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February 25, 2026, 08:08:36 PM *
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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26935994 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Ermaios
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It from bit.


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Today at 12:22:50 PM

~ cybertruck shilling ~

Goodness me, why am I not surprised?
What he said:

I kid. Always talking my book

Book:


I know it, you know it, Elon knows it, the whole world knows it, yet here you are pitching for a piece of crap.
Tell me why *if it were so* - this does not reflect in sales? Hm? And what about the privacy concerns I mentioned? No comment?

Whatever.
What’s next? Trump is the best president the world has ever seen?
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Today at 01:01:19 PM


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Today at 01:05:53 PM
Last edit: Today at 03:15:15 PM by Richy_T
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

What exceptions are those? I'm thinking of getting a new car soon and thought one of the Toyota hybrids might be worthwhile.

There are times where an EV or pure ICE will be better options. I just didn't want to be accused of missing the corner cases.



Hybrid is the worst of both worlds.  You still have to use gas stations, have a loud oily engine bay that requires lots of upkeep, and you get low horsepower.  Not to mention more moving parts to break instead of less.  There is no reason not to go full electric nowadays.  Cheaper, quieter, more powerful, cleaner, can charge at home, nice charging stations on road trips with frequent quick stops (a dream compared to long trips between crowded gas stations)...  Don't let the media brainwash you into believing anything else just because Tesla doesn't pay tv stations for advertising.

Not necessarily. You only use gas stations if you need more range than provided by the battery, you get near-instant range refill, you get regenerative braking, you could theoretically use similar electronic drive as the Tesla. You can recharge if you want (people were working out how to do this with their Priuses even before you could officially do so). Many/most people cannot charge at home and because of infrastructure many more are unlikely to be able to. The amount of upkeep of an ICE engine is exaggerated by EV types and would be reduced by being a hybrid. "Nice charging stations with frequent quick stops" is plastering over a lot of real-world problems too.

There's nothing about EVs that make them exclusively able to use self-driving either. It just happens that it's Tesla leading the way.
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Today at 01:23:18 PM
Merited by Paashaas (1)

Breaking News

New installed Dutch goverment dismissed new proposed box 3 law with 36% tax on unrealized gains after an avalanche of critism.

Thank god they used common sense and i don't need to move to another country...yet. let's wait how that new law will manifest.


Problem is this won't be the last. They'll try again and again and again and so on. Stay vigilant.

Yep. Likely a trial balloon. They'll bring it back around, possibly with a much smaller amount saying "Look how we're compromising".



To think that all this started after their previous wealth tax conflicted with EU regulations

It sounds like Paashaas should start making plans if this is something they have a boner for.
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Today at 01:36:10 PM

Force?
Jesus phil, I thought you were a leftie, I didn’t expect you to be in line with Trump politics 101.

Yes, the Trump administration which has decreased regulation on vehicles is going to, uh, increase regulations on vehicles.

Rent free.
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Today at 02:01:20 PM


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Today at 03:01:16 PM


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Today at 03:19:25 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1), Paashaas (1)

~snip
Another day with friggin poker room closed, not heading home to 3 more feet snow and car I need to get towed out of here.

About that.
Around a month ago, in the previous snow storm that hit the US, the hashrate took a massive plunge.
phil was ecstatic - from a miners perspective - and I was reading all sorts of news about how beneficial Bitcoin mining operations can be to the grid.

Which brings me to my question - WTF?
No hashrate drop this time, which means that either there is no weather-miner correlation, or something has changed?


~snip

There still is a weather-mining correlation the only thing that changed is the exact location of the artic air mass.  There are three main grid systems in the USA - East, West and Texas.  Texas didn't get below freezing temps this time so the electricity prices didn't spike as they did in January.  Texas (ERCOT) basically only pays utilities for the electricity they produce so the incentive for them to maintain idle generation is a pay-through-the-nose spot-pricing model which is why bitcoin mining is beneficial to their system.  The miners provide a higher baseload requirement for utilities and can be required and are usually paid to come offline and as the demand from residential customers for heating (or cooling) reaches insane levels.  This reduces the need for idle infrastructure.  The January Arctic excursion was bad for Texas temperature-wise but this week not so much.  The East and West systems actually pay utilities to maintain idle generating capacity.
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Today at 03:49:23 PM

