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Author Topic: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread  (Read 127187 times)
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July 22, 2026, 10:17:04 PM
 #16321


[edited out]
Nah, Jan didn't reject Ankalaev's fight. He initially proposed to do it in a catchweight but Ankalaev refused. Blachowicz's team then went back and agreed to get it done in the light heavyweight but it was too late as Guskov had already accepted it. That's according to Jan at least, who explained it on X.

Welp….

That’s some classic UFC matchmaking chaos right there, so unfortunate.
I feel like it would have been a really good fight if it had happened




And Jan didn't get left overboard. He's going to fight Navajo Stirling, a young, undefeated prospect (10-0), on 1 August, which is the date the fight against Guskov was originally scheduled.

It’s a good thing that he’s not sitting out though. I believe his fight with Navajo is gonna be a solid scrap for August 1.

Think of it like this, a young undefeated prospect with city kickboxing backing vs a former veteran champ. Should be fun right ?

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July 23, 2026, 12:36:19 AM
 #16322

This could be turning point in Ankalaev carrier if he loses upcoming fight against Guskov.
I cant believe how low odds bookies are giving me, and I see huge value in placing something on Guskov.
Guskov didnt lose MMA fight for years and his last defeat was from Ozdemir in 2023.
Maybe I am insane but I can see this fight going to distance.

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July 23, 2026, 08:59:53 AM
 #16323

I guess I have to watch some highlights or last fights Guskov had, because I dont know and dont see why you guys give him such high chances of winning against Ankalaev. Ankalaev has bigger skulls in his record. Stumbled once against Pereira (its 1-1 among them, dont forget that), and people start talking about his career decline and retirement.

Anyway, I would pay more attention to Magomed Zaynukov fight. He is guy from Nurmagomedov/Makhachev team and trained under Khabibs father mentorship. He is the guy who accidentally got John Pork nickname Cheesy

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July 23, 2026, 12:17:44 PM
 #16324

Here's the degen parlay of the week...

Ankalaev
Erceg
Dulatov
Rzepecki
Kuniev
Vagaev
Walker
Jacoby
Patterson
Bonfim
Tuchalov
Davis Hussein

The line is at 497.94 so 10 bucks wins 4979.36.  Grin Grin  What so you guys think of the picks?

Anyway, here's the media day vid.

UFC Abu Dhabi Media Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJTRhLPry6o

R


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July 23, 2026, 12:49:09 PM
 #16325


Guyz just check the odds on Polymarket. It's insane like this many people trust Ankalaev to win that fight. I personally don't like Ankalaev because he is the only Russian fighter who gives up very quickly. Like in his last fight with Alex Pereira it was very disappointing. I know he won the first match but he should not give up in the second match so early. But let's see how he will come back.
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July 23, 2026, 07:05:14 PM
 #16326

Here's the degen parlay of the week...

Ankalaev
Erceg
Dulatov
Rzepecki
Kuniev
Vagaev
Walker
Jacoby
Patterson
Bonfim
Tuchalov
Davis Hussein

The line is at 497.94 so 10 bucks wins 4979.36.  Grin Grin  What so you guys think of the picks?

Anyway, here's the media day vid.

UFC Abu Dhabi Media Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJTRhLPry6o

I liked the addition of Valter Walker, Johnny Walker's brother. He always says he'll be champion in a few years and is just preparing. Let's see how committed he is. Depending on the outcome, you could bet he'll win with a foot submission, just like the other times.

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July 24, 2026, 07:03:10 AM
 #16327

Rzepecki

What made you chose Rzepecki over John Pork? 10-0 record in noname league is better than 8-0 record in noname league? Cheesy Dont forget that they are fighting in UAE, where rumors say Khabib & Co, as well as most of mountain guys, get magic dates and holy water Cheesy In other words Sheiks helped them to get juiced. I think among all underdogs, in this fight you have picked wrong.

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July 24, 2026, 10:06:16 AM
 #16328

Did you guys check recent photos of Ilia Topuria? As it seems, he has completely healed from the damage, his face looks very normal now. I'm not 100% sure whether the image is real or not but I think that 90% it's real. I've seen his other photos on TikTok and he seems really healed. Is he a wolverine or what? Here is the photo I'm gonna share anyway:



There was a very funny fake story floating on the internet. Paddy Pimblett trolled Ilia Topuria that he bought a stool used by Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250. It was a fake news actually but before I got to know it was a fake news, I really laughed a lot. Anyways, now I really think that it's time for these two to meet inside the Octagon.

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July 24, 2026, 12:20:37 PM
 #16329

~
What made you chose Rzepecki over John Pork? 10-0 record in noname league is better than 8-0 record in noname league? Cheesy Dont forget that they are fighting in UAE, where rumors say Khabib & Co, as well as most of mountain guys, get magic dates and holy water Cheesy In other words Sheiks helped them to get juiced. I think among all underdogs, in this fight you have picked wrong.
The UAE can be considered a home ground for Russian fighters, those from the Caucasus region, and athletes from Central Asian and Arab nations, including Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. They likely enjoy a distinct advantage because several prominent teams from those regions are closely tied to the ruling royal family.

