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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26835585 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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August 29, 2025, 09:01:16 PM


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August 29, 2025, 10:01:14 PM


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August 29, 2025, 10:52:42 PM
Last edit: August 30, 2025, 12:42:27 AM by JayJuanGee


After a trigger word, then a safe word is needed.   No?

Maybe the safe word is:  "I am sorry. I did not mean it."  That seems to work pretty well as long as the person does not have other reasons to try to argue about the use of such language in these here parts.

Waiting for long wall of text!
JJG this isn’t you, let’s see the real JJG!

There needs to be some kind of an interesting hook.

At least a hook that I consider to be interesting.

Many of us, not only yours truly, have beaten the bitcoin versus crypto distinction to death, but yeah, there continue to be folks who continue to use that word crypto in ways that are ambiguous, misleading and/or disingenuine.

Surely when any of us is citing a meme that had been made from someone else, we still have responsibility over the contents.

For example, a guy could say I love this meme, except I don't really like that it uses the word "crypto."  There are ways that we can still attempt to pay attention to our posts without just blindly citing something.

I don't even necessarily disagree with the use of the term crypto.. I do it myself from time to time, yet I usually attempt to say what I mean by using it rather than just rotedly allowing the term to slip in as if it were to mean anything in and of itself.

some 108.9k dip dip dip.
https://x.com/naiivememe/status/1961384890206961793?s=46
If buying dips, then buy them serious

Does crypto have something to do with this thread?
While browsing naiive, X account I find it interesting, so I shared it. On lighter note.

And, you discovered it is not very light if you end up glossing over the use of the term "crypto" as if crypto is "on-topic" in this thread.

How do you perceive your own involvement in "bitcoin?"

Do you perceive that you are in "crypto?"

Let's say that you went to a family gathering that involved some food and perhaps several hours of hanging around with various relatives (maybe it is a wedding or something), and there were several relatives and friends that you had not seen for a while, and various relatives were getting to know you since maybe you met them for the first time.

One of your relatives (let's say a cousin who is a similar age as you) had not seen him for more than 6 years (since before your forum registration date in January 2020), and you are talking with that particular cousin about what he is up to in recent times and maybe he has some similar experiences as you so you are talking about work and family and maybe some differences in different cities, and maybe some different experiences, and you mention something about prices going up so much recently, and you said that you bought a couple of the food items for the gathering (let's say that it was a special chicken dish that came from a special nearby restaurant that specialized in this particular kind of chicken, rather than the home-made version that you would have had done if the gathering had been smaller), and you told him that the prepared chicken food item had gone up in price like 50% from the last time that you bought it (maybe a year or two previously?).  

Without any further context, your cousin then asks you if you are into crypto?  

How would you respond to your cousin about that question?     Give me some details about what you might say to your cousin, with an expectation that you generally like and/or trust the cousin, and you had been accustomed to sharing all kinds of personal information with him in past years, so you had no reason not to talk with him about what you have been up to in the past 6-ish years, again presuming that you had not seen him or talked with him in the past 6-ish years.


Does crypto have something to do with this thread?
Implying you guys are old too. Roll Eyes

Can we say that the word "crypto" really meant bitcoin?  Then that might have a certain interpretation as compared with the use of the term crypto?

Of course, the context is trying to show that Warren Buffet had experienced exponential upward growth in his wealth over 70 years and "crypto bros" were accustomed to experiencing exponential downward price movements in a matter of hours.

I consider the oldness does not have much to do with it, except the crypto meme guy is used in a lot of jokes, including some age-related "crypto" jokes.
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August 29, 2025, 11:01:13 PM


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August 29, 2025, 11:13:29 PM
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Persistence pays off.  

Thanks for running your node.  All said, you may well had done more than $20k in labor (as your hobby), plus the capital you put up with equipment and with BTC.

Happy to be of service. I never expected making any profits out of this. As long as it covers my expenses, I'm happy. The rest is just a bonus.

Heading abroad next week for a couple of months of vacation.  Leaving my node for an extended time always makes me wary, but it should be fine (last time I was abroad I had to explain to my mom on a video call how to restart the server after a power outage)...

@hisslyness Sorry for closing our channel. I was just trying to take advantage of the LOOP activity, making me close channels where funds were all on my side. I'll re-open a 8M sats channel
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August 29, 2025, 11:30:36 PM

My last ground breaking opportunity!

Added some corns, for the very last time for the year! (probably)

Not sure I will see this opportunity again!
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August 30, 2025, 01:39:04 AM
Merited by Krubster (1)

Persistence pays off.  
Thanks for running your node.  All said, you may well had done more than $20k in labor (as your hobby), plus the capital you put up with equipment and with BTC.
Happy to be of service. I never expected making any profits out of this. As long as it covers my expenses, I'm happy. The rest is just a bonus.

Heading abroad next week for a couple of months of vacation.  Leaving my node for an extended time always makes me wary, but it should be fine (last time I was abroad I had to explain to my mom on a video call how to restart the server after a power outage)...

@hisslyness Sorry for closing our channel. I was just trying to take advantage of the LOOP activity, making me close channels where funds were all on my side. I'll re-open a 8M sats channel----

I have several technical home monitoring things that I attempt to do remotely when I travel, yet if I have people enterring then I might turn some of the privacy things off.

