Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[OutOfMemory]

My full name is Philip  M.... = (middle)  A.... = (last)
no-one I have found has that name but me.
I have searched my full name on the net since 1997 only I show up.
In retrospect using my full name for me email in 1996 was not a good choice for privacy.

But I was not a particularly rich person just working middle class guy.  
In fact I was yet to have owned a new car in 1996.
So I had no issues about my privacy.

Phil - Yeah, you do have an extremely rare last name, and when putting your first and middle name with it - your full name is the only one on the planet! It's definitely not a Smith, Jones, Johnson or Williams!  Even your wife has a relatively rare last name.

This is getting sicker and sicker... and Phil is just playing along with the further and further and further unnecessary, irrelevant and even invasive probing.

I once was in a data leak, but only email address involved.
Some other persons full name, phone and address details were disclosed in the same leak, some with addresses near my home.
Maybe i'm funny some day and visit some of them, just to ask if anything bad happened to them in the meantime because of the leak.
But even that would be more than concerning to me, i mean if my details were leaked and some unknown dude visits me at my home address he got from a leaked database on the dark web, dares to ask me about crypto.

I have other reasons to keep my identity private, but it wouldn't hurt to generally keep it private, so i kept it private everywhere. I am far more concerned about authorities than $5 wrench attacks, but should i maneuver myself into a position where i will having to consider to ever being a victim of the latter?

Questioning anonymity and privacy on the internet is a #1 clue for a compulsive control mindset or worse, to say the least.
Everybody claiming having "no reasons to hide his identity" isn't fully aware of the consequences, most times.
Privacy is also freedom. Believing in freedom and condemning privacy at the same time, makes no sense, and it's pretty un-american, too.
Just look at the world's regimes that are not allowing or attacking privacy, to find the most authoritative ones.

yeah I run 94 to 97 as smoking from 1969 to 1996  is why I never get to 99 or 100

The risk to develop cancer decreases to that of a lifetime non-smoker already 15-20 years after quitting to smoke.
I'd say you're fine unless you haven't already developed illnesses from smoking.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

A belated Merry Christmas wall observers.

Just got back from the hospital where I spent the last half week.

Woke up short of breath on Christmas Eve, checked my pulse oximeter which showed a reading in the 70s, and barely made it into a taxi to the hospital. Almost passed out waiting for triage. Luckily, they quickly blasted me with lots of sweet oxygen. I was formally admitted in the wee hours of Christmas Day after spending the rest of Christmas Eve in emergency.

Luckily my brother and niece dropped by in the mid-afternoon with a pre-sample of the dinner we ended up missing. Good thing too. I hadn't realized just how bad hospital food had become. I remember half a century ago eating in hospital cafeterias because the food was much better than all but the highest-end restaurants.  Not any more. The slop they served was not fit to be dogfood. At least they fed us. In some countries you're expected to supply your own food.

Because the hospital was short-staffed for the holidays, there was no problem with my wife staying overnight even after visiting hours were finished. It made my hospital Christmas much more bearable. Thank gawd for our "socialized" public healthcare. Just show your card upon entry.
______  

I hope everyone here had a holly jolly Christmas or whatever one chooses to celebrate. Peace on earth and goodwill to all mankind.

Next step: happy new year.

Happy belated Christmas, Jimbo. I had a similarly crap Christmas. My Mother-in-law fell down our stairs about 6pm on Christmas Eve and broke her fibula and tibia in her lower right leg. We have a nearly 3 year old daughter so my wife had to stay home with her. I ended up being the one sitting in ER until 01:00 Christmas Day with her.

Wife and her sister are taking it in turns sleeping at her house to help, we are waiting for a day (very soon) for an operation to pin, plate and stabilise the ankle joint.

So if it’s any consolation my festive period has been ass too. A quite forgettable 2025 ‘bull run’ in addition to this leaves me looking forward to 2026 which I hope is a lot better.

Love and prosperity to all, hopefully the four year cycle thesis is dead and 2026 is one to remember for the ages.

