Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[okorieemmanuel]

It won't do it no matter how many different ways I ask, politely.

first fail:



Done:

This your scenario is quite interesting. Did you consider the facts that' this is the end of the Month plus the end of the second quarter of the year? If you did then those prices are ridiculously small.



"SCENARIOS

- Continued Consolidation (45%): triggers: price remains between $58,000 and $62,000 for 2-4 weeks, Fear & Greed stays below 25, and on-chain activity shows steady long-term holder accumulation. Invalidation: a decisive break below $57,500 with high volume, suggesting renewed selling pressure.
- Bullish Re-accumulation Breakout (35%): triggers: price closes above $62,500 on increasing volume, Fear & Greed rises above 25, and the premium turns positive, indicating renewed spot demand. Invalidation: failure to hold above $60,000 after a false breakout, leading to a quick retest of lower support.
- Bearish Breakdown (20%): triggers: price breaks below $57,000, Fear & Greed drops below 10, and on-chain data shows long-term holders distributing coins. Invalidation: a sharp V-shaped recovery back above $60,000 within 48 hours, suggesting the breakdown was a liquidity grab."

[Richy_T]

So, why do they refuse to allow Windows 11 to be installed on a PC fully capable of running Windows 11?

Speculation is that this will eventually allow them to lock things down so that any software purchased has to go through MS. People have been getting around the requirements and reporting that it runs just fine (as much as Windows can be described as running fine anyway) though it appears that Microsoft are increasingly making this hard to do. Some, me included, think that Microsoft's moves toward a walled garden are what has prompted Valve to push forward on making Steam run on Linux and putting so much effort into Proton.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[nutildah]

Did you consider the facts that' this is the end of the Month plus the end of the second quarter of the year?

first fail:

LOL @ Fat Brad

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[WatChe]

I live almost 1000 miles away from sea shore, so don't go to sea side very often. Last time I was at sea side was in Oct 2022. But I love the sea breeze, sand and the sea water.

Between stay away from sea when its rough.

[d_eddie]

HI* recap

More sideways with an undertone of down.
No matter what the news is.
No matter (or little) if stonks go up or down.
I guess we'll just have to wait it out.
She likes to surprise the world at her whim.


*Human intelligence, trained over decades with input from books, the Internet, and other humans.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Hueristic]

Did you consider the facts that' this is the end of the Month plus the end of the second quarter of the year?

first fail:

LOL @ Fat Brad

Right!  I had to include that.

[Hueristic]

It won't do it no matter how many different ways I ask, politely.

first fail:



Done:

This your scenario is quite interesting. Did you consider the facts that' this is the end of the Month plus the end of the second quarter of the year? If you did then those prices are ridiculously small.



"SCENARIOS

- Continued Consolidation (45%): triggers: price remains between $58,000 and $62,000 for 2-4 weeks, Fear & Greed stays below 25, and on-chain activity shows steady long-term holder accumulation. Invalidation: a decisive break below $57,500 with high volume, suggesting renewed selling pressure.
- Bullish Re-accumulation Breakout (35%): triggers: price closes above $62,500 on increasing volume, Fear & Greed rises above 25, and the premium turns positive, indicating renewed spot demand. Invalidation: failure to hold above $60,000 after a false breakout, leading to a quick retest of lower support.
- Bearish Breakdown (20%): triggers: price breaks below $57,000, Fear & Greed drops below 10, and on-chain data shows long-term holders distributing coins. Invalidation: a sharp V-shaped recovery back above $60,000 within 48 hours, suggesting the breakdown was a liquidity grab."

Swing and a miss, You got a dumb ass bot posting for you?

Blocked and why not, reported as well.

[jahead]

I hope I am in the right place with my post, I have already shared this in the local board, but it has not gotten any feedback there, ppl there are not so deep into TA.
 
Here is one of many indicators/theories I have, when I feel like it, I will post more from time to time:

We are looking at the BTC/USD on the monthly index chart (RSI-14 at the bottom, nevermind).

