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March 02, 2026, 06:20:54 AM *
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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26937983 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Lucius
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February 28, 2026, 04:56:45 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

People say that a war has started, but can a situation be called a war in which someone attacks someone with xx times stronger force, and the attacked party has no advantage in anything? I would call it shooting practice with a target that is not completely static, but it is not far from it.

I'm watching footage of Tomahawk cruise missiles flying very low and relatively slowly, people are filming them, but no one is trying to shoot them down because there is no air defense.

https://x.com/sano_polo/status/2027675034488049807
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February 28, 2026, 05:01:14 PM


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BTCETFInvestor
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February 28, 2026, 05:14:31 PM

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February 28, 2026, 06:01:18 PM


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February 28, 2026, 07:01:15 PM


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aesma
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fly or die


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February 28, 2026, 07:09:28 PM

BREAKING:

Bitcoin is crashing on the news that Israel striked Iran.

https://x.com/i/status/2027632666187862392

thought so, now if we don't break 60 over this the bottom is in.

We’re still months away from the bottom, but this should provide for both a good short and long term entry point. Prayers to those effected by this and hopefully it is over quickly with minimal loss of life.

If the viral 4chan post is to be believed, the US military will be following this initial strike with an attack of their own using some next generation weaponry.

War is bullish not bearish. If that actually happens it won't be months to the bottom it will be days at most.

Bitcoin printed 5 construtive red months in a row which happened one time before followed with green months. I highly doubt Bitcoin will add another 3 to 5 monthly red candles.

The economical foundations are different than in the past and we know Bitcoin doesn't care much about what we expect it to do. The only way through this is to prepare for up AND down. My SOMA "prediction" is that we are about to go lower, but possibly not immediately, means maybe a few green candles (maybe also the shorter ones) or even sideways until a summer drop, followed by final capitulation in Q4. Sounds too much like textbook? I admit, maybe yes.

Aside from DCA, deciding if now is a good entry point or not is really tricky.
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February 28, 2026, 07:23:17 PM



I was told that WWIII would be epic, not like a wet fart.  Undecided
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February 28, 2026, 07:36:02 PM
Last edit: February 28, 2026, 07:55:37 PM by OutOfMemory
Merited by OgNasty (1)


The economical foundations are different than in the past and we know Bitcoin doesn't care much about what we expect it to do. The only way through this is to prepare for up AND down. My SOMA "prediction" is that we are about to go lower, but possibly not immediately, means maybe a few green candles (maybe also the shorter ones) or even sideways until a summer drop, followed by final capitulation in Q4. Sounds too much like textbook? I admit, maybe yes.

Aside from DCA, deciding if now is a good entry point or not is really tricky.

You can always do both. Since we had $125k ATH already, 50% below that would be not a bad price to start buying. You don't have to go all-in with your sidelined money, though.



I was told that WWIII would be epic, not like a wet fart.  Undecided

I did expect this. Venezuela was the training session for the strikes against Iran. Trump is sending out a signal, that the USA can kill anybody they want, they would not hesitate to do it, while working on the Iron Dome 2.0 and choking down immigration (Land Of The Free(dom)?) to make counterattacks close to impossible.
Trump is definitely trying to evolve the US to global "fuck you" status, and it's also fitting his attitude.
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February 28, 2026, 08:01:15 PM


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cAPSLOCK
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February 28, 2026, 08:38:41 PM

OT: have you seen these news: jack Dorsey's XYZ (Block..the one that has the Cashapp) fired almost half of of employees (at least more than 40%) saying that they would use AI instead (for these positions). WS rewarded them by a 16.82% stock jump due to the fact that their profit margins went from 20% to 26%.

Now, imagine this happening in many other S&P500 companies...
Oh, my...

Strictly speaking, it should not affect bitcoin initially...only if people would simply run out of money to invest, but, on the other hand, retail only took money away from bitcoin in 2025 (on average).

I haven't been able to reach any clear conclusions on the short term of what this does to Bitcoin. It's going to rock the shit out of financial markets, though.  My current stance is that AI... in the state that it's currently in - were it to stop improving entirely is already capable of replacing so many human beings' effort that it's a done deal.

If what I'm seeing is right, this is going to be one of the greatest times in my lifetime where an extremely large percentage of the population of the earth just had their head in the sand.

Fortunes are made and lost in this kind of revolution.

We're in one of those weird moments where the world is changing structurally in a way rarely seen, but most people have no idea and are just going to work.

____ cut of a large amount of caps lock blathering.____

It's going to be an exceedingly violent storm. That's all I know.
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February 28, 2026, 08:44:26 PM

AI is a very convenient excuse to fire dead-weight employees.

So much for the anarcho-communist tho.

I have to admit it's a sort of pyhrric schadenfreude, but one thing that's giving me a little delight already is watching the people who hate free markets and love things like government regulation doing everything they can to deny what's coming.
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February 28, 2026, 08:53:28 PM

If the viral 4chan post is to be believed, the US military will be following this initial strike with an attack of their own using some next generation weaponry.

Do you get a hard on, punk?
Pretty obvious that you do.




Iran's currency crash and almost ZERO.


BTC/IRR unaffected. Roll Eyes




oh, the Iranian people cry out for justice,

The first to suffer are always the civilians, the women and the kids, and the Jewish just love killing them.
Also, the first casualty is … the truth, and should always have this notion in the back of our heads, when reading Jewish controlled media.


let's help

How? There is no simple answer to this.






Talking about Jewish controlled media ^ voila!
I’m not saying it is not so. I’m saying let’s wait and see, have a confirmation on this first, instead of spreading war propaganda with ease like this Jewish cunt-puppet is doing.






I’m stunned that nobody has accused me of antisemitism so far.
My beef is with TPTB Jews that control the western most of the world.
There is a minority of Jews that are not like that, despised even by their own kind. Ognasty & BTCETF.cunt, is not them.