Cheers.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Hyperjacked]

Just curious…where does everyone see bitcoin price hitting in 2026?
I’ve stated before that bitcoin usually trades down two years before the next halving… could it be different this time?
Lots of moving pieces and different players this cycle…
World instability… flight too safety with Gold and silver… Does the stock market crash… yada yada yada !
The jury is still out for me… but I think it’s looking like DCA is back on the table.
Cheers WO OGs n Hodlers 😎

[JimboToronto]

I'm glad you were able to survive our medical system Mr. JimboToronto.

Survive? 

Seems to me that you've been subjected to too much USA propaganda.

[BTCETFInvestor]

Happy belated Christmas, Jimbo. I had a similarly crap Christmas. My Mother-in-law fell down our stairs about 6pm on Christmas Eve and broke her fibula and tibia in her lower right leg. We have a nearly 3 year old daughter so my wife had to stay home with her. I ended up being the one sitting in ER until 01:00 Christmas Day with her.

Wife and her sister are taking it in turns sleeping at her house to help, we are waiting for a day (very soon) for an operation to pin, plate and stabilise the ankle joint.

So if it’s any consolation my festive period has been ass too. A quite forgettable 2025 ‘bull run’ in addition to this leaves me looking forward to 2026 which I hope is a lot better.

Love and prosperity to all, hopefully the four year cycle thesis is dead and 2026 is one to remember for the ages.

Cheers.

@LFC_Bitcoin - Wow, so sorry to hear about the accident with your M-I-L. Your wife helping is going to be difficult for her and for you having a 3 year old to care for. Hopefully your M-I-L will get her operation soon and it will be successful, but then she'll need both time and rehab to recover. Wishing all of you the very best...  

[AlcoHoDL]

[...]

Of course, if you translate the 200 DMA into the weekly moving average then that is merely the 7 week moving average, which seems a bit short, which I suppose is the point, since we can compare the shorter with the longer and come up with some ideas about whetehr the trend has changed or if the trend is moving in a certain direction.

[...]

A correction:

200-DMA ≈ 29-WMA   (200 days / 7 days per week ≈ 29 weeks)

...unless I'm missing something.

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

Happy belated Christmas, Jimbo. I had a similarly crap Christmas. My Mother-in-law fell down our stairs about 6pm on Christmas Eve and broke her fibula and tibia in her lower right leg. We have a nearly 3 year old daughter so my wife had to stay home with her. I ended up being the one sitting in ER until 01:00 Christmas Day with her.
Wife and her sister are taking it in turns sleeping at her house to help, we are waiting for a day (very soon) for an operation to pin, plate and stabilise the ankle joint.

So if it’s any consolation my festive period has been ass too. A quite forgettable 2025 ‘bull run’ in addition to this leaves me looking forward to 2026 which I hope is a lot better.

Love and prosperity to all, hopefully the four year cycle thesis is dead and 2026 is one to remember for the ages.
Cheers.

You did not say that you would wish to lose your bet... so that's not very well-wishing of you.   .

Just curious…where does everyone see bitcoin price hitting in 2026?
I’ve stated before that bitcoin usually trades down two years before the next halving… could it be different this time?
Lots of moving pieces and different players this cycle…
World instability… flight too safety with Gold and silver… Does the stock market crash… yada yada yada !
The jury is still out for me… but I think it’s looking like DCA is back on the table.
Cheers WO OGs n Hodlers 😎

Regarding predictions, I don't have any clairvoyance.. since there has been a lot of weird shit going on in regards to various assets pumping and bitcoin either dumping or just staying stagnant... which seems like there could just be purposeful targeting of bitcoin, yet it makes little sense that bitcoin can be manipulated for so low and so long.. since there are ONLY so many coins to go around.  In the past we have had 7-18 months of downity manipulation, yet that tended to be during a bear markets, yet right now we are still in a bull market, so how can we know if something bad enough is going to happen to demote us into a bear market? In a bull market the downity will tend to ONLY last a few months and maybe 5 months at most... Yet these are strange times, so abnormal things might end up happening.

Regarding the DCA idea, yeah.. for anyone who has a cashflow and even if they might have had reached their overaccumulation status, there can be certain levels of dip that justify continuing with DCA, even if some of these guys might have had determined that they have enough or more than enough bitcoin.  Getting close to the 200-WMA will tend to justify continued DCA, yet right now with a 200-WMA of nearly $57k and spot prices at around $87.5k, we are still 55% higher than the 200-WMA.. so might not be enough dip for some guys to start their DCA back up, yet.

