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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 117677 times)
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May 22, 2024, 02:42:41 AM
 #15401

I also don't have a good read on this game so i'll go back to the first-half strategy that worked in the previous series since the Celtics are always solid at scoring tons of points in the first half.

Combine that with the Pacers' offense that likes to up the tempo, they should hit at least 114 points, and looking at their h2h i'm liking our chances even more (in the three regular games they played two went over 120+).


If it works for you then you should stick with it and it seemed to hit for you with the tied at 64 pts each at the half.

It is at overtime and it has been a wild one with that Jalen Brown three.
Had a props bet and all them hit except for Tatum having over 4.5 three pointers. Was a longshot at 101x odds but it is a such a fun game 1 to watch i don't care for it to win or not now.

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May 22, 2024, 12:28:16 PM
 #15402

Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win. The game was indeed high-scoring, especially when it went to overtime. This looks like the trend in the series, as both teams love to run and are shooting at a high percentage. The Pacers are known to be an offensive team, and if the Celtics are winning with that kind of pace, I think they'll continue to play the same in game 2. With that said, I'm already looking forward to the game 2 over.

Anyway, let's discuss the other conference finals. Tomorrow we have the Dallas vs. Wolves game 1. I hope this is also a great matchup. Both teams are coming from tough series, so I expect they'll give each other a headache.

My pick would be Dallas moneyline and under 206.

R


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May 22, 2024, 12:54:33 PM
 #15403

Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win. The game was indeed high-scoring, especially when it went to overtime. This looks like the trend in the series, as both teams love to run and are shooting at a high percentage. The Pacers are known to be an offensive team, and if the Celtics are winning with that kind of pace, I think they'll continue to play the same in game 2. With that said, I'm already looking forward to the game 2 over.

Yup, with how both teams running their offensive executions they both love to run and with those shooters who can take behind the arc the trend might be for those who loves to pick Over chances is good for those who believes that both squad will continue to execute that quick basket especially those running attacks.

Quote
Anyway, let's discuss the other conference finals. Tomorrow we have the Dallas vs. Wolves game 1. I hope this is also a great matchup. Both teams are coming from tough series, so I expect they'll give each other a headache.

My pick would be Dallas moneyline and under 206.

You love to take the risk, as most see that Wolves got that edge after beating the defending champ, they again will be test against the power duo of Luka and Kyrie, who also playing great games as leaders, more on how both squad will see and take their advantages against each other and who's more hungrier than the other. Good Luck!

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May 22, 2024, 01:00:17 PM
 #15404

Anyway, let's discuss the other conference finals. Tomorrow we have the Dallas vs. Wolves game 1. I hope this is also a great matchup. Both teams are coming from tough series, so I expect they'll give each other a headache.

My pick would be Dallas moneyline and under 206.

Comparing the 2 team players stats. Wolves have the advantage because they have great defense and offense due to their size advantage. But considering how stressful their game 7 match against Nuggets I think Dallas maybe a good choice for Game 1 since they are fresh because they finish early the OKC series.

I’m skeptical on what will be the Dallas defense against Wolves big man while they are lacking good center ever since. They are just compensating with good offense that’s why they keep winning on this playoffs.

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May 22, 2024, 01:00:30 PM
 #15405

You love to take the risk, as most see that Wolves got that edge after beating the defending champ, they again will be test against the power duo of Luka and Kyrie, who also playing great games as leaders, more on how both squad will see and take their advantages against each other and who's more hungrier than the other. Good Luck!

For me, that's the game, it's taking risks. The Wolves aren't unbeatable at home, as they lost twice at home versus the Nuggets. Dallas is also good on the road, having won 2 road games against OKC, so I really like the pick, to be honest. However, I want to minimize the risk, so I'll be betting on the + points for the Dallas Mavericks.

With enough rest for Dallas, I believe Luka will be fully healthy in the Western Conference Finals. A healthy Luka is really unstoppable, plus they also have Irving who can explode anytime. With role players like PJ Washington and Jones Jr., not to mention their big men, I think they are more than ready for the Wolves.

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May 22, 2024, 04:56:07 PM
 #15406

I forgot to place my bets yesterday but that was some awesome performance by both teams in the Eastern Conference Finals.
I am hoping the battle against the Dallas Mavericks and the Minnesota Timberwolves will be as entertaining as that one.

