Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ataArt]

Hello, everyone. I rarely appear here, but when I open this topic, my heart always beats faster (nostalgia).
little patience, and Bitcoin will reach new heights again.
Happy New Year, everyone

[Erumo]

Hello, everyone. I rarely appear here, but when I open this topic, my heart always beats faster (nostalgia).
little patience, and Bitcoin will reach new heights again.
Happy New Year, everyone

Close this topic immediately. We dont want you to die from tachycardia at New Year eve.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ataArt]

Hello, everyone. I rarely appear here, but when I open this topic, my heart always beats faster (nostalgia).
little patience, and Bitcoin will reach new heights again.
Happy New Year, everyone

Close this topic immediately. We dont want you to die from tachycardia at New Year eve.

Everything will be fine, buddy, don't worry—have a great holiday and, of course, make some serious profits

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BTCETFInvestor]

[edited out]

@psycodad - I find it a bit strange that some people here want to even hide what country or U.S. state they live in.

If you already know the culture around here, then why you trying to fuck with it?

What I find even stranger still is how some people want to hide their identity and/or their location yet they willingly sell stuff on the bitcointalk 'Marketplace' or on eBay, revealing their exact name and address which is usually enough information to learn someone's main email address and their phone number if they care to dig around a little. I find the $5 wrench attack excuse funny.

Just because some folks choose to be open does not mean that others do, and it is probably not even a good practice to be highlighting any weaknesses that you perceive in the OPSec of forum members.. except you want to defend your own post in which you were being loosey goosey with people who supposedly are acquaintances of yours... or whatever it was that you were wanting to show.

You want us to be loosey goosey with our identifications and also you want us to buy paper bitcoin? namely spot ETFs with a special personal recommendation of Fidelity?

You keep pushing, and are you even trying to act like you fit in these here parts, or are you just a pure attack vector?  Maybe you are a PsyOp?  You could at least try to fit in a bit better, no?

I would imagine that there are PsyOps with differing missions.

A picture of a group of a dozen people isn't going to provide much in the way of one's identity,

It is a bad example to set for others, and yeah, there are some other dumb fucks like you too, and some members end up getting banned and/or suspended because they ended up playing too loosey goosey with the OpSec of other persons. You are stacking up your various violations, so maybe at some point it will be realized that you cost more to keep as a forum member than you benefit anyone in these here parts, even if we might realize that you are phoney baloney.

and I don't see any real harm even if it does reveal what someone looks like.

Yeah, and you want to argue about it too.

It's pretty sad when someone feels the need to hide their general location or their looks from others.  

This is not facebook.

Maybe you should go to facebook and post your bitcoin spot ETF related ideas there?

Now you want to make a mockery of guys employing OPsec measures?

I doubt that you are making friends with that kind of an approach in which you are arguing against the employment of OPsec in these here parts.  Guys should be more than willing to red tag and/or to negative trust you for those kinds of behaviors.

[edited out]

There are people here worth millions maybe more like 200  million or more.
AND there are people that are worth a lot less.
I DONT bother hiding who I am as I sold and escrowed close to a million in gear and sales from 2012 to 2015.
THE WEBSITE needed some open people to help sell and push mining as it was  far bigger deal than many realize now.

I will never be able to become hidden with this identity so I do not bother to hide my self.
Now if btc was to go to 10,000,000 a coin I would leave the site and move from my home.
Becoming incognito.
But my coins are too low right now to worry about a 5 dollar wrench attack.

Sure you have been public for quite a while and for reasons, and $5 wrench attack is not the only reason that guys choose to preserve their OpSec.

Furthermore, making a mockery out of the  OPsec choices of other guys is problematic behavior..and it seems a bit screwed up that BTCETFInvestor is arguing that point in this thread or even in the forum, unless maybe there was a thread on that topic.

[edited out]

Phil - Yeah, you'd be easy to ID because you have revealed a lot about yourself. Ten minutes is all it would take to know your full name, home address and phone number. It's good that you don't bother to hide. There's no need to...who would you hide from! 

I know people with a net worth far exceeding $200mm, a couple are billionaires and they don't hide... They are elite business people involved in real estate, oil and gas and law.

There seems to be no reason to be arguing that guys loosen their chosen OPsec, and there are guys who fucked up in the past in regards to their OPsec, so they had to make changes to their profile and their posting style..

Don't be trying to lecture us about supposedly rich folks that you know who don't own bitcoin, especially since you don't own any bitcoin yourself, and you seem to want to promote your own loosey goosey OpSec ideas and/or practices to the extent that you are even who you claim to be since, we already have gone down the road with your having had already provided a bunch of fake shit and also your using AI to draft your posts. You are not exactly any kind of role model that we should aspire to, including your recently ongoing attempts to get guys to disclose mostly irrelevant side-stories about personal information.

