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February 23, 2026, 11:07:58 PM *
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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26934970 times)
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philipma1957
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February 20, 2026, 04:08:44 PM
Last edit: February 20, 2026, 04:24:59 PM by philipma1957

Now that the tariffs are gone, I expect us to go up the same amount we went down when they were announced by the gold geezer.

Will not happen ofc, but one can still demand it, right?

link on tariffs

Quote
https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/supreme-court-strikes-down-trump-150711549.html?



Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s sweeping tariffs, upending central plank of economic agenda


silver moved up a bit

btc moved a fraction

I would love to see a rally up to 80k+ in next 10 days.

oh at the moment a th of btc hash earns 2.9 cents

so a s21xp had 270 hash or 2.9x270=$7.83 in earnings

it burns 3.5x24=84 kwatts so if you pay 8 cents a kwatt

84x.08=6.72 in power cost leaving 1 dollar and 11 cents to cover

a $5000 dollar price for the gear
a building to mine it.
labor
repairs.

We are looking at a major crash in mining without price relief to say 80k or more.

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February 20, 2026, 04:49:36 PM

oh at the moment a th of btc hash earns 2.9 cents

so a s21xp had 270 hash or 2.9x270=$7.83 in earnings

it burns 3.5x24=84 kwatts so if you pay 8 cents a kwatt

84x.08=6.72 in power cost leaving 1 dollar and 11 cents to cover

a $5000 dollar price for the gear
a building to mine it.
labor
repairs.

We are looking at a major crash in mining without price relief to say 80k or more.

What price for CoreSci to go bankrupt again, or is the "AI" side hustle too lucrative?
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February 20, 2026, 05:46:13 PM

We are looking at a major crash in mining without price relief to say 80k or more.

Deepbit, GPUMax, Ghash… Time and time again we’ve seen the cycle eat the largest players in the mining space. I don’t think there is any reason to think that we won’t see plenty of bankruptcies and closures of mining operations over the next year. Mining is great for getting KYC-free BTC or forced DCA. Mining for profit margins has never been the winning move.
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February 20, 2026, 06:43:05 PM

Jane Street.
Willy Woo(ps)
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February 20, 2026, 07:26:34 PM

Now that the tariffs are gone, I expect us to go up the same amount we went down when they were announced by the gold geezer.

Will not happen ofc, but one can still demand it, right?
They will come back very soon under a different law, this better not lead to BTC crashing because the same tariffs got restored.  Grin
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February 20, 2026, 07:38:35 PM

Feels like we're in the old push-higher/get-slapped-down cycle. Someone's accumulating.

Someone is always accumulating, the only question is whether they are doing it with a long-term or short-term goal. Data on spot ETFs show that there was practically no inflow in the last ten days, and that since the beginning of this month, they have lost coins worth approximately $25 billion. This is not the first time we see things like this, now the only question is whether we can say that someone controls everything or that things happen in a natural way?


source CMC.
Yeah,i believe this is the time to accumulate, if there is no inflow, either people are not selling or buying. Reality is most people are scared of buying and most people too are scared of selling hoping that there will be turn around in no distant time. In situations like this inflow will size. Because it is when buying and selling is going on that you will see an inflow. Those accumulating are doing so for the long run. People don't accumulate for short term run.
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February 20, 2026, 07:58:03 PM
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Now that the tariffs are gone, I expect us to go up the same amount we went down when they were announced by the gold geezer.

Will not happen ofc, but one can still demand it, right?
They will come back very soon under a different law, this better not lead to BTC crashing because the same tariffs got restored.  Grin

no they will not come back like they were.  here is the law he will use.



https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=(title:19%20section:2132%20edition:prelim)


Whenever fundamental international payments problems require special import measures to restrict imports-
(1) to deal with large and serious United States balance-of-payments deficits.
(2) to prevent an imminent and significant depreciation of the dollar in foreign exchange markets, or
(3) to cooperate with other countries in correcting an international balance-of-payments disequilibrium,

the President shall proclaim, for a period not exceeding 150 days (unless such period is extended by Act of Congress)-
(A) a temporary import surcharge, not to exceed 15 percent ad valorem, in the form of duties (in addition to those already imposed, if any) on articles imported into the United States;
(B) temporary limitations through the use of quotas on the importation of articles into the United States; or
(C) both a temporary import surcharge described in subparagraph (A) and temporary limitations described in subparagraph (B).

