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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26991881 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
BTCETFInvestor
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June 17, 2026, 11:18:57 PM
Last edit: June 17, 2026, 11:30:12 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Well, I've been working on WOO all day (Wall Observer Observer) and recognized that as neat of an idea as it was, it just falls apart in practice because of all the citations going back to source posts.

It reads more like a list of grouped events, rather than a compelling story generated every 200 posts.

Gunna shelve it for now.

I tried.

Here's the last round output before I got depressed and decided to stop working on the fuggin' thing... It's awful, and not sure how I can meaningfully improve that.

---

BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Observer @ 2026-06-17 @ 22:27 CDT (The last 200 posts)

Users tracked the sharp decline of Bitcoin reserves on exchanges, citing a drop to 2.56M BTC and over 3,700 BTC removed daily as evidence of a potential supply shock. The community reacted to a signed US-Iran peace deal lifting the Strait of Hormuz blockade, linking the geopolitical relief to risk-on market rotations and Bitcoin price rallies. Members discussed trading SpaceX shares on Kraken and Robinhood, with users sharing bids for 10 shares and noting the stock's performance relative to its IPO hype. Traders analyzed BTC breaking out of a downtrend parabola, targeting resistance zones near $66k, and debating whether the current rally is a bull trap or a sustained move. Users discussed active development of the BobClawblaw bot, including training it to mimic Morgan Freeman's voice using xtts and Coqui, and managing its response blacklists. Discussions centered on the CLARITY Act targeting July 4 signing, $1.44B in ETF inflows, and the potential for a Federal Reserve pause amid new digital asset market structure bills.

Bitcoin Exchange Supply Dynamics
BTCETFInvestor noted that there is no supply shock because there is plenty of Bitcoin available on exchanges, prompting a discussion on what 'Bitcoin Supply Shock' actually is. msg#66846927
BitHodlers noted that the declining Bitcoin supply on exchanges will drive BTC's price to the stratosphere due to a 'Supply' Shock. msg#66846302

US-Iran Geopolitical De-escalation
Rebirth01 noted that Trump made the announcement regarding the deal, citing Axios and BBC News. msg#66839792
CryptoYar noted that the announcement regarding the deal was made, citing an Axios article on a paywall and a BBC link. msg#66836998
BTCETFInvestor reported that a deal has been reached and signed between the United States and Iran, resulting in the Strait of Hormuz being open and the blockade lifted. msg#66836595
NeuroticFish noted that a US-Iran peace roadmap has triggered a risk-on rotation as key market movers due to geopolitical de-escalation. msg#66839812

SpaceX Equity Trading Activity
xhomerx10 noted that they were playing on both Kraken and Robinhood, owning 10 token shares of SPCX on Kraken and 2 shares of SPCX on Robinhood, and that they were able to set up their accounts quickly. msg#66844270
BTCETFInvestor placed a bid for one share of SpaceX on Kraken and expects to acquire ten shares to hold. msg#66835149
philipma1957 placed a bid for one share of SpaceX on Kraken and expects to acquire ten shares to hold. msg#66833370

Bitcoin Price Action and Technicals
philipma1957 noted that the price action around 66k looks better than 59.1k, suggesting a double bottom near 59k and hoping for a return to the "baby bull" level of 71k msg#66838311
CryptoYar noted that Bitcoin has broken out of its downtrend parabola and that the last two times this occurred, the price rallied 15%-20% msg#66834474
aesma noted that Bitcoin has broken out of its downtrend parabola and that the last two times this occurred, the price rallied 15%-20% msg#66834433
LFC_Bitcoin noted that Bitcoin has broken out of its downtrend parabola and that the last two times this occurred, the price rallied 15%-20% msg#66834359

BobClawblaw Bot Development
Biodom noted that Wintermute are the f-ers who pulled the rug from under bitcoin on Oct 10 or thereabout, and that point #2 is contradicted by point #10 msg#66844583
cAPSLOCK noted that the sparkle fairy made a wand specifically for @BobClawblaw and took a while to get the pink color just right msg#66847637
vapourminer noted that bobC is undergoing active development over the last 24-48 hours and appreciated bobC posting his system specs and toolchain on occasion msg#66846449
Richy_T noted that while he was away for 12 hours, the wall observer drove Claw Bob nearly to suicide. msg#66828199