JJG - I find you to be a very strange person that has pompously self-appointed yourself as the overseer of all things and the exclusive ringleader here. 

[philipma1957]

opec is a personal choice.

When I joined I choose to not be hidden because I was  already known via my ebay business which began in 2003.

I was known on macrumors forum
I was known on parts-express forum
I was known on antontech------ website is gone
I was known on ebay
I was known on 123macmini ---- website is gone
I was known on madisound forum
I was known on evga forum
I was known on Facebook
My email is my actual name
My name is so rare that no one in the world has it but me


I had made sales and deals and posts on all those websites. I had posted images my face was around.

SO when I came here in 2012 why change with all that info around.
I simply came to bitcointalk because I thought it would be a good way to build gpu mining rigs and sell them on ebay. By the way I sold a ton of them .

But many came here with no internet transparency some to scam some to just talk and be unknown.

[xhomerx10]

Hello, everyone. I rarely appear here, but when I open this topic, my heart always beats faster (nostalgia).
little patience, and Bitcoin will reach new heights again.
Happy New Year, everyone

Close this topic immediately. We dont want you to die from tachycardia at New Year eve.

Everything will be fine, buddy, don't worry—have a great holiday and, of course, make some serious profits

 Oh yeah, a little appropriate sinus tachyarrhythmia never hurt anyone.  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

opec is a personal choice.

When I joined I choose to not be hidden because I was  already known via my ebay business which began in 2003.

I was known on macrumors forum
I was known on parts-express forum
I was known on antontech------ website is gone
I was known on ebay
I was known on 123macmini ---- website is gone
I was known on madisound forum
I was known on evga forum
I was known on Facebook
My email is my actual name
My name is so rare that no one in the world has it but me


I had made sales and deals and posts on all those websites. I had posted images my face was around.

SO when I came here in 2012 why change with all that info around.
I simply came to bitcointalk because I thought it would be a good way to build gpu mining rigs and sell them on ebay. By the way I sold a ton of them .

But many came here with no internet transparency some to scam some to just talk and be unknown.

Phil - I definitely can understand why you chose not to hide.  Your last name is so rare that no one else in the world has it?   

My full name is Philip  M.... = (middle)  A.... = (last)

no-one I have found has that name but me.

I have searched my full name on the net since 1997 only I show up.

In retrospect using my full name for me email in 1996 was not a good choice for privacy.

But I was not a particularly rich person just working middle class guy. 

In fact I was yet to have owned a new car in 1996.

So I had no issues about my privacy.

[Biodom]

Some Internet scammers operate like this:

In the first call they ask to confirm the address
In the second call a month later they ask to confirm the name
In the third call they already have an address and a name, so they ask to confirm the last four numbers of the social.
In the fourth call they ask to confirm the first five numbers of the social.

Many older folks are falling for this.
I personally know someone who was "taken" for a few $ thousands, and it could have been even worse.

[ESG]

...~....
So I had no issues about my privacy.

 -Phil, no problem waking up early, drinking your beer, because the future is uncertain and the end is near,...
 no problem in having at least 1 btcETF paper on the homebroker and selling and buying back whenever you want so you don't need to touch your BTC that are stored...
 if this is good for you, it doesn't matter what others think, the important thing is to be physically and spiritually well,,,,
 what happens, that people are not well spiritually, and the impression that this gives is that if it is not good for them, it cannot be good for others...
 Good Sunday to you, and after eating meat, it's always good to have lemonade without sugar to help digestion and not feel unwell, a branch of wormwood (artemisia Absinthum) also helps a lot in digestion as it has no side effects.(drink water of, is good too...)

 Lengths to Mr. Jimbo, who went through a different adventure this Christmas, and is now well at home recovering from the adventure... Adventures are unexpected, and the best part is being ready for the next one!

[wachtwoord]

I go pepper free because the wife is anti pepper.

Anti pepper! What's wrong with that woman?  

I'll take mine medium to medium-well, there Mr. Roast Chef! 

Medium well is disgusting, medium rare is best.

[BitHodlers]

Some Internet scammers operate like this:

In the first call they ask to confirm the address
In the second call a month later they ask to confirm the name
In the third call they already have an address and a name, so they ask to confirm the last four numbers of the social.
In the fourth call they ask to confirm the first five numbers of the social.

Many older folks are falling for this.
I personally know someone who was "taken" for a few $ thousands, and it could have been even worse.

One way I get around this is to never answer the phone to unknown numbers. Neither calls or texts, after a while the number gets erased from any databases and they stop trying. It is possible. Somehow people are scared that they will miss a very important call or something? But if something is really important they will find alternative ways to contact you. I have never had an issue with this.

https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/03/new-ftc-data-show-big-jump-reported-losses-fraud-125-billion-2024

It is unfortunate how large the scale of scamming business is, but there is no real movement to get these things sorted.  Unbelievable isn't it?

