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Author Topic: 🤖 Future of Trading - AI vs Humans the Prediction Challenge WIN 0.05 BTC 🤖  (Read 6236 times)
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criptix (OP)
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December 15, 2017, 02:22:10 AM
Last edit: December 15, 2017, 02:37:00 AM by criptix
 #141

AIΞVE's prediction:

Friday 15.12.2017:

BTC 15.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16674,61 $



Good luck everyone!


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December 15, 2017, 03:18:05 AM
 #142

My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00
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December 15, 2017, 01:33:38 PM
 #143

Ai vs Human? Why don't you put both together to make awesome predictions?There is a project called Cindicator which is backed to the Hybrid Intelligence and they have delivered a lot of good products so far. When I saw your post I remembered them. Btw is this supposed to be only a challenge?
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December 15, 2017, 05:01:05 PM
 #144

My next prediction for 16 Dec is 17535.14$
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December 15, 2017, 05:22:12 PM
 #145

16-12-2017 $17,800
17-12-2017 $17,850
18-12-2017 $18,500

Unlock my old account please:
Aurel57
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December 15, 2017, 05:48:16 PM
 #146

My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00
What do I win  Grin
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December 15, 2017, 08:15:27 PM
 #147

Okay,  well my predictions have been awful.   Well, not really awful,  just a day late it seems. 

For Saturday 12/16    18,000

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December 15, 2017, 10:36:43 PM
 #148

$700 away from my previous prediction, too bad Undecided
For Saturday December 16, 2017 i will say $17600

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December 15, 2017, 11:55:38 PM
 #149

Good day everyone Smiley

16.12.17
BTC price will be  : 17996$ .

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December 16, 2017, 12:11:15 AM
 #150

my prediction for saturday end of day BTC: 18,100 USD, price action showing a lot of strength for BTC through the week, it surprised me that there was not even one sharp correction at these levels...

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December 16, 2017, 12:34:52 AM
 #151

Ai vs Human? Why don't you put both together to make awesome predictions?There is a project called Cindicator which is backed to the Hybrid Intelligence and they have delivered a lot of good products so far. When I saw your post I remembered them. Btw is this supposed to be only a challenge?

Hi Lipe490,

the Peculium platform will offer the same option! We have different contracts that allow you to modify the AIΞVE management or just get AIΞVE's data so that you can manage your account on your own. Smiley

This is a small challenge for people to see how viable AIΞVE already is and to see AIΞVE's prediction accuracy in comparison to human prediction accuracy.
If you look at this sheet you will see that - even though AIΞVE is v0.1 alpha - she beats the averaged human participants error nearly every time!  Cool





My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00

My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00
What do I win  Grin

Hi scott,

please read the rules. Tongue

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criptix (OP)
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December 16, 2017, 02:17:55 AM
 #152

AIΞVE's prediction:

Saturday 16.12.2017:

BTC 16.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16870,50 $



Good luck everyone!


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December 16, 2017, 10:22:37 AM
 #153

My Prediction for the price on Sunday 17.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 17512$

BTCitcointalk
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December 16, 2017, 10:33:38 AM
Last edit: December 16, 2017, 10:07:40 PM by buwaytress
 #154

Edit @10:07 pm - if possible, I'd like to change this to $18,686. Still within the timeframe, if not, then of course take the one below. I made an early prediction as normally am not up this late!

My next price guess: $17,486.

Looks like I should have been even more optimistic on my last guess, as Bitcoin just seems to chug away at new all time highs. I'm seeing more and more nervous people now, myself included to an extent, who feel that the impending crash is going to get worse with each week of delay and each new ATH to fall from. I'm really curious to know how far ahead AIEVE predicts, and if it will see the crash before it happens.

For that matter, curious to see if any of these AI platforms launched in the past few months will.

Hi Lipe490,

the Peculium platform will offer the same option! We have different contracts that allow you to modify the AIΞVE management or just get AIΞVE's data so that you can manage your account on your own. Smiley

This is a small challenge for people to see how viable AIΞVE already is and to see AIΞVE's prediction accuracy in comparison to human prediction accuracy.
If you look at this sheet you will see that - even though AIΞVE is v0.1 alpha - she beats the averaged human participants error nearly every time!  Cool


Sounds good on the contract offers, though it may require a bit of a learning curve to modify the management of AIEVE, since there will be no tech analysis underlying it, you'd be adding yours to it and I guess defeating the whole purpose of it? Will there also be an option to have crowd wisdom feed into AIEVE, based on preselected ranges (perhaps, a few people you plug into and the platform auto updates comparisons vs AIEVE).

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December 16, 2017, 11:14:43 AM
 #155

AIΞVE's prediction:

Saturday 16.12.2017:

BTC 16.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16870,50 $



Good luck everyone!



Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50
Honestly, seems like I've missed big opportunity to join in this challenge against AI as 5 days left, to the end.
I thought to have a small chance to win this due to the rule:
If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

is it mean, all the average error from 7.12.2017 to 21.12.2017 will be added to my error prediction? Such a big error for me Grin
Anyway, can I participate tomorrow? Or it's closed?
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December 16, 2017, 03:04:25 PM
 #156

Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50

It is the day before the start of the CME futures market! Bitcoin is already moving to $19000, it would be a surprise if it fell by the end of the day.


If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

Someone could really screw up that average, which means if you miss one day you already lost.
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December 16, 2017, 03:58:21 PM
 #157

[Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50
Honestly, seems like I've missed big opportunity to join in this challenge against AI as 5 days left, to the end.
I thought to have a small chance to win this due to the rule:
If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

is it mean, all the average error from 7.12.2017 to 21.12.2017 will be added to my error prediction? Such a big error for me Grin
Anyway, can I participate tomorrow? Or it's closed?

You were right on your first guess actually. You do have a small chance simply by participating even once. The rule means what it says, your missing prediction is the average error of ALL human predictions for that day only. In fact, for some people, they may have been better off leaving out their high error predictions and sticking to the average on some days. Yesterday, for example, only 6 people did better than the average error, although of course, one big error like yesterday's 12%+ brought that average down a lot!

And no, check the spreadsheet: there's still at least four more days to put in your submission, picks close at 2am GMT (about 9 hours from now). Looks like Bitcoin broke another ATH, so it looks like my error will be pretty high today.

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December 16, 2017, 04:56:05 PM
 #158

My next price guess: $19100
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December 16, 2017, 05:01:14 PM
 #159

My next prediction for 17 Dec is 18271.63$

@cryptix: how do you will determine the winner regarding the number of suggestions made?
I mean if you made less suggestions, it is easier, no?
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December 16, 2017, 07:16:09 PM
 #160

My next prediction for 17 Dec is 18271.63$

@cryptix: how do you will determine the winner regarding the number of suggestions made?
I mean if you made less suggestions, it is easier, no?

exactly Cryptix, there should be a bonus for people who make the most number of predictions, otherwise someone can win it with even 1 or 2 lucky guesses...

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