QuintLeo
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Activity: 1498
Merit: 1030
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August 19, 2017, 08:59:57 PM |
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+2.5 = alh
Thanks again for running this Phil. I thought more hash had been shifted to BCH, but looks like not.
Mining BCH has been NEGATIVE profitability 'till very recently, as they took too long to get the diff down and the price was too low. Recent price jump is turning that around. I'm sitting this contest round out as I don't have any interest in the Trezor.
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I'm no longer legendary just in my own mind! Like something I said? Donations gratefully accepted. LYLnTKvLefz9izJFUvEGQEZzSkz34b3N6U (Litecoin) 1GYbjMTPdCuV7dci3iCUiaRrcNuaiQrVYY (Bitcoin)
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philipma1957 (OP)
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Activity: 4270
Merit: 8648
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 19, 2017, 09:09:41 PM Last edit: August 19, 2017, 10:55:05 PM by philipma1957 |
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New contest picks to end at block 516.Experimental Image Contribution: Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. If you are overseas I will spring for the shipping of the Trezor -3.0 = isoneguy -1.3 = VRobb -1.2 = philipma1957 >>>> I always pick this number -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.2 = keystroke 0.1 = tomintx 0.2 = mocacinno 0.9 = buwaytress 1.8 = eDonkey 2.2 = vapourminer 2.5 = alh 3.2 = Psi 3.6 = Landy1264 3.7 = pusttiu 5.0 = leowonderful And look at the diff the gray line has always been under so were pretty much negative but at the moment it has shot way up! While I have participated in these before, I have lost my sense of how the range works when we are into negative territory. If as an example, what would I choose for the following: Estimated Next Difficulty: 922,529,973,147 (-0.08%) Would that be -.1% -or- 0.0% ? I'll wait a bit to make a guess, but thought I would ask now, since it seems possible to me will be in for decrease in diffiulty. Thanks for doing this again!!! -0.1 covers from -0.1 to -0.000000000000000001.... 0.0 covers from 0.0 to 0.099999999999999999... 0.1 covers from 0.1 to 0.199999999999999999... so -0.08 would be won by -0.1 not 0.0 @ QuintLeo pick you still have some time. time is up all picks are in and done.
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fr4nkthetank
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Activity: 2294
Merit: 1182
Now the money is free, and so the people will be
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August 20, 2017, 02:58:06 AM |
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wow im stunned that the difficulty is still projected to be high, with all the hashrate moving to the other chain. just wow. I cant see my pick there in the list, did it fall through a crack ? 0.0
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Landy1264
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Activity: 115
Merit: 10
Tip: 1JBSwRgm7iMzc7uyhnJdxH7hSECdJkdMoj
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August 20, 2017, 08:06:20 AM Last edit: August 20, 2017, 10:10:25 AM by Landy1264 |
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wow im stunned that the difficulty is still projected to be high, with all the hashrate moving to the other chain. just wow. .......
Hashrate(?): 7,192,871,302 GH/s! They switch when BCH-Diff is getting 50% down! Maybe today or tomorrow. That's a part of their plan ...
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philipma1957 (OP)
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Activity: 4270
Merit: 8648
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 20, 2017, 09:54:56 AM |
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wow im stunned that the difficulty is still projected to be high, with all the hashrate moving to the other chain. just wow. I cant see my pick there in the list, did it fall through a crack ? 0.0 yep I will fix it later
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adaseb
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Activity: 3878
Merit: 1733
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August 21, 2017, 09:40:06 AM |
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I am guessing alot of Antminer S1 and KnCMiner Jupiters are coming online to mine BCASH. Since those ASICs might actually be profitable again for some...
Seems like the hashpower came out of nowhere. BTC difficulty is not dropping significally.
