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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115383 times)
Pamadar
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May 17, 2023, 12:14:00 PM
 #13241

Here's the updated Lakers vs Nuggets series odds.



You see the betting odds for the Lakers? They are quite high, offering a significant payout if they end up winning the series.

This presents another opportunity for those who have confidence in the Lakers, especially since they are only down 1 game in the series.

A good opportunity to earn if you are a Lakers believer, the odd is very sweet if you think they can still win this one.

Not a Nuggets fan here, but the winning chance is really good for them as they've got all the core and role players who are playing
all the best that they know about winning games.

We all witness that from both past series against Wolves and Suns, let see if they can continue that strong game and lead there
way to the finals.
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May 17, 2023, 12:52:29 PM
 #13242

Here's the updated Lakers vs Nuggets series odds.



You see the betting odds for the Lakers? They are quite high, offering a significant payout if they end up winning the series.

This presents another opportunity for those who have confidence in the Lakers, especially since they are only down 1 game in the series.

A good opportunity to earn if you are a Lakers believer, the odd is very sweet if you think they can still win this one.

Not a Nuggets fan here, but the winning chance is really good for them as they've got all the core and role players who are playing
all the best that they know about winning games.

We all witness that from both past series against Wolves and Suns, let see if they can continue that strong game and lead there
way to the finals.

I believe the Lakers have a chance to win the series, although we can currently say that the odds are against them. However, considering how they were able to come back from a significant deficit, it makes me think that the Lakers can give the Nuggets a tough series. Let's say the Nuggets win Game 2, but it's not over yet, as the Lakers have been dominant at home. We saw a similar scenario in the Nuggets vs Suns series, where both teams won two games on their home courts, but unfortunately, the Suns had a very bad game in Game 6, resulting in their elimination.

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rhomelmabini
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May 17, 2023, 01:50:47 PM
 #13243

Here is my pick.
Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers‍ - Denver Nuggets (-6.5) @1.94
Over 220.5 @1.77 Good luck everyone.
This is like good bet but home games was likely nothing right now with most of the remaining teams, so my bet was for L.A. Lakers (+7.5) @1.81 and Under 223.5 @1.85. My bad for countering your picked bet though haha, I just like how it will play since this is Conference Finals and I think defense will be the key factor now for Lakers or both team.
Then we are both 1 of 2.  Grin
The Lakers did a great job at their comeback in the 2nd half. The Nuggets could've ended it with a blowout game but they got careless defensively and let the Lakers make some short run that but the lead into as low as 3 points.
Thankfully, the Nuggets played well at the last minute of the game and secured their win. But, my spread was not covered. I thought Reaves was fouling Murray at the last possession but they didn't find the energy to whistle.  Grin

Good job for the ones who didn't get greedy and took only the -5.5 Nuggets and then over 220.5. That is sure a hit for todays match. Let's see in Game 2 on how the Lakers will adjust after that bad performance in the 1st half.
In the first half, the Nuggets' three-point shooting was very efficient, and Jokic also had a great first half. However, in the second half, the Lakers had a consistent mini-run that lasted until the fourth quarter. The Nuggets almost had a big regret, but fortunately, they made some excellent decisions down the stretch.
The Lakers should have reduced that gap to 1 or tie it but Lebron forced that three point shot, I think Reaves, Schroeder, and Davis can make that shot. I really like how they position Hachimura to defend Jokic and then let Davis double team when Jokic is forcing it on the paint. Moreover, it's a risky strategy considering how good Jokic is on making some creative passes.

The current betting spread is as follows:

Celtics: -8
Heat: +8
Total: 210.5

I'd like to share some thoughts about the game. Personally, I'm considering betting on the Heat. They have a history of surprising as underdogs, so at the moment (though I haven't made a decision yet), I'm leaning towards taking the Heat +7.5 on the spread and considering the moneyline as well. What are your thoughts?
I think +8 on Heat is a good bet considering they have the same players for the past play in and two series wherein has great contribution factors especially Vincent, Strus, Kevin Love and Lowry. We can't deny the fact that Celtics are gonna take that Finals spot once again but Heat comes surprising most of the time too. Under 210 might be a good play since I'm not expecting a high scoring game unless they start strong.
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May 17, 2023, 02:43:43 PM
 #13244

I looked at betting on the Boston Celtics to beat the Miami Heat in game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but I was deterred by the odds. While I’m somewhat confident the Celtics will win game 1 at home, the risk/reward factor just didn’t merit betting. So I don’t have any skin in the game on this one, but I am expecting the Celtics to win at home.

