Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[goldkingcoiner]

I know it is completely unrelated to all the drug stuff recently posted, but we grow some basil in our basement and only recently we started to get a problem with weeds:

That is completely normal. Happens everytime I grow basil.

You can dispose of the weeds by setting them on fire once they mature.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BitHodlers]

This shows you definitely don't browse through the thread. Moreover why have you refused to get the points of bitcoin journey in the post order than bitterly commenting thrash. Will you also refer this one line attack as a post? To my own knowledge it's definitely not any quality and has no meaning. Have you not read posts here that capitalise on how long a person has undergone training in this forum (by reading posts) to establish how experienced such person should be (even though it may not be equivalent). Stay off if you have nothing to add. You just made another one line just like all your posts before now.

Get the fuck out of here poor pleb. Trash like you doesn't belong here.

lovesmayfamilis   2025-10-29   Reference   A rather dirty method for growing your account. All its methods can be predicted in advance.

Pathetic and filthy you are.

That is completely normal. Happens everytime I grow basil.

You can dispose of the weeds by setting them on fire once they mature.

Sadly I can't, makes me feel weird not in a good way. I don't know how to fix that, it was not always like that.

[cAPSLOCK]

I know it is completely unrelated to all the drug stuff recently posted, but we grow some basil in our basement and only recently we started to get a problem with weeds:

Is that an indica dominant basil?

[Biodom]

Bass player on blow
No lambos and no hookers
A lifetime ago




#haiku

For some reason I immediately thought about Flea ...but, surely, he never used it

https://youtu.be/PqFRfYYjo0I?list=RDPqFRfYYjo0I&t=3

[BTCETFInvestor]

Damn, you guys have a history I'm thankfully unfamiliar with - having never once even thought about wanting to try any kind of recreational 'socially unacceptable' drug. I was too much of a strait-laced academic and definitely career-oriented.

I wouldn't even know where to get it, I didn't hang out with any friends that used drugs - and I certainly didn't want to disappoint my family or ruin my future by having a record for substance abuse or doing something stupid while under the influence. That mindset has served me well and I don't regret it...    

Do you ever drink?

I'll have a margarita or glass of wine four or five times a year when at a nice restaurant for dinner or attending a celebration.  I really don't care for the taste of alcohol...

Then you sir, are someone who uses drugs responsibly.  Alcohol is a recreational drug and pretty much only a recreational drug.  So, I say, bah, to the idea that you don't use recreational drugs.

That take on the matter while true, is actually funny.

Like caffeine (also considered a recreational drug) in soft-drinks and coffee are legal and socially accepted, someone having a margarita or glass of wine once every few months shouldn't be viewed as problematic - or as a recreational drug user in the same sense as what has been discussed here recently, which is recreational 'socially unacceptable' drug use.

Even the most laudable people partake in drinks with caffeine or a glass of wine from time to time, but I digress...  

[ESG]

I know it is completely unrelated to all the drug stuff recently posted, but we grow some basil in our basement and only recently we started to get a problem with weeds:

That is completely normal. Happens everytime I grow basil.

You can dispose of the weeds by setting them on fire once they mature.

 I don't know much about what this pest is, because where I live, it is forbidden by law, so there is not much information, but it seems to be growing near my cabbages, mints, among other medicinal herbs, however, I will follow your advice, to prevent this from increasing and I unknowingly run the risk of going behind bars....

....
thank you Phil, he was here today, she left him in the morning, and he stayed in the room, left, had lunch and returned to the room until a little while now, in which she came and took him, anyway, life goes on....I wish the best for your brother too.

[JimboToronto]

of the non legal drugs my worst experiences where with angel dust. stopped it after two or three tries. got really sick.

Phencyclidine (a.k.a. angel dust or PCP) is particularly nasty.

Back in the early 1970s I was offered lines of what was supposed to be cocaine at a party I was hosting. Halfway through the first line I stopped abruptly and blew out my nose as soon as I realized what was happening. Too late.

I yelled, "I've been poisoned" and in a panic ran down to the basement and hid behind the furnace. My girlfriend was at work and not due home for a couple more hours. After who knows how long, the PCP started to wear off and I started to get off on the LSD it was  mixed with. That changed everything. The LSD high was like coming back to a safe home after the PCP nightmare. I came back upstairs and enjoyed the rest of the night with a mild (probably <50mcg) acid buzz.