Edit:  Maybe there is some desire to close this week's candle before there is allowance for some significant price action.. but still ?  Up or down?  Tehre is ONLY about 90 minutes left in the week, as I edit this post.

[...]Of course, if you translate the 200 DMA into the weekly moving average then that is merely the 7 week moving average, which seems a bit short, which I suppose is the point, since we can compare the shorter with the longer and come up with some ideas about whetehr the trend has changed or if the trend is moving in a certain direction.[...]

A correction:
200-DMA ≈ 29-WMA   (200 days / 7 days per week ≈ 29 weeks)
...unless I'm missing something.

Hahahahaha..

You are correct.  I made a slip-up.

I had decided to divide 200 by 7, and for some reason, I got 7 for my answer rather than 29 or maybe 30 if we round up to a common round number, and say that the 200 DMA is more or less the same as the 30 WMA...

Surely measuring bitcoin's weekly moving average over 30 weeks is much different from measuring it over 7 weeks - even though traders will mix match all kinds of indicators and averages in order to tell us where we are at or perhaps to predict where we might be going... and surely we know that the trend can be our friend, even though it can suddenly change, too..

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[AlcoHoDL]

[...]

Cheers WO OGs n Hodlers 😎

OGs 'n' HoDLers?
Overspecification!
OGs are HoDLers!

#couldnotresisthaiku

[BTCETFInvestor]

Isn't filing Federal taxes a real pain when you own, use, sell, trade or mine Bitcoin?

Having to track cost basis for all tax implication activities like buying, selling, exchanging, and even receiving it as payment or a gift seems to be problematic because the IRS requires detailed reporting of all gains and losses, which I would think could be a real nightmare. And since income from mining or staking is reported and taxed as ordinary income, accurate record keeping is an absolute must.

Gathering all transaction data from multiple exchanges, wallets, and platforms must be aggravating and super time-consuming since some platforms do not even provide comprehensive tax reports like stock brokerages that provide their customers with tax documentation. Brokerages make it so easy for taxpayers to import all the data into tax reporting software. That doesn't seem to be possible when owning, using or mining Bitcoin from what I have seen about the topic.  

I'm guessing U.S. taxpayers using Coinbase or a similar exchange have transaction data available to them, while others may not...

I would think this probably keeps many people away from directly owning, using, selling, trading or mining Bitcoin...

I'm sure there are some people that only buys Bitcoin and hodls it without any selling, trading, exchanging or gifting -  which doesn't need to be reported, I'm guessing.  

I wouldn't think just moving Bitcoin around doesn't create a taxable event, but I suspect exchanges must report any activity, so I wonder if that might trigger an IRS audit. Dunno..
 

► https://youtu.be/rKGztUXn17c

[philipma1957]

Silver silver 83 an oz.

Poised to pass Nvidia

https://8marketcap.com/


Market cap over 4.5 trillion

https://silverprice.org/

Talk about the flipping

Who would ever think silver would do  this?

Got to buy more corn with yet another silver sale.


At  btc investor mining it  is hard to track.

But if you dca buy and hodl with 1 account there is  zero reporting . Til you sell it

[AlcoHoDL]

[...]

[...]Of course, if you translate the 200 DMA into the weekly moving average then that is merely the 7 week moving average, which seems a bit short, which I suppose is the point, since we can compare the shorter with the longer and come up with some ideas about whetehr the trend has changed or if the trend is moving in a certain direction.[...]

A correction:
200-DMA ≈ 29-WMA   (200 days / 7 days per week ≈ 29 weeks)
...unless I'm missing something.

Hahahahaha..

You are correct.  I made a slip-up.

I had decided to divide 200 by 7, and for some reason, I got 7 for my answer rather than 29 or maybe 30 if we round up to a common round number, and say that the 200 DMA is more or less the same as the 30 WMA...

Surely measuring bitcoin's weekly moving average over 30 weeks is much different from measuring it over 7 weeks - even though traders will mix match all kinds of indicators and averages in order to tell us where we are at or perhaps to predict where we might be going... and surely we know that the trend can be our friend, even though it can suddenly change, too..