The blue lines represent the standard Fibonacci Extension Tool from Tradingview.

It measures the potential expansion level (in this case a bearish expansion) of price waves based on the mathematical ratios of the Fibonacci sequence.

What stands out is that in the last two bear markets ('17 and '21), the bottom was always found at or below the 0.786 Fibonacci level — and in this bear market that sits at $39.000 USD:



And yes, I know: History doesn't repeat itself exactly, but it often follows the same recognizable patterns and rhythms.

[vapourminer]

for 30 bucks it just flags your systems that run on local accounts (up to 10) as able to get security updates no syncs/data hoovering happens

Yeah. my point is more that $30 ain't free. (I know it wasn't you saying it).

i kinda wondered what price peoples data on their computers would fetch.. microsoft says 30 bucks per person apparently.

30 bucks to have my data stay "private"

i do like not having new "features" being installed by MS during win10 updates a lot though. only security updates. thats fine with me.

[Hueristic]

for 30 bucks it just flags your systems that run on local accounts (up to 10) as able to get security updates no syncs/data hoovering happens

Yeah. my point is more that $30 ain't free. (I know it wasn't you saying it).

i kinda wondered what price peoples data on their computers would fetch.. microsoft says 30 bucks per person apparently.

30 bucks to have my data stay "private"

i do like not having new "features" being installed by MS during win10 updates a lot though. only security updates. thats fine with me.

Problem I've had with M$ "security" updates is even as far back as the 90's it was changing all the hardening steps I had made which actually protected from the vectors the patch was being applied to fix. I found never allowing them to apply patches and either manually patching the backdoors (most of which they added with their patches) or applying a patch in a sandbox to find what else they added behind our back was the way to go.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[WatChe]

for 30 bucks it just flags your systems that run on local accounts (up to 10) as able to get security updates no syncs/data hoovering happens

Yeah. my point is more that $30 ain't free. (I know it wasn't you saying it).

i kinda wondered what price peoples data on their computers would fetch.. microsoft says 30 bucks per person apparently.

30 bucks to have my data stay "private"

i do like not having new "features" being installed by MS during win10 updates a lot though. only security updates. thats fine with me.

For privacy, Linux is still the best option. And you don't need to be extra technical to use Linux. Linux interface is very much similar to Windows and you can learn commands as you use the Linux OS.   

I have a Ubuntu installation along with windows and that is place where I store my personal data. Mastering Linux for data privacy is a worthy effort.

[BTCETFInvestor]

for 30 bucks it just flags your systems that run on local accounts (up to 10) as able to get security updates no syncs/data hoovering happens

Yeah. my point is more that $30 ain't free. (I know it wasn't you saying it).

i kinda wondered what price peoples data on their computers would fetch.. microsoft says 30 bucks per person apparently.

30 bucks to have my data stay "private"

i do like not having new "features" being installed by MS during win10 updates a lot though. only security updates. thats fine with me.

Problem I've had with M$ "security" updates is even as far back as the 90's it was changing all the hardening steps I had made which actually protected from the vectors the patch was being applied to fix. I found never allowing them to apply patches and either manually patching the backdoors (most of which they added with their patches) or applying a patch in a sandbox to find what else they added behind our back was the way to go.

@Hueristic - You're right about years ago, the Windows Updates felt like Russian roulette. Microsoft used to push massive, sweeping changes all at once, which frequently caused blue screens of death (BSOD) or wiped out user data. Today, the updates are totally safe.

Microsoft has totally shifted the frustration from "Will this break my computer?" to "Why did they change that?"

In recent years (especially the previous few years), Microsoft has faced significant backlash for using Windows Updates to aggressively push new AI features, change user interface elements, and inject intrusive advertisements for their own services (like OneDrive or Microsoft 365). In fact, the update ecosystem became so polarizing that Microsoft actually designated 2026 as a "repair year" for Windows 11- publicly pivoting their engineering focus away from forcing new features and back toward fixing core system performance and reliability.