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Question: 2023/2024 La Liga Champion will be
Barcelona - 29 (24%)
Real Madrid - 82 (67.8%)
Atletico Madrid - 1 (0.8%)
Sevilla - 0 (0%)
Valencia - 1 (0.8%)
Villareal - 0 (0%)
Real Sociedad - 0 (0%)
Other - 8 (6.6%)
Total Voters: 121

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Author Topic: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24  (Read 421803 times)
bering
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May 01, 2024, 08:50:40 AM
 #74481

Mathematically Sevilla only required 2 wins again to survive at Laliga and their manager Quique Sánchez Flores was very optimistic he can bringing Sevilla to avoiding relegated zone and since Quique Sánchez Flores was handle this team on December Sevilla can gets 7 wins in Laliga so i think this is good progress because Sevilla performance was much better compared to under their previous manager and now Sevilla can occupy 13th place with collect 38 points from 33 matches

Last week Sevilla was slipped because they were unable to gets the winning result from Betis and next weekend they shouldn't be slipped anymore because if Sevilla draw again or even lost then their chances to avoiding relegation zone will be very slim and according to Sevilla schedules next weekend they will fight against Granada and on the paper this match should be easy for them but Sevilla shouldn't be underestimate Granada because surprisingly their performance has good progress even in the last 3 matches Granada still unbeated and the latest is Granada can beat Osasuna with big scores 3-0 so Sevilla should beware of Granada because this team potentially can makes them to lost points again

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May 01, 2024, 09:01:58 AM
 #74482

Real Madrid did not play too well in this match and their coach Ancelotti frankly talked about it in a press conference after the match. The key point in this match is Kim Min Jae and Vinicius Jr. The defender made mistakes that lead to a penalty for Real Madrid and Vinicius scored a second goal for Real Madrid.

They are probably more relaxed now, because although mathematically they haven't won the league yet, the distance over Barcelona with only 5 games to go is very comfortable, because they just need not to fuck up to win it. This next match day they could already be proclaimed champions.
i'm confused by the strategy that Ancelotti used when facing Bayern, he put Bellingham as a wing attacker, while when facing Sociedad some time ago, Bellingham was not played.  In fact, i prefer Madrid's performance against Sociedad rather than against Bayern.  This season's UCL seems to be going very hard for Madrid, even though Madrid are the strongest in La Liga. 

Meanwhile in La Liga, Madrid's performance is very impressive, the La Liga title is in sight.

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May 01, 2024, 09:15:30 AM
 #74483

Well, Girona players are trying in this season, because they lead the match in the first half  1-2 to reduced the strength of Barcelona but the red card later frustrated their plans to lose against Barcelona.

It was Valencia who faced Barcelona away two days ago, not Girona. The Girona - Barcelona game is going to be played three days later.

For that game my expectation is a win by Barcelona away by the way. I'm fully aware of what happened in the last game between these teams. Girona got a really huge win. However those times Barcelona were really horrible. I can't say they are like that anymore. I really liked their effort against Real Madrid away too. Girona are surely one of the best home teams in the league but I still think Barcelona will manage to win and secure the second spot after.

I'd like to remind another thing that Atletico Madrid are the best home team now but their only loss was against Barcelona.  Smiley

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May 01, 2024, 11:24:15 AM
 #74484

I love "BTTS No" bets but when the odds are closer to 3  Grin
+86% looks good for profit per game, but in my opinion the risk here is comparable. Barcelona players should be encouraged that Xavi remains and there is no doubt that Barcelona will score, the problem is that they have problems with defense and Valencia will also have chances to score. If I honestly would not place such a bet, I would rather bet on Barcelona to win with a handicap of -1 with odds of 2.05. This is a risky bet, but here the profit justifies the risk (there is a small value).
gosh, my prediction wasn't right this time. Cry
yesterday at first I was doubtful after reading your reply with option -1 for Barcelona to win but I tried to be consistent with my prediction but the results were bad.
maybe if you keep betting on the result -1, you will definitely win your bet with higher odds than I have and that is very profitable.
Barcelona looked good in that match but what was on my mind was why was Barcelona still conceding?
since the first minute it started I believed that Barcelona defense would be able to survive without conceding because Barcelona really dominated the match but I was surprised by Hugo Duro who answered the score that had been scored by Fermin and at that moment I had no more hope.