It is going to be a great fight, as both are undefeated prospects. Zaynukov, aka 'Chanco,' is popular because he is part of Khabib's team. In this circumstance, if asked to pick a winner, I would choose Magomed Zaynukov over Damian Rzepecki simply because of that reputation. However, I would usually avoid placing a bet in this situation. Wink

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July 24, 2026, 12:36:21 PM
 #16330

Rzepecki

What made you chose Rzepecki over John Pork? 10-0 record in noname league is better than 8-0 record in noname league? Cheesy Dont forget that they are fighting in UAE, where rumors say Khabib & Co, as well as most of mountain guys, get magic dates and holy water Cheesy In other words Sheiks helped them to get juiced. I think among all underdogs, in this fight you have picked wrong.

Yup.  Lolol.  Just a random pick of an underdog.  I don't really care who those guys are.  Cheesy Cheesy  Degen parlays are basically long shots anyway, so why not.  'Where's your sense of adventure'?  Grin

But yeah, maybe you should help with the picks in these degen parlays next time.  Wink

Anyway, here are the weigh in results..

Magomed Ankalaev (205.5) vs. Bogdan Guskov (205.5)
Steve Erceg (126) vs. Ramazonbek Temirov (126)
Islam Dulatov (171) vs. Wellington Turman (170)
Magomed Zaynukov (155.5) vs. Damian Rzepecki (155.5)
Rizvan Kuniev (265.5) vs. Tyrell Fortune (258)
Abubakar Vagaev (171) vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (171)
Valter Walker (248) vs. Thomas Petersen (245)
Dustin Jacoby (205) vs. Muhammad Saidov (206)
Santiago Ponzinibbio (171) vs. Sam Patterson (170.5)
Ismael Bonfim (155.5) vs. Axel Sola (155.5)
Magomed Tuchalov (205.5) vs. Brendson Ribeiro (206)
Nurullo Aliev (156) vs. Mike Davis (156)
Cody Gibson (136) vs. Abdul Hussein (135.5)

UFC Abu Dhabi Ankalaev vs Guskov:  Weigh Ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Jf2YEQDe3s

R


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July 24, 2026, 12:59:25 PM
 #16331

This could be turning point in Ankalaev carrier if he loses upcoming fight against Guskov.
I cant believe how low odds bookies are giving me, and I see huge value in placing something on Guskov.
Guskov didnt lose MMA fight for years and his last defeat was from Ozdemir in 2023.
Maybe I am insane but I can see this fight going to distance.


I don't know why the odds are low, and I agree with you that Guskov has a better chance of winning, but I also don't think we should be underestimating Ankalaev because we are only making predictions based on the results we have seen. I won't be missing the fight, and I hope that everything goes as planned because I'm pretty sure that almost all of the support will be going for Guskov in this fight. Not losing an MMA fight since 2003 is something that Ankalaev will have to deal with tomorrow. It will be a very difficult match. Both of they would have been in serious preparation by now.











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July 24, 2026, 04:46:51 PM
 #16332

This could be turning point in Ankalaev carrier if he loses upcoming fight against Guskov.
I cant believe how low odds bookies are giving me, and I see huge value in placing something on Guskov.
Guskov didnt lose MMA fight for years and his last defeat was from Ozdemir in 2023.
Maybe I am insane but I can see this fight going to distance.


I don't know why the odds are low, and I agree with you that Guskov has a better chance of winning, but I also don't think we should be underestimating Ankalaev because we are only making predictions based on the results we have seen. I won't be missing the fight, and I hope that everything goes as planned because I'm pretty sure that almost all of the support will be going for Guskov in this fight. Not losing an MMA fight since 2003 is something that Ankalaev will have to deal with tomorrow. It will be a very difficult match. Both of they would have been in serious preparation by now.

Anakalev will play his usual boring game. He'll want to knock people down, score points, and hold on as long as possible. But his game plan is already predictable, so it's easier for Guskov. So I believe he'll struggle at the beginning but then manage to impose his game against Ankalaev.

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July 25, 2026, 09:31:12 AM
 #16333

Did you guys check recent photos of Ilia Topuria? As it seems, he has completely healed from the damage, his face looks very normal now. I'm not 100% sure whether the image is real or not but I think that 90% it's real. I've seen his other photos on TikTok and he seems really healed. Is he a wolverine or what? Here is the photo I'm gonna share anyway:



Good for him. It’s been like what?, 5 weeks since his fight with Gaethje, i think that’s pretty much enough time for him to have healed up significantly considering the fact that he didn’t need to do any facial surgeries.