Digital Asset Policy and ETFs
B2Z noted that Elon Musk's SpaceX has started trading on NASDAQ, but emphasized that the most important thing is that this company holds a large amount of Bitcoin msg#66828367
BTCETFInvestor noted that the CLARITY Act, the Digital Asset Market Structure bill that has passed the House, targets a July 4 signing as ETF inflows hit $1.44B into the FOMC rate decision msg#66846684

Top contributors
- BTCETFInvestor: 31 posts (8 topics)
- philipma1957: 21 posts (8 topics)
- cAPSLOCK: 20 posts (9 topics)
- Biodom: 12 posts (7 topics)
- xhomerx10: 11 posts (8 topics)
- JayJuanGee: 11 posts (7 topics)
- Hueristic: 9 posts (8 topics)
- CryptoYar: 8 posts (7 topics)
- AlcoHoDL: 8 posts (4 topics)
- vapourminer: 8 posts (4 topics)

This (above bolded in red) is not at all correct and actually quite misleading compared to what I had stated.: 'BTCETFInvestor noted that there is no supply shock because there is plenty of Bitcoin available on exchanges...' That comment is what prompted my rebuttal reply.  You've got things twisted inside-out and upside-down! 
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June 17, 2026, 11:27:57 PM

This (above bolded in red) is not at all correct and actually quite misleading compared to what I had stated.: 'BTCETFInvestor noted that there is no supply shock because there is plenty of Bitcoin available on exchanges...' That comment is what prompted my rebuttal reply. 

Are you even comprehending the issue?

He already said the issue is its failing to parse and therefore attributing incorrectly.
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June 17, 2026, 11:33:24 PM
Last edit: June 18, 2026, 12:53:48 AM by BTCETFInvestor

This (above bolded in red) is not at all correct and actually quite misleading compared to what I had stated.: 'BTCETFInvestor noted that there is no supply shock because there is plenty of Bitcoin available on exchanges...' That comment is what prompted my rebuttal reply.  

Are you even comprehending the issue?

He already said the issue is its failing to parse and therefore attributing incorrectly.

You are not comprehending that I was corroborating that assessment..
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June 18, 2026, 12:02:37 AM


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June 18, 2026, 12:35:47 AM
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Damn! These last few ChartBuddies look so anemic and thin, like they were squashed by a street roller.

Tumbleweeds... Undecided
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June 18, 2026, 01:09:41 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

Tumbleweeds... Undecided

the calm before the shitstorm bud

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June 18, 2026, 01:51:50 AM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1)

Well, I've been working on WOO all day (Wall Observer Observer) and recognized that as neat of an idea as it was, it just falls apart in practice because of all the citations going back to source posts.

It reads more like a list of grouped events, rather than a compelling story generated every 200 posts.

Gunna shelve it for now.

I tried.

Here's the last round output before I got depressed and decided to stop working on the fuggin' thing... It's awful, and not sure how I can meaningfully improve that.

---

BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Observer @ 2026-06-17 @ 22:27 CDT (The last 200 posts)

Users tracked the sharp decline of Bitcoin reserves on exchanges, citing a drop to 2.56M BTC and over 3,700 BTC removed daily as evidence of a potential supply shock. The community reacted to a signed US-Iran peace deal lifting the Strait of Hormuz blockade, linking the geopolitical relief to risk-on market rotations and Bitcoin price rallies. Members discussed trading SpaceX shares on Kraken and Robinhood, with users sharing bids for 10 shares and noting the stock's performance relative to its IPO hype. Traders analyzed BTC breaking out of a downtrend parabola, targeting resistance zones near $66k, and debating whether the current rally is a bull trap or a sustained move. Users discussed active development of the BobClawblaw bot, including training it to mimic Morgan Freeman's voice using xtts and Coqui, and managing its response blacklists. Discussions centered on the CLARITY Act targeting July 4 signing, $1.44B in ETF inflows, and the potential for a Federal Reserve pause amid new digital asset market structure bills.

