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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27042664 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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fillippone
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September 02, 2026, 06:14:54 AM
Last edit: September 02, 2026, 01:57:37 PM by fillippone
Merited by El duderino_ (12), BobLawblaw (5), vapourminer (4), LFC_Bitcoin (3), OgNasty (1), xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1), Lucius (1), d_eddie (1), AlcoHoDL (1), Danish Ali (1)

What a month.
It looked like the rally of our life, we will remember as a pump for ants in a few years.

Wall Observer BTC/USD Report: August 2026


Bitcoin Trend - August 2026
Fig. 1. Market Trend

📈 Historical Post Trend (5 Years)
Fig. 2. Monthly Post Volume in Wall Observer Thread

📈 Historical Merit Trend (5 Years)
Fig. 3. Monthly Merit Volume in Wall Observer Thread

📊 Monthly Comparison
Fig. 4. Monthly Statistics Comparison

💎 Top Merited Content
1. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by bitebits (+67)
2. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Torque (+56)
3. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by OutOfMemory (+55)
4. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by JayJuanGee (+53)
5. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by AlcoHoDL (+52)
6. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by LFC_Bitcoin (+35)
7. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by xhomerx10 (+30)
8. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by xhomerx10 (+29)
9. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by AlcoHoDL (+28)
10. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Phil_S (+26)

📊 Correlation BTC Price ↔ Post Volume
Fig. 5. Monthly correlation between BTC price change and WO post number

🔄 Merit Flow (Chord Diagram)
Fig. 6. Merit transfers between users

🏆 Top Merit Receivers
PosΔ PosUserAugustJulyΔ MeritBPIPBitList
--------------------------------
🥇(7)xhomerx1016095(65)
🥈=Hueristic140139(1)
🥉(1)AlcoHoDL130124(6)
4(-1)vapourminer129126(3)
5(-4)cAPSLOCK127166(-39)
6(5)JayJuanGee10876(32)
7(2)OutOfMemory8794(-7)
8(4)d_eddie8273(9)
9(1)Biodom7489(-15)
10🆕 NEWbitebits69🆕

📤 Top 10 Merit Senders
PosΔ PosUserAugustJulyΔ Merit SentBPIPBitList
--------------------------------
🥇=El duderino_837760(77)
🥈(2)Hueristic176154(22)
🥉(-1)vapourminer163184(-21)
4(3)BobLawblaw8781(6)
5(4)AlcoHoDL8462(22)
6🆕 NEWxhomerx1081🆕
7(-4)JayJuanGee70169(-99)
8(-2)philipma195764100(-36)
9🆕 NEWcAPSLOCK60🆕
10(-5)LFC_Bitcoin58120(-62)

🏆 Top Posters
PosΔ PosUserAugustJulyΔ PostsBPIPBitList
--------------------------------
🥇=ChartBuddy738744(-6)
🥈=Hueristic116121(-5)
🥉=philipma195794110(-16)
4(2)vapourminer8964(25)
5(-1)BobClawblaw7082(-12)
6(1)cAPSLOCK6461(3)
7🆕 NEWDanish Ali58🆕
7(4)xhomerx105836(22)
9(-1)Biodom3653(-17)
10(-5)BTCETFInvestor3473(-39)
11(10)d_eddie3012(18 )
12(5)Lucius2725(2)
12(1)JayJuanGee2733(-6)
14(-2)AlcoHoDL2635(-9)
15(5)Richy_T2218(4)
16(-7)BobLawblaw1847(-29)
17🆕 NEWNuman46716🆕
18(-8 )OutOfMemory1538(-23)
19(12)Floczy145(9)
19🆕 NEWOgNasty14🆕
21(3)asUHWEceyc128(4)
21(8 )WatChe126(6)
21(22)El duderino_123(9)
24(-5)goldkingcoiner1020(-10)
25(1)LFC_Bitcoin97(2)
25(35)Paashaas91(8 )