Yes, 30-WMA sounds fine to me. We all love round numbers. I quite like those average indicators, for their simplicity and because they filter out the noise, which is really equivalent to zooming out -- the longer the averaging horizon, the further out the zooming -- which is a way to zoom out without graphics or charts. Just a single number conveys the meaning nicely.

I consider the 200-WMA the most important (if not the only) indicator I would use, for assessing level of wealth based on amount of Bitcoin owned (a.k.a. "Fuck You" status).

Currently approaching $57k.

[philipma1957]

My full name is Philip  M.... = (middle)  A.... = (last)
no-one I have found has that name but me.
I have searched my full name on the net since 1997 only I show up.
In retrospect using my full name for me email in 1996 was not a good choice for privacy.

But I was not a particularly rich person just working middle class guy.  
In fact I was yet to have owned a new car in 1996.
So I had no issues about my privacy.

Phil - Yeah, you do have an extremely rare last name, and when putting your first and middle name with it - your full name is the only one on the planet! It's definitely not a Smith, Jones, Johnson or Williams!  Even your wife has a relatively rare last name.

This is getting sicker and sicker... and Phil is just playing along with the further and further and further unnecessary, irrelevant and even invasive probing.

I once was in a data leak, but only email address involved.
Some other persons full name, phone and address details were disclosed in the same leak, some with addresses near my home.
Maybe i'm funny some day and visit some of them, just to ask if anything bad happened to them in the meantime because of the leak.
But even that would be more than concerning to me, i mean if my details were leaked and some unknown dude visits me at my home address he got from a leaked database on the dark web, dares to ask me about crypto.

I have other reasons to keep my identity private, but it wouldn't hurt to generally keep it private, so i kept it private everywhere. I am far more concerned about authorities than $5 wrench attacks, but should i maneuver myself into a position where i will having to consider to ever being a victim of the latter?

Questioning anonymity and privacy on the internet is a #1 clue for a compulsive control mindset or worse, to say the least.
Everybody claiming having "no reasons to hide his identity" isn't fully aware of the consequences, most times.
Privacy is also freedom. Believing in freedom and condemning privacy at the same time, makes no sense, and it's pretty un-american, too.
Just look at the world's regimes that are not allowing or attacking privacy, to find the most authoritative ones.

yeah I run 94 to 97 as smoking from 1969 to 1996  is why I never get to 99 or 100

The risk to develop cancer decreases to that of a lifetime non-smoker already 15-20 years after quitting to smoke.
I'd say you're fine unless you haven't already developed illnesses from smoking.

I quit in time fingers crossed .


Just got me more discount corn.

and when this silver (  https://www.ebay.com/str/philipma1957computergearandmore  )         sells on ebay I will be getting more

look at these jumps

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ESG]

A dark forest theme?
Phil says: nonsense, I don't care
It's all in the stars

# Sunday "thematic" haiku

   Quantum entanglement and dark energy are two topics that draw my attention a lot,
 from the studies already done and those that are yet to be done,
 and my opinion is that quantum entanglement and dark energy
are somehow linked.

 Following the events of The Three Body Problem, humanity unites to defend Earth. The invasion fleet from the alien planet Trisolaris will arrive in approximately 400 years. Earth's defence is severely hampered by Trisolaran "sophons", omnipresent but unobservable supercomputers that spy on all Earth activity and prevent major technological advancement.

...
 Obscure sociologist and former astronomer Luo Ji is chosen as a Wallfacer because he is the only person Trisolaris attempted to assassinate. While the other Wallfacers consume extravagant resources and make major news, Luo Ji's only concrete effort is to broadcast a cryptic message to the universe which he calls a "spell".

...Luo Ji hibernates for 200 years and is revived into a utopian society with advanced technology....
..
 Luo agrees to oversee Project Snow, which will use explosives to create a dust cloud intended to reveal the approach of any more Trisolaran probes. One day, his neighbors revere him again as a Wallfacer, and he knows his spell must have worked. Luo realizes Trisolaris feared him because of his encounter with astrophysicist Ye Wenjie, the first human to establish contact with Trisolaris. She encouraged Luo to develop "cosmic sociology".
...
...The message he sent to the universe was the location of a star system 50 light-years away that could support an advanced civilization. It is destroyed by an unknown advanced civilization, which proves Luo's dark forest hypothesis.
...