Lesson learned. Don't go snorting long lines just because someone else says it's what he thinks it is. Do a tiny tester first. Thank gawd they hadn't invented fentanyl yet.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

of the non legal drugs my worst experiences where with angel dust. stopped it after two or three tries. got really sick.

Phencyclidine (a.k.a. angel dust or PCP) is particularly nasty.

Back in the early 1970s I was offered lines of what was supposed to be cocaine at a party I was hosting. Halfway through the first line I stopped abruptly and blew out my nose as soon as I realized what was happening. Too late.

I yelled, "I've been poisoned" and in a panic ran down to the basement and hid behind the furnace. My girlfriend was at work and not due home for a couple more hours. After who knows how long, the PCP started to wear off and I started to get off on the LSD it was  mixed with. That changed everything. The LSD high was like coming back to a safe home after the PCP nightmare. I came back upstairs and enjoyed the rest of the night with a mild (probably <50mcg) acid buzz.

Lesson learned. Don't go snorting long lines just because someone else says it's what he thinks it is. Do a tiny tester first. Thank gawd they hadn't invented fentanyl yet.

Yeah I would never do any illegal drugs anymore due to the chance it is laced with PCP or Fentanyl. Pot is legal in New Jersey and I think they are making mushrooms legal this January..

So alcohol pot and shrooms are plenty enough actually more than enough for me.

here is the latest on shrooms maybe 2026 maybe not.
https://newjerseymonitor.com/2025/11/25/nj-bill-legalize-psychedelic-mushrooms/

[cAPSLOCK]

Damn, you guys have a history I'm thankfully unfamiliar with - having never once even thought about wanting to try any kind of recreational 'socially unacceptable' drug. I was too much of a strait-laced academic and definitely career-oriented.

I wouldn't even know where to get it, I didn't hang out with any friends that used drugs - and I certainly didn't want to disappoint my family or ruin my future by having a record for substance abuse or doing something stupid while under the influence. That mindset has served me well and I don't regret it...    

Do you ever drink?

I'll have a margarita or glass of wine four or five times a year when at a nice restaurant for dinner or attending a celebration.  I really don't care for the taste of alcohol...

Then you sir, are someone who uses drugs responsibly.  Alcohol is a recreational drug and pretty much only a recreational drug.  So, I say, bah, to the idea that you don't use recreational drugs.

That take on the matter while true, is actually funny.

Like caffeine (also considered a recreational drug) in soft-drinks and coffee are legal and socially accepted, someone having a margarita or glass of wine once every few months shouldn't be viewed as problematic - or as a recreational drug user in the same sense as what has been discussed here recently, which is recreational 'socially unacceptable' drug use.

Even the most laudable people partake in drinks with caffeine or a glass of wine from time to time, but I digress...  

Yes, whether or not something is socially acceptable in my view is neither here nor there.

It is beyond argument that alcohol is one of the most poisonous, damaging addictive drugs on the planet. It is notoriously hard to quit for people who slip into it too far and can even kill you in the withdrawal.  It does more damage to the internal organs than just about any other socially acceptable or unacceptable drug.

And yet it is possible to use it responsibly or at least mitigate the cost of using it by using it sparingly.  But you're still taking the risk, and you're still doing some damage.

Caffeine, on the other hand, is not quite so bad on your body. In fact, it's a liver tonic rather than destroyer.  But it will create a tolerance, dependence and a pretty nasty withdrawal if you cold Turkey off of too much of it.  But we don't make a big deal out of any of this because it's not that hard to navigate. You can either feel bad for a week or you can taper or whatever. It's not that bad.

Recreational use of cannabis is actually ranked very close to coffee on the addiction spectrum.   And even moderate recreational use is not difficult to cease for most people.  It is not poisonous. It does not harm the body, particularly if you don't smoke it.  And as I said, it's about as easy to quit as coffee.

And there are people like me who use tiny amounts. I take a combination of CBD with just a couple milligrams of THC in it.  So, I can be just as sober and metered in my life not going off the rail because of drugs as you can, even though I do something that is socially unacceptable.

But that's not to throw the heavy recreational users under the bus.  It is one of the lowest harm psychoactive substances known to man.

To tie this into the topic, I would say this, here in this thread are a lot of people who discovered Bitcoin because we're kind of 90 degrees from the rest of the world. We see things coming. We are lucky too. But there are some here that are also extraordinarily gifted in the think meat zone. 

The traditional finance world is the socially acceptable way to invest your money. 

