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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26905373 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
SPIDERMAN008
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November 04, 2025, 06:37:44 AM
Merited by goldkingcoiner (1)

Dip basements build skyscraper.

Are you still waiting? .Foolish

Stay Cool.    HODL  .Bullish
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November 04, 2025, 07:01:13 AM


Explanation
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LFC_Bitcoin
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November 04, 2025, 07:03:48 AM

Worst bull-run ever.

Indeed.

Bull market (if you can even call it that) is cooked. Not selling any more below $120,000 so I am likely done selling until 2028/29.

Four year cycle vindicated sadly.

Edit -

@JayJuanGee - Who was the other guy in addition to Mia Chloe, that I will be taking money from at the end of Q1 in 2026?
Mia Chloe
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November 04, 2025, 07:11:29 AM

Worst bull-run ever.

Indeed.

Bull market (if you can even call it that) is cooked. Not selling any more below $120,000 so I am likely done selling until 2028/29.

Four year cycle vindicated sadly.

Edit -

@JayJuanGee - Who was the other guy in addition to Mia Chloe, that I will be taking money from at the end of Q1 in 2026?
Well I probably lost it already buh I guess I'll just wait and see
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Tired...


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November 04, 2025, 07:21:12 AM

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Home of high stakes.

Lol.
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November 04, 2025, 07:36:08 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), bitmover (1)

Of course, mixed feelings here.
On the downside: seeing all those blokes speaking nonsense about bull run is over, bear market for the next six months, comparing bitcoins to failing altcoins.
On the upside: more cheap satoshis.

On the downside: people calling a move to sub 100K as certain
On the upside: knowing bitcoin is going to do bitcoin things.
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November 04, 2025, 07:42:01 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

No need to panic for a manipulated dump from Blackrock and Binance.

Just a classic 20% cleansing.
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November 04, 2025, 08:01:12 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
El duderino_
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November 04, 2025, 08:01:18 AM

Its all red for now... don't know what it will be in the coming days, weeks etc

No one does... certainly not does claiming to know.

Just sell, buy, Hodl, sit it out... no other options.
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November 04, 2025, 08:25:14 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Paashaas (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

Worst bull-run ever.
Indeed.
Bull market (if you can even call it that) is cooked. Not selling any more below $120,000 so I am likely done selling until 2028/29.

Four year cycle vindicated sadly.

Edit -@JayJuanGee - Who was the other guy in addition to Mia Chloe, that I will be taking money from at the end of Q1 in 2026?

Oh yeah, you are correct. I almost forgot.  There was Mia, and then a second one wanted to jump on the bandwagon...  

I had to look at your post history to see that it was Ambatman  (Here's a link).

[edited out]
Well I probably lost it already buh I guess I'll just wait and see

Don't give up so easy, Mia.  We got nearly 5 months remaining in the timeline for the bet.   A lot can happen in 5 months, and the fake outs in regards to the BTC price are strong for a reason... Strong fake outs, like this current grand dip, get's HODLers to depart with their coins and also contributes to some folks being too scared to buy more coins.. also wrecks the leveraged longs, too..

Sure, it is possible that LFC ends up winning the bet, even though I doubt that even our most recent price actions have either brought his odds higher than 50% or brought us out of the bull market.

Of course, if we are ultimately out of the bull market, then LFC would end up winning the bet because we would be more inclined for down than up and we would not make any more highs until the next bull market.. ..

So yeah... interesting times, but no need to lose spirit, yet.

I am likely not going to get worried unless we both go below $95k and spend more than a week below $95k.. and that might not even be enough to get overly worried... but yeah a lot is possible to happen in the coming nearly 5 months.. keep the spirits up and maybe make sure that you buy (and secure) an extra 0.001 BTC, just in case.

Of course, mixed feelings here.
On the downside: seeing all those blokes speaking nonsense about bull run is over, bear market for the next six months, comparing bitcoins to failing altcoins.
On the upside: more cheap satoshis.

