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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (8.9%)
8/4 - 16 (12.9%)
8/11 - 8 (6.5%)
8/18 - 6 (4.8%)
8/25 - 8 (6.5%)
After August - 74 (59.7%)
Total Voters: 124

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26491047 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
spin
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October 10, 2014, 10:58:48 AM

Free money on bitfinex for anyone with deep pockets and a large pile of BTC.

Place a very high ask..market buy 10k. Margins calls will make you several million $'s and a pile of btc

50 people who are prepared to risk 30btc (to open position 3:1 = 90btc) can turn this around... Who is in?  Grin

would be amazing to see...could ignite a temporary chain reaction with a ping pong over a huge price range
indeed. Could send the price over 5k on finex and have a ton of liquidated butt hurt shorts.

Other exchanges would move up at least $100 probably more temporarily

Hate to burst your bubble but take a look at longs. They just sucked up all available swaps no more free money. And $ wise they outnumber the shorts by far. Or you can just disregard this and keep looking at shorts
?

Free money would be setting an ask of several thousand btc above $1000 and then buying 10k btc on market.  Forced liquidation sends the price stratospheric filling your asks. You then get btc plus several million $'s. Free money

Great theory...assuming longs wont be closing...

You have a point I think:
I just checked and there are $21m in open USD swaps.  
Assuming these have gone long BTC then you get  21m/360 = 58300 BTC longs (assuming none are long some of the other bitfinex assets).
Against that you have 14 400 BTC swaps which are presumable all shorts.
I think this implies a *net* long squeeze rather than short squeeze is possible.

So if priced moved up your 14 400 swaps may well be eaten up by open longs closing to take profit.  Whereas if the price moved down the longs will have to close and there won't be enough shorts to eat them up...
ChartBuddy
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October 10, 2014, 11:01:07 AM


Explanation
pinky
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October 10, 2014, 11:03:37 AM

and they keep talking about shorts, never mind the 22 mil of longs opened since when?

 Grin

+1
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October 10, 2014, 11:06:39 AM

Free money on bitfinex for anyone with deep pockets and a large pile of BTC.

Place a very high ask..market buy 10k. Margins calls will make you several million $'s and a pile of btc

50 people who are prepared to risk 30btc (to open position 3:1 = 90btc) can turn this around... Who is in?  Grin

would be amazing to see...could ignite a temporary chain reaction with a ping pong over a huge price range
indeed. Could send the price over 5k on finex and have a ton of liquidated butt hurt shorts.

Other exchanges would move up at least $100 probably more temporarily

Hate to burst your bubble but take a look at longs. They just sucked up all available swaps no more free money. And $ wise they outnumber the shorts by far. Or you can just disregard this and keep looking at shorts
?

Free money would be setting an ask of several thousand btc above $1000 and then buying 10k btc on market.  Forced liquidation sends the price stratospheric filling your asks. You then get btc plus several million $'s. Free money

Great theory...assuming longs wont be closing...

You have a point I think:
I just checked and there are $21m in open USD swaps.  
Assuming these have gone long BTC then you get  21m/360 = 58300 BTC longs (assuming none are long some of the other bitfinex assets).
Against that you have 14 400 BTC swaps which are presumable all shorts.
I think this implies a *net* long squeeze rather than short squeeze is possible.

So if priced moved up your 14 400 swaps may well be eaten up by open longs closing to take profit.  Whereas if the price moved down the longs will have to close and there won't be enough shorts to eat them up...


But hey - when was Bitcoin ever volatile  Wink

Interesting times.   Off to stock up on popcorn, just in case.
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October 10, 2014, 11:07:25 AM

Global shares hit six-month low as growth worries mount

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/10/us-markets-global-idUSKCN0HZ01720141010


Bullish for Btc?
NotLambchop
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October 10, 2014, 11:12:04 AM

Global shares hit six-month low as growth worries mount

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/10/us-markets-global-idUSKCN0HZ01720141010


Bullish for Btc?

Bad for economy = good for BTC.  Bullish!

*In case you wondered why BTC isn't adored by the mainstream...
solex
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October 10, 2014, 11:14:42 AM

could btc/usd prices be impacted by cryptsys huge volume of XRP markets ? and would altcoins help or make it worse for the growth of BTC/USD?

The altcoins that come to mind that seek larger speculation of growth like Coin Magi (XMG), Primecoin (XPM), Peercoin (PPC) ..?


DOGE is a pretty big one

its hard to say exactly how it these alts effect he BTC market

but the idea that BTC is needed to bid in these markets is rather bullish for BTC.