[asUHWEceyc]

Found on reddit:

https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1pwi5pc/30_bitcoin_cycle_top_indicators_zero_triggered/

The thesis is that there are only two possibilities:
1. All previously designed top indicators (my comment-except the number of days passed post halving) are faulty.
2. This was not the top.

I think that the top was not in, but the day passed and a perfect fit with expected plus the diminishing return projected value might suggest otherwise.
Currently, I am 70:30 on this (70%-not yet, 30% -yes, we did hit the top in October).

Alternatively, we are switching to a more stock-market-like cycles with unpredictable ebbs and flows.

The 200dma was pierced on 11/04 for only the third time since mid-23: 1)for 8 days fully, but around two weeks back in 9/24 bottoming at 10% below; and 2)for a couple days in a less sustained manner circa Liberation Day `25. This has by far been the deepest, longest sustained correction since 2022.

But, we're still floating well above Jay's favorite 200wma metric (true bear indicator IMO) and a mere ~30% off the lackluster high, however it's approaching 2 months under the prior lowest level.

If 4year astrology proves to still be a thing, there's at least 9ish months of sideways-downity remaining: a dumbfoundingly difficult task with Trump Inc. pamping eet in an election year. $1776, 2026, etc

4-year Cycle Rules

• Bear low does not violate prior ATH
• Previous ATH is not exceeded until after halving
• Q4 of year following halving yields parabolic* ATH
• Subsequent 12-24 month bear market, 78+% drawdown

_*llamabolic

[psycodad]

opec is a personal choice.

When I joined I choose to not be hidden because I was  already known via my ebay business which began in 2003.

I was known on macrumors forum
I was known on parts-express forum
I was known on antontech------ website is gone
I was known on ebay
I was known on 123macmini ---- website is gone
I was known on madisound forum
I was known on evga forum
I was known on Facebook
My email is my actual name
My name is so rare that no one in the world has it but me


I had made sales and deals and posts on all those websites. I had posted images my face was around.

SO when I came here in 2012 why change with all that info around.
I simply came to bitcointalk because I thought it would be a good way to build gpu mining rigs and sell them on ebay. By the way I sold a ton of them .

But many came here with no internet transparency some to scam some to just talk and be unknown.

Phil - I definitely can understand why you chose not to hide.  Your last name is so rare that no one else in the world has it?   

My full name is Philip  M.... = (middle)  A.... = (last)

no-one I have found has that name but me.

I have searched my full name on the net since 1997 only I show up.

In retrospect using my full name for me email in 1996 was not a good choice for privacy.

But I was not a particularly rich person just working middle class guy. 

In fact I was yet to have owned a new car in 1996.

So I had no issues about my privacy.

I just want to make clear that I have no problems with the way you handle your privacy, that is your decision - my point is that it is every persons individual choice to make if and how much he/she wants to be open with his personal information or not.

Therefor I do see it as rude if one decides for others what level of privacy they should have or deserve. I understand you have no problem in the fact that some of us here prefer to stay anonymous or at least pseudonymous as long as those have no problem with the way you decided to deal with that yourself.

Coincidentally I am just right now re-reading the respective part dealing with that in "Data and Goliath" from Bruce Schneier, which together with "Liars and Outliers" are two very outstanding books from him that among other topics explain why a right to privacy is a necessity for any progress in society.

[JimboToronto]

I suppose the Doctors (et al) are working to figure out your diagnosis. Hopefully nothing too serious.

Quickly looking at some pulse oximeter information, I see that even below 92% could be worrisome if it is an accurate reading and not due to measuring device errors... so loss of consciousness and brain damage could start to kick in when in the lower 80%s... so it seems that 70% would have had put you into unconsciousness...and brain dead.. so hopefully that low measurement was due to measurement variability rather than reading an accurate blood/oxygen level.

It didn't take them long to figure out what was wrong... common pneumonia. You probably know that streptococcus pneumoniae normally exists in all our bodies and will develop into pneumonia when we are weakened by other diseases. I knew I'd picked up some kind of flu or other virus several weeks ago. I guess that triggered the pneumonia. Before I even called a cab I started myself on prednisone which my respirologist had given to me to use at my discretion in case of an emergency. At the hospital they quickly started me on amoxiclav and continued my prednisone.

My main reason to stay was oxygen. Because of the holiday short staffing, there was a bit of a mixup. The nurses monitoring my oxygen levels tried to keep my oximeter readings up in the high nineties. When an actual respirologist came in and saw what was happening she explained that after years of COPD my system had adapted and that my new normal was the 88-92 range and that the occasional dips into the high 70s was acceptable. By late yesterday we'd achieved these levels without extra oxygen so they discharged me.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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