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Author Topic: Buy the DIP, and HODL!  (Read 77387 times)
JayJuanGee
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September 21, 2023, 04:34:48 PM
 #3001

It is expected that our emergency funds should be higher than thye one that we are investing so that they will be no ugly suituation that will make you go and sell from your bitcoin that you are buying, this shows that you are ready to continue using your DCA pattern to keep on accumulating till you get to your bitcoin target.

You should not be presuming that the same kinds of balances are going to need to be in place for all investors, and sure when you start out investing you are going to be in a certain place in which you hardly have anything to add up that is in your investment portfolio, yet sometime between 3-10 years investing (whether in bitcoin or any other thing), you may well start to get to or to exceed 1 year's income (living costs) inside of your investment portfolio.  A lot of investment and cash management advisors, will suggest somewhere in the ballpark of 6 months income (living expenses) as an emergency fund, and personally, I am not so strict on such a rule or such an emergency fund being maintained at all times, even though I do believe that 6 months is a pretty decent guideline regarding how to think about how any of us might deal with a variety of scenarios that might come our way in which we are going to need liquidity (or cash/value to be available in our local currency).

If we set some standards for ourselves, we should be trying to consider why we are setting such standards and also to consciously realize the extent to which we are deviating from such standard or if it might not be a good idea to deviate from the standard if we are not sure why it exists, so sometimes we do end up having to experience a variety of scenarios in order for the importance of certain practices start to make more sense - and it could be that if we take a real whimpy and/or conservative approach towards investing into bitcoin, such as $10 per week when our budget would allow $100-200 per week, then we might not have to worry about any of the bitcoin related matters because they are relatively a smaller amount of our budget, but then if the price of BTC ends up going up faster and/or higher than our other investments, we might start to realize that there were real world consequences that ended up playing out and perhaps causing us some regrets regarding choices that we made earlier in our lives and we are unable to turn back the clock for some of our decisions, even if we may well have been truly and sincerely convinced that we were doing the thing that was best for our current self and our future self, but we ended up being wrong.

We need cash to survive and we need our investment to grow for a better life in the nearest future or at old age, this is why there must always be a reserve of emergency funds to take care of whatever should be taken care on, your investment can keep on growing as you keeping on DCAing.
Lump sum buy bitcoin one time and then completely forget it for 20 years.. that's pretty inactive and it might even give that person a lot of peace of mind to just not think about bitcoin for 20 years or whatever might be his/her timeline.

Don't get me wrong.  I do think that DCA is the best for an overwhelming majority of normies.. but people are surely free to choose their own variation of systems and even truly/sincerely believe that it is better for them.. and perhaps they are correct in terms of their personality and/or their financial circumstances.
I understand what you mean, because as long as you are happy with how you invested your money in bitcoin, and holding your long, you will be peaceful because you know that you will make good profit at the given period of time.

Yes, but none of us are going to know for sure if we are going to be happy with the results.  We might believe that we are happy with what we are doing, but we are also not going to really know the results, so we just have to do our best, and some of us will end up being more correct than others in terms of reaching a balance that works for us in the short term, in the process of the investment, and later when it comes time to start to reap the fruit of our earlier investments and our investment strategies, if any.

What I see in the DCA pattern, is like you said the active buying of bitcoin, no matter how long it takes you to continue buying, maybe ten years or more.

Well, you may well have to make a lot of adjustments along the way, but sure there is no problem making a plan and then trying to stick with it, but you might have to tweak such plan at various points. .and you will likely become more informed about your plan as you see results and if the results end up deviating somewhat from your base-case projections.

Let's say that you started investing in BTC around 10 years ago, so at the time that you got started in bitcoin you already had around a $100k investment portfolio, and you wanted to bring bitcoin up to about 10% of that portfolio. so you more or less want to get up to 10% and then thereafter to reassess.. And so if you start to invest $100 per week into bitcoin, then it is going to take you around 2 years or perhaps a bit more to get to 10%, but then if the bitcoin and the other assets perform differently, then it could end up contributing towards your reconsideration of the matter. .. your overall assessment is that you realize that bitcoin could perform better than the rest of your portfolio, but it might not, so you are merely just expecting around the same results as your overall investment portfolio, which had been around 6% per year on average.

So if you  had invested around $10k into bitcoin  (at $100 per week) starting from early 2014, then you may well have ended up accumulating right around 30 BTC.

So you might reassess and then decide to go 1 more year with the $100 per week into bitcoin, even though it is going to take you higher than 10%... so then  after 3 years investing into BTC at $100 per week, you may well have gotten to right around 40 BTC, so you may well be faced with questions regarding how to proceed.. and I am not going to say that I really know the answer because each person is likely going to need to reassess based on his her own situation about how to proceed when such surprise (or somewhat surprise) results end up playing out.

I am not sure of the resolution that each person is going to make regarding how to treat their bitcoin investment because if they had invested in bitcoin for a bit more than 2 years at $100 per week, they might have been right around 10% invested by the time early 2016 comes, but then then by the time we get to late 2016, they might be getting to 13% or so invested into BTC, which is more than their 10% expectations or maybe they maintain their allocation to keep it at 10% as compared to their other investments, but still they end up being faced with the BTC prices shooting up around 40x between late 2016 and late 2017, if we use $500 as the base price.