Alts have diluted capital flow into BTC. Perhaps just fool's money, but imagine if all the cash that went into DOGE et al. went into BTC.


money moving towards alts is getting less:


nice graph from Pantera.  Bitcoin continuing to gain on altscams:

https://cdn.panteracapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Pantera-Bitcoin-Letter-September-2014.pdf





YES!!! That is certainly an interesting trend, when some people try to give so much importance to the supposed dynamic of alts stealing away market cap from BTC, when we look more closely at the facts, the story seems to be quite to the contrary... alts are proliferating and so far pretty much stealing from each other rather than from bitcoin b/c as a whole bitcoin is NOT losing market share to such alts.  NOW again, that is a good metric to monitor b/c it could change in a year or so or somewhere down the line some of the alts may begin to take some market share from BTC.

Well, that was how I was thinking too, but the percentage has been around 90% for the past week. Will be interesting to see if it goes nearer 95% again, perhaps when bitcoin is back in the $600s
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October 10, 2014, 11:28:39 AM

Good morning everyone.  Breakfast!



*Don't worry other bulls, you'll be fine.  Your bullfriends are still living productive and happy lives.
Sans their bragworthy balls.
Wandererfromthenorth
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October 10, 2014, 11:30:25 AM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol
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October 10, 2014, 11:37:59 AM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

maybe 20 years ago...never eaten or seen that
Pala_00
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October 10, 2014, 11:42:39 AM

Global shares hit six-month low as growth worries mount

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/10/us-markets-global-idUSKCN0HZ01720141010


Bullish for Btc?

+1
NotLambchop
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October 10, 2014, 11:44:29 AM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

In US we like 'em young.

"Rocky Mountain oysters are the testicles of bull calves ... They are often deep-fried after being peeled, coated in flour, pepper and salt, and sometimes pounded flat."

Imagine, pounded flat.  So satisfying.
njcarlos
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October 10, 2014, 11:45:07 AM

*Don't worry other bulls, you'll be fine.  Your bullfriends are still living productive and happy lives.
Sans their bragworthy balls.
Lol Grin
Wandererfromthenorth
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October 10, 2014, 11:48:40 AM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

In US we like 'em young.

"Rocky Mountain oysters are the testicles of bull calves ... They are often deep-fried after being peeled, coated in flour, pepper and salt, and sometimes pounded flat."

Imagine, pounded flat.  So satisfying.
I just googled "Rocky Mountain oysters", I wish I didn't  Cry
lmao
noobtrader
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October 10, 2014, 11:50:16 AM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

Only real men can eat bull testicle like that... awesome
doo
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October 10, 2014, 11:51:07 AM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

maybe 20 years ago...never eaten or seen that
Its eaten all over the world http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Testicle_(food)
ChartBuddy
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October 10, 2014, 12:01:02 PM


Explanation
razorramon
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October 10, 2014, 12:02:19 PM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

maybe 20 years ago...never eaten or seen that
Its eaten all over the world http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Testicle_(food)

not in regular restaurants...you have to find a special place for that...brains and guts are much easier to find...but i think i saw bull testicles in barcelona once
NotLambchop
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October 10, 2014, 12:02:40 PM

eww do they really eat that shit in Austria?
lol

In US we like 'em young.

"Rocky Mountain oysters are the testicles of bull calves ... They are often deep-fried after being peeled, coated in flour, pepper and salt, and sometimes pounded flat."

Imagine, pounded flat.  So satisfying.
I just googled "Rocky Mountain oysters", I wish I didn't  Cry
lmao

What wikip fails to mention is peeling and pounding is done with the testicles still attached to the bull.
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October 10, 2014, 12:03:29 PM

could btc/usd prices be impacted by cryptsys huge volume of XRP markets ? and would altcoins help or make it worse for the growth of BTC/USD?

The altcoins that come to mind that seek larger speculation of growth like Coin Magi (XMG), Primecoin (XPM), Peercoin (PPC) ..?


DOGE is a pretty big one

its hard to say exactly how it these alts effect he BTC market

but the idea that BTC is needed to bid in these markets is rather bullish for BTC.


Alts have diluted capital flow into BTC. Perhaps just fool's money, but imagine if all the cash that went into DOGE et al. went into BTC.


money moving towards alts is getting less:


nice graph from Pantera.  Bitcoin continuing to gain on altscams:

https://cdn.panteracapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Pantera-Bitcoin-Letter-September-2014.pdf





YES!!! That is certainly an interesting trend, when some people try to give so much importance to the supposed dynamic of alts stealing away market cap from BTC, when we look more closely at the facts, the story seems to be quite to the contrary... alts are proliferating and so far pretty much stealing from each other rather than from bitcoin b/c as a whole bitcoin is NOT losing market share to such alts.  NOW again, that is a good metric to monitor b/c it could change in a year or so or somewhere down the line some of the alts may begin to take some market share from BTC.

Well, that was how I was thinking too, but the percentage has been around 90% for the past week. Will be interesting to see if it goes nearer 95% again, perhaps when bitcoin is back in the $600s

Yep.. there has been some pretty considerable price fluctuations in the past few weeks, and we will have to see how this plays out in the next few weeks.  There could even be a great exponential growth in BTC and alts may or may NOT follow (or outpace the growth of BTC like they seemed to have done for a short period in late 2013). 
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