Sorry about your loss, but it's betting - we get profit (if haha) only in distance, there's no option to win every bet. Barcelona has had problems with defense since the very start of the season, without deep analytics it is clear that the probability that they will concede a goal in a single game is at least (rather higher) 50%. If we compare with last season, Barcelona have already conceded twice as many goals, and there are still 5 rounds ahead.
Specifically in this game, I was upset that I saw the score after the first half, the red card and thought that it would be nice to bet on Barcelona, but I was not at home so I don’t even know what the odds were at that time.

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May 01, 2024, 11:35:43 AM
 #74485

I love "BTTS No" bets but when the odds are closer to 3  Grin
+86% looks good for profit per game, but in my opinion the risk here is comparable. Barcelona players should be encouraged that Xavi remains and there is no doubt that Barcelona will score, the problem is that they have problems with defense and Valencia will also have chances to score. If I honestly would not place such a bet, I would rather bet on Barcelona to win with a handicap of -1 with odds of 2.05. This is a risky bet, but here the profit justifies the risk (there is a small value).
gosh, my prediction wasn't right this time. Cry
yesterday at first I was doubtful after reading your reply with option -1 for Barcelona to win but I tried to be consistent with my prediction but the results were bad.
maybe if you keep betting on the result -1, you will definitely win your bet with higher odds than I have and that is very profitable.
Barcelona looked good in that match but what was on my mind was why was Barcelona still conceding?
since the first minute it started I believed that Barcelona defense would be able to survive without conceding because Barcelona really dominated the match but I was surprised by Hugo Duro who answered the score that had been scored by Fermin and at that moment I had no more hope.

Sorry about your loss, but it's betting - we get profit (if haha) only in distance, there's no option to win every bet. Barcelona has had problems with defense since the very start of the season, without deep analytics it is clear that the probability that they will concede a goal in a single game is at least (rather higher) 50%. If we compare with last season, Barcelona have already conceded twice as many goals, and there are still 5 rounds ahead.
Specifically in this game, I was upset that I saw the score after the first half, the red card and thought that it would be nice to bet on Barcelona, but I was not at home so I don’t even know what the odds were at that time.
These are situations that can happen in betting. There may be losses and there may be gains. Real Madrid is playing well this year, while Barcelona is performing poorly compared to the players they have. Their last performance against Valencia was not actually very good. Barcelona scored 2 goals in the last 10 minutes and managed to win the match.

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SPIN

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May 01, 2024, 12:14:35 PM
 #74486

So far, Real Madrid and Barcelona have been confirmed to qualify for next season's Champions League, but there are 2 places that will still be contested by other teams before the season ends. Things can still change between Girona, Atletico and Bilbao and maybe we will see these three teams fighting for a place in the champions league later. Overall, Girona is actually quite far ahead with a difference of 7 points from Atletico and for Bilbao they have a very large difference of 11 points. So here Girona's chances are much greater than those of the other two teams.

However, if we look at the match schedules of the three teams, they are actually not in trouble, but it's just possible that with Girona's current performance they could lose points against Barcelona and Valencia. This could cause them to be overtaken by Atletico and shift their position. But on the other hand, if Atletico fails to sweep all the matches then Bilbao will be prepared to displace them from the top four. Anything can still happen and this competition is definitely very fierce.

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May 01, 2024, 12:27:46 PM
 #74487

For that game my expectation is a win by Barcelona away by the way. I'm fully aware of what happened in the last game between these teams. Girona got a really huge win. However those times Barcelona were really horrible. I can't say they are like that anymore. I really liked their effort against Real Madrid away too. Girona are surely one of the best home teams in the league but I still think Barcelona will manage to win and secure the second spot after.