- Bitcoin has an artificial form of quantum entanglement going on,
 which people haven't stopped to think about this possibility that might be happening.

 An example> a bitcoin was created in 2014, and then it was distributed to ten different addresses, and each of those addresses sent to ten different more addresses, so we have a hundred wallets with pieces of a bitcoin, and one of those wallets, send it to a wallet that is somewhere in space minus on earth, while the remaining 99 addresses are here.
/
 So with each transaction that happened, each address feels that the other part of it was moved, and each address feels that, because in a way, they were once connected in one body, and today there are hundreds of bodies scattered around, derived in various addresses, we have no way to prove that a quantum entanglement is happening, but in the general ledger we know what happened to each part of that bitcoin that was divided.

 So, in my point of view, we have an artificial quantum entanglement happening, not natural like true quantum entanglement, but an artificial form, in which it is proven that each satoshi was part of a bitcoin, and whether they like it or not, they are still part of one, and each satoshi can feel the movement of another satoshi wherever he is.

-No, none of this was researched, only my thought that saw a similarity
between one thing and another, and in a way I see a sense in it...

Quantum entanglement is the phenomenon wherein the quantum state of each particle in a group cannot be described independently of the state of the others, even when the particles are separated by a large distance. The topic of quantum entanglement is at the heart of the disparity between classical physics and quantum physics: entanglement is a primary feature of quantum mechanics not present in classical mechanics.

and also, quantum entanglement,  
 help us to understand about the multidimensional fields
 that are theoretically said to exist.

anyway, in this Dimension, there seems to be
a micro rally happening for the turn of the month...
...dark times with fires and shooting stars...
.


Blue monday  expexcted   .  ?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

A dark forest theme?
Phil says: nonsense, I don't care
It's all in the stars

# Sunday "thematic" haiku

   Quantum entanglement and dark energy are two topics that draw my attention a lot,
 from the studies already done and those that are yet to be done,
 and my opinion is that quantum entanglement and dark energy
are somehow linked.

 Following the events of The Three Body Problem, humanity unites to defend Earth. The invasion fleet from the alien planet Trisolaris will arrive in approximately 400 years. Earth's defence is severely hampered by Trisolaran "sophons", omnipresent but unobservable supercomputers that spy on all Earth activity and prevent major technological advancement.

...
 Obscure sociologist and former astronomer Luo Ji is chosen as a Wallfacer because he is the only person Trisolaris attempted to assassinate. While the other Wallfacers consume extravagant resources and make major news, Luo Ji's only concrete effort is to broadcast a cryptic message to the universe which he calls a "spell".

...Luo Ji hibernates for 200 years and is revived into a utopian society with advanced technology....
..
 Luo agrees to oversee Project Snow, which will use explosives to create a dust cloud intended to reveal the approach of any more Trisolaran probes. One day, his neighbors revere him again as a Wallfacer, and he knows his spell must have worked. Luo realizes Trisolaris feared him because of his encounter with astrophysicist Ye Wenjie, the first human to establish contact with Trisolaris. She encouraged Luo to develop "cosmic sociology".
...
...The message he sent to the universe was the location of a star system 50 light-years away that could support an advanced civilization. It is destroyed by an unknown advanced civilization, which proves Luo's dark forest hypothesis.
...

- Bitcoin has an artificial form of quantum entanglement going on,
 which people haven't stopped to think about this possibility that might be happening.

 An example> a bitcoin was created in 2014, and then it was distributed to ten different addresses, and each of those addresses sent to ten different more addresses, so we have a hundred wallets with pieces of a bitcoin, and one of those wallets, send it to a wallet that is somewhere in space minus on earth, while the remaining 99 addresses are here.
/
 So with each transaction that happened, each address feels that the other part of it was moved, and each address feels that, because in a way, they were once connected in one body, and today there are hundreds of bodies scattered around, derived in various addresses, we have no way to prove that a quantum entanglement is happening, but in the general ledger we know what happened to each part of that bitcoin that was divided.