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leowonderful
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Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
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August 21, 2017, 11:07:49 AM |
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Interestingly enough a tweet says Bitmain has or will plan to move 170PH of hashing power to BCH. It won't be the longest chain as it still won't have the most cumulative POW, so don't worry about it too much.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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Activity: 4270
Merit: 8648
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 21, 2017, 04:01:13 PM |
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New contest picks to end at block 516.Experimental Image Contribution: Let's see how this holds up over time. If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil. If you are overseas I will spring for the shipping of the Trezor -3.0 = isoneguy -1.3 = VRobb -1.2 = philipma1957 >>>> I always pick this number -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.2 = keystroke 0.0 = Fr4nkthetank 0.1 = tomintx 0.2 = mocacinno 0.9 = buwaytress 1.8 = eDonkey 2.2 = vapourminer 2.5 = alh 3.2 = Psi 3.6 = Landy1264 3.7 = pusttiu 5.0 = leowonderful And look at the diff the gray line has always been under so were pretty much negative but at the moment it has shot way up! While I have participated in these before, I have lost my sense of how the range works when we are into negative territory. If as an example, what would I choose for the following: Estimated Next Difficulty: 922,529,973,147 (-0.08%) Would that be -.1% -or- 0.0% ? I'll wait a bit to make a guess, but thought I would ask now, since it seems possible to me will be in for decrease in diffiulty. Thanks for doing this again!!! -0.1 covers from -0.1 to -0.000000000000000001.... 0.0 covers from 0.0 to 0.099999999999999999... 0.1 covers from 0.1 to 0.199999999999999999... so -0.08 would be won by -0.1 not 0.0 @ QuintLeo pick you still have some time. time is up all picks are in and done. Bitcoin Difficulty: 923,233,068,449 Estimated Next Difficulty: 919,998,488,810 (-0.35%) Adjust time: After 304 Blocks, About 2.1 days Hashrate(?): 6,284,734,288 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.9 minutes 3 blocks: 29.8 minutes 6 blocks: 59.6 minutes Updated: 12:0 (2.7 minutes ago) 304 blocks left we are at -0.35% contenders below: -1.3 = VRobb -1.2 = philipma1957 >>>> I always pick this number -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.2 = keystroke 0.0 = Fr4nkthetank 0.1 = tomintx 0.2 = mocacinno 0.9 = buwaytress 1.8 = eDonkey 2.2 = vapourminer 2.5 = alh but a bigger shift could alter this
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Last of the V8s
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Activity: 1652
Merit: 4392
Be a bank
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August 21, 2017, 04:31:42 PM |
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oh i'd kinda given up hope, but... yay still got that fortune-telling gift
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QuintLeo
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Activity: 1498
Merit: 1030
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August 21, 2017, 07:40:28 PM |
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wow im stunned that the difficulty is still projected to be high, with all the hashrate moving to the other chain. just wow. I cant see my pick there in the list, did it fall through a crack ? 0.0 Avalon shipments. Shipments of the various BitFury based miners. At least one major private mine with their own chip seems to have started miner deployments. It's NOT all about Bitmain and hasn't been for most of this year - just largely so.
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I'm no longer legendary just in my own mind! Like something I said? Donations gratefully accepted. LYLnTKvLefz9izJFUvEGQEZzSkz34b3N6U (Litecoin) 1GYbjMTPdCuV7dci3iCUiaRrcNuaiQrVYY (Bitcoin)
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coinzoid
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August 21, 2017, 09:55:49 PM |
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Just like Trezor developers, I think add2psu developers are honest too. I have ordered 3 add2psu delay from them and received add2psu instead. After telling them the issue, they sent me replacement order with correct items very quickly. I also learnt this mistake after selling my bag thinking that they are delay ones, and buyer informed me. I have offered him either full or partial refund and he has accepted partial refund.
Organizing a promo to giveaway your free Trezor is a good idea.
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philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 4270
Merit: 8648
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 22, 2017, 01:14:21 AM |
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Just like Trezor developers, I think add2psu developers are honest too. I have ordered 3 add2psu delay from them and received add2psu instead. After telling them the issue, they sent me replacement order with correct items very quickly. I also learnt this mistake after selling my bag thinking that they are delay ones, and buyer informed me. I have offered him either full or partial refund and he has accepted partial refund.