Here is my pick for later.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.55
Over 204.5 @1.74

The Mavs may have not started well in their game against the LA Clippers which made them lose game 1 and so did against the OKC Thunder. But I am putting my trust in that team tonight. They are hungry. Kyrie Irving is damn hungry and so do the other casts of the Mavs team. I think PJ Washington will come out strong again and I am hoping he learned his lesson in that Game 6 against the Thunder. He must've trained harder to keep his defense intense but avoiding fouls.

Good luck and enjoy.

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May 22, 2024, 05:56:17 PM
 #15407

I'm taking Minnesota over Dallas for today.  I think that Dallas is going to struggle against the athleticism of Anthony Edwards while at the same time I think Luka will struggle against Minnesota's defense.  I suspect that Dallas is going to try to shoot their way to a win tonight, so maybe Luka or Kyrie will have an amazing night beyond the arch and will their team to a victory, but I think more likely they'll be frustrated with their lack of penetration and will struggle to score against Minnesota...  Game is on TNT so that's good news for watchers.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Minnesota Timberwolves

Odds
1.55

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May 22, 2024, 08:46:40 PM
 #15408

Was busy last night and didn't get my over bet in.  Pacers game only getting 222.5 on the over lol dam that was easy money.

Tonight should be a good night amd expecting a tight battle.  I'm picking the hometown wolves taking game 1 with a spread of -4.5 and taking the under at 206.5.  I can see this being a 103-96 type of game.  Just hoping for a good game.

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May 22, 2024, 09:39:37 PM
Last edit: May 23, 2024, 03:01:00 AM by morvillz7z
 #15409

A. Edwards 1+ stocks / M. Conley 8+ RA @1.61  X

Another 100% hit ratio play in the playoffs.

ANT averages 2.4 stocks in the playoffs, 1+ stocks in 11/L11. Of the four remaining teams, Mavs commit the most turnovers per game (playoffs), i can see him finish with multiple steals/blocks. Wolves have the best DEFRTG all season for a reason.

Conley still has the GTD tag, but i'm confident he'll play. He is averaging 10.7 RA in the playoffs and has gone 8+ RA 10/L10 (he missed one game due to injury).

------------

unrelated to tonight's game, i had 5 SGPs on the Celtics vs. Pacers Game 1.  I was one more 3-pointer from J. Brown to get all five down, but 40/41 is pretty wild.

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May 22, 2024, 11:50:58 PM
 #15410

This being a game 1 it is tough to guess how it will go out the gate.
Remember how everybody was on the Celtics last night yet the Pacers took them to overtime and it wasn't such a walk in the park from what the odds suggested it was going to be for Boston @1.33x pre-game.

So I will be backing the home team in the Timberwolves and possibly the under at 206.5pts combo bet.
But going to bet larger on the ML for Minnesota being 1.54x prematch odds.
Seems like a good confident bet to place since they are doing well and coming off the road so home court advantage will favor them tremendously tonight.

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May 22, 2024, 11:56:22 PM
 #15411

Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win.
Thanks and i'm also planning to ride with the over for the next game, as I can't imagine these teams slowing down with the scoring.


As much as I like the Mavs in this series, I still think they'll drop this first game, and the Timberwolves will come out firing since they tend to win dominantly in some of their games.

These two also met a bunch of times in the regular season and it went in the Timberwolves' favor, but I doubt that'll be a big factor in deciding today's game.



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May 23, 2024, 12:28:39 AM
 #15412

ralle's Wolves -4.5 pick makes more sense so I'm following that. I think that team will play aggressive defense and swarm Kyrie and Luka so both or either of them will be limited to 20 points or less. That will probably be enough to win the game and cover the spread.
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May 23, 2024, 02:32:41 AM
 #15413

Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win.
Thanks and i'm also planning to ride with the over for the next game, as I can't imagine these teams slowing down with the scoring.


As much as I like the Mavs in this series, I still think they'll drop this first game, and the Timberwolves will come out firing since they tend to win dominantly in some of their games.

These two also met a bunch of times in the regular season and it went in the Timberwolves' favor, but I doubt that'll be a big factor in deciding today's game.


I went with the unpopular opinion and back the Dallas Mavericks when they had a 1-point lead towards the end of 3rd quarter, My sole reason for that was because of how Kyrie has been playing all night, and I believe if the Timberwolves have attempted way more 3 point and have knocked down significant number of it but still can get a decent separation, that could mean trouble is lurking around for the Minnesota Timberwolves.


