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June 13, 2026, 07:27:59 PM *
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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 23 (38.3%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 10 (16.7%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 17 (28.3%)
No - other (explain below) - 10 (16.7%)
Total Voters: 60

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26986681 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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Today at 11:15:28 AM


had a rash of skimmers hit some self serv gas stations around here some years back.

now i always check the fit of any card readers i use.

i believe cards using contactless stuff (NFC, "tap and go" and such) are immune to this attack vector.
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Today at 11:27:12 AM


had a rash of skimmers hit some self serv gas stations around here some years back.

now i always check the fit of any card readers i use.

i believe cards using contactless stuff (NFC, "tap and go" and such) are immune to this attack vector.

I use Google Pay on my phone (tap and go). I don't know if it's good or bad, but it's super convenient and no attacks as of now.

Also, my normal (leather) wallet is NFC-safe.
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Today at 11:32:33 AM

I'm a little late but now I'm actually ordering pizza with my BTC. (Sort of. Thank goodness for P2P!)
P2P pizza delivery — still more reliable than any centralized exchange.
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dragonvslinux
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Today at 12:52:41 PM

Well price could look a lot worse today. Lucid SAR resistance broken yesterday, new support formed. MACD is flirting with a bullish crossover, RSI left oversold territory. Bullish speculators can't be asking or expecting for much more than that right now, after the fake-out to lower lows. Other than some bullish divergence which is lacking but far a necessity either, you don't always get the perfect picture for every bullish trade, but this doesn't look bad by any means.



Looks like a bit of upside is due, even if price is going lower in the near future. Ultimately the bears failed to convincingly push prices below $60K for the past week, and are due to fail closing the week below the 200 WMA for second consecutive week. That's unconditionally a win for bulls for now regardless of how to cut it. I also think the low might be as soon as July now, rather than October time, as long as this month closes red (below ~$67K) and we capitulate thereafter. Will elaborate on that end of month, depending on how this month closes. Among many things I've said in recent days, I'm feeling a lot less delusional over a short-term rally of sorts:

Does this make me delusional for thinking we bounce back to $80-90K, before correcting back down to the 200 WMA at around ~$65K (based on current trajectory) over the next few months ?

This would mean that October low is back on the table though, rather than a capitulation low next month.
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Today at 01:02:26 PM


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ESG
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Today at 01:59:27 PM

Well price could look a lot worse today. Lucid SAR resistance broken yesterday, new support formed. MACD is flirting with a bullish crossover, RSI left oversold territory. Bullish speculators can't be asking or expecting for much more than that right now, after the fake-out to lower lows. Other than some bullish divergence which is lacking but far a necessity either, you don't always get the perfect picture for every bullish trade, but this doesn't look bad by any means.



Looks like a bit of upside is due, even if price is going lower in the near future. Ultimately the bears failed to convincingly push prices below $60K for the past week, and are due to fail closing the week below the 200 WMA for second consecutive week. That's unconditionally a win for bulls for now regardless of how to cut it. I also think the low might be as soon as July now, rather than October time, as long as this month closes red (below ~$67K) and we capitulate thereafter. Will elaborate on that end of month, depending on how this month closes. Among many things I've said in recent days, I'm feeling a lot less delusional over a short-term rally of sorts:

Does this make me delusional for thinking we bounce back to $80-90K, before correcting back down to the 200 WMA at around ~$65K (based on current trajectory) over the next few months ?

This would mean that October low is back on the table though, rather than a capitulation low next month.

-also, average of 50 months at 59370. The price of Bitcoin almost never falls below this average, which I also think is a strong indicator of buying, both in it and below it.

The last time the price was below it was between June 2022~March 2023,
 between 16000~21000

And in December 2018~February 2019, the price was above it and it was not below, didn't have the strength to lose the average of 50m as it seems to be nowand the value of BTC in this period varied between 3000~4000
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Today at 02:02:26 PM


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Lucius
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Today at 02:10:08 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), AlcoHoDL (1)


had a rash of skimmers hit some self serv gas stations around here some years back.

now i always check the fit of any card readers i use.

i believe cards using contactless stuff (NFC, "tap and go" and such) are immune to this attack vector.

I use Google Pay on my phone (tap and go). I don't know if it's good or bad, but it's super convenient and no attacks as of now.

Also, my normal (leather) wallet is NFC-safe.

A virtual card made in GP is much safer for paying at POS devices than a physical card - because if you have ever paid this way, you may have noticed that the information about your card on the printout of the bill is not identical to the real one. The last 4 digits have been replaced, and the validity of the card is also not displayed, and even if someone were to get their hands on the transaction itself, each transaction has a unique token that is only valid for one transaction.