‎The claim that cycles are dead is just noise. Every time we’re 50% off the ATH (like we are now at $65k vs $126k), people claim the old rules don't apply.
‎The reality is simpler, We are in a Liquidity Trap. Retail is exhausted, and institutions are only buying the $60k–$62k blood. If we lose the $60k support this week, the cycles are dead, crowd will be the first ones panic selling at $45k.
‎Bitcoin isn't a canary anymore it's a liquidity vacuum. We don't need a leg up to $150k right now, we need to prove we can actually hold the line above $60k for more than a month.

https://www.forex.com/en-us/news-and-analysis/bitcoin-price-outlook-dip-buying-near-60k-in-focus/
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Today at 03:59:55 PM

Trump trump trump.

BTC rises 2k during Trump's speech.


OMG
Inasmuch as i dislike Trump, I know he has a role to play in bitcoin market. If Trump speaks positively about Bitcoin them be rest assured that the price of Bitcoin will rise within days . My prayers is for him to say good things about it someday. Nevertheless, with or without him BTC will pick up before the end of the second quarter of the year. People keep talking about circles and i ask, before the advent of Bitcoin was there a circle? It's just the market forces of demand and supply that is playing out.
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Today at 04:01:14 PM


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Today at 04:02:28 PM
Last edit: Today at 05:14:46 PM by philipma1957

I would out law all ev's and all gas only cars.
I would force everyone to have hybrid
compromise the best of both worlds.

Force?
Jesus phil, I thought you were a leftie, I didn’t expect you to be in line with Trump politics 101.





Notice how the orange lines spike?
#spike.some.more




Another day with friggin poker room closed, not heading home to 3 more feet snow and car I need to get towed out of here.

About that.
Around a month ago, in the previous snow storm that hit the US, the hashrate took a massive plunge.
phil was ecstatic - from a miners perspective - and I was reading all sorts of news about how beneficial Bitcoin mining operations can be to the grid.

Which brings me to my question - WTF?
No hashrate drop this time, which means that either there is no weather-miner correlation, or something has changed?






Yeah, right, you of all people. Hahahahahaha.

This narrative is sort of stress free but brutal, risk free more-so, but you guys really don’t want the plebs multiplying their coinz do you?
Selling some - even now - would probably do better than just watching the third leg down unfold during the summer - helpless to buy the final dip and bottom.



I would force a lot  of shit on a lot of people.

But 90% of USA drivers should be using a hybrid.

While I like my friends tesla it takes 10 minutes to charge 100 miles.

It simply is not practical for evs even if in order to own an ev you must have a garage with a charger. You do not have enough space to charge cars when you take  longer drives.

Can you imagine a charge station with 5 chargers and 25 cars looking to charge.

The most amount of evs the country can handle today is under 20% it simply isn't practical to try 30 40 50% ev

On the other hand my Hyundai can do 100 miles an hour if I want to be stupid.

It can easily cruise in the 80s that is 135 kilometers for the rest of the world.

I recognize that some towing power is needed in larger pickup trucks.
I also know commercial trucks need more horsepower.

 But 65 to 75% of cars driving in the usa could easily be hybrid.
Maybe more.

If we really are running out of gas/oil

Having a car that does 50mpg vs 25mpg( edit miles per gallon) in traffic makes the supply last longer.

By forcing I would simply make penalties for all gas cars and incentives for hybrids.

I could give two shits about the pollution that hybrids save vs evs

But I drove gas cars since  1977
I DROVE TRUCKS with diesel in the millatary.

And I now drive a hybrid most people
are fucking idiots about driving

Either evs or gas eating tanks

Fuck all of them.

Well realistically  fuck most of them.

As they represent what's wrong with the world in general.

A lack of practical compromise.

Rant over.


Silver is back over 90 bucks an Oz and gold is over 5200.

While btc floats along in the 60s
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Today at 04:05:55 PM
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Breaking News

New installed Dutch goverment dismissed new proposed box 3 law with 36% tax on unrealized gains after an avalanche of criticism.

Thank god they used common sense and i don't need to move to another country...yet. let's wait how that new law will manifest.


