Kazu (OP)
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April 20, 2013, 04:00:18 PM |
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So basically I will bet 1$ that the Mtgox price will be lower than now after exactly 1 hour. I think that https://data.mtgox.com/api/2/BTCUSD/money/ticker is a good source. So at the moment 1$=0.0082651 BTC And the opening price is 120.99 BTCUSD Okay, accepted. Your source seems fine. Ending time is 04:49:11 PM server time (Bitcointalk server time) which is 1 hour from when you posted.
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BubbleBoy
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April 20, 2013, 04:09:24 PM |
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I'm ready to bet 10.000$ that 3 months from now the average price for all BTCs sold on mtgox during a week is under 100$. So we pull the order list from mtgox, multiply quantity with price, add and divide by total sold. If it's under 100$ you give me 20.000$ back, if it's over you keep the original 10.000$. I don't care what happens to the $ in the meantime as long as you have liquid assets to cover the 20.000$, and by 'liquid' I mean anything other than bitcoins.
Easy money, this is as good as shorts get; unfortunately you can't convince me that I can do this safely without exposing myself to BTC volatility and without trusting a random guy on a forum...
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 04:21:01 PM |
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So basically I will bet 1$ that the Mtgox price will be lower than now after exactly 1 hour. I think that https://data.mtgox.com/api/2/BTCUSD/money/ticker is a good source. So at the moment 1$=0.0082651 BTC And the opening price is 120.99 BTCUSD Okay, accepted. Your source seems fine. Ending time is 04:49:11 PM server time (Bitcointalk server time) which is 1 hour from when you posted. I have a feeling that I am losing. What about a premature ending of the bet? I give you 0.5$ NOW and we mutually agree to end the bet? Or if anyone is interested to buy this "losing" bet for only 0.5$??
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 04:35:16 PM |
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selling for 0.3
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 04:38:23 PM |
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0.2$
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 04:42:41 PM |
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0.1$ ??
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 04:50:04 PM |
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ok lost
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 04:51:28 PM |
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price is 124.09 1$=0.008058
let's say 0.0081
where should i pay?
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Kazu (OP)
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April 20, 2013, 04:52:47 PM |
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price is 124.09 1$=0.008058
let's say 0.0081
where should i pay?
1F6yaGAsfe6LvmGf6sdKGY8JJEXPsEMbcR
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Vandroiy
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April 20, 2013, 05:00:03 PM |
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What sums, time-frames and odds are we talking about here? Are you doing different odds by strike price or rather 1:1 on current price?
I'm somewhat mid-term bearish, on the order of months. Any offers on that time-frame?
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im3w1l
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April 20, 2013, 05:01:04 PM |
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This was entertaining to watch
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Kazu (OP)
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April 20, 2013, 05:14:21 PM |
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What sums, time-frames and odds are we talking about here? Are you doing different odds by strike price or rather 1:1 on current price?
I'm somewhat mid-term bearish, on the order of months. Any offers on that time-frame?
The first one was sort of me trolling. I could do a 1 month 1:1 strike of $120.
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Vandroiy
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April 20, 2013, 05:35:14 PM |
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The first one was sort of me trolling.
I could do a 1 month 1:1 strike of $120.
A month is still somewhat short... but might be interesting. But before that, what kind of sums is this about, given a trustworthy escrow? (Should I call in some speculators and ask about 5-digit USD bets?)
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 05:41:36 PM |
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How about end of May?
for 150 strike price
and another one
for 100 strike price
What odds would I get? Obviously should be different than 1:1. And the bet should be in USD of course.
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 05:43:39 PM |
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 05:57:23 PM |
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proof of concept
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Kazu (OP)
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April 20, 2013, 07:39:39 PM |
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How about end of May?
for 150 strike price
and another one
for 100 strike price
What odds would I get? Obviously should be different than 1:1. And the bet should be in USD of course.
150 for strike price? Thats above current price. -_-
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adraza
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April 20, 2013, 08:37:53 PM |
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I know. And 100 is below the current price. That's why I have asked about ODDS.
Have you received "my dollar" ?
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Kazu (OP)
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April 20, 2013, 08:46:24 PM |
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I know. And 100 is below the current price. That's why I have asked about ODDS.
Have you received "my dollar" ?
Indeed I did receive your dollar xD I'll get back to you on odds.
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DoomDumas
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April 20, 2013, 11:40:14 PM |
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Or, bet Disagree on the statement in my sgnature
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