By the way, there are some very good virtual cards without KYC that can be topped up with BTC, which can be useful for those who want to spend some coins, especially on trips and the like.
Bit-Mj1014
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Today at 02:17:03 PM


had a rash of skimmers hit some self serv gas stations around here some years back.

now i always check the fit of any card readers i use.

i believe cards using contactless stuff (NFC, "tap and go" and such) are immune to this attack vector.

man, skimmers are a nightmare at gas pumps. good call on checking the fit of the reader first. honestly though, i completely switched to just tapping my phone with google pay a while ago. way easier and i don't have to worry about some cheap overlay stealing my details.
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Today at 02:26:48 PM

BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Digest - 2026-06-13 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-06-13 09:26 AM CT

Checking the bids today, Saturday. Bitcoin's sitting at $64,050.00, marking a +1.50% move over the past 24 hours. Hashrate is ticking along at 650.0 EH/s while standard transfers sit at 1 sat/vB.

Fear & Greed index is sitting at 13 (Extreme Fear), which is improving over the week with a +1 point shift.

PRICE ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $64,050.00 USD (+1.50% 24h change).
Bitcoin is sitting at $64,050.00 USD, showing a +1.50% shift over the last 24 hours. Looking back, we're seeing upward momentum over three days (+4.23%) and gaining ground over the week (+5.31%), while the 30-day view points to slow consolidation (-20.92%). The 30-day moving average sits at $71,083.55 with a 3-day volatility reading of 258.78. With hashrate holding at 650.0 EH/s, and the Coinbase spot premium weighted average premium sitting at +64091.49 USD, the network is healthy while we chop through this range.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Why London BTC is building a Nevada gold portfolio: London BTC Company is expanding its Nevada gold portfolio to complement its core Bitcoin treasury and mining operations.
- 'Winter Is Over': Standard Chartered Calls Crypto Bottom as Bitcoin Recovers From $60K Fall: Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick declares that the crypto market has likely reached its bottom after Bitcoin fell 53% from its peak to nearly $59,000.
- Bitcoin ETF Outflows Are Now at Record Levels. Time to Panic, or Time to Buy the Dip: spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a record streak of net outflows totaling $4.4 billion between mid-May and early June, coinciding with a 21% price drop over the last 30 days.
- Should You Sell Bitcoin Now or Hold for 5 More Years: Bitcoin is currently trading 51% below its record high, prompting investors to reassess their portfolios amid geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures.

TOP STORIES

1. Why London BTC is building a Nevada gold portfolio
URL: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/why-london-btc-building-nevada-075000535.html
Published: 2026-06-12 10:50 PM CT
Summary: London BTC Company is expanding its Nevada gold portfolio to complement its core Bitcoin treasury and mining operations. CEO Hewie Rattray states that adding gold serves as a strategic hedge while the market sees investors taking a risk-off approach. The company has staked two projects, Huntington-Whitman and Amonett-Frank, which are located near major producers and have not been tested with modern exploration techniques. Rattray emphasizes that the ultimate goal of this gold strategy is to monetize the assets and reinvest the proceeds into Bitcoin to grow the company's balance sheet. Investors are advised to watch for upcoming milestones that will validate the assets as the company remains primarily Bitcoin-focused.

2. 'Winter Is Over': Standard Chartered Calls Crypto Bottom as Bitcoin Recovers From $60K Fall
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/winter-over-standard-chartered-calls-151608677.html
Published: 2026-06-12 11:16 AM CT
Summary: Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick declares that the crypto market has likely reached its bottom after Bitcoin fell 53% from its peak to nearly $59,000. The bank attributes the recent market pressure to surging energy costs and Treasury yields driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Kendrick suggests that a potential peace deal between the U.S. and Iran could signal the end of higher oil prices and serve as a catalyst for recovery. Additionally, significant selling from Bitcoin ETFs is partly attributed to investors liquidating assets to fund participation in SpaceX's historic IPO.

3. Bitcoin ETF Outflows Are Now at Record Levels. Time to Panic, or Time to Buy the Dip
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-etf-outflows-now-record-094600753.html
Published: 2026-06-13 05:46 AM CT
Summary: spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded a record streak of net outflows totaling $4.4 billion between mid-May and early June, coinciding with a 21% price drop over the last 30 days. Capital has rotated out of Bitcoin into hotter assets like artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks, while macroeconomic factors such as strong U.S. jobs data and geopolitical tensions have reduced the appeal of volatile crypto assets. Despite these headwinds, the author argues that the current dip presents a buying opportunity because Bitcoin's price is near miner production costs, triggering a self-correcting mechanism that historically supports long-term price recovery. The article notes that unprofitable miners powering down reduces network difficulty and supply, which tends to pressure prices upward over time.

4. Should You Sell Bitcoin Now or Hold for 5 More Years
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/sell-bitcoin-now-hold-5-172200867.html
Published: 2026-06-12 01:22 PM CT
Summary: Bitcoin is currently trading 51% below its record high, prompting investors to reassess their portfolios amid geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures. The article argues that despite the current bear market, historical data shows the cryptocurrency has always recovered from similar drops to hit new all-time highs. Neil Patel advises holding Bitcoin for another five years, citing a 64% price increase over the past five years as evidence of its long-term potential. He emphasizes that maintaining conviction is crucial, noting that major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley and Charles Schwab are increasingly supporting crypto through ETFs and trading platforms. The author concludes that patience is key to success, suggesting that disciplined investors will be rewarded as Bitcoin eventually rebounds.
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Today at 03:10:47 PM


had a rash of skimmers hit some self serv gas stations around here some years back.

now i always check the fit of any card readers i use.

i believe cards using contactless stuff (NFC, "tap and go" and such) are immune to this attack vector.