I'd like to remind another thing that Atletico Madrid are the best home team now but their only loss was against Barcelona.  Smiley
If Barcelona loses again in the match against Girona then it will be the most embarrassing season for Barcelona in front of Girona fans. Because I think Barcelona's defeat in the first meeting at the start of the season was quite a terrible defeat. So that must not happen again if Barcelona still wants to maintain their current reputation. I also hope for Barcelona's victory this time. I hope Barcelona can avenge their previous defeat by winning the upcoming match. And maybe I will be more confident to bet on Barcelona for that match.

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May 01, 2024, 12:43:49 PM
 #74488

Real Madrid did not play too well in this match and their coach Ancelotti frankly talked about it in a press conference after the match. The key point in this match is Kim Min Jae and Vinicius Jr. The defender made mistakes that lead to a penalty for Real Madrid and Vinicius scored a second goal for Real Madrid.

They are probably more relaxed now, because although mathematically they haven't won the league yet, the distance over Barcelona with only 5 games to go is very comfortable, because they just need not to fuck up to win it. This next match day they could already be proclaimed champions.
i'm confused by the strategy that Ancelotti used when facing Bayern, he put Bellingham as a wing attacker, while when facing Sociedad some time ago, Bellingham was not played.  In fact, i prefer Madrid's performance against Sociedad rather than against Bayern.  This season's UCL seems to be going very hard for Madrid, even though Madrid are the strongest in La Liga. 

Meanwhile in La Liga, Madrid's performance is very impressive, the La Liga title is in sight.
Whatever strategy Ancelotti implements, I think they have been successful in the first leg against Bayern, a draw is quite good because in the second leg they will play at home and thus the percentage for Real Madrid to advance to the final is quite large now.

Anceloti is quite an experienced coach and he made several changes for the performance he wanted and it proved to be successful. Throughout this season we can see how the Real Madrid team made a lot of rotations and their performance was still maintained.

Real Madrid hasn't celebrated the La Liga title yet, but I think with the points advantage they have, no other team can catch up on their points, now Real Madrid only needs to focus on the Champions League match and they also have a very big chance of becoming Champions. League this season.

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May 01, 2024, 12:54:15 PM
 #74489

Although Barcelona managed to make a quick goal in the 22nd minute but anyway, Valencia managed to make two goals back quickly also in the 27th and 38th minutes. Furthermore, the Valencia goalkeeper received a red card and entering the second half Valencia was playing with 10 players and with that factor, Barcelona was lucky because it was only against 10 players so Barcelona could maximize it by winning this match. But anyway, if Valencia is still playing with 11 players, I'm sure Barcelona won't be able to win easily like that because anyway, basically lately Valencia is not as bad as imagined.

The way the match went was interesting to watch, and I can also attest that Valencia also tried their best to stop Barcelona from winning them, but they later failed to do so. However, even before the red card, I have hope that Barcelona are going to win the game because they are stronger than Valencia, and the match is very important for them to win to continue securing their position as the second team in the table. Though I agreed that if Valencia did not get the red card, even if Barcelona won, it would be very tough and hard for them. 

R


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May 01, 2024, 12:54:20 PM
 #74490

So far, Real Madrid and Barcelona have been confirmed to qualify for next season's Champions League, but there are 2 places that will still be contested by other teams before the season ends. Things can still change between Girona, Atletico and Bilbao and maybe we will see these three teams fighting for a place in the champions league later. Overall, Girona is actually quite far ahead with a difference of 7 points from Atletico and for Bilbao they have a very large difference of 11 points. So here Girona's chances are much greater than those of the other two teams.
It's hard to replace girona with the remaining games left for atletico madrid.



Look at the upcoming fixtures. I think that girona will be only losing against barcelona. What about the rest of matches? Girona will obviously win it. Granada, alaves, valencia. These teams were so badly this season. There's no doubt that if girona will win the remaining game except barcelona's match.
I expect girona to lose three points against barcelona soon.


However, if we look at the match schedules of the three teams, they are actually not in trouble, but it's just possible that with Girona's current performance they could lose points against Barcelona and Valencia. This could cause them to be overtaken by Atletico and shift their position. But on the other hand, if Atletico fails to sweep all the matches then Bilbao will be prepared to displace them from the top four. Anything can still happen and this competition is definitely very fierce.
It's hard to imagine that if girona will lose against valencia, i thought girona would win it since valencia was not that strong. I consider the remaining games after barcelona match are easy games for girona.