AD

I am very glad to hear this, and in one sense it's just sensible, I don't know how a population would stand for something like this. And the fact that there are people with probably average intelligence who can't see that this would immediately (well, it would take a little bit of time, but not much) destroy the economy of any country that implemented it. Crazy.

That said, in the wake of all the COVID bullshit and some of the things they were trying with their lockdown actions the mask has been ripped off for me.

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Today at 04:08:00 PM
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From X: https://x.com/AshCrypto/status/2026466775605588358

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Today at 04:11:15 PM

‎The claim that cycles are dead is just noise. Every time we’re 50% off the ATH (like we are now at $65k vs $126k), people claim the old rules don't apply.
‎The reality is simpler, We are in a Liquidity Trap. Retail is exhausted, and institutions are only buying the $60k–$62k blood. If we lose the $60k support this week, the cycles are dead, crowd will be the first ones panic selling at $45k.
‎Bitcoin isn't a canary anymore it's a liquidity vacuum. We don't need a leg up to $150k right now, we need to prove we can actually hold the line above $60k for more than a month.

https://www.forex.com/en-us/news-and-analysis/bitcoin-price-outlook-dip-buying-near-60k-in-focus/
I don't agree with you that retail is exusted. This is demand and supply at work. Again i argue with myself with this. Now if demand and supply is at work then the price would have gone up because we have a lot of demand than supply. Again i am tempted to say that institutions are manipulating the whole system  to make sure the price is relegated to the ground to scare potential investors away so that they have a firm grip and continue to manipulate the buyers and sellers.
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Today at 04:26:04 PM


I don't know if it could have anything to do with what's happening right now, because the lawsuit refers to the events of 2022 related to Terraform Labs. Although if it is true that they used insider information, then it is possible that they are doing the same today.

Anyway, it's good to see that the price is about 5.5% higher compared to yesterday, and it would be even better if it broke through $70k and continued upwards.

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/02/24/jane-street-faces-claims-of-insider-trading-that-sped-up-terraform-s-2022-collapse-ft



I saved a couple of boxes, so even though they were intended for the last bear market, I think they will be useful this year as well Wink



Oh nice. Just add 4 years. I hope they're still potent though...

Maybe I won't need it after all Smiley
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Today at 05:01:14 PM


Explanation
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Today at 05:01:44 PM

‎The claim that cycles are dead is just noise. Every time we’re 50% off the ATH (like we are now at $65k vs $126k), people claim the old rules don't apply.
‎The reality is simpler, We are in a Liquidity Trap. Retail is exhausted, and institutions are only buying the $60k–$62k blood. If we lose the $60k support this week, the cycles are dead, crowd will be the first ones panic selling at $45k.
‎Bitcoin isn't a canary anymore it's a liquidity vacuum. We don't need a leg up to $150k right now, we need to prove we can actually hold the line above $60k for more than a month.

https://www.forex.com/en-us/news-and-analysis/bitcoin-price-outlook-dip-buying-near-60k-in-focus/

I’m not sure about that, I’d love a leg up to $150,000 right now. It’d also save JayJuanGee, Mia Chole and Ambatman from losing a few sats to me in the Q1 bet we made Wink

On another note, we are up 7% since Jan Street got rumbled. Starting to look like they have indeed been up to dirty tricks.
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Today at 05:14:21 PM



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Today at 05:18:17 PM


I don't know if it could have anything to do with what's happening right now, because the lawsuit refers to the events of 2022 related to Terraform Labs. Although if it is true that they used insider information, then it is possible that they are doing the same today.

Anyway, it's good to see that the price is about 5.5% higher compared to yesterday, and it would be even better if it broke through $70k and continued upwards.

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/02/24/jane-street-faces-claims-of-insider-trading-that-sped-up-terraform-s-2022-collapse-ft



I saved a couple of boxes, so even though they were intended for the last bear market, I think they will be useful this year as well Wink



Oh nice. Just add 4 years. I hope they're still potent though...

Maybe I won't need it after all Smiley



would love to see it move upwards and onwards

although price got better once this thread was made


 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5575559.0


the correlation is pretty amazing

1st post was 12:59 pm  EST on the 02/24/2026  price was 63.9k

and just about 23 hours Later  as 12:21 pm EST on 02/25/2026 price is 68.5k

up about 7%

just saying
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