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May 17, 2023, 02:52:51 PM
 #13245

Here is my pick.
Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers‍ - Denver Nuggets (-6.5) @1.94
Over 220.5 @1.77 Good luck everyone.
This is like good bet but home games was likely nothing right now with most of the remaining teams, so my bet was for L.A. Lakers (+7.5) @1.81 and Under 223.5 @1.85. My bad for countering your picked bet though haha, I just like how it will play since this is Conference Finals and I think defense will be the key factor now for Lakers or both team.
Then we are both 1 of 2.  Grin
The Lakers did a great job at their comeback in the 2nd half. The Nuggets could've ended it with a blowout game but they got careless defensively and let the Lakers make some short run that but the lead into as low as 3 points.
Thankfully, the Nuggets played well at the last minute of the game and secured their win. But, my spread was not covered. I thought Reaves was fouling Murray at the last possession but they didn't find the energy to whistle.  Grin

Good job for the ones who didn't get greedy and took only the -5.5 Nuggets and then over 220.5. That is sure a hit for todays match. Let's see in Game 2 on how the Lakers will adjust after that bad performance in the 1st half.
In the first half, the Nuggets' three-point shooting was very efficient, and Jokic also had a great first half. However, in the second half, the Lakers had a consistent mini-run that lasted until the fourth quarter. The Nuggets almost had a big regret, but fortunately, they made some excellent decisions down the stretch.
The Lakers should have reduced that gap to 1 or tie it but Lebron forced that three point shot, I think Reaves, Schroeder, and Davis can make that shot. I really like how they position Hachimura to defend Jokic and then let Davis double team when Jokic is forcing it on the paint. Moreover, it's a risky strategy considering how good Jokic is on making some creative passes.

The current betting spread is as follows:

Celtics: -8
Heat: +8
Total: 210.5

I'd like to share some thoughts about the game. Personally, I'm considering betting on the Heat. They have a history of surprising as underdogs, so at the moment (though I haven't made a decision yet), I'm leaning towards taking the Heat +7.5 on the spread and considering the moneyline as well. What are your thoughts?
I think +8 on Heat is a good bet considering they have the same players for the past play in and two series wherein has great contribution factors especially Vincent, Strus, Kevin Love and Lowry. We can't deny the fact that Celtics are gonna take that Finals spot once again but Heat comes surprising most of the time too. Under 210 might be a good play since I'm not expecting a high scoring game unless they start strong.

That mistake of lebron james has a bad epact of the game which is we all know that if he didn't force that shoot then there's a chance to make a down into tie or else have a 1 position shot advantages but that mistake comes and then nuggets will have a good run and end the game with a 6 point lead advantages 132 to 126 which is pretty good start for nuggets they will win the game one and now they are leading the series.

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May 17, 2023, 03:21:08 PM
 #13246


That mistake of lebron james has a bad epact of the game which is we all know that if he didn't force that shoot then there's a chance to make a down into tie or else have a 1 position shot advantages but that mistake comes and then nuggets will have a good run and end the game with a 6 point lead advantages 132 to 126 which is pretty good start for nuggets they will win the game one and now they are leading the series.

There’s a chance but there’s no guarantee that it will tie if others make that shot. James is the most capable and reliable on crucial times since he have the most experienced and the best in the league. This is the difference when Lakers is playing against Denver that have a very good defender like Jokic. They can’t easily get an easy basket that they can do to Grizzlies and Warriors.

Imagine the points of Davis but still they didn’t beat the Nuggets badly. In normal games that Davis show that kind of explosiveness, Lakers always win the game because enemy team can’t answer from that kind of aggression yet Jokic still maintains being the playmaker and at the same time scorer.

I Denver will have a rough time if Lakers outside shooting will be the same but I doubt that they can be beaten if Jokic team mates will not choke which they almost had on last quarter.

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May 17, 2023, 04:56:52 PM
 #13247

I looked at betting on the Boston Celtics to beat the Miami Heat in game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but I was deterred by the odds. While I’m somewhat confident the Celtics will win game 1 at home, the risk/reward factor just didn’t merit betting. So I don’t have any skin in the game on this one, but I am expecting the Celtics to win at home.