There may well be some needs to reassess whether continuing to DCA is a good strategy or if some other kind of an approach towards BTC accumulation might become more practical.

I personally don't really like the idea of reallocation, but if you are not very diversified, then you may well need to think about reallocation, even though letting your winners ride might also be a good approach as long as you are comfortable with your various other investments as compared with bitcoin, because sometimes when the price of one asset disproportionately goes up as compared with other investment, there are needs to assess what are your other investments and are you comfortable to keep so much of your netwealth in an asset that just went shooting up so much rather than shaving some off.. even though we are not really talking about those kinds of matters in this thread.

Another reason why I like the DCA method is that it create room for you to see reason why you need to increase your bitcoin portfolio from your initial bitcoin target because, you will become use to assigning a certain amount for regular DCAing, which will become part of your weekly, or monthly practice. DCA will also give you a proper insight of bitcoin market for you to come up with a strategy on how to be flexible with the market, irrespective of the price of bitcoin, as long as you keep on accumulating.

 For instance, an investor can come up with a DCA strategy, that if the price of bitcoin is at 20k-25k, he will use 20% for DCA, at 26k-30k, he will use 15% and at 30k up, he will use 10% and so on, because he has a fixed amount of money assigned for DCA. While people who buy at dip, don't have much practice in their buying, just only to follow news and keep on expecting for the dip, that they don't know when it will come, or the people that buy at lump will only buy once in a while based on when they have accumaulated enough cash that they feel it is time for them to buy again.

I don't really disagree with any of these last assessments of yours even though you are kind of crossing over the definitions of DCA, buying on dips and lump sum, and in practice they do frequently end up crossing over depending on how they are deployed.

The rate of Volatility in Bitcoin is high and you are placing yourself at a 50:50 risk. I believe it is not advisable.

The risk in bitcoin is not 50/50, even though short-term price moves could be 50/50, but if you are investing into bitcoin over 4-10 years or even longer than that 20-30 years, the risk is not 50/50.

Sure you could lose all your money, but when you are investing money in the long term, you are not investing with money that you need in the short term to cover your expenses, and even if you might end up with a shorter investment time horizon of 4 years, then you still should not be thinking about the short-term price moves.

Of course, you can choose to treat bitcoin however you like and get in however you like, but the thrust of the ideas of this thread is long term investing, which I personally would consider to be a minimum of 4 years from the time of any amount that you put in or any time that you add more value, it is still 4 years from the time of the new value, not from the time that you started.

Truly money can resolve our urgent needs but in some cases when money is not available, the available should go in for it or possibly take the place of the money to solve the problem. Most times things happen that no one bargained for but you will have no option but to respond accordingly. These experiences are sometimes among the reasons one needs to invest. Irrespective of the nature of the investment, for instance, bitcoin that you have direct access to when you are in urgent need that requires a financial commitment and you have no cash at hand and in your account but you have crypto assets. It is expected of you to sort yourself out.  That is good because when you have enough to sustain yourself and more, you invest the excess so as to serve you when you are in urgent need and the investment as the case may generate income as time goes by.
I am trying to gather fact on what you said here.
Do you mean funds can be used to invest in Bitcoin, just to keep as emergency fund? Or you mean at a point of emergency the best option to resolve problems is by tampering ones investment.
I do not think it necessary to invest your emergency fund in Bitcoin, because you are not yet into sorting out any issue at that moment and you feel using the money to invest is the best. The rate of Volatility in Bitcoin is high and you are placing yourself at a 50:50 risk. I believe it is not advisable.

I also think there are better option when your emergency fund can't meet up with challenges at the time instead of tampering with your investment. A loan can be collected from Family, Freinds or any Financial services but not your investment
In Crypto Bitcoin, you are advised to invest what you can afford to loss.  That is the point and as a smart investor you should be able to have a budget and plan of investment so as not to be in a situation whereby you will have to start looking for where to go borrow from to sustain yourself.  Always set out small portion of your income that you know would not bother you if you invest in them.

Emergency can happen at any time and when it happens, it always requires urgent attention to resolving it. In  that case one would need to fall back to their investment  to sort themselves out. When this occurs, you will have to acknowledge the fact that investments are much worth it. Investment to me sometimes is a back up plan otherwise what is the investment there for if I can not be able to use it for myself when the need arises.

FTFY  

It seems that I agree with everything you said as long as you are talking about bitcoin, which is the subject of this thread.

We are not talking about "crypto" here... in fact fuck crypto.. including that it is not likely that a lot of the principles of long term investing, buying on the dip and DCA do not really apply to crypto or shitcoins..,.

you gotta be careful if you try to apply these same presumptions of fundamental value to projects that may or may not have fundamental value, so you better spend some time figuring it out, otherwise you are going to be applying different kinds of considerations including in and out considerations...  

Anyhow, if you meant to talk about bitcoin, it seems pretty strange that you use such a vague, meaningless and dumbass word, and you've done it more than once.. .. hopefully, you learn how to use the term bitcoin, if you are talking about bitcoin, and if you happen to be talking about something else, you likely need to explain what it is that you are talking about rather than speaking in gobble-dee-gook and meaningless language... and there would be no excuse to say, everyone else does.. .. if that is what some members here might be thinking.. so what if other people speak in retarded language? We are talking about bitcoin here. so hopefully we are not using retarded terms without at least having a context for why we are using such terms.