Many of the people in this thread held through financial advisors, professors, people on the television all telling us that Bitcoin isn't real, it's a Ponzi, it will boil the oceans, and so on and so on.

Bitcoin was definitely not socially acceptable.

So you might find that argument doesn't work well on many of us.

[BTCETFInvestor]

of the non legal drugs my worst experiences where with angel dust. stopped it after two or three tries. got really sick.

Phencyclidine (a.k.a. angel dust or PCP) is particularly nasty.

Back in the early 1970s I was offered lines of what was supposed to be cocaine at a party I was hosting. Halfway through the first line I stopped abruptly and blew out my nose as soon as I realized what was happening. Too late.

I yelled, "I've been poisoned" and in a panic ran down to the basement and hid behind the furnace. My girlfriend was at work and not due home for a couple more hours. After who knows how long, the PCP started to wear off and I started to get off on the LSD it was  mixed with. That changed everything. The LSD high was like coming back to a safe home after the PCP nightmare. I came back upstairs and enjoyed the rest of the night with a mild (probably <50mcg) acid buzz.

Lesson learned. Don't go snorting long lines just because someone else says it's what he thinks it is. Do a tiny tester first. Thank gawd they hadn't invented fentanyl yet.

Yeah I would never do any illegal drugs anymore due to the chance it is laced with PCP or Fentanyl. Pot is legal in New Jersey and I think they are making mushrooms legal this January..

So alcohol pot and shrooms are plenty enough actually more than enough for me.

here is the latest on shrooms maybe 2026 maybe not.
https://newjerseymonitor.com/2025/11/25/nj-bill-legalize-psychedelic-mushrooms/

Phil - I have OCD about some things (mostly pertaining to vehicles and around the house)!  And it sometimes drives my wife up the wall.    

Can you send me some shrooms?  

https://newjerseymonitor.com/2025/11/25/nj-bill-legalize-psychedelic-mushrooms/

[OutOfMemory]

I know a few bad vaccine stories for babies so I have some sympathy for him as autism sucks.

But my 75 year old bro-in-law is autistic an was so before vaccines so I am not saying vaccines give autism.

One of my children is vaccinated (Tetanus, single vac), he is the only neurotypical one.
This is the standard argument i throw against a "vaccines cause autism"-conspiracy theorist.
No more words needed.

As for Smartphone addicts: Yes, it fucks up Dopamine levels, as does Sugar and sweeteners, and yes, AD(H)D is a Dopamine problem, too. Yes, it does make ADHD worse, but only temporarily. Yes, ADHD-ers can take a lot more of Smarphone scrolling before the effect on Dopamine gets as severe as in neurotypical users.
Also yes, heavy users show Symptoms over time that are classified as ADHD, but the key is, if a neurotypical individual changes his consumption behaviour, the symptoms lessen and long term the Dopamine levels are back to normal. No, real ADHD-ers don't change back to normal Dopamine levels. Never.
So it's true that certain overconsumption that changes Dopamine mid-term quite drastically cause ADHD-like symptoms, but not (real) ADHD.

Fun fact: Autism cases aren't really on the rise, it was just always under- or misdiagnosed until recently. Take myself as an example.
Autism is genetic, so i'd look into broader used chemicals changing genotypes, especially PFAS.
Still, it's mostly always inherited, but one of the parents or grandparents was "high-functioning" and slipped through. That makes people often think it came out of the blue (or vaccines, if you are a conspiracist)
But what do i know...  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

What area of the world are you located?

Why does it matter where I am?

Bitcoin is a world-wide phenomena, and this thread is also a world-wide thread since we are talking about bitcoin not some pump of any particular product in any country..

Sure, the US does seem to get a disproportion amount of press, and this thread (and many of the forum threads) discusses bitcoin in terms of the USD pair, even though every once in a while some other currency pair might gain some temporary relevancy.

Maybe you should frame each of your posts in terms of US interests too.  That is really going to help you to appear like you understand bitcoin and/or want to understand bitcoin.

Today 06/12/2025 marks it one year I joined the forum, A near Novice, Naive and bitcoin retard. One year later I can say that it has been aot of experience and knowledge packed. My understanding of bitcoin has changed positively and I can now give an investment advice to any bitcoin beginner. Many things have changed so far but everything goes on and on.

When I try to recount my journey so far I look at bitcoin back when I joined here, when bitcoin was high at $102k, 365 days later bitcoin now sits at $90k.


