Any educated, logical, fair-minded human being that reads some of the pathetic fucked up shit here thinks many of the OGs that post regularly are total idiots with serious mental problems.
I’m not so keen on that fancy book learning and logic tends to escape me so I haven’t noticed the mental health emergency in this thread. While I don’t believe I have ever claimed to be a Bitcoin “OG” I have also never claimed to be mentally sound. In fact, I would point to the % of my net worth currently invested in Bitcoin as evidence to the contrary.
At least I know I am in good company.
Mentally sound is fucking boring anyway
I never had real fun without at least a little touch of craziness.
Those who know the meaning of "normal" know...
Many of us likely realize that there are a variety of personalities in this thread, and surely some of us are not necessarily going to interact in any way that is exactly predictable - so whether that is normal or not, there seems to be a certain level of allowance for a variety of opinions, even if there might perceptions of
likely deserved dog piling, too.
Bull back on?
I believe the term is dead cat bounce. I wouldn’t feel good about buying here. I think we probably see Bitcoin recover back to near $108K and then the next leg down. Would love to see another high this cycle, but I don’t think it is going to happen. Unless Trump can remove Capital Gains or manage a big Strategic Reserve buy, the next year is going to be a rough one. Hopefully his speech today has some Bitcoin mentions in it.
I doubt that your viewpoint is going to work out too well, especially since you are also acting upon it... So you likely have decently good odds of putting yourself in a worse position based on your view of where we are at currently and where we are going (or may be going) from here.
But hey, it is a free world the last time I checked, at least in terms of our personal choices regarding how much of our time, energy and value to put into or keep in bitcoin.
You never know.
You might be correct...
But, I doubt it. You are too rigid and also too smug about thinking that you know more than you do.. which is part of the reason that you likely feel some level of desperation to sell and to hope to be able to buy back cheaper, which is also starting from a bad (a trader's rather than an investor's) perspective.
...mental health...
Hey, by the way, i don't have mental problems,
i am a mental problem
someone mentioned brain damage?
so lets add up the combined ICD10/DSM codes of our respective mental issues and see who has the biggest numbers?
whos first.. i think ill be pretty up there with my score lol
Finally a topic that got uie pooie
exciiiiiitteeeeeeeee!!!!!!! 
Here’s a chart I found on the interwebz. The four year cycle folks (like myself) have to be searching for the exits. Now might not be the right time, but time is running out quickly to sell above $100K if you ask me. I don’t think we’ll see $118K again for a few years. As always, I’d love to be wrong.
Wow.. That is truly a higher level of nonsense that's got to be bettable... but I doubt you will do it and you probably don't even belive what you are saying. You could not be that out of touch. Or could you?
How about it? It does not even have to be a big bet. I might even be willing to give you odds on your nutjob (likely talking your book) wishful proposition.
Here’s a chart I found on the interwebz. The four year cycle folks (like myself) have to be searching for the exits. Now might not be the right time, but time is running out quickly to sell above $100K if you ask me. I don’t think we’ll see $118K again for a few years. As always, I’d love to be wrong.
So how deep is the bear? Wick below 30k in 12-14mo before reversal?
I think it is too soon to start calling bottoms. The number I’m throwing out now is $60K, but $40K wouldn’t surprise me. There is no major support until $76K… Rather than worrying about how low we are going to go in the next cycle, it would be wise to start reducing exposure on the peaks. The risk/reward has clearly shifted and I’m seeing a lot of denial out there. Never sell all your BTC, but make sure if you do sell any, it is at cycle peaks, e.g. 2013,2017,2021,2025,2029, etc. You don’t have to sell now, but make sure you aren’t the guy selling at $50K in 14 months.
It's never going below $55k again, unless a quickie spike (meaning less than a few hours below that.
I would be more adventurous with my bet proposal, but I am just making what might be a bet proposal that you should be more than willing to accept, especially given your current level of confidence.
Also I am glad that you are ahead of the curve.. and clairvoyant too.
Poll