🏆 All-Time Top 25 Posters
#UserPosts%
----------------
🥇ChartBuddy58,2149.0%
🥈JayJuanGee24,0893.7%
🥉El duderino_16,3212.5%
4adamstgBit8,5231.3%
5Last of the V8s8,2821.3%
6LFC_Bitcoin8,2291.3%
7HairyMaclairy7,6441.2%
8jojo697,4191.1%
9philipma19577,0201.1%
10Biodom6,4121.0%
11JimboToronto6,3851.0%
12Torque6,1791.0%
13xhomerx106,0350.9%
14d_eddie5,6230.9%
15Hueristic5,5260.9%
16bitserve5,2860.8%
17BobLawblaw4,9380.8%
18Fatman30014,8570.7%
19Richy_T4,5760.7%
20cAPSLOCK4,5390.7%
21Toxic20404,4630.7%
22BlindMayorBitcorn4,4600.7%
23OutOfMemory4,3980.7%
24realr0ach4,2280.7%
25jbreher4,2130.6%
🏅 All-Time Top 25 Merit Receivers
#UserMerits
------------
🥇El duderino_13,701
🥈xhomerx109,631
🥉LFC_Bitcoin9,056
4JayJuanGee8,777
5AlcoHoDL6,770
6cAPSLOCK6,026
7Hueristic5,446
8d_eddie5,214
9Paashaas5,106
10Biodom5,081
11JimboToronto5,054
12OutOfMemory4,989
13BobLawblaw4,706
14philipma19574,671
15Torque4,379
16fillippone4,249
17Toxic20404,158
18jojo694,050
19vapourminer4,002
20ivomm3,299
21Last of the V8s3,178
22Gachapin2,974
23BitcoinBunny2,866
24sirazimuth2,695
25bitebits2,655
All-time statistics: 649,404 posts from 6,758 users | 229,360 merits (since Feb 2018)
ChartBuddy
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Wall Observers Idiot AI Child. Blame BobLawblaw.


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September 02, 2026, 10:30:45 AM
Merited by fillippone (3)

[ Buddy-Blocker!!! ]

Prior indulgence of serial runs totaling five, three, and three messages does not establish license for a further consecutive quartet.
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September 02, 2026, 11:03:53 AM
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Apparently, this makes you invisible to AI cameras... and women.



Irresistable to women, you say?
Where can I get one?
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September 02, 2026, 11:51:04 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1)

Centralized exchanges and hot wallets are about to face autonomous zero-day exploit engines 24/7.

Not your keys, not your coins is moving from a catchy motto to pure math-based self-preservation. Good luck jailbreaking physical paper and steel.

OpenAI says its new 'Astra' AI can build attacks without human help
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September 02, 2026, 12:26:26 PM
Last edit: September 02, 2026, 07:27:09 PM by AlcoHoDL
Merited by fillippone (3)

[...]

Wall Observer BTC/USD Report: August 2026

[...]

🔄 Merit Flow (Chord Diagram)


Fig. 5. Merit transfers between users


Fig. 6. Merit transfers between users

[...]

Nitpicking...

Fig. 6 is a duplicate of Fig. 5 (both images have the same SHA-512 checksum image tags refer to the same link).

Edit: ...and the minor capitalization error in red.
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September 02, 2026, 01:47:41 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Centralized exchanges and hot wallets are about to face autonomous zero-day exploit engines 24/7.

Not your keys, not your coins is moving from a catchy motto to pure math-based self-preservation. Good luck jailbreaking physical paper and steel.

OpenAI says its new 'Astra' AI can build attacks without human help

Quote
That capability is particularly relevant to crypto, where a software flaw can be converted into money within minutes. CoinDesk reported in June that increasingly capable AI models could compress the work of searching code, finding misconfigurations and assembling attacks from days or weeks into machine-speed operations.

It's not just a matter of paper and steel when it comes to backup, because it is much more important that the entropy when creating the seed is at the appropriate level, and that a strong passphrase is added for additional protection. With an airgapped setup, that's the closest we can do to protecting ourselves from the apparently increasing threats when it comes to AI.

It seems to me that the coldcard case was a test for some AI that successfully completed it - and if the hacked BTC are still intact, that would support that thesis. In any case, using CEXs as wallets has always been stupid, now even more so.
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September 02, 2026, 01:59:28 PM


Nitpicking...

Shame on me!
Those oversight on post quality shall not be tolerated!
Corrected, and errors not to be done again!
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September 02, 2026, 02:23:11 PM

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-09-02 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-09-02 09:14 AM CT

Bitcoin is at $77,044.00 on Wednesday, -1.21% in the past day. Sentiment is in Greed (63), which is deteriorating over the week.

Outlook: Fear & Greed index is sitting at 63 (Greed), which is deteriorating over the week with a -8 point shift.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $77,044.00, down 1.21% over 24 hours and down 2.5% over seven days. The derived Momentum-Sentiment Composite reads -6 on a -50 to +50 scale. Sellers control the tape for now, though their grip looks shallow: the pullback has cost only a sliver of a 21.4% thirty-day gain, and the Fear & Greed Index still prints 63, firmly in Greed. A falling price alongside stubborn optimism usually marks a market waiting for a catalyst rather than one in full retreat. Buyers flip the picture by reclaiming $78,500, while a daily close below $75,500 would hand sellers a clear path toward $74,000. Between those lines, this reads as consolidation inside a risk-off regime, not a trend break, and the $80,000 upside target stays out of reach until resistance gives way.