An emergency can occur any moment, so it is good to get prepared for it so that when it comes you will not think about selling your coins.

Hopefully, emergencies are not happening very frequently.

Don't get your emergency funds mixed up with the likelihood that some of your incoming cashflow and your expenses vary.  The variance of your cashflow versus your expenses should not be an emergency because you can project out those kinds of matters and put them within a range.  Emergencies might not happen for many years, but if you engage in sloppy practices of projecting out your cashflow and your expenses, then perhaps emergencies are happening way more frequently than they should be.

Some people can even invest 30% of their salary in bitcoin, 50% in their needs and bills for that month, and 20% in emergency funds, but that still depends on how much the person is earning.

I like these kinds of categories, yet there is still a difference in regards to how much to allocate towards something for each paycheck, but if the emergency fund is not being used, then it does not need to be allocated into, except if such emergency fund is getting rebuilt from having had been depleted... so when you are describing the 20% for emergency fund, you are likely just referring to something like an expectation that you might have about variance in your expenses versus your income..,. so there is difference between a variance in your income versus expenses and the replenishing of an emergency fund... even though there could be cases that might be drawn out for a decent amount of time that might amount to replenishment of a depleted emergency fund...and some members have already suggested that an emergency funds should not be touched at all, except for the purpose that they are proscribed.  I am not 100% in agreement with that view, but I surely have a lot of sympathy for that kind of a conservative and self-imposed disciplined approach.

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September 21, 2023, 06:58:05 PM
 #3002

Hmm, It really depends on how they execute the DCA, more likely 90% of the DCA supports or beginners execute it in the wrong way. Aggressive accumulation is not good at all, even if it's done with the DCA, You should shape it into the smart DCA with your own decision-making power.

I do think that in many cases, DCA is going to help people who might have tendencies to try to overly time the market, but if they establish and aggressive DCA that uses near or all of the cash reserves every month without sufficiently creating an emergency fund they could get themselves into trouble.

Hmm, with that I think they need to learn how far their DCA is moving effectively with the market sentiments I'm saying that this month was a great opportunity for those who involve themselves in accumulation with DCA. As far as this month's sentiments really improved the outcome of DCA the investors need to realize that while getting involved in DCA are they really meeting the market sentiments.

Have a look at the market scenarios, I've gotten this a day before.. Seems like it can perfectly fit in the recent market sentiments.

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September 21, 2023, 08:30:22 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), Dewi Aries (1)
 #3003

Do it in the way that is best comfortable for you, depending on how much you earn every week or month. Everybody's salary varies; some people can put more money into their bitcoin investment and only put less money into their emergency funds, and yet they will not be affected in any way; they will still have their needs contained until they receive their next salary and work out the new budget they also have for that month.

Some people can even invest 30% of their salary in bitcoin, 50% in their needs and bills for that month, and 20% in emergency funds, but that still depends on how much the person is earning.
Of course that is the most convenient way at the moment but in the future I will readjust how to distribute the budget more evenly and larger on bitcoin investment, as I said I want to increase the strong fund first so that it is safer and stronger for a few months the rest can focus on bitcoin defensively by increasing the DCA.

I believe many of them do that such as 30% bitcoin investment 10% emergency fund the rest of the needs to cover a month, for now it should be more adjusted again and strategize a good budget over the long term for bitcoin investment.

Hmm, with that I think they need to learn how far their DCA is moving effectively with the market sentiments I'm saying that this month was a great opportunity for those who involve themselves in accumulation with DCA. As far as this month's sentiments really improved the outcome of DCA the investors need to realize that while getting involved in DCA are they really meeting the market sentiments.

Have a look at the market scenarios, I've gotten this a day before.. Seems like it can perfectly fit in the recent market sentiments.
Isn't it for the DCA strategy to walk all the way to not need to think about market sentiment? Because in my opinion this is only temporary while DCA is long-term which continues to run every week.

Even for now I don't need any chart analysis with DCA purchases when the money is ready then I buy no matter what the price is because DCA is buying at an dollar cost average.

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September 21, 2023, 09:20:30 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #3004


Of course that is the most convenient way at the moment but in the future I will readjust how to distribute the budget more evenly and larger on bitcoin investment, as I said I want to increase the strong fund first so that it is safer and stronger for a few months the rest can focus on bitcoin defensively by increasing the DCA.

I believe many of them do that such as 30% bitcoin investment 10% emergency fund the rest of the needs to cover a month, for now it should be more adjusted again and strategize a good budget over the long term for bitcoin investment.

Isn't it for the DCA strategy to walk all the way to not need to think about market sentiment? Because in my opinion this is only temporary while DCA is long-term which continues to run every week.

Even for now I don't need any chart analysis with DCA purchases when the money is ready then I buy no matter what the price is because DCA is buying at an dollar cost average.
Your explanation certainly makes sense because applying the DCA strategy of course you don't have to be skilled at reading charts because you make purchases at every stage when you start. DCA is the most admired strategy for those making long-term investments, either for the next 10 years or 20 years. But basically when there is a question from someone from your relative why you buy at a high price when you can wait to buy at a low price (well in this perception you can give an answer if I will calculate the average purchase entry when I reach the peak to exit at  in the next 10 years) it will make them amazed by your answer.