The authority delegated under subparagraph (B) (and so much of subparagraph (C) as relates to subparagraph (B)) may be exercised (i) only if international trade or monetary agreements to which the United States is a party permit the imposition of quotas as a balance-of-payments measure, and (ii) only to the extent that the fundamental imbalance cannot be dealt with effectively by a surcharge proclaimed pursuant to subparagraph (A) or (C). Any temporary import surcharge proclaimed pursuant to subparagraph (A) or (C) shall be treated as a regular customs duty.
(b) Import restrictions not imposed when contrary to national interest of United States
If the President determines that the imposition of import restrictions under subsection (a) will be contrary to the national interest of the United States, then he may refrain from proclaiming such restrictions and he shall-
(1) immediately inform Congress of his determination, and
(2) immediately convene the group of congressional official advisers designated under section 2211(a) of this title and consult with them as to the reasons for such determination.
(c) Presidential proclamations liberalizing imports
Whenever the President determines that fundamental international payments problems require special import measures to increase imports-
(1) to deal with large and persistent United States balance-of-trade surpluses, as determined on the basis of the cost-insurance-freight value of imports, as reported by the Bureau of the Census, or
(2) to prevent significant appreciation of the dollar in foreign exchange markets,

the President is authorized to proclaim, for a period of 150 days (unless such period is extended by Act of Congress)-
(A) a temporary reduction (of not more than 5 percent ad valorem) in the rate of duty on any article; and
(B) a temporary increase in the value or quantity of articles which may be imported under any import restriction, or a temporary suspension of any import restriction.

Import liberalizing actions proclaimed pursuant to this subsection shall be of broad and uniform application with respect to product coverage except that the President shall not proclaim measures under this subsection with respect to those articles where in his judgment such action will cause or contribute to material injury to firms or workers in any domestic industry, including agriculture, mining, fishing, or commerce, or to impairment of the national security, or will otherwise be contrary to the national interest.
(d) Nondiscriminatory treatment of import restricting actions
(1) Import restricting actions proclaimed pursuant to subsection (a) shall be applied consistently with the principle of nondiscriminatory treatment. In addition, any quota proclaimed pursuant to subparagraph (B) of subsection (a) shall be applied on a basis which aims at a distribution of trade with the United States approaching as closely as possible that which various foreign countries might have expected to obtain in the absence of such restrictions.
(2) Notwithstanding paragraph (1), if the President determines that the purposes of this section will best be served by action against one or more countries having large or persistent balance-of-payments surpluses, he may exempt all other countries from such action.
(3) After such time when there enters into force for the United States new rules regarding the application of surcharges as part of a reform of internationally agreed balance-of-payments adjustment procedures, the exemption authority contained in paragraph (2) shall be applied consistently with such new international rules.
(4) It is the sense of Congress that the President seek modifications in international agreements aimed at allowing the use of surcharges in place of quantitative restrictions (and providing rules to govern the use of such surcharges) as a balance-of-payments adjustment measure within the context of arrangements for an equitable sharing of balance-of-payments adjustment responsibility among deficit and surplus countries.
(e) Broad and uniform application of import restricting actions
Import restricting actions proclaimed pursuant to subsection (a) shall be of broad and uniform application with respect to product coverage except where the President determines, consistently with the purposes of this section, that certain articles should not be subject to import restricting actions because of the needs of the United States economy. Such exceptions shall be limited to the unavailability of domestic supply at reasonable prices, the necessary importation of raw materials, avoiding serious dislocations in the supply of imported goods, and other similar factors. In addition, uniform exceptions may be made where import restricting actions will be unnecessary or ineffective in carrying out the purposes of this section, such as with respect to articles already subject to import restrictions, goods in transit, or goods under binding contract. Neither the authorization of import restricting actions nor the determination of exceptions with respect to product coverage shall be made for the purpose of protecting individual domestic industries from import competition.
(f) Quantitative limitations
Any quantitative limitation proclaimed pursuant to subparagraph (B) or (C) of subsection (a) on the quantity or value, or both, of an article-
(1) shall permit the importation of a quantity or value which is not less than the quantity or value of such article imported into the United States from the foreign countries to which such limitation applies during the most recent period which the President determines is representative of imports of such article, and
(2) shall take into account any increase since the end of such representative period in domestic consumption of such article and like or similar articles of domestic manufacture or production.
(g) Suspension, modification, or termination of proclamations
The President may at any time, consistent with the provisions of this section, suspend, modify, or terminate, in whole or in part, any proclamation under this section either during the initial 150-day period of effectiveness or as extended by subsequent Act of Congress.
(h) Termination of tariff concessions
No provision of law authorizing the termination of tariff concessions shall be used to impose a surcharge on imports into the United States.
( Pub. L. 93–618, title I, §122, Jan. 3, 1975, 88 Stat. 1987 .)



