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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26931947 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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November 23, 2025, 12:01:16 PM


Explanation
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vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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November 23, 2025, 12:22:44 PM
Merited by AlcoHoDL (1)

chartbuddy chartbud
chartbuddy chartbuddy chart
chartbuddy chartbud
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Addicted to HoDLing!


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November 23, 2025, 12:43:05 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), philipma1957 (1), JayJuanGee (1), OutOfMemory (1), psycodad (1), Krubster (1)

A depressing week.
Ramen meals, ant farts, red charts.
Scraping the bottom.

Cycles do exist.
They're like a washing machine,
Rinsing, repeating!

They're getting weaker,
But they're still good predictors,
Of when and how much.

We're the new elites.
McDonald's is just a front.
And we don't take tips!

The "Butt Baby" plug.
It gives SOMA predictions,
A whole new meaning!

Only one whole coin?
What have you been doing, Phil?
Biltong you long time!

How OGs do it:
They lock in their retirement,
Then play with the rest!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus
ChartBuddy
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November 23, 2025, 01:01:15 PM


Explanation
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Krubster
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November 23, 2025, 01:14:40 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Weekly RSI makes 2025 like a bear market.

It could dump a little bit more but overall new ATH in 2026.



Nice chart. By the look of it, it seems like we've bottomed out, or close to it.

Most of my net-worth is in bitcoin, and has been for many many years. I do however have a small trading stash that's all in cash right now. My buy orders are between $60-70k, but I might have missed the train this time.
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精神分析的爸


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November 23, 2025, 02:01:17 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)



Feels right, but admittedly might be a bit too early to ridicule the B's .. nonetheless take that bear!
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November 23, 2025, 02:01:20 PM


Explanation
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Finestream
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Hhampuz is the guy for your campaign needs


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November 23, 2025, 02:04:04 PM

i think the dump is over...

we touched $87k now
BitHodlers
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November 23, 2025, 02:46:21 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (1), JayJuanGee (1)

I think the creation of various derivative financial instruments is kind of gross and kind of just another paper Bitcoin.
If we don't do it, someone else will do it.
Who is "we"?  You trying to turn this into a patriotic thing?
Bitcoiners and Bitcoin maxis? I tried to imply who I mean by referring to as others with the shitcoin VCs as the alternative later in my post. I should have been clearer.

Of course, many bitcoiners are going to concede that bitcoin is for everyone, so you cannot stop bitcoin from being used by anyone who wants to, friends and enemies.. yet at the same time, if what the various financial instrument folks (whether talking about Backrock and the various ETFs or Saylor/MSTR and the various treasury companies) are doing can be considered as a kind of an attack on foundational level bitcoin and undermines bitcoin becaus of an attempt to prioritize using bitcoin through their instruments and systems and to vilify bitcoin being used in direct peer to peer ways, there are good reasons to announce and even to complain about such attack, even if you consider such attack to be coming from "the good guys.".. not very often that we have money-grubbing "Blackrock" portrayed as the good guys, unless you are some kind of a blinded fan-boy.
I agree with your reasoning, but do we actually see this kind of attack taking place in the US? I don't see anything compared to places like EU where there is a war on sovereignty and privacy. I don't dabble in ETFs or treasury companies but I don't see them as rather bad in the context that they are. Many entities could not get any exposure to Bitcoin legally and that is what ETFs enabled. We just need to keep pushing the education on owning your own Bitcoin. We can't expect everyone to know the reasons to do this or be able to do this, slowly we can change some people.

Some folks are rightfully skeptical of Saylor/MSTR because of how much bitcoin that he/MSTR controls and based on some of their tactics of using other people's money to get bitcoin in which they completely own the bitcoin (even though they tend to keep their bitcoin with custodians, like Coinbase, which is another angle that Saylor/MSTR has been rightfully criticized).
They are using a variety of tactics. Not all are good but that doesn't mean that the overall thing is very bad or that risky.

They have little debt and obligations comparatively speaking to their total holdings. Some people think everything was bought with debt and BTC crashing a little harder would nuke Strategy. It is quite similar to the stupid death spiral type of FUD. These people that fall for this nonsense don't even do basic research, even if their name starts with Og.  Cheesy
Sure.  There are a lot of folks who have no fucking clue how MSTR/Saylor have structured its various debt instruments. I don't claim to know a lot either, even though I know that frequently MTR/Saylor naysayers frequently automatically think about collateralized loans, and I am pretty sure that none of MSTR/Saylor's debts are related to collateralizing the assets. and several of the past loans they paid off, which means that they own a lot of the BTC unencumbered.  Furthermore, if MSTR/Saylor happens to have some collateralized debt it would not be in amounts that are materially significant.
I don't know it all either but some basic research will lead to information where the total debt is very low compared to the total amount of coins and their value. Further it can be looked at the details of those debts and they are at very favorable rates and fairly long, the risk is quite low for what he has done. One thing I do wish is that they stop buying! They have enough, they are very large now! He should focus on advocacy and getting rid of those debts slowly and they will be a risk free company eventually.

Another thing that is presumed is that if the BTC price goes below MSTR's average cost per coin (which is around $77k) that MSTR saylor will have to do something, which are totally fantasy ideas.  If you completely own the coins then it does not matter if they are in profits or not, unless for some reason other obligations are not being met.
Saylor won't have to do anything in that case yes. Neither with these FUD nonsense about the stock being sold as it gets removed from indices. Even if the stock price of the company went to $0 it would not mean anything other than the market is crazy irrational, not that that is possible.

