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Author Topic: 🤖 Future of Trading - AI vs Humans the Prediction Challenge WIN 0.05 BTC 🤖  (Read 6236 times)
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Lebinthesky25
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December 13, 2017, 10:54:56 PM
 #121

My prediction for 14.12
14900
Vispilio
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December 13, 2017, 11:21:10 PM
 #122

my prediction for end of day Thursday BTC: 15,800 USD

Rigorous
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December 13, 2017, 11:24:56 PM
 #123

14 Dec:

$14500

Fed rate hike going to start a crypto correction?

criptix (OP)
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December 14, 2017, 06:01:58 AM
 #124

AIΞVE's prediction:

Thursday 14.12.2017:

BTC 14.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16185,75 $



Good luck everyone!



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adam1230
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December 14, 2017, 06:16:12 AM
 #125

This is a well known challenge. Always AI wins trading challenge cause of emotions.
Human emotions is the worst thing for trading. Most of people lose because of emotions.
criptix (OP)
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December 14, 2017, 07:24:09 AM
 #126

This is a well known challenge. Always AI wins trading challenge cause of emotions.
Human emotions is the worst thing for trading. Most of people lose because of emotions.


100% - some friends of mine joined the crypto world this year and that was pretty much the first thing i tried to explain them:

Control your emotions while trading, watch everything objectively, dont be delusional, etc.

This is always what rekts people in the long run while trading.

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alesandro_777
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December 14, 2017, 07:37:33 AM
 #127

My prediction for 14.12 16412$
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December 14, 2017, 10:43:20 AM
 #128

My btc prediction for 14.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 is
$16749
molecularman
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December 14, 2017, 01:35:09 PM
 #129

Yeah!  looks like I had the closest prediction for Wednesday.   I finally beat AIEVE!          Though I think the closing for Thursday is going to kill me.   I really thought it would tick up just a bit and maybe make it to the high 17k low 18k mark.

Oh well, maybe I can make a better prediction for tomorrow.     Logically I'd think the price would drop a little more,  seems like it usually does going into the weekend.

For Friday 12/15:      16,450

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Aurel577
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December 14, 2017, 03:17:06 PM
 #130

15-12-2017 $16,350

Unlock my old account please:
Aurel57
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December 14, 2017, 04:53:10 PM
 #131

My prediction :
BTC 16700$
JeremyB
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December 14, 2017, 05:11:48 PM
 #132

Next prediction for 15 Dec is 16745.61$

@criptix: it is possible to update the spreadsheet to see where we are against AIEVE every day, it would add some spice to the challenge Wink
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December 14, 2017, 06:16:28 PM
 #133

My next prediction for December 15, 2017 is 16650$
Humans, let's try to win  Grin

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December 14, 2017, 06:57:56 PM
 #134

I'm going to stick with my next prediction to stay the same as yesterday's and see if I can mentally force Bitcoin to stay above $16k haha. The way I've noticed, this week's going to be swinging 16s. But Bitcoin's pretty resilient this week, double pressure of futures and South Korea regulatory news doesn't seem to have done much to weaken it, though the outflow to alts is a theory worth visiting

My next prediction = $16,877

@cryptix: just noticed from spreadsheet a massive error from AIEVE, I guess even AI has its days of variance yeah? Though at these prices, 7% is already 11,000 dollars!

@JeremyB, the spreadsheet is updated and keeps track of everything already released. Link is on OP: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KbdvR0BVXT2d2K3uD5ZwQULU-QRCrYdask3LB7rNaoM/edit#gid=0

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Gecko8
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December 14, 2017, 08:22:33 PM
 #135

still waiting for the outcome of todays predictions. Still doing not too bad  Grin. For Friday, 23 GMT my vote is for $16380
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December 14, 2017, 08:57:34 PM
Last edit: December 14, 2017, 09:08:12 PM by youngagethinker
 #136

The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
Could you elaborate on this?

Hello Labrader,

the volatality in the crypto markets is mainly because of the lack of liquidity and of the price discovery of a completely new asset class e.g. lack of information about the fundamentals.

In our todays digital world - especially crypto - the volume of data blasts away every human understanding and even the most recognized experts have difficulties to keep up with the newest developments.
This is where the power of Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine Learning comes into play - it discovers the best possible projects based on all global available data and ever evolving algorithmic market models and could put most needed liquidity in exact such projects.

One example could be:

In the future there will be rumours of china banning the private mining of Bitcoins while nationalizing every ASIC producer and mining farms.
The whole world knows it is real (AP fake tweet sends DOW into free fall) except that it is fake.
AIEVE's Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine learning could forecast a mega dump and recovery of the price because AIEVE knows the news are fake and could step in to lessen the volatality while profiting.



Me and a friend is talking about this a while ago, because we don't believe in exactly predicting the market, I have some profession in mathematics and I know about statistics and probability and you need to have a a given value to solve a problem, and the market is a real time changes, unless all of the sellers and hodlers are United to sell and hold we won't be able to predict the market just like that. And I wonder if a supercomputer can even predict a real time change.


The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
AIEVE should not be solely though of as a classical trading tool (Wall Street like trading algorithms) but as a solution for the people to secure and bring confidence into the crypto and bitcoin ecosystem.
If everybody would be using an advanced AI to very exactly predict the market, what would the point of trading be? IMHO, obiously you would need LOW adoption for your tool to make it valuable.

Everybody knowing exactly what the market looks like tomorrow makes for no market at all: the definition of a market is to exchange something of different value for the participants. Not something of equal value.

I mean, the ideea is very cool, but you should keep it secret if you actually plan to use the bot/ai for something.

This is already reality in classical stocks.
Wall Street companies are running super computers for market prediction algorithms and these are fighting over profits with each other - for years already.
The future is not set in stone, it is also ever evolving based on every market (or market relating) participants decision and exactly this is the main problem we humans face: hugely increasing data volumes which nowadays can only be analysed by computer software.

So i believe like everyone is talking about AI becoming medical or legal advisers, it is inevitable that we soon will have AI based financial advisers.



So the wall streets are using this? Man, this is a great disadvantage to casual traders, it's feels like cheating, but I still don't think that a supercomputer can predict a real time changes of prices. There maybe a probability and they are solving the best probable way but not predict a real time change of prices.

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December 14, 2017, 11:49:11 PM
 #137

My btc prediction for 15.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$16900
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December 15, 2017, 12:04:27 AM
 #138

15 Dec: $16500

Daily change only 0.56%.

Is Bitcoin stabilizing for a while? I predict it will not change much.

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December 15, 2017, 12:33:51 AM
 #139

Hi, my prediction for end of day friday BTC: 15,500 USD

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December 15, 2017, 12:35:48 AM
 #140

Good day everyone Smiley

15.12.17
BTC price will keep floating on 16K range so I think the price will be : 16230$ .

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