For starters, the Boston Celtics does have a good advantage on the first two games because they are playing on their home and when they are on their home, their likelihood to win is indeed huge as their performance will be heavily boosted by their own fans plus Tatum can be so dangerous at home. But I cannot also deny that the Miami Heat offers a different outcome in the first game as they are very unpredictable and quite surprising in any given game.

While for their odds, as of now, the Miami Heat are boasting a 3.80 money line while the favorites are at 1.30 which is the Celtics. I reckon that this is a good opportunity for the Miami believers and I won't doubt if they jump at it right away.

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May 17, 2023, 06:05:45 PM
 #13248

I looked at betting on the Boston Celtics to beat the Miami Heat in game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but I was deterred by the odds. While I’m somewhat confident the Celtics will win game 1 at home, the risk/reward factor just didn’t merit betting. So I don’t have any skin in the game on this one, but I am expecting the Celtics to win at home.

For starters, the Boston Celtics does have a good advantage on the first two games because they are playing on their home and when they are on their home, their likelihood to win is indeed huge as their performance will be heavily boosted by their own fans plus Tatum can be so dangerous at home. But I cannot also deny that the Miami Heat offers a different outcome in the first game as they are very unpredictable and quite surprising in any given game.

While for their odds, as of now, the Miami Heat are boasting a 3.80 money line while the favorites are at 1.30 which is the Celtics. I reckon that this is a good opportunity for the Miami believers and I won't doubt if they jump at it right away.

I'd prefer to watch and bet this game in live because in situations like this, watching it will help me to analyze which team is suitable to bet on especially now that the favorite doesn't have any good odds on their side, even if we give them a higher spread, profits doesn't sound reasonable at all and it is more risky doing that knowing that the Miami Heat mainly Jimmy Butler can easily flip the table in their favor.

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May 17, 2023, 07:42:21 PM
 #13249

Here's the updated Lakers vs Nuggets series odds.



You see the betting odds for the Lakers? They are quite high, offering a significant payout if they end up winning the series.

This presents another opportunity for those who have confidence in the Lakers, especially since they are only down 1 game in the series.

Against the Memphis and the Warriors though, the Lakers haven't been down 0-1 as they both win game 1 in the road. But this time, not going to work against the Nuggets, although they made a good comeback and cut the lead to single digits with that Reaves back to back 3's, it's not enough though to win game 1 so the pressure right now for them is greater in the playoff to win at least a game in the road.

So it's really hard to put a beat on team, although if you have them at +7.5 the last time, you might have won close to 2.x if I'm not mistaken.

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May 17, 2023, 09:15:31 PM
 #13250

Here's the updated Lakers vs Nuggets series odds.



You see the betting odds for the Lakers? They are quite high, offering a significant payout if they end up winning the series.

This presents another opportunity for those who have confidence in the Lakers, especially since they are only down 1 game in the series.
Against the Memphis and the Warriors though, the Lakers haven't been down 0-1 as they both win game 1 in the road. But this time, not going to work against the Nuggets, although they made a good comeback and cut the lead to single digits with that Reaves back to back 3's, it's not enough though to win game 1 so the pressure right now for them is greater in the playoff to win at least a game in the road.

So it's really hard to put a beat on team, although if you have them at +7.5 the last time, you might have won close to 2.x if I'm not mistaken.
There was a clear reason why Lakers were considered not to win this, and we have seen why that was the case. I think second game will not be that much different, most of the time road team ends up getting a win on the first game if they can, and home team wins the second game because they adjust accordingly, nothing surprising.

This time around they had a terrible shooting at the start and even with that they still managed to lead, that is important because they had offensive rebounds like crazy. I believe that AD clamping down on Jokic made Jokic not that bad, but it caused Lakers rebounding a lot worse, normally AD would have gotten those rebounds if he wasn't marking Jokic so closely, and not like that worked, Jokic still had an unbelievable game.

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May 17, 2023, 09:18:57 PM
 #13251

Here's the updated Lakers vs Nuggets series odds.



You see the betting odds for the Lakers? They are quite high, offering a significant payout if they end up winning the series.

This presents another opportunity for those who have confidence in the Lakers, especially since they are only down 1 game in the series.
Against the Memphis and the Warriors though, the Lakers haven't been down 0-1 as they both win game 1 in the road. But this time, not going to work against the Nuggets, although they made a good comeback and cut the lead to single digits with that Reaves back to back 3's, it's not enough though to win game 1 so the pressure right now for them is greater in the playoff to win at least a game in the road.