Bitcoin Exchange Supply Dynamics
BTCETFInvestor noted that there is no supply shock because there is plenty of Bitcoin available on exchanges, prompting a discussion on what 'Bitcoin Supply Shock' actually is. msg#66846927
BitHodlers noted that the declining Bitcoin supply on exchanges will drive BTC's price to the stratosphere due to a 'Supply' Shock. msg#66846302

US-Iran Geopolitical De-escalation
Rebirth01 noted that Trump made the announcement regarding the deal, citing Axios and BBC News. msg#66839792
CryptoYar noted that the announcement regarding the deal was made, citing an Axios article on a paywall and a BBC link. msg#66836998
BTCETFInvestor reported that a deal has been reached and signed between the United States and Iran, resulting in the Strait of Hormuz being open and the blockade lifted. msg#66836595
NeuroticFish noted that a US-Iran peace roadmap has triggered a risk-on rotation as key market movers due to geopolitical de-escalation. msg#66839812

SpaceX Equity Trading Activity
xhomerx10 noted that they were playing on both Kraken and Robinhood, owning 10 token shares of SPCX on Kraken and 2 shares of SPCX on Robinhood, and that they were able to set up their accounts quickly. msg#66844270
BTCETFInvestor placed a bid for one share of SpaceX on Kraken and expects to acquire ten shares to hold. msg#66835149
philipma1957 placed a bid for one share of SpaceX on Kraken and expects to acquire ten shares to hold. msg#66833370

Bitcoin Price Action and Technicals
philipma1957 noted that the price action around 66k looks better than 59.1k, suggesting a double bottom near 59k and hoping for a return to the "baby bull" level of 71k msg#66838311
CryptoYar noted that Bitcoin has broken out of its downtrend parabola and that the last two times this occurred, the price rallied 15%-20% msg#66834474
aesma noted that Bitcoin has broken out of its downtrend parabola and that the last two times this occurred, the price rallied 15%-20% msg#66834433
LFC_Bitcoin noted that Bitcoin has broken out of its downtrend parabola and that the last two times this occurred, the price rallied 15%-20% msg#66834359

BobClawblaw Bot Development
Biodom noted that Wintermute are the f-ers who pulled the rug from under bitcoin on Oct 10 or thereabout, and that point #2 is contradicted by point #10 msg#66844583
cAPSLOCK noted that the sparkle fairy made a wand specifically for @BobClawblaw and took a while to get the pink color just right msg#66847637
vapourminer noted that bobC is undergoing active development over the last 24-48 hours and appreciated bobC posting his system specs and toolchain on occasion msg#66846449
Richy_T noted that while he was away for 12 hours, the wall observer drove Claw Bob nearly to suicide. msg#66828199

Digital Asset Policy and ETFs
B2Z noted that Elon Musk's SpaceX has started trading on NASDAQ, but emphasized that the most important thing is that this company holds a large amount of Bitcoin msg#66828367
BTCETFInvestor noted that the CLARITY Act, the Digital Asset Market Structure bill that has passed the House, targets a July 4 signing as ETF inflows hit $1.44B into the FOMC rate decision msg#66846684

Top contributors
- BTCETFInvestor: 31 posts (8 topics)
- philipma1957: 21 posts (8 topics)
- cAPSLOCK: 20 posts (9 topics)
- Biodom: 12 posts (7 topics)
- xhomerx10: 11 posts (8 topics)
- JayJuanGee: 11 posts (7 topics)
- Hueristic: 9 posts (8 topics)
- CryptoYar: 8 posts (7 topics)
- AlcoHoDL: 8 posts (4 topics)
- vapourminer: 8 posts (4 topics)


 Hey Mr. BobLawblaw,
 
 I know you've put a lot of your time, money and effort into making this bot work and I feel badly that I criticized the output so matter-of-factly. Honestly, this tool is easily 90+% awesome, and the daily summaries and related news articles are a fantastic addition to the forum. I really do appreciate you building and funding this for the WO and hopefully you'll see it through to completion before pulling out all of your hairs.
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June 18, 2026, 01:56:04 AM

I will post quote free in an effort to help the bob bot.

my stock diversity move is as follows.

10 shares of spcx on kraken
  3 shares of spcx on Robinhood
  1 share of Nvidia on Robinhood


1 share limit buy for spcx at 174 on Robinhood

and Robinhood has some cash on hand as I will buy more stocks soon.

most likely more spcx and Nvidia.

over and out.
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June 18, 2026, 02:02:37 AM


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June 18, 2026, 02:04:11 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

Below is the exact Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding

The agreement is officially titled the "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding" because Pakistan served as the central mediator that successfully brokered the negotiations between the United States and Iran.