I can see this as a proof that it's better to save your money in bitcoin than fiats and without panic I can say that it will be a wise decision for anyone who cares for the future. To prove this too, I looked back at Michael saylor's holdings one year ago which stood at about 402,000 Bitcoin on the 6th December 2024 and today, 365 days later on the 06/12/2025, the microstrategy now owns about 650,000 bitcoin in their reserves, over 50% percent addition. The future is definitely brighter with bitcoin and that's all that matters.

Congratulations.  One year is good.  and yeah.. quite a journey, and a bit of an irony that BTC prices are largely the same price today as they were in the ballpark of 1 year ago, yet I am pretty sure that if we look at the DCA websites, we will find that if you consistently bought bitcoin for the last year-ish, then your average cost per BTC would be around $100k. 

So if you had been consistently buying BTC, you would be under water right now, which is not necessarily a bad thing and if you are still accumulating, then you are bringing your average cost per coin down, currently.

My future-istic BTC price prediction charts show the 200-WMA to be in the $124k territory in 3 years (which would be 4 years for you, if you keep buying BTC for the nexty 3 years)..

So buying at these here current prices seems to be good for your own average costs per BTC, whether you end up buying BTC for a whole cycle or longer or maybe you have some other plan(s)?.

It seems to me that we should be modeling what we do in regards to our bitcoin holdings on ourselves rather than what companies such as MSTR might be doing. 

[OutOfMemory]

As to autism, I am quite familiar with it myself.

Well, that's a funny thing to say, actually, because autism is now defined as a spectrum and includes many, many, many different types of human beings.  

From people with Downs syndrome, all the way to people like "Sheldon", who has been mentioned here.  I've never watched that show, but Bazinga and all.

My younger child has that kind, the kind they now call "high functioning" rather than Asperger's. Asperger's was a better name for it, in my opinion, despite the fact I believe he may have been a Nazi?  Because it actually has no value in the label, "high functioning" is a terrible misnomer for the type of autism that many of these people bear.

My child is way up to the right on the smartness bell curve, but has a very difficult time managing the simplest things in life.  So by high functioning, I suppose they mean someone that is intelligent, the quick processor.  And just imagine being able to consider 200 things that you need to do before you can take a shower or ways that you could do it differently or not in the right place at the right moment. And it ends up yet another day in which you will not be leaving the house... And then suddenly that fast processor is no longer your friend and the label high functioning is more of a disconnected insult.

Again, I would say it is a terrible misnomer.

"High-functioning" is a misnomer, because it was defined in parallel to Asperger's. Then it all changed to the "spectrum", and that's really what it is, and that's the way it makes sense. In fact, one of the most important aspects of "high-functioning", which is oriented at neurotypical values, did you point out later in the same post. ...to be cotinued

After the years of discovery with my child and the lived experience of raising them I have come to realize that it probably runs pretty deeply in my family.

And I would dare say that there are those of us here, knowing or not, who may belong to that same camp.

Ya'll know that i know by now.

I might, but I'm not interested in a diagnosis. I don't know what good it would do me. And I also know that my ability to mask is very very high. So I think I've even fooled myself.

...and that's a strong flag there for "high-functioning". One of my friends, a psychologist who worked with many autistic individuals back then, told me that it's very likely for me to have Asperger's. Even when he explained it in detail to me why, i kept thinking: "dude, no way!". Seven years later i knew he was right. So far for "fooling myself".

But I do know that I am most certainly neurodivergent.

I am a complete aphantasic.  I think I brought it up here before, so I will not belabor it. I vaguely remember discovering one or two of you others that have it, perhaps, xhomer.

That's funny, because when i try to "build" a inner vision of a close individual, they are always looking like comic representations, with constantly morphing faces, in dim light, very 2D, like printed on cardboard. They never look like they'd look to my eye IRL. But i had the ability to remember everything i had ever read under hyperfocus. I lost that, though, while psychologists say my aging brain needs mostly all the power to stay "high functioning", and it also quite feels that way.

So are we done talking about drugs now and we're off to neurodivergence? That's cool. And obviously there's sometimes a connection between these things. But it makes me sad... I was about to post a really good video on that prior subject.

We will never be done, i guess. Drugs are one topic that comes in here every now and then. And it's a part of everyday life, it always was. Use or abuse, that's the key.

I've only tried cannabis (smoked it) with my GF a couple of times (in my 20s, as a student), and also magic mushrooms recently (a couple of years ago), just once, with my nephew (he was the one who suggested it -- bad boy, he's in his 20s). The shroom trip was NICE. I saw vivid, saturated colors, distorted shapes, and talked about things I'd never really expected to talk to my nephew about. Now he knows all my dirty secrets!