Prime examples?
Well, Mrgirl (I kill pedophiles) for one. Those protesting against the war & Bibi for two. Those who have resigned from the Israeli military.
Aaron of SLNT is probably my favourite, despite his father having ties to the intelligence community in the 90’s.
NOT ALL JEWS ARE BAD, JUST THE MAJORITY.

Have I mentioned that a Jew has - literally - saved my life?
He is full of shit - as most Israelis - but he does speak excellent Greek (Hebrew is his mother language), so there is a bit of the Greek spirit in him too.
Only when the shit hit the fan, he acted positively on my behalf - and he will always have my gratitude for it. But the lies … oh my goodness those lies, to the point it’s really funny.
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February 28, 2026, 09:01:17 PM


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Ermaios
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February 28, 2026, 09:27:04 PM

Hahaha, I find it very interesting - no more captcha for me - huh? Roll Eyes

I forgot to mention which Jews I dislike the most: the deep undercover ones, i.e. Elon.
Especially Elon, as he has done a really good job concealing this over the internet, and not a single word that comes out of his mouth is to be trusted for real. Of course he pretends to be all nice, but the reality is somewhat 180 degrees different.

The most subsidised person on Earth - there is a reason for that.

PS: seems Ognasty is on a merit spree, I wonder why, it must be purely accidental. Tongue
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February 28, 2026, 10:01:19 PM


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February 28, 2026, 11:01:14 PM


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February 28, 2026, 11:10:12 PM

[...]
You can HODL as long as you get to a certain BTC stack size first, and once you get to a sufficient enough size you can also sell whenever you need to.
[...]
That's exactly where I am, and enjoying it to the max!

Thank you, Bitcoin, for the freedom you've given me.
Thank you, Halving, for showing me how to get it.

You must have changed your formula, since it seems that previously you felt that you needed a minimum of $110k (or something like that).

Surely, you likely realize that I use the 200-WMA within consideration of a multiple of the quantity of BTC in order to determine what is the minimum amount of BTC that is enough to support a given withdrawal level, so then once the quantity of BTC is above that minimum amount of BTC level, then there seems to be a considerable amount of discretion in regards to how to treat the excessive amount of BTC...

So let's say that any particular HODLer wanted to have a certain amount of confidence that his BTC stash would support an income of $80k per year, so then he looks up the suppressed state of BTC prices to see that right now, he would need to have somewhere in the ballpark of 15.2 BTC or more right now to support that withdrawal rate.  Again, emphasizing that right now withdrawal rates are suppressed based on the BTC price being less than 25% above the 200-WMA.

Yet if such guy were to happened to have 21.2 BTC or even more than that right now, then he knows that he has at least 6 extra BTC.. .. Accordingly, he could create a variety of plans around potentially spending some or all of those extra 6 BTC - since they are extra BTC, there is nothing wrong with spending all of them, even though he also appreciates the idea of having a cushion of extra BTC, so he may well purposefully choose to maintain the extra cushion and monitor the situation from time to time in terms of whether the cushion might be growing or shrinking depending on the extent to which he might choose to spend any of his BTC.

Of course, the guy would be in an even more precarious situation if bitcoin were to be his only source of income and/or his ONLY investment asset (besides maybe small amounts of dollars), since there would be more pressure upon a guy if he were ongoingly withdrawing from his bitcoin holdings and had no other source of income and/or savings or investment, yet if a guy also were to have around 40% more BTC than he needs to have, then he has a bit of a financial (and psychological) cushion.

Many of us also might realize that there may well be a stage in our bitcoin accumulation journey in which we are not sure about whether we have reached a status of having enough or more than enough BTC.

Ok. now it is coming back to me.  Your formula is reaching some valuation that is a multitude of the spot price?  And, it seems to me that some kind of valuation like that might have some troubles in being able to continue to carry it out if the BTC price had dropped 40% to 50% from its earlier prices.  No?  Might you not get knocked out of overaccumulation status if you are using multiples of BTC's spot price to determine the extent to which you have enough or more than enough BTC?

@Ermaios - You've turned out to be quiet the little scumbag, pansy-ass punk! Go cuddle with your Turk lover boy, you stupid little goatbanger.  
FYI, you’re either a scumbag (you, Ognasty & co), or you’re not (me), you can’t just turn.

GTFO.  Don't you know nuttin'? 

Of course, both BTCETFInvestor and OgNasty are scumballs, but they are scumballs in their own unique snowflake way.  Just like uie-pooie.    "We" should not be lumping all of our scumballs into one bucket.   Tongue

Looks like price has returned to almost where it was (a.k.a. inverse Bart).
Of course, this is just noise, will not even register on a zoomed-out chart.

A good opportunity for no/low-coiners to buy.

Coiners with enough corn will have to wait it out (for the n-th time), or keep on selling small amounts as needed.

Tumbleweeds.

Edit: back down again. Even cheaper corn. note-to-self: stop looking at the 15-min chart!

I will admit that I attempt to temper any of my BTC selling behaviors, especially when the BTC price is in the ballpark of less than 25% higher than the 200-WMA.  Right now the BTC spot price is in the ballpark of 15% higher than the 200-WMA.
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February 28, 2026, 11:21:19 PM

Interesting that today Bitcoin is rallying much the same way and I believe close to the same amount as gold.
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February 28, 2026, 11:24:32 PM
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Interesting that today Bitcoin is rallying much the same way and I believe close to the same amount as gold.


So You're Telling Me There's A Chance?

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February 28, 2026, 11:54:50 PM

Interesting that today Bitcoin is rallying much the same way and I believe close to the same amount as gold.


So You're Telling Me There's A Chance?


yes he is saying just that
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