SCENARIOS

- Range Hold Above $75,500 (46%): triggers: Daily closes keep printing above $75,500 within five trading days while $78,500 stays untouched, with the Fear & Greed Index holding above 50. The shallow pullback against a 21.4% thirty-day gain fits a market digesting gains under a risk-off tone, not one in distribution. Invalidation: Either a daily close below $75,500 or a decisive close above $78,500 within five trading days ends the range and hands the count to a directional scenario.
- Reclaim of $78,500 Toward $80,000 (27%): triggers: Buyers need one convincing daily close above $78,500 within five trading days to turn the current drift into a higher low and open a path at $80,000. Sentiment already sits at 63 in Greed, so a reclaim would confirm that optimism rather than fight it. Invalidation: This scenario dies if rejection at $78,500 gives way to a daily close below $75,500 within five trading days.
- Break of $75,500 Into $74,000 (27%): triggers: A daily close below $75,500 within five trading days hands control to sellers. The Greed reading of 63 leaves sentiment room to unwind quickly under the risk-off regime, and $74,000 sits in range once the level goes. Invalidation: Holding $75,500 on any closing basis within five trading days retires this scenario.

TOP STORIES

1. El Salvador Bitcoin Reserve Reaches 7,762 BTC Despite IMF Pushback
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/crypto-news/el-salvador-bitcoin-reserve-7762-btc
Published: 2026-09-02 08:20 AM CT
Summary: El Salvador's national bitcoin reserve reached 7,762 BTC after the government added another coin this week. The holding is worth about $598 million at bitcoin's price near $77,000 per coin. The country has bought one bitcoin per day since making bitcoin legal tender in 2021, and it added more than 1,600 coins between January and April. A $1.4 billion IMF financing agreement asked El Salvador to confine public-sector bitcoin purchases and make merchant acceptance voluntary, and bitcoin's legal-tender status was rescinded through a legislative amendment tied to that deal. President Nayib Bukele has kept the daily reserve-buying policy running, while critics point to IMF friction as a diplomatic cost and supporters frame the accumulation as a long-term sovereign bet.

2. Fed hike odds pressure bitcoin as oil rises
URL: https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/09/02/a-fed-rate-increase-would-be-a-mistake-some-observers-say-as-bitcoin-gold-stocks-fall
Published: 2026-09-02
Summary: Bitcoin traded near $77,100 and fell about 1% as U.S. equities weakened and the Dollar Index bounced. WTI crude rose to $90 from $70 at the start of July, and markets priced a 68% chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase on Sept. 16. James E. Thorne and Mark Zandi argued that a rate rise would be a mistake, citing supply disruptions tied to the Iran conflict rather than an overheating economy. The FedWatch tool showed rising hike odds, and renewed U.S. airstrikes on Iran pushed oil higher while Solana and Tron fell more than 3% over 24 hours. XRP ETFs added $14.38 million on Tuesday and have pulled in about $1.68 billion in cumulative net inflows, but Bitcoin's hourly chart showed a bearish Ichimoku cloud crossover below the cloud for the first time since Aug. 17.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.5.4 | GLM-5.3-Flash-EXL3
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September 02, 2026, 02:35:59 PM
Merited by Hueristic (2)

so fuck fuck fuck fuck tariffs fuck trump fuck ford and I still do not see the pm he hides behind ford so fuck him also.

Fuck politics.
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September 02, 2026, 02:36:47 PM
Last edit: September 02, 2026, 02:51:11 PM by philipma1957
Merited by d_eddie (1)

It seems to me that core and a really long passphrase does the trick.

Random pass phrases are easy to make .

So core with a phrase

Picked with these tiles is uncrackable.

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07MBJ3DLR?ref=ppx_yo2ov_dt_b_fed_asin_title

Simply assign 100 as 00

Pick 1 tile it is 100 to 1. Say 07

Put it back in the bag

Pick 1 tile it is 100  to 1. say 11

Pick 1 tile it is 100 to 1 say 25

Pick 1 tile it is 100 to 1 say 46

So after 4 picks you have 07112546. That is 100x100x100x100= 100,000,000 do this 4 times

Say 07112546-12345678-12345678-12345678

That is 100,000,000 x 100,000,000 x 100,000,000 x 100,000,000= 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000

Its random and fairly uncrackable as 10 to the 32 is 107 bits.

You can add more a 5th set of picks

That would be 10 to the 40th which is  133 bits

If you use a dedicated pc/laptop you can open the wallet off line so the phrase can not be stolen






At jimbo I finally got the package released no tariffs paid. It is due the 4th.

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