The shrooms were an ego suppressor, at least that's how it felt. I just didn't care and was totally at ease, honest and uninhibited. Like an open book. Is this a normal reaction? Asking those who have taken / are taking shrooms. It felt good. Not feeling addicted to it, but would like to try a higher dosage (the dosage I tried was pretty low -- we were scared -- 1st time for both of us -- and last, as of now).

I loved mushrooms too, until the one time the trip went bad. No details, but set&setting, and how well you know your ego already, these seem to be more important to make mushrooms a good experience that with LSD, where it is important already. I'd say, if you look inside, your current mood, stress levels and such, and there is the slightest suspicion of being unwell, or stressed, don't do it. Too high doses are also uncomfortably uncontrollable. The ego suppression thing is definitely what was going on. LSD is even more potent, while more "transparent" and controllable. Mushrooms are more emotionally altering, while LSD kind of really fucks your brain, but not in the unpleasant way.

Cocaine, heroin: never tried, absolutely don't want to, and I don't think I need to.

Risk/reward is unfavorable with both (and the likes).
I did Opium two times in my life and it bored the shit out of (lucky) me, i felt quite depressed afterwards too, so no intention to ever try again. I was thinking first time was a mistake or some fake stuff. I always was going after mind-expanding experiences, for curiosity. That's mainly what saved me from addiction. In case of THC (and Muscimol) it was about making life easier, not trying to distract myself from it.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Damn, you guys have a history I'm thankfully unfamiliar with - having never once even thought about wanting to try any kind of recreational 'socially unacceptable' drug. I was too much of a strait-laced academic and definitely career-oriented.

I wouldn't even know where to get it, I didn't hang out with any friends that used drugs - and I certainly didn't want to disappoint my family or ruin my future by having a record for substance abuse or doing something stupid while under the influence. That mindset has served me well and I don't regret it...    

Do you ever drink?

I'll have a margarita or glass of wine four or five times a year when at a nice restaurant for dinner or attending a celebration.  I really don't care for the taste of alcohol...

Then you sir, are someone who uses drugs responsibly.  Alcohol is a recreational drug and pretty much only a recreational drug.  So, I say, bah, to the idea that you don't use recreational drugs.

That take on the matter while true, is actually funny.

Like caffeine (also considered a recreational drug) in soft-drinks and coffee are legal and socially accepted, someone having a margarita or glass of wine once every few months shouldn't be viewed as problematic - or as a recreational drug user in the same sense as what has been discussed here recently, which is recreational 'socially unacceptable' drug use.

Even the most laudable people partake in drinks with caffeine or a glass of wine from time to time, but I digress...  

Yes, whether or not something is socially acceptable in my view is neither here nor there.

It is beyond argument that alcohol is one of the most poisonous, damaging addictive drugs on the planet. It is notoriously hard to quit for people who slip into it too far and can even kill you in the withdrawal.  It does more damage to the internal organs than just about any other socially acceptable or unacceptable drug.

And yet it is possible to use it responsibly or at least mitigate the cost of using it by using it sparingly.  But you're still taking the risk, and you're still doing some damage.

Caffeine, on the other hand, is not quite so bad on your body. In fact, it's a liver tonic rather than destroyer.  But it will create a tolerance, dependence and a pretty nasty withdrawal if you cold Turkey off of too much of it.  But we don't make a big deal out of any of this because it's not that hard to navigate. You can either feel bad for a week or you can taper or whatever. It's not that bad.


Recreational use of cannabis is actually ranked very close to coffee on the addiction spectrum.   And even moderate recreational use is not difficult to cease for most people.  It is not poisonous. It does not harm the body, particularly if you don't smoke it.  And as I said, it's about as easy to quit as coffee.

And there are people like me who use tiny amounts. I take a combination of CBD with just a couple milligrams of THC in it.  So, I can be just as sober and metered in my life not going off the rail because of drugs as you can, even though I do something that is socially unacceptable.

But that's not to throw the heavy recreational users under the bus.  It is one of the lowest harm psychoactive substances known to man.

To tie this into the topic, I would say this, here in this thread are a lot of people who discovered Bitcoin because we're kind of 90 degrees from the rest of the world. We see things coming. We are lucky too. But there are some here that are also extraordinarily gifted in the think meat zone. 