On the downside: people calling a move to sub 100K as certain
On the upside: knowing bitcoin is going to do bitcoin things.

Surely momentum is a bitch and it can be aggravating going through these corrections.. and yeah, hoping that it is merely a correction and not a bear market and surely other variations too.. .and we also know that some of the bigger players are just salivating in regards to getting coins off of retail.

Its all red for now... don't know what it will be in the coming days, weeks etc

No one does... certainly not does claiming to know.

Just sell, buy, Hodl, sit it out... no other options.

From my point of view, during downity periods, selling does not seem like a good option, unless you had already done it at some point above $115k-ish..or you have some system that you are selling on the way up and not selling on the way down.

I do appreciate that various shitcoins seem to be dumping harder than bitcoin, but yeah, it sometimes can be difficult to get our bearings when the price is dumping so much... My solution had always been buying on the way down, yet even I can frequently be frustrated to have so many buys and so it seems that it takes a long time to dig back out of such a hole, even in the better case scenarios it can sometimes be grueling to work our way back out of the negative (or the red period).
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November 04, 2025, 08:28:07 AM


If you like this dip, you're going to love the next 18 months!

As the market sits with its fingers crossed hoping that the government or index funds saves this rally, I tend to find myself being a little more realistic.  I don't think we see another new high this year.  I think Strategy doesn't get included into the S&P 500 on December 5th when the next rebalancing announcement is made and I think this leads to a massive selloff that continues at least through next Halloween.  I think buying in January of 2027 at a price around $60K is very possible.  I highly recommend people make sure they have enough saved to ensure they will not be forced to sell any Bitcoin over the next two years.

@OgNasty - Why are you being so fucking negative?

You're supposed to be a bold, tough HOLDING Bitcoiner!  Haha! What kind of bullshit negative talk is this coming from an OG here?   Huh

I said many months ago that I would turn bearish mid-September. This 4-year cycle is complete. Bitcoin has decoupled from M2. We’re down 20% already. Everyone is in complete denial. The economy is crumbling. The Fed injected over a hundred billion dollars this week to keep the banking sector functioning. Auto delinquencies are at all time highs. The housing market is the most unaffordable in history. Hold if you want. I’ll be bullish again in 2027. For now I have switched from wanting to buy the dips to wanting to sell the peaks.

For the record, nobody in this thread would be happier than me if Bitcoin shot up to a million a coin tomorrow. It just isn’t happening. I’m sorry.

Edit: I do hope I’m wrong and you are all right.

I have my doubts if cycle theory is still working. This time has already been too different...



Gachapin
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November 04, 2025, 08:30:09 AM

Worst bull-run ever.

Indeed.

Bull market (if you can even call it that) is cooked. Not selling any more below $120,000 so I am likely done selling until 2028/29.

Four year cycle vindicated sadly.

Edit -

@JayJuanGee - Who was the other guy in addition to Mia Chloe, that I will be taking money from at the end of Q1 in 2026?

yep that's what the majority will think... I hope the majority gets fucked like always
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November 04, 2025, 08:34:24 AM
Merited by Gachapin (1)

Just sell, buy, Hodl, sit it out... no other options.
Given my track record, when I sell something the bottom is in and it goes up again. I just sold a small amount as a sacrifice. You can thank me later Tongue
Gachapin
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November 04, 2025, 08:36:52 AM

after the pain many people will sell into a new uptrend and will part from their coins forever. Blackrock will be happy
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November 04, 2025, 09:01:15 AM


Explanation
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November 04, 2025, 09:46:39 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1), Paashaas (1)

You think it is over now?
Me thinks not

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November 04, 2025, 09:52:31 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

not over at all, institutional money is here to stay, and in the future price variation (both upside and downside) will be lower due to the players and size of the market cap
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November 04, 2025, 10:01:12 AM


Explanation
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ChartBuddy
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November 04, 2025, 11:01:13 AM


Explanation
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November 04, 2025, 11:16:30 AM

On the upside: knowing bitcoin is going to do bitcoin things.

This is what we are all here for  Grin
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