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May 01, 2024, 02:02:18 PM
 #74491

Girona qualifying for the Champions league for the next season is a great milestones for them and even though they could not make it as champions of the league, they are already guaranteed of the Champions League for next year which sets the club up in a more elaborate and competitive platform to perform.

Atletico Madrid on the other hand underestimated the efforts of Girona with their underperformance. But they will still qualify being at the 4th position of the table standing 6 points ahead of the Atletic Club who are at the 5th position of the table and by default cannot make it to the Champions league
With the remaining matches in Laliga, Girona is certain to qualify for the UCL next season. The reason is that at the end of this season, Girona has pocketed quite a lot of points and is certain to be firmly in the top 4 of Laliga. Apart from that, UCL is indeed a new competition for Girona. Because as far as I know, Girona has never participated in this extraordinary competition. So if next season Girona manages to enter the UCL, this will indeed be a big history for Girona. I really appreciate Girona's journey to become as great as it is now. Of course, this could be achieved thanks to the persistence of the players, coaches and of course Girona management. Apart from that, one factor that should not be forgotten is that Girona has the same company as Manchester City. So it makes sense that Girona can go that fast in Laliga. The reason is that Girona is certain to have stable enough finances to be able to bring in quite talented players.

And yes, this season Atletico Madrid must be willing to be eliminated by Girona from the top 3 positions in Laliga. The reason is that usually in previous seasons Atletico Madrid always managed to finish in the top 3 positions. However, this season Atletico Madrid seems to have the potential to be knocked out of the top 3 and only finish in 4th place. So in essence, Girona this season has really become an unexpected scapegoat. The reason is that apart from having great potential to overtake Atletico Madrid, Girona also has great potential to overtake Barcelona in 2nd place. And this will be determined by Girona's match in the coming week. Because next week Girona will face Barcelona. So if Girona can win this match, Girona will definitely overtake Barcelona in the Laliga standings.

Apart from that, Atletico Madrid does have the opportunity to qualify for the UCL again this season. But don't forget, Bilbao will always try hard to take 4th place from Atletico Madrid. Therefore, Atletico Madrid must continue to be consistent in the remaining matches and not make mistakes at the end of this season.

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May 01, 2024, 02:13:02 PM
 #74492

Real Madrid did not play too well in this match and their coach Ancelotti frankly talked about it in a press conference after the match. The key point in this match is Kim Min Jae and Vinicius Jr. The defender made mistakes that lead to a penalty for Real Madrid and Vinicius scored a second goal for Real Madrid.

They are probably more relaxed now, because although mathematically they haven't won the league yet, the distance over Barcelona with only 5 games to go is very comfortable, because they just need not to fuck up to win it. This next match day they could already be proclaimed champions.

Yes that is how it is and see how Real Madrid can make sure in almost any game against any opponent that they don't fall hopelessly behind. They did it against Manchester City, they did it against Bayern Munich now and they recently did it against Barcelona. My point is if they have to, they simply step up their game. As most here know Ancelotti and how important the Champions League is to him, he will definitely keep resting some of his top players in league games as he knows that even if they suck hard and play badly, if necessary can change it all up and collect the few points they still need to mathematically secure the La Liga title. This is all now about a comfortable situation and the last thing they care about at the moment is to play brilliant football in La Liga. It will be result-oriented and that's it. It is 11 points, so they would literally have to lose 4 games. Even draws are ok for them.

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May 01, 2024, 02:22:08 PM
 #74493

If Barcelona loses again in the match against Girona then it will be the most embarrassing season for Barcelona in front of Girona fans. Because I think Barcelona's defeat in the first meeting at the start of the season was quite a terrible defeat. So that must not happen again if Barcelona still wants to maintain their current reputation. I also hope for Barcelona's victory this time. I hope Barcelona can avenge their previous defeat by winning the upcoming match. And maybe I will be more confident to bet on Barcelona for that match.
Barcelona lost in the first meeting because at that time the two teams were at different levels, Girona was at the peak of their performance, while Barcelona defense area was very fragile. This game is very important for both teams who are trying to secure second place, Girona recent unstable performance will have difficulty repeating their success in the first meeting.