So it's really hard to put a beat on team, although if you have them at +7.5 the last time, you might have won close to 2.x if I'm not mistaken.
There was a clear reason why Lakers were considered not to win this, and we have seen why that was the case. I think second game will not be that much different, most of the time road team ends up getting a win on the first game if they can, and home team wins the second game because they adjust accordingly, nothing surprising.

This time around they had a terrible shooting at the start and even with that they still managed to lead, that is important because they had offensive rebounds like crazy. I believe that AD clamping down on Jokic made Jokic not that bad, but it caused Lakers rebounding a lot worse, normally AD would have gotten those rebounds if he wasn't marking Jokic so closely, and not like that worked, Jokic still had an unbelievable game.

I agree.  The only reason it wasn't a blowout was because the Nuggets top players were all in foul trouble.  They stayed on the court but had to play a little passive at the end.  To the point that coach had to challenge a call just to get the foul call switch from Murray to jokic.  That was a huge call since that would have been his fifth early in the fourth quarter.  Think game 2 plays out the same but that's why they play them right?

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May 17, 2023, 09:52:17 PM
Last edit: May 18, 2023, 02:07:52 AM by morvillz7z
 #13252

J. Butler 20+ points / J. Butler 1+ steals / A. Horford @1.75  won

I cannot seem to get any bets to hit whenever the Heat are involved, it's either a bad beat or some awful read on my part. I'm trying to unjinx myself here...lol

I don't see anyone on the Heat roster taking more shots than Butler in this series. He's had a great playoff run thus far, with two stellar opening game 1 performance vs Bucks and Knicks, avg. 60 points (35 and 25). The Heat won both of those game 1s, and they will try to sucker punch the Celtics and steal home court (whether they will succeed is another question). I also like Butler to get at least one steal, 5 total steals in those two games 1s, avg. 1.7 steals in the playoffs, he's hit the line in 7/L10 (had at least one steal in each of the two regular season games he's played against the Celtics).

I've got Horford at 2 assists today, something he has done in 12/L13 postseason games. Horford has been struggling with his shot recently, as he has nearly three times as many assists as FGs made in the last three games. He's a good passer, so two shouldn't be a problem.

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May 17, 2023, 11:37:39 PM
 #13253

So I just rolled the money that I won with my Nuggets beat, it was just ML though, so it's not a big win, at 1.4x but I will take it. But my strategy is to just roll it with the Boston Celtics beat at -7.5 against the Heat game 1 in their series.

I agree with @ morvillz7z, it's a hard read games that involved Miami Heat, someone they will just show themselves whether in road or home games. But I think the Celtics has the advantage in this game 1 and probably just like the Nuggets, will feed from the energy of the home crowd to take a good lead and then hold on for maybe a double digit winning.

So best of luck, just one hour to go before game 1.

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May 18, 2023, 12:04:40 AM
 #13254

I'd like to share some thoughts about the game. Personally, I'm considering betting on the Heat. They have a history of surprising as underdogs, so at the moment (though I haven't made a decision yet), I'm leaning towards taking the Heat +7.5 on the spread and considering the moneyline as well. What are your thoughts?
I'm leaning on the Heat spread as well, as I think they can easily cover 8 points since they can thrive in the second half, and it's not easy to trust the Celtics in covering the spread if you've watched their home games previously.

I'll skip the spread on this game and instead go with the over 210.5 because the total seems too low, and all of their meetings (in Boston) during the regular season have gone over.


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May 18, 2023, 12:16:17 AM
 #13255

I'd like to share some thoughts about the game. Personally, I'm considering betting on the Heat. They have a history of surprising as underdogs, so at the moment (though I haven't made a decision yet), I'm leaning towards taking the Heat +7.5 on the spread and considering the moneyline as well. What are your thoughts?
I'm leaning on the Heat spread as well, as I think they can easily cover 8 points since they can thrive in the second half, and it's not easy to trust the Celtics in covering the spread if you've watched their home games previously.

I'll skip the spread on this game and instead go with the over 210.5 because the total seems too low, and all of their meetings (in Boston) during the regular season have gone over.



+8 seemed very attractive to me, and I don't think it's a trap because the Heat have consistently been underdogs against teams with a good standing, especially in the first round. So, the Heat should be no different from the Bucks, and the spread now feels like a 50/50 situation. Of course, bookies know their job well, and they won't make it easy for bettors to win, but I still favor the Heat +8.