Well, at the level of adjusting the emergency fund, this is not very important for some people because if they get a weekly income they will adjust the percentage level they will use in Bitcoin investment, even so it will be in line with their concept without any obstacles that can hinder them. On the other hand, if your income does not determine where you pursue odd jobs (sometimes you work or not) of course the level of adjustment for emergency funds is quite necessary so that you don't miss a purchase step. Well, emergency funds are of course prioritized to cover gaps when you don't get income at that time, so you can use emergency funds at that time. Isn't it like that?

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September 21, 2023, 09:58:17 PM
 #3005

Your explanation certainly makes sense because applying the DCA strategy of course you don't have to be skilled at reading charts because you make purchases at every stage when you start. DCA is the most admired strategy for those making long-term investments, either for the next 10 years or 20 years. But basically when there is a question from someone from your relative why you buy at a high price when you can wait to buy at a low price (well in this perception you can give an answer if I will calculate the average purchase entry when I reach the peak to exit at  in the next 10 years) it will make them amazed by your answer.

Well, at the level of adjusting the emergency fund, this is not very important for some people because if they get a weekly income they will adjust the percentage level they will use in Bitcoin investment, even so it will be in line with their concept without any obstacles that can hinder them. On the other hand, if your income does not determine where you pursue odd jobs (sometimes you work or not) of course the level of adjustment for emergency funds is quite necessary so that you don't miss a purchase step. Well, emergency funds are of course prioritized to cover gaps when you don't get income at that time, so you can use emergency funds at that time. Isn't it like that?
Emergency funds for some of them are not to be taken to invest, but rather emergency funds for their living needs when they are pressed by a disaster that occurs, be it a flood, earthquake or the death of a relative. So they can use the emergency funds for that, instead of selling  assets/bitcoins they own. In fact, what you explained is not wrong, but the term might be better used as cushion funds or reserve assets that they can take so they don't miss the stage of their purchase.

After everything has been successfully adjusted to good planning, of course long-term investments can run according to their plans because they have managed their financial levels without disrupting the course of their investments. We have even heard that they often sell their BTC holdings due to pressure from the situation they are experiencing, so this is where emergency funding arises that must be considered.

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September 22, 2023, 12:18:03 AM
 #3006

Hmm, It really depends on how they execute the DCA, more likely 90% of the DCA supports or beginners execute it in the wrong way. Aggressive accumulation is not good at all, even if it's done with the DCA, You should shape it into the smart DCA with your own decision-making power.
I do think that in many cases, DCA is going to help people who might have tendencies to try to overly time the market, but if they establish and aggressive DCA that uses near or all of the cash reserves every month without sufficiently creating an emergency fund they could get themselves into trouble.
Hmm, with that I think they need to learn how far their DCA is moving effectively with the market sentiments I'm saying that this month was a great opportunity for those who involve themselves in accumulation with DCA. As far as this month's sentiments really improved the outcome of DCA the investors need to realize that while getting involved in DCA are they really meeting the market sentiments.

Have a look at the market scenarios, I've gotten this a day before.. Seems like it can perfectly fit in the recent market sentiments.

Looks like gobble-dee-gook to me.  If you have a long investment time horizon, then just keep buying BTC and reassess where you are at 3-5 years from now.  If we go by your forum registration date, you have already been in BTC for a bit more than a year, so maybe you have been able to accumulate some BTC during that time, and maybe you are not yet in profits, but whether you continue to accumulate more or not has to do with your own situation in terms of how many BTC you have already accumulated and what the rest of your personal circumstances look like...

trying to figure out what might or might happens in the market in the short-term is another question that may not really matter too much, including nonsense discussions of sentiment.  You really are likely to get yourself into trouble if you are trying to figure out what to do based on market sentiments rather than just having some kind of a solid plan that is based on your own finances and psychology rather than giving very many shits about how the other people in the market might feel about bitcoin.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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September 22, 2023, 02:40:50 AM
 #3007

Hmm, It really depends on how they execute the DCA, more likely 90% of the DCA supports or beginners execute it in the wrong way. Aggressive accumulation is not good at all, even if it's done with the DCA, You should shape it into the smart DCA with your own decision-making power.
I do think that in many cases, DCA is going to help people who might have tendencies to try to overly time the market, but if they establish and aggressive DCA that uses near or all of the cash reserves every month without sufficiently creating an emergency fund they could get themselves into trouble.
Hmm, with that I think they need to learn how far their DCA is moving effectively with the market sentiments I'm saying that this month was a great opportunity for those who involve themselves in accumulation with DCA. As far as this month's sentiments really improved the outcome of DCA the investors need to realize that while getting involved in DCA are they really meeting the market sentiments.

Have a look at the market scenarios, I've gotten this a day before.. Seems like it can perfectly fit in the recent market sentiments.

Looks like gobble-dee-gook to me.  If you have a long investment time horizon, then just keep buying BTC and reassess where you are at 3-5 years from now.  If we go by your forum registration date, you have already been in BTC for a bit more than a year, so maybe you have been able to accumulate some BTC during that time, and maybe you are not yet in profits, but whether you continue to accumulate more or not has to do with your own situation in terms of how many BTC you have already accumulated and what the rest of your personal circumstances look like...

trying to figure out what might or might happens in the market in the short-term is another question that may not really matter too much, including nonsense discussions of sentiment.  You really are likely to get yourself into trouble if you are trying to figure out what to do based on market sentiments rather than just having some kind of a solid plan that is based on your own finances and psychology rather than giving very many shits about how the other people in the market might feel about bitcoin.



