Stunna (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3192
Merit: 1280
Primedice.com, Stake.com
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February 21, 2015, 07:08:06 AM |
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The odds of rolling 18 times under 42.43 should be equal to rolling over.
The exact odds of rolling under 42.43 eighteen times in a row = (42.43/100)^18, which in percentage terms is approximately 0.00002%The exact odds of rolling over 42.43 eighteen times in a row = (57.57/100)^18 = approximately 0.0048%They're obviously not the same because the "under 42.43 range" (0.00 to 42.42) is smaller than the "over 42.43 range" (42.44 - 99.99). Still, these rolls were unbelievably rare. Like I wrote above, 0.00002% which is 1-in-5,000,000 odds. Normal stats, or conspiracy? ;-) The user was rolling over 42.42 so it's more like 1/20,833. The user also made over 27,000 rolls before hitting this streak. http://pd3.co/u/fabry1999. So statistically it's not rare what so ever. Still an unlucky run. Feel free to verify the rolls
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ethanol
Newbie
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Activity: 9
Merit: 0
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February 21, 2015, 07:16:24 AM |
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The user was rolling over 42.42 so it's more like 1/20,833. The user also made over 27,000 rolls before hitting this streak. http://pd3.co/u/fabry1999. So statistically it's not rare what so ever. Still an unlucky run. Feel free to verify the rolls You're right... 1-in-20,833 is equivalent to the 0.0048% chance above. If you assume that a similar run never happened in his other 27,000 rolls, then yes, it's reasonable that a 1-in-20833 event would happen roughly once in 27,000 rolls. Not actually accusing anyone of a conspiracy, hence the wink face above. :-D BTW, on a separate note, is there a way to change your deposit wallet on PrimeDice??
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Watoshi-Dimobuto
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February 21, 2015, 07:25:49 AM |
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Was reading the first few posts  Thinking of calling it a day. Stunna, do you have enough on hand to issue the cashout now? If not, it's alright. I can give you some time to pay. Also would you prefer to manual cashout.  @Zaih, yeh, I used to play Satoshidice a little too much.. I never had as good luck there as here. The house edge here is much better lol Cashed out just above 200 bitcoins. I feel slightly bad raining on such a new ventures parade, so I've allowed Stunna to have 2 days to pay me off. He was more than happy to pay in one go but I refused. The whole transaction will be completed over next 48 hours. I have already received over 40%, rest will come soon.
Thanks for the great service. I am looking forward to playing in the future. By the way, Stunna, would you mind messeging me your current supply of Bitcoins? I'm quite intrigued.
Cashed out just above 200 bitcoins. I feel slightly bad raining on such a new ventures parade, so I've allowed Stunna to have 2 days to pay me off. He was more than happy to pay in one go but I refused. The whole transaction will be completed over next 48 hours. I have already received over 40%, rest will come soon.
Thanks for the great service. I am looking forward to playing in the future. By the way, Stunna, would you mind messeging me your current supply of Bitcoins? I'm quite intrigued.
Thanks for being so reasonable, when you receive those please update your post. I'm in awe at the moment don't really know how to react to this. The fact that you started with 2 BTC and managed to make that much is certainly scary. Have to stay positive though! Certainly a rocky start, here's looking to a more positive future though. Congratulations on your winnings!
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Brimskie
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
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February 21, 2015, 09:00:52 AM |
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Just hit 9 straight reds so I can confirm that everything is back to normal.
so you mean 9 red streak is normal to you? how bad mate xD
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MICRO
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1037
Oldschool!
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February 21, 2015, 11:34:04 AM |
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This is primedice, think about ....:
3,868,046,437 fabry1999 23:25 0.00213137 2.333x <42.43 71.15 -0.00213137 3,868,042,346 fabry1999 23:25 0.01048576 2.333x <42.43 93.87 -0.01048576 3,868,042,271 fabry1999 23:25 0.00524288 2.333x <42.43 66.34 -0.00524288 3,868,042,179 fabry1999 23:25 0.00262144 2.333x <42.43 82.36 -0.00262144 3,868,042,117 fabry1999 23:24 0.00131072 2.333x <42.43 99.23 -0.00131072 3,868,042,020 fabry1999 23:24 0.00065536 2.333x <42.43 98.99 -0.00065536 3,868,041,964 fabry1999 23:24 0.00032768 2.333x <42.43 78.47 -0.00032768 3,868,041,886 fabry1999 23:24 0.00016384 2.333x <42.43 47.16 -0.00016384 3,868,041,812 fabry1999 23:24 0.00008192 2.333x <42.43 60.92 -0.00008192 3,868,041,743 fabry1999 23:24 0.00004096 2.333x <42.43 52.70 -0.00004096 3,868,041,659 fabry1999 23:24 0.00002048 2.333x <42.43 58.66 -0.00002048 3,868,041,577 fabry1999 23:24 0.00001024 2.333x <42.43 62.50 -0.00001024 3,868,041,411 fabry1999 23:24 0.00000512 2.333x <42.43 88.04 -0.00000512 3,868,041,243 fabry1999 23:24 0.00000256 2.333x <42.43 86.44 -0.00000256 3,868,041,066 fabry1999 23:24 0.00000128 2.333x <42.43 78.79 -0.00000128 3,868,040,892 fabry1999 23:24 0.00000064 2.333x <42.43 66.46 -0.00000064 3,868,040,722 fabry1999 23:24 0.00000032 2.333x <42.43 80.46 -0.00000032 3,868,040,551 fabry1999 23:24 0.00000016 2.333x <42.43 74.44 -0.00000016
Damn man thats unlucky :S ... this not just unlucky, it's the 4th time that's happen to me !!! ....and never happen to win 17teen time sequentially...sounds really strande to me ! Well yes it is just unlucky . It can happen in so many rolls ... Thats how gambling works  .