 So, in my point of view, we have an artificial quantum entanglement happening, not natural like true quantum entanglement, but an artificial form, in which it is proven that each satoshi was part of a bitcoin, and whether they like it or not, they are still part of one, and each satoshi can feel the movement of another satoshi wherever he is.

-No, none of this was researched, only my thought that saw a similarity
between one thing and another, and in a way I see a sense in it...

Quantum entanglement is the phenomenon wherein the quantum state of each particle in a group cannot be described independently of the state of the others, even when the particles are separated by a large distance. The topic of quantum entanglement is at the heart of the disparity between classical physics and quantum physics: entanglement is a primary feature of quantum mechanics not present in classical mechanics.

and also, quantum entanglement,  
 help us to understand about the multidimensional fields
 that are theoretically said to exist.

anyway, in this Dimension, there seems to be
a micro rally happening for the turn of the month...
...dark times with fires and shooting stars...
.


Blue monday  expexcted   .  ?

hmm silver to btc?

someone copy me?

silver has tanked a bit and btc has risen a bit.

could the flippening be reversing

btc>silver

is now

silver > btc

we can only hope.

[BTCETFInvestor]

Found on reddit:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1pwi5pc/30_bitcoin_cycle_top_indicators_zero_triggered/
The thesis is that there are only two possibilities:
1. All previously designed top indicators (my comment-except the number of days passed post halving) are faulty.
2. This was not the top.

I think that the top was not in, but the day passed and a perfect fit with expected plus the diminishing return projected value might suggest otherwise.
Currently, I am 70:30 on this (70%-not yet, 30% -yes, we did hit the top in October).

Alternatively, we are switching to a more stock-market-like cycles with unpredictable ebbs and flows.

The 200dma was pierced on 11/04 for only the third time since mid-23: 1)for 8 days fully, but around two weeks back in 9/24 bottoming at 10% below; and 2)for a couple days in a less sustained manner circa Liberation Day `25. This has by far been the deepest, longest sustained correction since 2022.
But, we're still floating well above Jay's favorite 200wma metric (true bear indicator IMO) and a mere ~30% off the lackluster high, however it's approaching 2 months under the prior lowest level.

If 4year astrology proves to still be a thing, there's at least 9ish months of sideways-downity remaining: a dumbfoundingly difficult task with Trump Inc. pamping eet in an election year. $1776, 2026, etc

4-year Cycle Rules

• Bear low does not violate prior ATH
• Previous ATH is not exceeded until after halving
• Q4 of year following halving yields parabolic* ATH
• Subsequent 12-24 month bear market, 78+% drawdown

_*llamabolic

Even though I frequently proclaim that I don't know where we are going, the 200-WMA can tell us where we are at.. and so we can see how far the BTC price is relative to the 200-WMA, which currently with the BTC price at $87,6000 and the 200-WMA at $56,700, we are about 55% above the 200-WMA.

Why use any other indicator, except maybe because other folks are using other indicators?

The 100-WMA can be helpful to see when the BTC price might get stuck between the 100-WMA and the 200-WMA.. then maybe that could be a sign that we are in a bear market or to confirm that we had entered a bear market. The 100-WMA is right around $83,600.  By the way the 100-WMA can also be referred to as the 2 year moving average.

A problem with these indicators is that they can be gamed.. so then maybe if we stay below a price (such as the 100-WMA) for long enough, then maybe we will start to conclude that we have transitioned into a bear market.

I suppose that ultimately I like the 200-WMA since so far it is always moving up and it tends to take out a lo tof the shorter-term noise.. so it tells us where we are at, but not necessarily where we are going.. ..same with any of the indicators, even though surely we might try to extract some data from the various indicators to throw in a predictive element into the mix.

Of course, if you translate the 200 DMA into the weekly moving average then that is merely the 7 week moving average, which seems a bit short, which I suppose is the point, since we can compare the shorter with the longer and come up with some ideas about whetehr the trend has changed or if the trend is moving in a certain direction.

I suppose the Doctors (et al) are working to figure out your diagnosis. Hopefully nothing too serious.

Quickly looking at some pulse oximeter information, I see that even below 92% could be worrisome if it is an accurate reading and not due to measuring device errors... so loss of consciousness and brain damage could start to kick in when in the lower 80%s... so it seems that 70% would have had put you into unconsciousness...and brain dead.. so hopefully that low measurement was due to measurement variability rather than reading an accurate blood/oxygen level.