I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?

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September 22, 2023, 06:14:11 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #3008

Isn't it for the DCA strategy to walk all the way to not need to think about market sentiment? Because in my opinion this is only temporary while DCA is long-term which continues to run every week.

Even for now I don't need any chart analysis with DCA purchases when the money is ready then I buy no matter what the price is because DCA is buying at an dollar cost average.

Am I rejecting all these factors? No, not at all DCA is a long-term efficient way of accumulation with some other strategies you can even make it efficient and rewarding for yourself, Sentiments are not temporary but what are talking about market always moves with the sentiments, and a better entry zone is required even for the DCA. Yes, you don't need charting, and I have never endorsed that you need charting with DCA as here we are not discussing BTC from the trader's point of view we are here from the investor's point of view.

Have a look and try to understand what I'm talking about are you really thinking imposing DCA on any timeline without proper strategy execution will work for you (that's a myth). Failed DCA Strategy When Buying Bitcoin

I can discuss it again, maybe I can help you or you can help me...


Looks like gobble-dee-gook to me.  If you have a long investment time horizon, then just keep buying BTC and reassess where you are at 3-5 years from now.  If we go by your forum registration date, you have already been in BTC for a bit more than a year, so maybe you have been able to accumulate some BTC during that time, and maybe you are not yet in profits, but whether you continue to accumulate more or not has to do with your own situation in terms of how many BTC you have already accumulated and what the rest of your personal circumstances look like...

Hmm, Yes sir considering my registration time or even as I'm familiar with the market even before registering on the forum, I made some mistakes in my early days when the market was moving on its peek time so, from my experience I did improve my journey by learning and executing those strategies until now as per my goal I'm moving gradually. I wont say I have a more significant amount comparing to others but according to my own boundaries I'm doing well, at least in my zone.

trying to figure out what might or might happens in the market in the short-term is another question that may not really matter too much, including nonsense discussions of sentiment.  You really are likely to get yourself into trouble if you are trying to figure out what to do based on market sentiments rather than just having some kind of a solid plan that is based on your own finances and psychology rather than giving very many shits about how the other people in the market might feel about bitcoin.

Sir, I'm aware of it and I do realize that market sentiments are just temporary influencers of the market, but as investors, we need to realize in which zone we are, whether it is a distribution zone, Accumulation zone, or profit booking zone so we need to shape our investment strategy with DCA accordingly this is what I'm trying to express by using the term sentiments Because we can judge the zone with the sentiments only. As I said in my last post past few weeks were a golden opportunity for efficient accumulation even for the DCA strategists. Why I'm saying all this a more couple of the upcoming weeks will answer.

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September 22, 2023, 07:06:03 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #3009

Emergency funds for some of them are not to be taken to invest, but rather emergency funds for their living needs when they are pressed by a disaster that occurs, be it a flood, earthquake or the death of a relative. So they can use the emergency funds for that, instead of selling  assets/bitcoins they own. In fact, what you explained is not wrong, but the term might be better used as cushion funds or reserve assets that they can take so they don't miss the stage of their purchase.
Emergency fund is not recommended for investing in bitcoin but no bad to use it because put emergency fund in bitcoin have potential in the future price keep increasing than hold in pocket only, not really difficult for withdrawing emergency fund when saving in Bitcoin due put or hold in exchange wallet and when emergency happening to us we can sell and withdraw to bank account without take 10 minutes. No one can't predicting when happening with something urgent for us and my opinion better put emergency fund in bitcoin investment and seems the same when have parent hold or save their money allocated for children education. Hold in the bank can make it double although we start investing when our children under two or three years and take at seven or ten years later. Its very important allocated our fund for children cost but effective when saving or put in Bitcoin.

R


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September 22, 2023, 08:24:24 AM
 #3010

I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
It's hard as we are now in September which is almost the end. I also doubt the price can get back to $30k by this month.

All can happen if one big news boosts the price such as Elon going back to accepting Bitcoin or another country accepting Bitcoin as a legal tender. But that is not easy.

Yes, DCA investment should continue as the price is still below $30k. It's a good price to buy Grin
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September 22, 2023, 08:56:28 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #3011

Do it in the way that is best comfortable for you, depending on how much you earn every week or month. Everybody's salary varies; some people can put more money into their bitcoin investment and only put less money into their emergency funds, and yet they will not be affected in any way; they will still have their needs contained until they receive their next salary and work out the new budget they also have for that month.

Some people can even invest 30% of their salary in bitcoin, 50% in their needs and bills for that month, and 20% in emergency funds, but that still depends on how much the person is earning.
In the end, this whole thing boils down to what is convenient for each of us because as our faces differ, so does our interests and approach. The main achievement of our discussion here is to analyze what is generally workable and easy to use for many people. This is the very reason DCA, that stand out among the many methods, dominated as the focus. I know not everyone who own Bitcoin will love the approach and that is why it all return to the individual to choose what is best for him.

