deisik
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June 07, 2014, 02:42:08 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far...
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Yuki1988
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June 07, 2014, 03:38:31 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
10% bets as in 10x payout. probability isn't 90%, it is 10% His calculation is correct. Chance for losing 1 bet = 90% = 0.9, so the chance for consecutively losing 150 bets = 0.9^150
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MICRO
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CEO @ Stake.com and Primedice.com
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June 07, 2014, 03:47:24 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
10% bets as in 10x payout. probability isn't 90%, it is 10% His calculation is correct. Chance for losing 1 bet = 90% = 0.9, so the chance for consecutively losing 150 bets = 0.9^150 So the chance of losing 150 in a row is 0.00001368914%? Really? seems a bit inaccurate to me, I thought it may have been higher. So Stunna tell me....did I really hit that 0.000014% chance of losing? I don't think so Chance is lot higher im sorry im nor on pc cant get u link for calculator. Everything can happen i hit all ins from faucet on 990x 3 times in like 200 bets.
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monbux
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Activity: 1736
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June 07, 2014, 04:31:22 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far... I think most of us have come to discover that when it comes to provably fair dice games, the theoretical probability means nothing The experimental probably is very off.
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deisik
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Activity: 3486
Merit: 1280
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June 07, 2014, 06:37:16 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far... I think most of us have come to discover that when it comes to provably fair dice games, the theoretical probability means nothing This is because the idea of "me" (me as myself) is pretty incompatible with the theory of chances...
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MICRO
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Activity: 2464
Merit: 1037
CEO @ Stake.com and Primedice.com
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June 07, 2014, 06:42:46 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far... I think most of us have come to discover that when it comes to provably fair dice games, the theoretical probability means nothing The experimental probably is very off. Well said. Dice doesnt remember previous roll , every roll is independent. So any calculation will be very off. It gives u some kind of perception but in realyty doesnt mean much.
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deisik
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Activity: 3486
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English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
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June 07, 2014, 07:00:56 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far... I think most of us have come to discover that when it comes to provably fair dice games, the theoretical probability means nothing The experimental probably is very off. Well said. Dice doesnt remember previous roll , every roll is independent. So any calculation will be very off. It gives u some kind of perception but in realyty doesnt mean much. But when you come to think of that, it turns out very strange. If, say, the given outcome of five rolls has one possibility, but each one of them is independent from the others and has another (mildly speaking), the reason tells you (well, me) that the possibility of several rolls makes no sense at all!
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boumalo
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Activity: 1918
Merit: 1018
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June 07, 2014, 07:50:45 PM |
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So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively? That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)
So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far... I think most of us have come to discover that when it comes to provably fair dice games, the theoretical probability means nothing The experimental probably is very off. Well said. Dice doesnt remember previous roll , every roll is independent. So any calculation will be very off. It gives u some kind of perception but in realyty doesnt mean much. But when you come to think of that, it turns out very strange. If, say, the given outcome of five rolls has one possibility, but each one of them is independent from the others and has another (mildly speaking), the reason tells you (well, me) that the possibility of several rolls makes no sense at all! When events are independent you can calculate the probably of all the events to occur, that is basic probability http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability
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deisik
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Activity: 3486
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English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
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June 07, 2014, 08:17:58 PM |
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But when you come to think of that, it turns out very strange. If, say, the given outcome of five rolls has one possibility, but each one of them is independent from the others and has another (mildly speaking), the reason tells you (well, me) that the possibility of several rolls makes no sense at all! When events are independent you can calculate the probably of all the events to occur, that is basic probability http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ProbabilityI know how to calculate chances. Actually, I may happen to know everything you may happen to say about probability (and even beyond that, lol)... But that's not the point!
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Cryptopher
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Activity: 1789
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Keep it dense, yeah?
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June 08, 2014, 12:16:59 PM |
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It may be the case that withdrawal system is on manual check at the moment, or perhaps it is broken. I haven't used it so can't corroborate with my experience. If it doesn't arrive within the next hour then I would consider mailing support@primedice.com, explaining your situation and they will look into it. Of course you can always mail them now if it is urgent.
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Sign up to Revolut and do the Crypto Quiz to earn $15/£14 in DOT
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Ridley69
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June 08, 2014, 12:31:50 PM |
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Problem with withdrawals here too.
I cashd out 0.2 BTC some hours ago but I never received them. And the transaction isn't even appearing on the blockchain.
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MICRO
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Activity: 2464
Merit: 1037
CEO @ Stake.com and Primedice.com
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June 08, 2014, 12:34:07 PM |
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Problem with withdrawals here too.
I cashd out 0.2 BTC some hours ago but I never received them. And the transaction isn't even appearing on the blockchain.
Email support@primedice.com it will be sorted out soon. Dont worry about it. U will get it. Just be patient a bit.
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Bit_Happy
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Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
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June 08, 2014, 01:02:42 PM |
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I noticed small amounts out (for example 0.01) are still instant, but slightly over 0.1 is not working or on manual. Is there normally a limit that triggers manual instead of auto?
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Kopsel
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Activity: 7
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June 08, 2014, 01:09:33 PM |
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I noticed small amounts out (for example 0.01) are still instant, but slightly over 0.1 is not working or on manual. Is there normally a limit that triggers manual instead of auto?
Could be possibe, I cashed out 0.9 btc 2 hours ago and it hasnt arrived yet. Im not worried though since other users experience the same issues.
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MICRO
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Activity: 2464
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CEO @ Stake.com and Primedice.com
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June 08, 2014, 02:30:18 PM |
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I noticed small amounts out (for example 0.01) are still instant, but slightly over 0.1 is not working or on manual. Is there normally a limit that triggers manual instead of auto?
I cant provide any official info atm. But if that is so , my best guess is that hot wallet is low and probably nobody on support atm to fill it in. (its only my guess) . All cashouts are loged so everybody will get theirs coins. I will try to reach Stunna or somebody from support and update u guys.
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CoinCollect
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June 08, 2014, 03:01:04 PM |
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Cashed out 2 payments recieved one and other one not yet hope it will be ok guys
thanx
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omnicoin1337
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June 08, 2014, 06:39:28 PM |
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my email is omnicoin@safe-mail.net I talked to you on support 3 days ago and you were suppose to move some btc for me because i had an issue with withdraws and IE we talked once and you told me to create a new account and give you the info I created GodOfCryptos s the name and the id number is 1361454 I really need these coins done asap because its really holding me up i've been trying to be patient but I'm nt getting any emails back now please help me out stunna!
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MICRO
Legendary
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Activity: 2464
Merit: 1037
CEO @ Stake.com and Primedice.com
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June 08, 2014, 06:50:38 PM |
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my email is omnicoin@safe-mail.net I talked to you on support 3 days ago and you were suppose to move some btc for me because i had an issue with withdraws and IE we talked once and you told me to create a new account and give you the info I created GodOfCryptos s the name and the id number is 1361454 I really need these coins done asap because its really holding me up i've been trying to be patient but I'm nt getting any emails back now please help me out stunna! Stunna is not online. Support should answer ur email. Pd is bit buggy on IE u should try using other browser from now on. I hope they will resolve ur issue soon.
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Kopsel
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Activity: 7
Merit: 0
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June 08, 2014, 07:21:36 PM |
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Just for the record, my cashout from this morning has arrived, I hope its the same for the others who are waiting for their BTC
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