The traditional finance world is the socially acceptable way to invest your money. 

Many of the people in this thread held through financial advisors, professors, people on the television all telling us that Bitcoin isn't real, it's a Ponzi, it will boil the oceans, and so on and so on.

Bitcoin was definitely not socially acceptable.

So you might find that argument doesn't work well on many of us.

I have not used pot since Jan 27 of 1991

I have not used coffee since 3pm Dec 6 2025

Coffee is really hard to quit for me and I have zero desire to quit it.

Pot was very easy to quit as where all other drugs except for booze I have 1 or 2 shots a week.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BTCETFInvestor]

[edited out]

What area of the world are you located?

Why does it matter where I am?

Bitcoin is a world-wide phenomena, and this thread is also a world-wide thread since we are talking about bitcoin not some pump of any particular product in any country..

Sure, the US does seem to get a disproportion amount of press, and this thread (and many of the forum threads) discusses bitcoin in terms of the USD pair, even though every once in a while some other currency pair might gain some temporary relevancy.

Maybe you should frame each of your posts in terms of US interests too.  That is really going to help you to appear like you understand bitcoin and/or want to understand bitcoin.

Today 06/12/2025 marks it one year I joined the forum, A near Novice, Naive and bitcoin retard. One year later I can say that it has been aot of experience and knowledge packed. My understanding of bitcoin has changed positively and I can now give an investment advice to any bitcoin beginner. Many things have changed so far but everything goes on and on.

When I try to recount my journey so far I look at bitcoin back when I joined here, when bitcoin was high at $102k, 365 days later bitcoin now sits at $90k.


I can see this as a proof that it's better to save your money in bitcoin than fiats and without panic I can say that it will be a wise decision for anyone who cares for the future. To prove this too, I looked back at Michael saylor's holdings one year ago which stood at about 402,000 Bitcoin on the 6th December 2024 and today, 365 days later on the 06/12/2025, the microstrategy now owns about 650,000 bitcoin in their reserves, over 50% percent addition. The future is definitely brighter with bitcoin and that's all that matters.

Congratulations.  One year is good.  and yeah.. quite a journey, and a bit of an irony that BTC prices are largely the same price today as they were in the ballpark of 1 year ago, yet I am pretty sure that if we look at the DCA websites, we will find that if you consistently bought bitcoin for the last year-ish, then your average cost per BTC would be around $100k.  

So if you had been consistently buying BTC, you would be under water right now, which is not necessarily a bad thing and if you are still accumulating, then you are bringing your average cost per coin down, currently.

My future-istic BTC price prediction charts show the 200-WMA to be in the $124k territory in 3 years (which would be 4 years for you, if you keep buying BTC for the nexty 3 years)..

So buying at these here current prices seems to be good for your own average costs per BTC, whether you end up buying BTC for a whole cycle or longer or maybe you have some other plan(s)?.

It seems to me that we should be modeling what we do in regards to our bitcoin holdings on ourselves rather than what companies such as MSTR might be doing.  

This is what AI provides for having bought Bitcoin on a monthly DCA basis over the past year:

If you had dollar-cost averaged (DCA) into Bitcoin monthly over the past year, your average cost basis today would be roughly in the range of $70,000–$75,000 per BTC, compared to the current market price of about $89,400. That means you’d be sitting on a gain of around 20–25%.

 
 Methodology:
- DCA assumes equal monthly purchases regardless of price.
- We use the monthly closing prices from December 2024 through November 2025.
- Each month, $1,000 is invested (example amount), accumulating fractional BTC.
- The average cost basis is the total invested divided by total BTC accumulated.

Price trend over the past year:
- Late 2024: Bitcoin traded around $43,000–$45,000.
- Early 2025: Prices climbed steadily into the $60,000–$70,000 range.
- Mid 2025: Surged past $100,000 briefly before correcting.
- Late 2025: Stabilized around $85,000–$90,000.

 Result:
- Because DCA captured both the lower prices in late 2024 and the higher prices in 2025, the blended average sits well below today’s spot price.

This demonstrates the risk-mitigating effect of DCA: you avoid mistiming the market and end up with a favorable average compared to current levels.

Why DCA worked well:
- Volatility smoothing: Buying during dips (e.g., $43k–$50k) lowered the average cost.
- Trend capture: Continued buying during rallies ensured exposure to upside momentum.
- Outcome: Even though Bitcoin peaked above $100k, your average stayed anchored lower, giving you a cushion against corrections.