Barcelona performance in the last six matches in La Liga has been very consistent, Xavi Hernandez managed to lead his team to five wins and one defeat. In my opinion, Real Madrid's defeat was very natural because of the difference in quality between the two teams and was also marred by several controversies during the match. This time Barcelona will not hand over points to Girona, Xavi will certainly try to avenge the defeat in the first meeting by fielding his best squad and playing the match at a high level.

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May 01, 2024, 02:28:56 PM
 #74494

I dont think Atletico can cut the distance between them and Girona and reach the podium position, anyways this doesnt have so much impact because both teams are gonna ended up in the next champions League but only for stadistical pourpose Atletico Madrid end in the first three position since a few years.


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MAAManda
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May 01, 2024, 02:35:46 PM
 #74495

So far, Real Madrid and Barcelona have been confirmed to qualify for next season's Champions League, but there are 2 places that will still be contested by other teams before the season ends. Things can still change between Girona, Atletico and Bilbao and maybe we will see these three teams fighting for a place in the champions league later. Overall, Girona is actually quite far ahead with a difference of 7 points from Atletico and for Bilbao they have a very large difference of 11 points. So here Girona's chances are much greater than those of the other two teams.

However, if we look at the match schedules of the three teams, they are actually not in trouble, but it's just possible that with Girona's current performance they could lose points against Barcelona and Valencia. This could cause them to be overtaken by Atletico and shift their position. But on the other hand, if Atletico fails to sweep all the matches then Bilbao will be prepared to displace them from the top four. Anything can still happen and this competition is definitely very fierce.

Because the gap is too big between Girona & Bilbao, I think one place in the UCL next season has already been secured by Girona, Girona only needs 2 more wins to make it official. Now we just have to wait for the results from Atletico Madrid & Bilbao because in fact they are the ones currently competing for the remaining 1 slot. Atletico Madrid's win over Bilbao in the last match also makes me confident that Atletico Madrid will actually secure 1 more slot.

Another reason for Atletico Madrid to secure 1 more slot is that there are no great opponents in their remaining matches, it is only Mallorca, Celta Vigo, Getafe, Osasuna & Real Sociedad.

R


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May 01, 2024, 02:35:56 PM
 #74496


The way the match went was interesting to watch, and I can also attest that Valencia also tried their best to stop Barcelona from winning them, but they later failed to do so. However, even before the red card, I have hope that Barcelona are going to win the game because they are stronger than Valencia, and the match is very important for them to win to continue securing their position as the second team in the table. Though I agreed that if Valencia did not get the red card, even if Barcelona won, it would be very tough and hard for them.
The match against Valencia has proved Barcelona's capacity is indeed worthy of being in the top two La Liga this season, Valencia actually played quite well in the game and even they were ahead of Barcelona with a score of 1-2, Valencia's game throughout the first half was quite impressive, although they lost possession but still Valencia was able to provide a strong resistance to Barcelona,  And even Valencia was able to threaten Barcelona's goal several times, but indeed the red card obtained by Mamardashvili at the end of the first half has made the direction of the game change.

In the second half, of course Barcelona continued to catch up with them in the game until the 49th minute only Barcelona could make the score a 2-2 draw, superior number of players of course made Barcelona easier to dominate and also continued to press Valencia's defense so that in the end Lewandowski's hat trick became the decisive winner of Barcelona in the match, next week we will see Barcelona vs Girona will meet to determine who hopes to stay in Ranked 2nd in the La Liga standings at the end of the season.