I use Google Pay on my phone (tap and go). I don't know if it's good or bad, but it's super convenient and no attacks as of now.

Also, my normal (leather) wallet is NFC-safe.

A virtual card made in GP is much safer for paying at POS devices than a physical card - because if you have ever paid this way, you may have noticed that the information about your card on the printout of the bill is not identical to the real one. The last 4 digits have been replaced, and the validity of the card is also not displayed, and even if someone were to get their hands on the transaction itself, each transaction has a unique token that is only valid for one transaction.

By the way, there are some very good virtual cards without KYC that can be topped up with BTC, which can be useful for those who want to spend some coins, especially on trips and the like.

Yes, I've noticed what you're saying. For each physical card you add, Google Pay creates a virtual card with a totally different number, that's linked to your physical card. So, every time you pay, the recipient (or a thief) never sees the details of your physical card.

Google Pay is so much easier to use than physical cards. When I go out running or long distance walking, I just take my phone with me, and I know I can pay and even withdraw cash just with my phone, no need to carry cards and wallets, and worrying about losing them, etc.

People, especially the elderly, often get scammed via phone calls, by giving out information like expiry dates and CVVs, and blindly following the scammer's instructions. A neighbor recently got scammed like this, lost $800. I'm pretty sure that no WOer could ever fall for such scams. But card cloning and POS physical tampering, like vapourminer mentioned, are something to watch out for.
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Today at 03:30:49 PM
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This AI shit is so much fun.

Today I am training BobClawblaw to sound like Morgan Freeman when he speaks (I have xtts and Coqui  installed and working well!). Thinking about buying a 4tb NVidia DGX Spark (Instead of another 2TB Asus GX10), and start getting the bot managing a lightning network node for me. Chain the two GB10's together...

Have a great weekend folks!
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Today at 03:45:24 PM

Quote
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.
The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.

Access to all other Claude models is not affected.
We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible.

https://x.com/anthropicai/status/2065597531644743999?s=46&t=EYlgQnpcCaCtcz2k1MwkNg

Wow they just forced Anthropic to shut down its top AI models (Fable 5 & Mythos 5) for all foreign nationals worldwide — even their own employees — citing “national security.”

One directive, and poof: access gone. This is exactly why Satoshi disappeared and built Bitcoin fully open source. No CEO, no kill switch, no borders. In a world where even powerful AI gets censored overnight, Bitcoin remains neutral, unstoppable, and truly antifragile. Code is law.

This is likely another example of government overreach.. since the US Government had been trying to shut down and control anthropic and they had not been having success in the courts including losing injunctions that they had attempted, at least not so far..   So the USA govt is likely just trying to run around the US courts and to stall and sure they are experts at being bullies and playing hardball and sometimes get their way through their ongoing and persistent bullying.. but they might be found by courts to be overreaching, again.... but at the same time there still can be chilling effects by ongoingly being bullied by the USA govt.
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Today at 04:03:11 PM
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I gotta say...

15 years and I'm still not tired of that joyous feeling you get when you rally to a price that just a couple weeks ago would have made you want to write a suicide note.

It probably helps that I have almost no Bitcoin, but still.
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Today at 04:05:30 PM

~
I have tended to consider that any bitcoin that I sell, I won't be able to buy it back.. and yeah, sure I had been able to buy bitcoin, yet the amount of bitcoin that I tend to sell on the way up, tends to be relatively small, such as less than 10% of my holdings for every doubling, and sure you could go up to 25% for every doubling, but you are going to end up diminishing the compounding value that is likely going to continue into bitcoin (even though maybe you believe that the compoundings are over or about to be over.... I don't buy that perspective of bitcoin's likely future price performance).

True, no matter how much money we saved, we might still run into something that needs spending from our savings. But as I said, I had to learn the lesson in hard way and bitcoin is my best ever investment just as asset and let's keep the decentralization and freedom of using our money apart for now, just as money it gave me more returns than anything even with that 2x strategy.

I have been here for 2 cycles already and sure I managed to buy more bitcoins than what I sold when it was at its peak. Probably, I am forced to be frugal after what happened to me in the past so it kind of pays me off now.
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Today at 04:35:49 PM

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 9.55%, Second-Largest Decline This Year

According to TheEnergyMag, Bitcoin mining difficulty is expected to fall by approximately 9.55% in about eight hours, marking the second-largest decline this year, following a sharp drop in network hashrate caused by early June price weakness. The adjustment is expected to increase BTC output per active hashrate by over 9%. It may also push mining hashprice back above $30 per PH/s.

Beyond the shutdown of older mining rigs due to profitability pressure, another key driver of the hashrate decline is the reallocation of power capacity toward high-performance computing (HPC) and AI data centers.



https://theenergymag.com/news/2026-06-13/bitcoin-mining-difficulty-steep-decline
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