Nonetheless, I have a few technical set ups, yet either I am not sophisticated enough, or I don't spend enough time focusing on certain kinds of issues that I want to resolve to be able to handle them remotely or to be able to figure them out... and some of the stuff is kind of bitcoin related, but I don't sufficiently understand how to do some things remotely, like running a server and/or some of the mining connections remotely (though the miners are just the small ones like BitAxes and variations of small potatoes).

Another thing that is less technical is a heater yet with a smart thermostat that I have. I have three smart thermostats that go to different locations (different kinds of heaters).  On some of them, sometimes I have to restart the heater when it is not working, so on one of them, I set up a camera so I can see whether the pilot light is on, and if the temperature is below the threshold, I have to manually restart the HVAC system with a separate smart switch that I have set up, which usually will get it to work after one or two tries.  At the same time, there have been some times where my smart thermostat had lost its internet connection, which usually is enough to go and manually (and in person) restart the thermostat, and if I am not there, then I have to have someone else enter and restart the thermostat, since I have not set up an ability to remotely restart the thermostat.

I have had times where the restart of the thermostat does not work in order to get the thermostat back online (connected with me), so I have to go back and physically be present so that I can reinstall the thermostat software from my phone and my remote app.. which kind of causes me to wonder if maybe  I should just buy another brand of smart thermostat from another company if I cannot figure out how to get the thermostat to remotely get back online and then I have to make a trip to get the thermostat back online so that I can see what it is doing.  One good thing, so far is that the thermostat will continue to work at whatever its last settings were.  I just become no longer able to remotely adjust it.

I have some other remote access and monitoring like devices, such as door locks, motion sensors, door open/closed sensors, temperature/humidity sensors, lights (usually hooked up to smart plugs, but some are hooked to smart switches), cameras, and surely these various products are not without difficulties to keep going... Several use batteries that could run out of charge.

My last ground breaking opportunity!

Added some corns, for the very last time for the year! (probably)

Not sure I will see this opportunity again!

You have ONLY been registered on the forum for less than 2 years, so I have difficulties imagining that you would have had reached over accumulation status yet, unless you seriously front-loaded your bitcoin investment in 2023 when you first registered on the forum.

Let me do a quick look and see if you had invested around 2.5 years of your target income level in September/October 2023, then perhaps that could be justification to stop regularly accumulating BTC - since the price largely went shooting up from the end of October 2023.  That would be enough to achieve your target as long as you would be starting to employ your withdrawals in about late 2027.

It seems that if you had invested around 5x of your annual target income in that September to October 2023 period, then you would have been currently within grasp of being able to start cashing out at your annual target rate within  order to be within grasp of starting to be able to cash out at your annual targeted rate within about 3-ish months.

By the way, the 200-WMA is greatly underperforming where I thought it would be by now, so I had the 200-WMA marked to be at nearly $69k by the end of November, yet how it has been performing over the past 3 months, in the remaining 3 months it is on track to ONLY reach right around $56.5k by the end of November which largely could be problematic if the BTC price wants to come back and retest the 200-WMA in some kind of a timely and cyclical manner, which I cannot see happening unless the blow off top becomes much greater than how it has been doing recently..

Maybe if we could at least get a blow off top of supra $150k and maybe close to or higher than $180k might help these matters to pull the 200-WMA up higher.  I thought that I had been being reasonably conservative in my 200-WMA projection, yet it seems that for this most recent 6 months, as I type this post, the 200-WMA is merely on-target to go up around 19% (38% annualized) rather than the 44% (88% annualized) that I had projected for this current 6-month period that we are in the midst of.

Of course, we have to attempt to roll with the punches and let the 200-WMA land where-ever it is going to land, and I am not personally projecting the 200-WMA into the future with an expectation of wishing BTC's performance but instead trying to attempt to project its future based on its historical performance.. which yeah, surely I understand that is not any kind of precise science, but it still would be nice to get somewhere in the ballpark of correct.
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August 30, 2025, 02:02:37 AM

cheaper dip.

buddy is knocking it out.
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btc $200k by end of 2025


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August 30, 2025, 03:38:34 AM

despite bitcoin going down, this research team is still bullish.

 Bitcoin Headed to $190K on Institutional Wave, Research Firm Says


Quote
Tiger’s model pegs a “base price” of $135,000, then layers on multipliers for fundamentals (+3.5%) and macro conditions (+35%) to reach the $190,000 forecast.

What to know:
Tiger Research predicts bitcoin could reach $190,000 by Q3, driven by global liquidity, ETF demand, and new 401(k) access.
The report highlights a potential $90 billion demand from 401(k) allocations and significant institutional accumulation.
Despite bullish forecasts, on-chain indicators suggest caution, with metrics showing a market that is active but not overheated.
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August 30, 2025, 04:18:01 AM
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cheaper dip.

buddy is knocking it out.

 This is almost the exact picture I have in my head of you partaking in this recent dip.  (except it's blue cheese dip rather than ranch)

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August 30, 2025, 04:21:27 AM

cheaper dip.

buddy is knocking it out.



To increase significantly, of course, the rate will have to decrease slightly. But you will have to wait a while.
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August 30, 2025, 06:12:12 AM
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Uptember -> Uptober -> Moonvember -> Bearcember.
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