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Shogen
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 966
Merit: 1001
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February 21, 2015, 11:51:00 AM |
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BTW, on a separate note, is there a way to change your deposit wallet on PrimeDice??
I don't think this can be done at this moment, but you can create a new account to deposit and use /tip to transfer balance to your main account. Of course, you shouldn't create the account using your own ref link. 
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zzaza
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 926
Merit: 1000
Zoltan - PD Moderator
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February 21, 2015, 12:16:34 PM |
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Congrats hui! No profit on this one though, but recovered at least: 
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elephantas1
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February 21, 2015, 12:21:58 PM |
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Congrats hui! No profit on this one though, but recovered at least:  holly cow how much he was in - before hitting such bet? he could have never hit that one with such possibility
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Buziss
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February 21, 2015, 12:24:22 PM |
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Another x9900 win by hui? This happened just too many times that I am starting to feel numb. 
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michietn94
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1001
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February 21, 2015, 12:40:44 PM |
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Another x9900 win by hui? This happened just too many times that I am starting to feel numb.  He's a God of 9900 and hope he will stay profit because Stunna like someone who's on profit 
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.. FANSUNITE | █ █ ███ ███ ███ ▄ ▀ ███ ███ ███ ███ █ █ | | █ █ ███ ███ ███ ▄ ▀ ███ ███ ███ ███ █ █ | |
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trafficolaa
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
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February 21, 2015, 12:52:56 PM |
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Another x9900 win by hui? This happened just too many times that I am starting to feel numb.  i saw in chat 3 others players to hit 9900X
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victoryboy
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February 21, 2015, 12:58:47 PM |
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Another x9900 win by hui? This happened just too many times that I am starting to feel numb.  i saw in chat 3 others players to hit 9900X Yeah more and more people are hitting big amounts that is just awesome.
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Gws24
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February 21, 2015, 01:07:19 PM |
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Always the question of how much they spend trying to hit those low odds! Still nice to see a bet with max profit payoff,
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visionsbank
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February 21, 2015, 01:09:18 PM |
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Congrats hui! No profit on this one though, but recovered at least:
holly cow how much he was in - before hitting such bet? he could have never hit that one with such possibility Congratulations Hui You deserve it won.
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waterpile
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February 21, 2015, 01:13:55 PM |
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Always the question of how much they spend trying to hit those low odds! Still nice to see a bet with max profit payoff,
bot + strategy, IMO they wont share their strategies :/
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buddu
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February 21, 2015, 01:17:54 PM |
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Always the question of how much they spend trying to hit those low odds! Still nice to see a bet with max profit payoff,
bot + strategy, IMO they wont share their strategies :/ You said very well when some one find out somehow the winning strategy never shares with others.
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v0yager
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February 21, 2015, 01:24:01 PM |
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Does PD delete the account that have no any bet? I registered an account before but didn't play with this account, Today,I found I can't get access it, and then I found I can register a new account with the old account username, that means PD deleted my account? Why?
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zzaza
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 926
Merit: 1000
Zoltan - PD Moderator
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February 21, 2015, 01:45:50 PM |
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How many bets was it before he hit ?
It was like 54k rolls if i remember correctly.
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Dogedigital
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
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February 21, 2015, 01:47:16 PM |
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Always the question of how much they spend trying to hit those low odds! Still nice to see a bet with max profit payoff,
bot + strategy, IMO they wont share their strategies :/ Hui: Wagered: 422.16 Profit: 1.99  (This is after a 20btc win) Total Bets: 4,274,584 Luck: 100.13% (This one tells a lot)
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madonnino
Sr. Member
  
Offline
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
I ❤ www.LuckyB.it!
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February 21, 2015, 01:56:54 PM |
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How many bets was it before he hit ?
It was like 54k rolls if i remember correctly. 54k and 18btc
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