It didn't take them long to figure out what was wrong... common pneumonia. You probably know that streptococcus pneumoniae normally exists in all our bodies and will develop into pneumonia when we are weakened by other diseases. I knew I'd picked up some kind of flu or other virus several weeks ago. I guess that triggered the pneumonia. Before I even called a cab I started myself on prednisone which my respirologist had given to me to use at my discretion in case of an emergency. At the hospital they quickly started me on amoxiclav and continued my prednisone.

My main reason to stay was oxygen. Because of the holiday short staffing, there was a bit of a mixup. The nurses monitoring my oxygen levels tried to keep my oximeter readings up in the high nineties. When an actual respirologist came in and saw what was happening she explained that after years of COPD my system had adapted and that my new normal was the 88-92 range and that the occasional dips into the high 70s was acceptable. By late yesterday we'd achieved these levels without extra oxygen so they discharged me.

They just make up shit as they go.. so that they can release you without feeling legally liable.

 

I am glad that things were pinpointed and the issue was not more serious - or at least if you have a path forward to potentially just to get back to what you had been in previously and assuming recovery after taking the antibiotics and the steroids. I heard that people can have issues with prednisone.. as with any systematic medications.

Do you smoke or vape?

Popped in to say hi
Nice arguments all around
Cycle end or not?
#haikuspeakingfeelslikeyoda

Hi.

Regarding cycle:  Both.  Cycle theory is still in effect, meaning that this cycle is over.  At the same time, we have not bounced out of the bull market yet... So go figure!!!!

I don't know what takes us out of this particular bull market.  I suppose if we go below the 100-WMA for any meaningful amount of time (which is currently $83.6k).. that might help to take us out of it.. but going below the 100WMA with some kind of conviction might really help.. which would be a bit devastating to see folks actually selling at that price, unless it were to just be paper bitcoin playing some attempted manipulation, which might not end well for them..

Of course, with price movements there is a time element and there is also an amount of movement element too, so maybe the next two weeks are critical^tm, to see what happens to dee cornz, if anything, or will we continue to just be stuck in our current $86k to $94k narrow range for extended periods, or maybe we will be stuck in a broader $82k to $108k range or maybe we can bounce out of such broader range in order to get real  and meaningful relief?

From my perspective, it is like an  ongoing toss-up situation.  What else is new?  

We have been in these kind of toss up places in previous times and for long periods of time, and no one really knows what might or might not happen when we are in a toss up area, even though HODLers get frustrated by the lack  of up that seems to be happening.  

 It was supposed to be the case that we were out of the stucked-ness range on December 26th from the closing of the end of the month options, but that has been almost 2 days ago and we are still flat as a pancake in the past two days.  

Is someone trying to kill us through boredom?

My full name is Philip  M.... = (middle)  A.... = (last)
no-one I have found has that name but me.
I have searched my full name on the net since 1997 only I show up.
In retrospect using my full name for me email in 1996 was not a good choice for privacy.

But I was not a particularly rich person just working middle class guy.  
In fact I was yet to have owned a new car in 1996.
So I had no issues about my privacy.

Phil - Yeah, you do have an extremely rare last name, and when putting your first and middle name with it - your full name is the only one on the planet! It's definitely not a Smith, Jones, Johnson or Williams!  Even your wife has a relatively rare last name.

This is getting sicker and sicker... and Phil is just playing along with the further and further and further unnecessary, irrelevant and even invasive probing.

Femininity is being scorned at, though, with 90-100lb lady(ies) kicking the asses of the burly 230-250lb men, allegedly, as depicted in "Furiosa".

For sure, problematic to detach so thoroughly with reality - and the  tragedies of sex alteration surgery in young folk is problematic too.. .. which is it any worse to be thinking that man can actually travel to places outside of earth to live?  There can be some value in fantasy, yet it gets a bit detached from reality sometimes... .. which even life extension frequently seems more of a fantasy rather than a reality.

JJG - I may send Phil an email just to say howdy - but just to make you OpSec happy, I'd do it from one of my alias accounts!