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May 23, 2024, 06:29:02 AM
 #15414

I think Boston takes game 2 and probably the series in 5 games or less, but with how close the last game was and with how wide the spread is, I have to take Indiana plus 11.5 here.  I don't think they get blown out with Boston still expected to have so many players out with injuries.  I think they even have a decent chance of taking game 2, but then Boston is expected to get KP back and things start looking a little worse for Indiana.

Boston Celtics - Indiana Pacers
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers (11.5)

Odds
1.64

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May 23, 2024, 07:27:25 AM
 #15415

I think Boston takes game 2 and probably the series in 5 games or less, but with how close the last game was and with how wide the spread is, I have to take Indiana plus 11.5 here.  I don't think they get blown out with Boston still expected to have so many players out with injuries.  I think they even have a decent chance of taking game 2, but then Boston is expected to get KP back and things start looking a little worse for Indiana.

Boston Celtics - Indiana Pacers
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers (11.5)

Odds
1.64

I'm copying you but for me, it is +9.5 for Indiana Pacers.

Boston Celtics are expected to be favored, as they are the superior team and have home-court advantage.
Indiana Pacers have also struggled to win away games in the playoffs. However, the Indiana Pacers offense could be their advantage to win.


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May 23, 2024, 07:47:59 AM
 #15416

I went with the unpopular opinion and back the Dallas Mavericks when they had a 1-point lead towards the end of 3rd quarter, My sole reason for that was because of how Kyrie has been playing all night, and I believe if the Timberwolves have attempted way more 3 point and have knocked down significant number of it but still can get a decent separation, that could mean trouble is lurking around for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Congrats on your live Mavs bet, i'm surprised that the odds were a bit high at the time.

The Timberwolves were close to building their lead by at least double digits before the second quarter ended, but the Mavs kept it together in the last few possessions. Then that back and forth during the fourth quarter with 3 minutes left made it feel like it could've gone either way, but the Mavs quickly brought it back with the double three-pointer while the Timberwolves couldn't get a bucket until the final minute.

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May 23, 2024, 10:29:06 AM
 #15417

I went with the unpopular opinion and back the Dallas Mavericks when they had a 1-point lead towards the end of 3rd quarter, My sole reason for that was because of how Kyrie has been playing all night, and I believe if the Timberwolves have attempted way more 3 point and have knocked down significant number of it but still can get a decent separation, that could mean trouble is lurking around for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Congrats on your live Mavs bet, i'm surprised that the odds were a bit high at the time.

The Timberwolves were close to building their lead by at least double digits before the second quarter ended, but the Mavs kept it together in the last few possessions. Then that back and forth during the fourth quarter with 3 minutes left made it feel like it could've gone either way, but the Mavs quickly brought it back with the double three-pointer while the Timberwolves couldn't get a bucket until the final minute.
The loss of the TWolves was due to a bad call by the refs towards that Kat dunk.
They say the shot from the previous attempt was within the cylinder of the basket. So Towns dunk did not count which would of tied it with just over a minute and a half left in the game.
That was when Luka was on that 9-0 point run and counting that basket from Kat Towns would of switch that momentum the Mavs had to win the game.

Hard loss by Minnesota so hopefully they can comeback in tonight's game along with the Pacers who are at Boston.

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May 23, 2024, 10:49:56 AM
 #15418

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=shLtC9Kl1_c  Cheesy

Kelvinid
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May 23, 2024, 12:18:12 PM
 #15419

LOL! This dude probably loss a lot of money on that game. I guess everyone was into the Wolves -4.5 on that game because they came from a big win against the defending champion, but you can't expect the same result with a different match up. Actually, irving wasn't scoring well in the OKC series but the Mavs still won the game, so the answer is very easy when both Luka and Irving are producing big numbers.

The loss of the TWolves was due to a bad call by the refs towards that Kat dunk.
Sorry but I got to disagree with you because it was reviewed, not only 1 ref made a decision, it was a unanimous one and I think they know their job better, unless we think it was rigged.
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May 23, 2024, 01:12:35 PM
 #15420

-snip-
Sorry but I got to disagree with you because it was reviewed, not only 1 ref made a decision, it was a unanimous one and I think they know their job better, unless we think it was rigged.
You see from the top view camera angle and the ball clearly flips out from scope of the cylinder they usually make the judgement of the call. Believe they line it up in a cone formation to make the call.

Look at the screen below:

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/dVjr64E9l7k

So call it what you will. But watching it live like I did, you can see where the ball's trajectory was going and where he grabbed the ball to dunk it for the score.

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█████████████LEADING CRYPTO SPORTSBOOK & CASINO█████████████
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..PLAY NOW!..
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