Organizing a promo to giveaway your free Trezor is a good idea.
Thanks they (trezor) were good to me so I am passing the goodness on.
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TheYankeesWin!
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August 22, 2017, 11:47:02 AM |
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Big drop over night
Bitcoin Difficulty: 923,233,068,449 Estimated Next Difficulty: 897,339,478,921 (-2.80%) Adjust time: After 218 Blocks, About 1.6 days Hashrate(?): 5,946,751,039 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.3 minutes 3 blocks: 30.9 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:45 (1.8 minutes ago)
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leowonderful
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Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
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August 22, 2017, 11:48:24 AM |
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Big drop over night
Bitcoin Difficulty: 923,233,068,449 Estimated Next Difficulty: 897,339,478,921 (-2.80%) Adjust time: After 218 Blocks, About 1.6 days Hashrate(?): 5,946,751,039 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.3 minutes 3 blocks: 30.9 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:45 (1.8 minutes ago)
Miners switching to BCH finally made their impact. Will be interesting to see what will happen after BCH gets its needed difficulty adjustment and profitability on the chain drops, likely people switching back to BTC.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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Activity: 4270
Merit: 8648
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 22, 2017, 11:51:34 AM |
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Yeah we have really went down due to a huge hash rate switch to BCC!
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TheYankeesWin!
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August 22, 2017, 12:27:48 PM |
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Wow 3895 ph on BCC
and BTC dropped down to 4728 P from around 7100 P
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fr4nkthetank
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Activity: 2294
Merit: 1182
Now the money is free, and so the people will be
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August 22, 2017, 03:37:53 PM |
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Gentlemen, the difficulty show is just beginning. Volatility ahead ! Bitcoin core better implement solutions for the mempool soon...if not everyone is in for a rough ride once the spam comes in like crazy and miners switch chains again to mine BCH. transactions will be costly.
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alh
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Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
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August 22, 2017, 09:49:05 PM |
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Right now, it looks like it will be another roll-over.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 923,233,068,449 Estimated Next Difficulty: 882,157,991,586 (-4.45%) Adjust time: After 185 Blocks, About 1.4 days Hashrate(?): 5,678,041,587 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.6 minutes 3 blocks: 31.8 minutes 6 blocks: 1.1 hours Updated: 16:40 (6.1 minutes ago)
Looks like going forward, difficulty changes may well be driven more by BCH activity and price, and less by new mining hardware being added, or old miners being removed. Wild times indeed.
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philipma1957 (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 4270
Merit: 8648
'The right to privacy matters'
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August 22, 2017, 09:52:13 PM |
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Right now, it looks like it will be another roll-over.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 923,233,068,449 Estimated Next Difficulty: 882,157,991,586 (-4.45%) Adjust time: After 185 Blocks, About 1.4 days Hashrate(?): 5,678,041,587 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.6 minutes 3 blocks: 31.8 minutes 6 blocks: 1.1 hours Updated: 16:40 (6.1 minutes ago)
Looks like going forward, difficulty changes may well be driven more by BCH activity and price, and less by new mining hardware being added, or old miners being removed. Wild times indeed.
the total of the 2 coins is around 8500 ph. I may radically change the game not sure.
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edonkey
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Activity: 1150
Merit: 1004
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August 22, 2017, 11:54:11 PM |
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Looks like hash rate will keep sloshing back and forth: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/why-bcash-mining-shouldnt-affect-bitcoin-much-bitcoin-mining-could-ruin-bcash/The reason why miners can do that is the BCH rule that allows for mid-period downward difficulty adjustments. Without that, it would be a lot more costly to keep the BCH chain alive when it's less profitable. Effectively BCH was designed to enable coordinated miners to manipulate the block rate to their advantage. This will continue forever as long as long as BCH has enough value to make it worth while. It could well be that this is the only tangible reason why BCH exists. It's not because big blockers wanted it. It's because the large mining pools can profit by it.
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Was I helpful? BTC: 3G1Ubof5u8K9iJkM8We2f3amYZgGVdvpHr
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