarketcap.

Most never even regained their previous highs whilst we have seen BTC's new ATHs. At what point is it not clear to people that they are shitcoins?
Just because it is a shitcoin does not mean it has absolutely no use. You can leverage Bitcoin to short shitcoins and make more Bitcoin Tongue.

Even if you have the right idea about shitcoin's being shit, it still is not a good idea to put your bitcoin at risk to bet against them.  They can pump way longer than any of us can stay solvent, so why put your bitcoin at risk when you have about as close of a thing to a sure bet just longing bitcoin.. the most that you can lose if you long bitcoin (without leverage) is 100% of your investment... and the upside has been really great, and bitcoin's investment thesis does not seem to be getting weaker, even if the magnitude of future pumps may well not be as large as the magnitude of bitcoin's pumps in the last 12 years-ish... but still each of us has to work with what we got.. and if we are just building our capital, then we just have to buy bitcoin and don't get too greedy with leverage. and why fuck around with either shitcoins and/or trading. when bitcoin is such a great investment by its lil selfie..

When exiting your position you can figuratively feel the frustration and confusion of shitcoin investors who still have not realized that whenever Bitcoin goes down, shitcoins go down even harder.

I still would not want to try to play that angle... it seems like a waste of brainpower and energy and potentially money, if it does not end up playing out that way.

So in that regard, it seems more of a sure bet that bitcoin is going to go up forever Laura rather than shitcoins might not unexpectedly pump for longer than they should and/or at unexpected times.

And shitcoins always go down except during bull markets when they get to ride daddy Bitcoin's coat tails. And if the shitcoiner gets lucky, they own whichever shitcoin is getting pumped on that day(Which totally is not just the devs trying to make their shitcoin look popular by pumping their own money into it, I mean, who would do that? Roll Eyes).

People do it.. and I am not personally going to get involved either way..  Fuck shitcoins and/or the waste of time of paying any close attention to them.... except maybe just as random entertainment, but nothing that I would want to actually financially and/or psychologically invest in, either direction.. besides just investing into bitcoin and staying focused on bitcoin, which already seems to be an investment  against shitcoins.

I sell all the Ltc instantly and ladder sell doge.

I made more doing this then I ever did mining btc.
How much more profitable is mining LTC than mining BTC, Percentage-wise? Just out of interest.

Also, I would consider LTC an altcoin, but not a shitcoin. It is one of the top 20 coins on Coinmarketcap and has been around for a really long time. You can't really compare the risk of mining a random shitcoin with mining LTC.

Oh gawd...  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

Now we are talking about which shitcoin happens to be less shitty.

Give me a break.   Roll Eyes
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 04:03:21 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Toxic2040
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1792
Merit: 4141



View Profile
March 13, 2024, 04:17:53 AM

~snip
Oh gawd...  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

Now we are talking about which shitcoin happens to be less shitty.

Give me a break.   Roll Eyes



https://twitter.com/WholesomeMeme/status/1767748675550220597
JimboToronto
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3990
Merit: 4460


You're never too old to think young.


View Profile
March 13, 2024, 04:26:46 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)

Finishing my last margarita.

Off to bed even though it's barely after midnight local time.

Hopefully we'll all make money while I'm sleeping.

A new ATH tomorrow would be really pleasant.

Go Bitcoin go.
Pages: « 1 ... 33098 33099 33100 33101 33102 33103 33104 33105 33106 33107 33108 33109 33110 33111 33112 33113 33114 33115 33116 33117 33118 33119 33120 33121 33122 33123 33124 33125 33126 33127 33128 33129 33130 33131 33132 33133 33134 33135 33136 33137 33138 33139 33140 33141 33142 33143 33144 33145 33146 33147 [33148] 33149 33150 33151 33152 33153 33154 33155 33156 33157 33158 33159 33160 33161 33162 33163 33164 33165 33166 33167 33168 33169 33170 33171 33172 33173 33174 33175 33176 33177 33178 33179 33180 33181 33182 33183 33184 33185 33186 33187 33188 33189 33190 33191 33192 33193 33194 33195 33196 33197 33198 ... 33304 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!