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Baki202
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May 01, 2024, 03:01:45 PM
 #74497

The way the match went was interesting to watch, and I can also attest that Valencia also tried their best to stop Barcelona from winning them, but they later failed to do so. However, even before the red card, I have hope that Barcelona are going to win the game because they are stronger than Valencia, and the match is very important for them to win to continue securing their position as the second team in the table. Though I agreed that if Valencia did not get the red card, even if Barcelona won, it would be very tough and hard for them. 
And from what both Barcelona and Valencia played was interesting and Valencia scored first and that was a mistake coming from the goalkeeper and maybe he thought it was offside and his realization was already to late, when I saw the first goal I was surprised at what the keeper was trying to display making such error, few minutes later a penalty was awarded and what annoyed me with Valencia was the fact that they were leading with two goal they could not defend that two goals, lewandowski alone scored 3 goals. A valid point there that Barcelona is much stronger than Valencia and they dominated the game as if it was nothing.

And from what happened it shows that Barcelona wants to catch up and it is already late the only club they should watch over closely now will be girona because they are just two point away from girona on the table.

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May 01, 2024, 03:20:55 PM
 #74498

-snip

Sorry about your loss, but it's betting - we get profit (if haha) only in distance, there's no option to win every bet. Barcelona has had problems with defense since the very start of the season, without deep analytics it is clear that the probability that they will concede a goal in a single game is at least (rather higher) 50%. If we compare with last season, Barcelona have already conceded twice as many goals, and there are still 5 rounds ahead.
Specifically in this game, I was upset that I saw the score after the first half, the red card and thought that it would be nice to bet on Barcelona, but I was not at home so I don’t even know what the odds were at that time.
thank you for your information. I just realized that I forgot something important and only bet according to my own opinion without predicting the outcome of the match.
I just realized that Barcelona conceded more goals this season than last season and I only realized it after you said about Barcelona weaknesses recently.
your information can give me additional information to bet on the Barcelona match in the next match but not bet again on BTTS. Cheesy

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May 01, 2024, 03:30:55 PM
 #74499

And from what happened it shows that Barcelona wants to catch up and it is already late the only club they should watch over closely now will be girona because they are just two point away from girona on the table.
It's really too late to catch up, especially since the point difference with Madrid is quite far, it looks like Madrid will declare themselves Laliga champions this season. It won't be long before Barcelona actually doesn't need to worry about Girona because they will finish in the top four too and get a UCL ticket next season which is definitely on the way. they are fighting over it in the end, so whoever is the runner up, those in third place will still get a UCL ticket too, I think it is important to get a UCL ticket and they should focus on maintaining that in order to finish in the top four.

No matter how hard Girona tries to overtake Barcelona as runners up, of course both of them are fighting to finish in the top four, especially since Xavi hasn't really left Barcelona so he will probably continue to utilize his abilities to keep Barcelona on the winning path until the end of this season, at least get the runner up position until this season ends, I'm sure Barcelona will not worry about Girona even though they may hope that Barcelona experiences failure and loses points but it seems that it is difficult to happen. Barcelona is still consistently in second place as runner up.

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May 01, 2024, 03:48:43 PM
 #74500

Well, Girona players are trying in this season, because they lead the match in the first half  1-2 to reduced the strength of Barcelona but the red card later frustrated their plans to lose against Barcelona.

It was Valencia who faced Barcelona away two days ago, not Girona. The Girona - Barcelona game is going to be played three days later.

For that game my expectation is a win by Barcelona away by the way. I'm fully aware of what happened in the last game between these teams. Girona got a really huge win. However those times Barcelona were really horrible. I can't say they are like that anymore. I really liked their effort against Real Madrid away too. Girona are surely one of the best home teams in the league but I still think Barcelona will manage to win and secure the second spot after.

I'd like to remind another thing that Atletico Madrid are the best home team now but their only loss was against Barcelona.  Smiley

Yeah me too I have a strong hope for Barcelona to win that match against Girona, although like you said their last meeting was not so good for Barcelona because they lost the match against Girona but those days was their Weakest moment and by then Girona was still better than them in performance but ever since Barcelona regain their performance Girona was no longer stronger than Barcelona so I agree with you that this meeting will not be like the previous one because right now Barcelona has the performance to win Girona without too much difficulties, however since Barcelona targets is on the second place they will always make sure to keep wining in other not to be challenged by any team.

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