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May 18, 2023, 12:24:06 AM
 #13256

No one is taking the Miami Heat ML? Fine. I will take it.  Grin @4.00

I trust them to put on a great display of defensive awareness against the Boston Celtics. There's no doubt this will be a difficult feat for them against two offensive players like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, and then there's Malcolm Brogdon who had been phenomenal as their 6th man.
When it comes to offense for the Heat, Butler, and Adebayo must be aggressive on the paint if they want to answer back if the Celtics will score.

Let's go! Take Game 1 Jimmy Buckets!
Good luck everyone.

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May 18, 2023, 01:42:19 AM
 #13257

No one is taking the Miami Heat ML? Fine. I will take it.  Grin @4.00

I trust them to put on a great display of defensive awareness against the Boston Celtics. There's no doubt this will be a difficult feat for them against two offensive players like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, and then there's Malcolm Brogdon who had been phenomenal as their 6th man.
When it comes to offense for the Heat, Butler, and Adebayo must be aggressive on the paint if they want to answer back if the Celtics will score.

Let's go! Take Game 1 Jimmy Buckets!
Good luck everyone.
Admire your guts mate, although it was a good first quarter for them, the Celtics have built a good momentum in the 2nd quarter.

So I'm talking the -6.5, still good odds at 1.80 during the half-time. And just what you have said, the trio of Butler, Adebayo and Lowly might make this game very close. But I'm leaning towards the Celtics because they have the depth and have for me the best duo in Tatum and Jaylen Brown.

Plus I read from interviews that Brogdon says that he will play hard against the Heat and yes, so far 29 minutes with 12 points.

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May 18, 2023, 01:59:15 AM
 #13258

No one is taking the Miami Heat ML? Fine. I will take it.  Grin @4.00

I trust them to put on a great display of defensive awareness against the Boston Celtics. There's no doubt this will be a difficult feat for them against two offensive players like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, and then there's Malcolm Brogdon who had been phenomenal as their 6th man.
When it comes to offense for the Heat, Butler, and Adebayo must be aggressive on the paint if they want to answer back if the Celtics will score.

Let's go! Take Game 1 Jimmy Buckets!
Good luck everyone.
Admire your guts mate, although it was a good first quarter for them, the Celtics have built a good momentum in the 2nd quarter.

So I'm talking the -6.5, still good odds at 1.80 during the half-time. And just what you have said, the trio of Butler, Adebayo and Lowly might make this game very close. But I'm leaning towards the Celtics because they have the depth and have for me the best duo in Tatum and Jaylen Brown.



And just like that, the game is already tied. As expected, Miami had a great run in the 3rd quarter, and it's shaping up to be a close game heading into the fourth quarter. It seems like the Celtics might be overrated, as Miami is showing a good chance of winning on the road.

Quote
Plus I read from interviews that Brogdon says that he will play hard against the Heat and yes, so far 29 minutes with 12 points.

This guy always plays hard, and there's no question about his contribution to the success of the Celtics so far.

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May 18, 2023, 02:32:03 AM
 #13259

I got in late but Bet the Heat+8.5 for second half and Heat over 51.5 total for 2nd half. Both looking good currently since Miami came out on fore and scored 46 points in the 3rd quarter. Never would have thought that turnaround was going to happen at all.

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May 18, 2023, 03:09:16 AM
 #13260

I got in late but Bet the Heat+8.5 for second half and Heat over 51.5 total for 2nd half. Both looking good currently since Miami came out on fore and scored 46 points in the 3rd quarter. Never would have thought that turnaround was going to happen at all.
That's a win. Every + for the Miami Heat is a win tonight. Nice catch there and Congratulations.
@morvillz7z congrats on the props.
Admire your guts mate, although it was a good first quarter for them, the Celtics have built a good momentum in the 2nd quarter.
And my instincts were right. 11 point lead by Celtics was gone in the third quarter. Every Heat player offers their contribution to the team. Adebayo, Lowry, Struss, Love, and especially Jimmy Buckets Butler. That man is a damn thief. Bad man!  Grin 6 steals!
They just played the same high level of defensive aggressiveness, that's all they did the whole postseason and it's still working so nothing needs to be changed yet.

Perfect bets.

Celtics should find a way how they will make Jayson Tatum open. He should not hide as the offensive player of the team, demand the ball, lead the team, and create space for everyone.

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