Hmm, with that I think they need to learn how far their DCA is moving effectively with the market sentiments I'm saying that this month was a great opportunity for those who involve themselves in accumulation with DCA. As far as this month's sentiments really improved the outcome of DCA the investors need to realize that while getting involved in DCA are they really meeting the market sentiments.
Don't you think you are mistaken DCA for other methods of buying Bitcoin? I'm saying this because DCA by definition does not really factor in the market sentiment as well as the price. The main focus is usually how to buy in such a way that it will be continuous at a define interval of time. The price and market sentiment are not usually considered to influence DCA unless I am wrong.
 
Have a look at the market scenarios, I've gotten this a day before.. Seems like it can perfectly fit in the recent market sentiments.

The above chart is Ethereum features. If I'm not wrong, our focus here should be Bitcoin so I don't really get the point you are making with Ethereum chart.

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September 22, 2023, 09:47:32 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #3012

Emergency funds for some of them are not to be taken to invest, but rather emergency funds for their living needs when they are pressed by a disaster that occurs, be it a flood, earthquake or the death of a relative. So they can use the emergency funds for that, instead of selling  assets/bitcoins they own. In fact, what you explained is not wrong, but the term might be better used as cushion funds or reserve assets that they can take so they don't miss the stage of their purchase.
Emergency fund is not recommended for investing in bitcoin but no bad to use it because put emergency fund in bitcoin have potential in the future price keep increasing than hold in pocket only, not really difficult for withdrawing emergency fund when saving in Bitcoin due put or hold in exchange wallet and when emergency happening to us we can sell and withdraw to bank account without take 10 minutes. No one can't predicting when happening with something urgent for us and my opinion better put emergency fund in bitcoin investment and seems the same when have parent hold or save their money allocated for children education. Hold in the bank can make it double although we start investing when our children under two or three years and take at seven or ten years later. Its very important allocated our fund for children cost but effective when saving or put in Bitcoin.
If you put your emergency funds into Bitcoin, there are chances that you will be forced to sell some of your Bitcoin when you did not plan. This has the tendency of harming your portfolio as well as your psychology especially when you realized you sold at a very wrong time. In other words, it is not a good situation to be as it is possible you might get too comfortable selling when you should be buying.

Since we cannot really tell how things will pan out in life, it is always good to plan against any eventuality. So emergency funds should be kept for what the title says likewise investment funds... this is the way to live comfortably today and at the same time plan for the future. There have been instances of people who use their school fees to buy Bitcoin with the hope that they will sell, make profits from there they can pay their school fees. Unfortunately, they bought at the peak and market never gave them the opportunity to see any reasonable profit. Some end up selling in regrets. There are many other bad habits people have that can be called gambling.

I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
It's hard as we are now in September which is almost the end. I also doubt the price can get back to $30k by this month.

All can happen if one big news boosts the price such as Elon going back to accepting Bitcoin or another country accepting Bitcoin as a legal tender. But that is not easy.

Yes, DCA investment should continue as the price is still below $30k. It's a good price to buy Grin
I quite agree with you on this. News affect price so much and so far, there is no strong news that will cause any rapid increase in price from now till the end of this month. The importance of capitalizing on the low price cannot be over-emphasized because price will drastically rise as we  approach next year given the line of bullish events next year. A decisive DCA from now to December, can enable one accumulate sizeable Bitcoin.... this is my suggestion.

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September 22, 2023, 10:13:44 AM
 #3013

It's hard as we are now in September which is almost the end. I also doubt the price can get back to $30k by this month.

All can happen if one big news boosts the price such as Elon going back to accepting Bitcoin or another country accepting Bitcoin as a legal tender. But that is not easy.

Yes, DCA investment should continue as the price is still below $30k. It's a good price to buy Grin
I quite agree with you on this. News affect price so much and so far, there is no strong news that will cause any rapid increase in price from now till the end of this month. The importance of capitalizing on the low price cannot be over-emphasized because price will drastically rise as we  approach next year given the line of bullish events next year. A decisive DCA from now to December, can enable one accumulate sizeable Bitcoin.... this is my suggestion.
[/quote]
When no strong news is released, the price seems not to go anywhere. It could stabilize or go down for a little. But we do not need to worry about that as we have more opportunities to buy back at this level price.

We can only accumulate more from now on until the price is back to $40k or wherever you like. The investor already accumulated when the price was at $17k but they still do that at this moment.
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September 22, 2023, 11:04:54 AM
 #3014



I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
In Bitcoin price now there are some ups and down in the movement so In times of knowing what will be the actual price of Bitcoin towards the end of September is not possible perhaps this thread was not created for Bitcoin price discussion or to no what maybe the actual price of Bitcoin so instead you could focus more on the the strategy in which you can use to enable you accumulate and hold for long with a risk free model so perhaps you shouldn't dwell on knowing what will be the actual price of Bitcoin instead focus on it potential which will guide you as a roadmap were as you no that someday in the future the Bitcoin price will be great. So DCA investment mothod is always good especially for the beginners in other to be guided from over investing and the needs for reserve funds.

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September 22, 2023, 04:18:45 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #3015

Emergency fund is not recommended for investing in bitcoin but no bad to use it because put emergency fund in bitcoin have potential in the future price keep increasing than hold in pocket only, not really difficult for withdrawing emergency fund when saving in Bitcoin due put or hold in exchange wallet.