His trainer said his orbital and nasal bone fractures were non displaced meaning that the bones in his eye sockets and around his nose area did not bend, they stayed in place and that was why his recovery process was quick.

Maybe he’s not quite Wolverine but he’s close enough i guess Smiley

There was a very funny fake story floating on the internet. Paddy Pimblett trolled Ilia Topuria that he bought a stool used by Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250. It was a fake news actually but before I got to know it was a fake news, I really laughed a lot. Anyways, now I really think that it's time for these two to meet inside the Octagon.

I never really took the jabs that they made at each other seriously lol, at some point i began to feel like they were content farming cos their thrash talking never really escalated into anything serious.

The whole stool buying thing was peak paddy being paddy; funny for a day and then forgotten lmao.

I believe it would be a good fight though that’s if the UFC eventually makes it happen but yeah, their whole verbal feud and thrash talk never really felt that deep to me.




Anakalev will play his usual boring game. He'll want to knock people down, score points, and hold on as long as possible. But his game plan is already predictable, so it's easier for Guskov. So I believe he'll struggle at the beginning but then manage to impose his game against Ankalaev.

Someone chooses to be calculative by controlling their range, picking their moments carefully and not taking unnecessary damages to themselves but he’s being labeled as a boring fighter lmao; c’mon give the guy a break.

You all need to understand that not every fighter is built to stand and bang for 25 minutes, some guys are more calculated by nature and Ankalaev seems to fall into that category but that doesn’t make him any less of a skilled fighter.

He may be less entertaining to some fans like you @Pumared that want constant fireworks in the octagon, but for fans like me who appreciate the technical aspect of the sport, the timing, keeping distance, defense and fight IQ, we tend to respect what Ankalaev does.

Don’t get me wrong, stand and bang is exciting as hell but i’ve come to accept that not every matchup or fighter is built for it. And that acceptance has made me to realize that different styles exist in the sport to make it more better overall and variety they say is the spice of life.

That being said, I’m with Ankalaev on this one. He’s winning by decision or even a late TKO if Guskov overcommits.

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July 25, 2026, 01:30:44 PM
 #16334

This could be turning point in Ankalaev carrier if he loses upcoming fight against Guskov.
I cant believe how low odds bookies are giving me, and I see huge value in placing something on Guskov.
Guskov didnt lose MMA fight for years and his last defeat was from Ozdemir in 2023.
Maybe I am insane but I can see this fight going to distance.


I don't know why the odds are low, and I agree with you that Guskov has a better chance of winning, but I also don't think we should be underestimating Ankalaev because we are only making predictions based on the results we have seen. I won't be missing the fight, and I hope that everything goes as planned because I'm pretty sure that almost all of the support will be going for Guskov in this fight. Not losing an MMA fight since 2003 is something that Ankalaev will have to deal with tomorrow. It will be a very difficult match. Both of they would have been in serious preparation by now.

Anakalev will play his usual boring game. He'll want to knock people down, score points, and hold on as long as possible. But his game plan is already predictable, so it's easier for Guskov. So I believe he'll struggle at the beginning but then manage to impose his game against Ankalaev.

Lol Guskov doesn't have the cardio to 'impose' his game imho.  If anything, his chance to win the bout is to finish Ankalaev early...  And remember, Guskov took the fight on short notice as the bout was supposed to be Ankalaev vs Rountree but the latter had to withdraw due to injury.

Umar Nurmagomedov is supposed to be in the event too but for some reason it was cancelled.

Anyway, the event has already started.  Here's the post fight conference live once it finishes.

UFC Abu Dhabi:  Post-Fight Press Conference
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v7w1Iwu9lMA

R


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July 25, 2026, 02:00:49 PM
 #16335

~
I never really took the jabs that they made at each other seriously lol, at some point i began to feel like they were content farming cos their thrash talking never really escalated into anything serious.

The whole stool buying thing was peak paddy being paddy; funny for a day and then forgotten lmao.

I believe it would be a good fight though that’s if the UFC eventually makes it happen but yeah, their whole verbal feud and thrash talk never really felt that deep to me.
Paddy Pimblett and Ilia Topuria's Twitter beef started back in 2021 before turning into a full-on hotel brawl in London a year later. That was when Topuria swung at Paddy, prompting that legendary hand sanitizer bottle throw that became a massive meme. They almost went at it again backstage at UFC 282. Now that Justin Gaethje has handed both of them a loss, the UFC needs to book this grudge match immediately. The pre-fight trash talk alone will be insane theater.  Cheesy


~

Lol Guskov doesn't have the cardio to 'impose' his game imho.  If anything, his chance to win the bout is to finish Ankalaev early...  And remember, Guskov took the fight on short notice as the bout was supposed to be Ankalaev vs Rountree but the latter had to withdraw due to injury.