a flat 15% max world wide is all he can do.

looks like 150 days unless congress extends it.

but.  he began with 10%

my guess is he will try 11% on day 149 and say it is a new tariff
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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February 20, 2026, 08:06:21 PM

"congress"

lol
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February 20, 2026, 08:15:02 PM

Now that the tariffs are gone, I expect us to go up the same amount we went down when they were announced by the gold geezer.

Will not happen ofc, but one can still demand it, right?
They will come back very soon under a different law, this better not lead to BTC crashing because the same tariffs got restored.  Grin
no they will not come back like they were.  here is the law he will use.

a flat 15% max world wide is all he can do.

looks like 150 days unless congress extends it.

but.  he began with 10%

my guess is he will try 11% on day 149 and say it is a new tariff
They don't have to be the same way, but as a whole tariffs are not going anywhere and they should not. They will change and come back in various shapes and forms.


If BTC crashed back then because of original tariffs, that means that it will go up once they are removed right? Right..?  Cry
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February 20, 2026, 09:01:17 PM


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February 20, 2026, 09:21:03 PM

Even A.I agents picks Bitcoin as preferable currency of choise.
Funny you should mention that, as I do consider Bitcoin AI money.
Not exclusively of course, it’s also deep state money, a laundering tool, a stealing wealth tool, and the backbone of all CBDCs.

That is a cheap shot.

Since bitcoin is open source and available to invest for anyone and everyone as long as they have discretionary funds. 

And, everyone/anyone don't even need discretionary funds if they merely want to use bitcoin to transact.

CBDCs are more likely an attempt to control bitcoin (or an attack vector on bitcoin) rather than a thing that bitcoin is trying to promote (to the extent that bitcoin has any "ought inclinations rather than "is" inclinations).

So if bitcoin is for friends and enemies, and enemies are trying to undermine bitcoin through attempts to peg bitcoin to CBDC's then that merely seems to be a side affect (perhaps not a feature, but  a bug?)..

Many of us (real bitcoiners) recognize and/or appreciate that bitcoin empowers individuals and/or anyone who uses bitcoin in regards to having more potential self-sovereignty options, even though there are likely going to be ongoing attacks on bitcoin and attempts to undermine bitcoin and/or attempts to convolute bitcoin's powerful features.

You, diptwat, should have had been able to recognize and/or appreciate bitcoin's power rather than attempting to smear bitcoin based on how certain powers that be are trying to attack, abuses and/or undermine its peer to peer power.

Feels like we're in the old push-higher/get-slapped-down cycle. Someone's accumulating.

I am glad that you are able to identify where we are at, which likely means that you realize how we got here and also helps you to envision where we might be going, too.

Can you add me to your newsletter?   Tongue Tongue Tongue

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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philipma1957
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February 20, 2026, 10:44:07 PM
Last edit: February 20, 2026, 11:05:45 PM by philipma1957

Now that the tariffs are gone, I expect us to go up the same amount we went down when they were announced by the gold geezer.

Will not happen ofc, but one can still demand it, right?
They will come back very soon under a different law, this better not lead to BTC crashing because the same tariffs got restored.  Grin
no they will not come back like they were.  here is the law he will use.

a flat 15% max world wide is all he can do.

looks like 150 days unless congress extends it.

but.  he began with 10%

my guess is he will try 11% on day 149 and say it is a new tariff
They don't have to be the same way, but as a whole tariffs are not going anywhere and they should not. They will change and come back in various shapes and forms.


If BTC crashed back then because of original tariffs, that means that it will go up once they are removed right? Right..?  Cry

this law which is pretty much an open book sets the max at 15%

I have zero issues with it at all.

most people simply do not understand the numbers he is using right now on various countries tariffs are well over 25%

on vietnam 20%

on Mexico 25%

on Brazil 50%


all will roll back to 10% with a max of 15%


this is better news then I hoped for.

I thought the supreme court was going to let him do what he wants.
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