This is a wrong way to go about emergency funds, emergency funds shouldn't compulsory be in bitcoin but fiat, so that it will be very easy to have access to. Any funds that has been used to buy bitcoin should always be in bitcoin. It is not a good practice to leave funds in exchange which shows that you want to gamble with your emergency funds, which should be properly kept. What is the price of bitcoin drops drastically, it means that your emergency funds in bitcoin will depreciate, another worst scenario is that if the excahnge in which you keep the funds crash, this will be the biggest regret, because you will end up selling your bitcoin at a price that is not of your will. Remember we are looking at how it will be possible for one to hodli for 10yrs without selling a dime from your bitcoin.

my opinion better put emergency fund in bitcoin investment
The only time that is is wise to use emergency funds for bitcoin is when the emergency dunds has pilles up to an extent that, you know that no matter the level of emergency that occurs there is more than enough to take of it. You can then use some part of youe emergency funds to invest in bitcoin. It is also not a most that we will have emergency all the time.

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September 22, 2023, 04:37:21 PM
 #3016

Some people can even invest 30% of their salary in bitcoin, 50% in their needs and bills for that month, and 20% in emergency funds, but that still depends on how much the person is earning.

I like these kinds of categories, yet there is still a difference in regards to how much to allocate towards something for each paycheck, but if the emergency fund is not being used, then it does not need to be allocated into, except if such emergency fund is getting rebuilt from having had been depleted... so when you are describing the 20% for emergency fund, you are likely just referring to something like an expectation that you might have about variance in your expenses versus your income..,. so there is difference between a variance in your income versus expenses and the replenishing of an emergency fund... even though there could be cases that might be drawn out for a decent amount of time that might amount to replenishment of a depleted emergency fund...and some members have already suggested that an emergency funds should not be touched at all, except for the purpose that they are proscribed.  I am not 100% in agreement with that view, but I surely have a lot of sympathy for that kind of a conservative and self-imposed disciplined approach.

Yeah, you are right, Sir JayJuanGee. Although everyone has a different approach as to how they always like to make their allocations, which have been working for them the way they want, obviously, steadily allocating money to an emergency fund that has not yet been used would not add any profit to the money. The situation is just like keeping a lump sum of money in your safe, which is not invested anywhere and will therefore be affected by inflation.

I am of the opinion that the emergency fund should only be replenished when the initial allocation from the first paycheck has been fully utilized for the intended expenses.

Let's say, for example, that someone receives a paycheck on the first month and the person allots 20% of the salary into an emergency fund safe, and due to fewer expenses, or perhaps there were no arising expenses for that month, the emergency fund was not spent. Then there would be no need to still allocate more funds (20%) to the already existing emergency fund if the person received another pay check for the second month's salary.

If perhaps the person still has their first-month emergency fun allocation unspent, they can then allocate the 50% (20% + 30%) to their Bitcoin investment or another investment if they have any, because it will be profitless to always keep allocating more funds to emergency funds whereas they are not being spent and are not going to generate any profit.

I agree with what you said.

Do it in the way that is best comfortable for you, depending on how much you earn every week or month. Everybody's salary varies; some people can put more money into their bitcoin investment and only put less money into their emergency funds, and yet they will not be affected in any way; they will still have their needs contained until they receive their next salary and work out the new budget they also have for that month.

Some people can even invest 30% of their salary in bitcoin, 50% in their needs and bills for that month, and 20% in emergency funds, but that still depends on how much the person is earning.

Of course that is the most convenient way at the moment but in the future I will readjust how to distribute the budget more evenly and larger on bitcoin investment, as I said I want to increase the strong fund first so that it is safer and stronger for a few months the rest can focus on bitcoin defensively by increasing the DCA.

I believe many of them do that such as 30% bitcoin investment 10% emergency fund the rest of the needs to cover a month, for now it should be more adjusted again and strategize a good budget over the long term for bitcoin investment.

Well, the fact remains that everyone has their own way of doing things in order to avoid financial hardship. Your approach is not bad; when you have your expenses covered, you can always increase your Bitcoin investment allocation.

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September 22, 2023, 07:53:02 PM
Merited by Samlucky O (2), fillippone (1)
 #3017

Emergency fund is not recommended for investing in bitcoin but no bad to use it because put emergency fund in bitcoin have potential in the future price keep increasing than hold in pocket only, not really difficult for withdrawing emergency fund when saving in Bitcoin due put or hold in exchange wallet and when emergency happening to us we can sell and withdraw to bank account without take 10 minutes. No one can't predicting when happening with something urgent for us and my opinion better put emergency fund in bitcoin investment and seems the same when have parent hold or save their money allocated for children education. Hold in the bank can make it double although we start investing when our children under two or three years and take at seven or ten years later. Its very important allocated our fund for children cost but effective when saving or put in Bitcoin.
No, @armanda90, you are totally wrong. If you keep your emergency funds in Bitcoin, that means you are not actually keeping the funds for an emergency, but instead of investing them, emergency funds should be kept in a fiat bank or other place except Bitcoin.
As long as you are saving your emergency funds in Bitcoin, you will always go straight to your Bitcoin when emergency cases occur and saving in Bitcoin is not a thing you should be selling all the time. Bitcoin is an investment you should live for a longer time and investing in Bitcoin you must have a purpose for the investment, but saving in Bitcoin for an emergency is not a good idea.