Umar Nurmagomedov is supposed to be in the event too but for some reason it was cancelled.

Anyway, the event has already started.  Here's the post fight conference live once it finishes.
 
The bout featuring Umar Nurmagomedov was scrapped after his opponent pulled out with an injury, leaving no time to secure a replacement. Since the event is taking place in the UAE, it has already begun, and the second fight of the night is ongoing.

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July 25, 2026, 03:02:29 PM
 #16336

Here's the degen parlay of the week...

Ankalaev
Erceg
Dulatov
Rzepecki
Kuniev
Vagaev
Walker
Jacoby
Patterson
Bonfim
Tuchalov
Davis Hussein

The line is at 497.94 so 10 bucks wins 4979.36.  Grin Grin  What so you guys think of the picks?

Anyway, here's the media day vid.

UFC Abu Dhabi Media Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJTRhLPry6o

I had Bonfim too because I thought his grappling would be the difference...
He couldn't force his game at all.

RIP the parlay.

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July 25, 2026, 03:14:01 PM
 #16337

Good for him. It’s been like what?, 5 weeks since his fight with Gaethje, i think that’s pretty much enough time for him to have healed up significantly considering the fact that he didn’t need to do any facial surgeries.

His trainer said his orbital and nasal bone fractures were non displaced meaning that the bones in his eye sockets and around his nose area did not bend, they stayed in place and that was why his recovery process was quick.

Maybe he’s not quite Wolverine but he’s close enough i guess Smiley
Basically 6 weeks have passed since his fight with Gaethje at UFC White House card. I'm not a doctor and I don't know how good his recovery was but honestly, from what I've seen, including my injuries and injuries of other people, if we keep in mind how his face was beaten, I'm honestly shocked that today he looks like he never got an injury. The guy's face was swollen, his face was unrecognizable, he couldn't open his eyes for more than a week. That's why I am in shocked how well he looks right now.

Now that Justin Gaethje has handed both of them a loss, the UFC needs to book this grudge match immediately. The pre-fight trash talk alone will be insane theater.  Cheesy
Paddy has no chance against Ilia. Ilia could also beat Justin but his own ego ruined him. Also, their trash talk is not gonna be an insane theater because they both are really good and nice guys, their trash talk is fake. Honestly, after seeing Conor's trash talk during his active years, no fighter managed to slightly surprise me except DDP.

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Today at 08:53:04 AM
 #16338

Topuria vs Paddy would be really a cool fight. This would be second real test for Topuria to see if he is able to fight guys who prefer not to fight standing. First test was Oliveira, and by the start, Charles was making it good (until he decided that his muay thai is better than Topuria boxing). I think Paddy will do everything to avoid striking and would look for early submission. If Topuria loses in that fight, it will be a huge hit on his ego and reputation, because Paddy will also try (and will if he wins) mock him verbally and mentally.

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Today at 12:20:20 PM
 #16339

Did anybody watch the event (I didn't Cheesy)?  When I looked at the results I was kinda surprised that Guskov lasted 5 rounds before getting finished.  Gonna watch the replay later as it got me curious.  Was the main event event good?

Here are the results...

Magomed Ankalaev def. Bogdan Guskov via TKO (ground-and-pound) – Round 5, 2:41
Ramazan Temirov def. Steve Erceg via TKO (punches) – Round 1, 4:21
Magomed Zaynukov def. Damian Rzepecki via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Rizvan Kuniev def. Tyrell Fortune via TKO (strikes) – Round 3, 1:12
Abubakar Vagaev def. Saygid Izagakhmaev via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Valter Walker def. Thomas Petersen via submission (calf slicer) – Round 1, 1:32
Muhammad Saidov def. Dustin Jacoby via TKO (strikes) – Round 2, 4:49
Sam Patterson def. Santiago Ponzinibbio via TKO (punch) – Round 2, 3:06
Axel Sola def. Ismael Bonfim via submission (D'Arce choke) – Round 1, 4:44
Magomed Tuchalov def. Brendson Ribeiro via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Nurullo Aliev def. Mike Davis via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Abdul Hussein def. Cody Gibson via submission (arm-triangle choke) – Round 3, 3:07

UFC Abu Dhabi:  Post Fight Press Conference
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v7w1Iwu9lMA

R


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Today at 02:01:09 PM
 #16340

Did anybody watch the event (I didn't)?
Having this in Abu Dhabi had caught those who usually were expecting a fight night to be later on in the day off guard. It had to have started late in the morning for those in the states and ended mid afternoon. So those who had spent their weekend away from a paramount feed would of missed of it as I did too.
But looking at of the results most of the favorites had won their matches so it was a good day for those who bet on this event in the middle east.
Valter Walker had another win by heel hook submission so that must be his fourth bout in arow that it ended this way. Unreal since you would think that is what his opponents will be defending against.

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