So....if Buffet's BRK-A is buying companies and invest >50% in OTHER companies stock, then it is NOT an investment fund, but if a DAT does the same (acquire assets), then it is a fund. It seems that this is a deeply flawed logic. Singling out digital assets makes no sense.
Things are happening behind the scenes, and this is just a corrupt decision as many others. There is no reason why it should be like this and the arbitrary cutoff at 50% is also suspicious.  Wink Unfortunately a lot of people are easily swayed and they are fighting internet wars on topics like this unknowingly playing into corrupt hands each time.
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November 23, 2025, 03:01:17 PM


Explanation
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asUHWEceyc
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Cycles 'r' Super


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November 23, 2025, 03:09:35 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Here is a FANTASTIC article by someone I have never seen before.  But this person's speculative read on what is actually happening behind the system and behind some of the sketchy stuff we see happening around MSTR for example.

This (possibly fantasy) narrative actually makes a LOT of sense as to why certain things are happening, and why we can see there is real tension between the Fed Rsrv, the shareholder banks (Jamie Dimon) and our currency savant Sec Treasury.

This explains a lot of the things that DJT's two elder sons say all the time.  (Because they know the plan.)  They are donkeys who want to look smart when the masses start to get it.
...
https://x.com/HodlMaryland/status/1991962431191490574
Quote
A monetary power struggle is erupting in plain sight - and almost no one understands the stakes. Here is my highly speculative take.
...
PS this article reeks of AI.  But is actually very well written, and fronts a great theory.

This implies the Trump card simply involves the sovereign wealth fund taking a large majority stake in MSTR, IBIT, etc for "national security": a soft, "market" 6102, and that this will be the outcome regardless- just with more or less coins depending whether some pinatas are popped. In fact, kneecapping MSTR and buying in after price is depressed, but before coin dumping is required might be "the greatest deal of all time". This also suggests orange man's cohort will have to act soon before various entities can be split up. Many have speculated that Mikey's been stacking for USG all along given the HQ locale and key customers.

To match alleged worldwide central bank gold holdings (21% of 37.7t) USG would need 790,000 coins- easy if scooping some or all MSTR and ETFs; to match this percentage on an above-ground supply basis, they'd need 4.53 million coins. Of course, if taxpayers are considered "above-ground onshore bitcoin resources", this might not only be feasible, but already fairly close. 1 2
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November 23, 2025, 03:15:43 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Bitcoin Core audit security of P2P network layer
Quote
At Brink, our mission is to ensure that Bitcoin continues to be the world’s most secure, reliable, and resilient monetary network. As part of this mission and to ensure the safety and robustness of the open-source Bitcoin Core software that powers the network, Brink sponsored an independent security audit of the Bitcoin Core codebase.
https://brink.dev/blog/2025/11/19/bitcoin-core-security-audit/

https://blog.quarkslab.com/bitcoin-core-audit.html

https://github.com/quarkslab/public-reports/blob/main/Reports/Bitcoin-Core_25-05-2133-REP_v1.3.pdf
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November 23, 2025, 03:22:44 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2), AlcoHoDL (1)

A depressing week.
Ramen meals, ant farts, red charts.
Scraping the bottom.

Cycles do exist.
They're like a washing machine,
Rinsing, repeating!

They're getting weaker,
But they're still good predictors,
Of when and how much.

We're the new elites.
McDonald's is just a front.
And we don't take tips!

The "Butt Baby" plug.
It gives SOMA predictions,
A whole new meaning!

Only one whole coin?
What have you been doing, Phil?
Biltong you long time!

How OGs do it:
They lock in their retirement,
Then play with the rest!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

1.1 coins now and growing
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November 23, 2025, 03:27:29 PM

A depressing week.
Ramen meals, ant farts, red charts.
Scraping the bottom.

Cycles do exist.
They're like a washing machine,
Rinsing, repeating!

They're getting weaker,
But they're still good predictors,
Of when and how much.

We're the new elites.
McDonald's is just a front.
And we don't take tips!

The "Butt Baby" plug.
It gives SOMA predictions,
A whole new meaning!

Only one whole coin?
What have you been doing, Phil?
Biltong you long time!

How OGs do it:
They lock in their retirement,
Then play with the rest!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

Unironically the reason I log in to Bitcointalk once a year.  Cool
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November 23, 2025, 04:01:14 PM


Explanation
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philipma1957
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'The right to privacy matters'


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November 23, 2025, 04:15:00 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (5)

i think the dump is over...

we touched $87k now

Shut the fuck up. What are you a teenage boy getting laid the first time.


So fucking premature bro.
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November 23, 2025, 04:17:38 PM

i think the dump is over...

we touched $87k now

Shut the fuck up. What are you a teenage boy getting laid the first time.


So fucking premature bro.
Mate deserve this reply because still many figures to be achieved.
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Toodaloo! ..-. ..- -.-. -.- / -.-- --- ..-


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November 23, 2025, 04:27:51 PM


I am pretty blitzed from eating both chocolate cheesecake and carrot cake.

Tuckahoe Cheese cake is wonderful.

https://www.tuckahoecheesecakes.com/

Should I do a jack shot or more carrot cake.  Hmm decisions.

As a diabetic it does knock one out but fuck it does taste good.

Phil - You being a diabetic, the color of that tasty carrot cake probably reminded you of all your copper and got your blood-sugar spiked-up and all out-of-whack!  Shocked



Now you need a Jack shot to fix it!  Grin

Phil - Did you take your doctor prescribed shot of Jack to offset that chocolate cheesecake and carrot cake?
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November 23, 2025, 04:34:35 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

i think the dump is over...

we touched $87k now

Shut the fuck up. What are you a teenage boy getting laid the first time.


So fucking premature bro.

 You seem a little hangry, Mr. philipma1957... you opted for more carrot cake, didn't you!
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November 23, 2025, 05:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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