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September 22, 2023, 07:57:00 PM
 #3018


The guarantee of a monthly cash inflow gives us ease of mind. We can think clearly because we don't need to think about our monthly expenses. Saving a portion of our wages and investing them for long-term growth gives us confidence about our future, and we think of ourselves as cleavers and long-term visionaries. When things turn against them, they think of themselves as stupid; this is human nature.

Not to use your investment (in bitcoin) when emergencies arise is a strong statement but not a practical one. When people don't have money to cover emergency expenses, they tend to sell their assets. If you are investing in bitcoin as a retirement plan, then you should not sell it, but in times of emergency, your senses will tell you to sell it.


I would say if you are thinking for long-term and Also doing BTC accumulation its good idea. in case if it is me who is doing BTC accumulation i would never withdraw my BTC until i reach my planned goal. I think this time is very smart we also need to smart as we know this is the time where alot of people having good cash inflow by doing from different kinda online jobs and physical jobs as well.

they just need to prepare themselves  to overcome their emergency situation somehow So that they need not to withdraw their accumulated BTC in the form of funds as emergency situation.

The only thing that can resolve our emergency needs is money. As I have mentioned, it is easy to say that I won't touch my BTC holdings if any emergencies arise, but it is hard to do if you don't have any side income or any other source to assist you in resolving that issue. This happens to me many time. I tried my best not to sell part of my holding, but the situation forced me to do that.
Truly money can resolve our urgent needs but in some cases when money is not available, the available should go in for it or possibly take the place of the money to solve the problem. Most times things happen that no one bargained for but you will have no option but to respond accordingly. These experiences are sometimes among the reasons one needs to invest. Irrespective of the nature of the investment, for instance, bitcoin that you have direct access to when you are in urgent need that requires a financial commitment and you have no cash at hand and in your account but you have crypto assets. It is expected of you to sort yourself out.  That is good because when you have enough to sustain yourself and more, you invest the excess so as to serve you when you are in urgent need and the investment as the case may generate income as time goes by.
From your point of view about bitcoin investment, it is not supposed to be so. Because if you are investing so that when you get broke, you can go back to sell some part of your investment, it shows that you will not grow fast and you might run at loss, because you will be forced to sell when it is not your will. This also show that you are not prepared to set a good strategy in which you can use to accumulate and hodli for long. It is better that you don't buy aggressively or use majority of your incomne to DCA, because you will end up selling at the wrong price and you will definitely regret it. The amount of bitcoin that is sold can't be recovered easily, and this pattern isn't a good way to hodli, because hodlers don't sell their bitcoin but only plan to hodli for a long period of time. The DCA method is used to increase our bitcoin portfolio regularly, and that is why you should only use the amount that wouldn't affect your emergency needs and daily needs to invest in bitcoin, so that you don't go back to sell.

R


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September 22, 2023, 08:20:25 PM
Last edit: September 23, 2023, 05:55:31 AM by snowpega
 #3019


From your point of view about bitcoin investment, it is not supposed to be so. Because if you are investing so that when you get broke, you can go back to sell some part of your investment, it shows that you will not grow fast and you might run at loss, because you will be forced to sell when it is not your will. This also show that you are not prepared to set a good strategy in which you can use to accumulate and hodli for long. It is better that you don't buy aggressively or use majority of your incomne to DCA, because you will end up selling at the wrong price and you will definitely regret it. The amount of bitcoin that is sold can't be recovered easily, and this pattern isn't a good way to hodli, because hodlers don't sell their bitcoin but only plan to hodli for a long period of time. The DCA method is used to increase our bitcoin portfolio regularly, and that is why you should only use the amount that wouldn't affect your emergency needs and daily needs to invest in bitcoin, so that you don't go back to sell.

Buddy i catch your drift and i would like to add some point from my side as well. Most of the cases people started to do invest aggressively which is not good and when they ran out of money they used thier accumulated BTC as emergency funds. So, it is very important to have control on own emotional decision so that we don't have to repent at the end of the day And TBH these kinda things will never reach us to our fixed goal what the point we are doing Our BTC accumulation.

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September 22, 2023, 08:46:32 PM
 #3020

From your point of view about bitcoin investment, it is not supposed to be so. Because if you are investing so that when you get broke, you can go back to sell some part of your investment, it shows that you will not grow fast and you might run at loss, because you will be forced to sell when it is not your will. This also show that you are not prepared to set a good strategy in which you can use to accumulate and hodli for long. It is better that you don't buy aggressively or use majority of your incomne to DCA, because you will end up selling at the wrong price and you will definitely regret it. The amount of bitcoin that is sold can't be recovered easily, and this pattern isn't a good way to hodli, because hodlers don't sell their bitcoin but only plan to hodli for a long period of time. The DCA method is used to increase our bitcoin portfolio regularly, and that is why you should only use the amount that wouldn't affect your emergency needs and daily needs to invest in bitcoin, so that you don't go back to sell.

That's why JJG has mentioned overtrade. Don't overtrade so that you won't fall into a situation where you need to sell off your BTC from your long-term holding portfolio. In the bear market, people rush to invest in bitcoin, and they buy everything they have, and they don't consider having some leftover for any emergency situation. I fell into this type of situation before and learned my lesson.

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