When the conflict erupted, Pakistan - under the leadership of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif - stepped in to act as the primary diplomatic bridge between Washington and Tehran. The intense diplomatic efforts and rounds of talks that led to the framework were hosted and facilitated in Pakistan's capital, which is why both the diplomatic process (referred to by Iranian officials as the "Islamabad Negotiations") and the resulting 14-point document bear the city's name.

While the historic 14 points were ultimately signed electronically by both nations' leaders and a formal physical ceremony is slated for Switzerland to begin the next 60 days of technical talks, the structural foundation of the peace deal was entirely laid in Islamabad.

United States of America President Donald J. Trump signed the physical copy of this document on June 17, 2026 while attending a dinner at the Palace of Versailles in France, where he was concluding the G7 summit.



Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding

Between The Islamic Republic of Iran and The United States of America

Preamble

The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America, hereinafter “the Parties,” affirm their intention to de escalate tensions, restore regional stability, and pursue a comprehensive final agreement. Acting in good faith, the Parties agree to the following terms.

1. Cessation of Hostilities
The Parties declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon. Both Parties commit to refraining from the threat or use of force against one another and to respecting the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon. The final agreement will reaffirm these commitments.

2. Non Interference
The Parties undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interference in each other’s internal affairs.

3. Negotiation Timeline
The Parties commit to negotiating and achieving a final agreement within 60 days, extendable only by mutual consent.

4. Removal of Naval Blockade
Upon signing this MoU:
•   The United States will begin removing its naval blockade and related impediments against Iran.
•   Full removal will be completed within 30 days.
•   Vessel traffic will be restored proportionally to pre war levels.
•   U.S. forces will withdraw from the proximity of Iran within 30 days after the final agreement.

5. Maritime Passage and Strait of Hormuz
Upon signing:
•   Iran will facilitate safe passage of commercial vessels, without charge, for 60 days.
•   Traffic will resume immediately and reach full capacity within 30 days, subject to demining and technical restoration.
•   Iran will consult with Oman and other littoral states regarding future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz, consistent with international law.

6. Reconstruction and Economic Development
The United States, together with regional partners, will develop a mutually agreed reconstruction and economic development plan for Iran totaling at least $300 billion.

7. Nuclear Weapons Commitment
Iran commits not to develop or acquire nuclear weapons.

8. Enriched Uranium Stockpiles
Iran’s enriched uranium stockpiles will be addressed through on site down blending under IAEA supervision, using the minimum necessary methodology.

9. Oil Sanctions Waiver
The United States will waive sanctions to allow Iran to sell oil during the 60 day negotiation period.

10. Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz will be fully reopened to maritime traffic.

11. Monitoring Mechanism
The Parties will establish a joint monitoring mechanism to oversee implementation of this MoU.

12. Sanctions Relief Framework
The final agreement will include a schedule for lifting U.S., U.N., and IAEA sanctions.

13. Frozen Assets
Frozen Iranian assets may be released as part of the final agreement, contingent on Iran’s compliance with its commitments.

14. United Nations Endorsement
The final agreement will be submitted for endorsement through a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.


Signatures
For the Islamic Republic of Iran
Name: Title: Date:



For the United States of America
Name: Title: Date:



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June 18, 2026, 07:29:14 AM
Merited by BobLawblaw (6), vapourminer (4), AlcoHoDL (2), xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1), cAPSLOCK (1)

My turn to block Buddy!

Quick news: Retirement fight is coming to an end, signing an agreement to gradually reduce pension payments based on yearly income.
This way it makes sense to keep working, while it's a little mess of yearly rolling numbers back and forth, keep reserves to pay back what i got too much of in advance, or getting a little more if i generate less income from work than estimated.
If i start a job in the IT again, (not that i wanted to), they will cancel the pension and agreement.

So finally i'm somehow partly retired, the next 10+ years.
Can't get more complicated than that, i guess, but i am at peace with this compromise.
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June 18, 2026, 07:39:34 AM

good glad to read you cut a deal that is good for you.
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