Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev

[ralle14]

I've been playing more securely start with the 20 cent bet. If you want to "reliably" get at least 25 dollars, then betting 10 at once is very risky - while I was betting, I saw 2 series of 5 identical colors in a row.

Thanks, I didn't know you could place a 20 cent bet as I remember the lowest i've seen when switching over to USDT was 1 then 5,10,25. I agree though what I did could've been risky but I rarely experience getting greens on my first round though so no worries.  

Also luckily my bet survived on Arsenal's second game as I took under 3.5/4, it was a bit sweaty during the middle of the match when Arsenal gave a penalty to Zurich but thankfully they held on during the second half after scoring one goal to secure their three points.  

[1714501154]

1714501154

[1714501154]

1714501154

[CLS63]

I made this betslip after getting the free bet I won from the F1 pool. It finally won after Fenerbahçe defeated Dynamo Kiev today. But I was really nervous in the last minutes of the match because it was going on 1-1. Thanks to the new transfer Batshuayi, Fenerbahçe managed to win 2-1. He became the hero in a very important match right after he arrived here. It was a really special moment for me. 

[rdbase]

Don't believe there will be any EPL matches this weekend going into late next week due to the monarch passing.
So they declared 10 days of mourning for the nation.
It wouldn't feel the same playing a game when you are in this state.
It wouldn't be proper so Chelsea's new manager Potter gets an extra week and a few days to prepare against Fulham.
Very sad state of affairs there now.

[Igebotz]

Don't believe there will be any EPL matches this weekend going into late next week due to the monarch passing.
So they declared 10 days of mourning for the nation.
It wouldn't feel the same playing a game when you are in this state.
It wouldn't be proper so Chelsea's new manager Potter gets an extra week and a few days to prepare against Fulham.
Very sad state of affairs there now.

I just learned about the sad news a few hours ago. It's a trying time, but I never imagined it would affect sporting events in the nation. If it does, though, I think it's the right thing to do. As for Potter, I hope he uses this one week off to reacquaint the players with themselves because they all seem lost right now, and the Tuchel firing also had an impact on everyone. I was eagerly anticipating this weekend's matches in order to see if I could obtain 4-5 BTS picks.

[Trofo]

Don't believe there will be any EPL matches this weekend going into late next week due to the monarch passing.
So they declared 10 days of mourning for the nation.
It wouldn't feel the same playing a game when you are in this state.
It wouldn't be proper so Chelsea's new manager Potter gets an extra week and a few days to prepare against Fulham.
Very sad state of affairs there now.

I just learned about the sad news a few hours ago. It's a trying time, but I never imagined it would affect sporting events in the nation. If it does, though, I think it's the right thing to do. As for Potter, I hope he uses this one week off to reacquaint the players with themselves because they all seem lost right now, and the Tuchel firing also had an impact on everyone. I was eagerly anticipating this weekend's matches in order to see if I could obtain 4-5 BTS picks.

You are Chelsea supporter, so what is the true reason for sacking Tuchel? I heard he lost dressing room and respect from players when he ended his marriage after 12 years for some younger model. Then I hear Chelsea owner wanted Ronaldo and agreed everything with Chelsea and Tuchel stopped the transfer. Aperantly decison was already made and results were just excuse.

If the games get postponed they get crammed somewhere else and we continue the league as per schedule. Meaning Chelsea will not play Fulham, they will play whoever is scheduled for the week we resume.

[rdbase]

If the games get postponed they get crammed somewhere else and we continue the league as per schedule. Meaning Chelsea will not play Fulham, they will play whoever is scheduled for the week we resume.

Oh yes, that is correct Trofo.
They did this last season inwhich covid cancelled so many matches. And they continued on setout by the scheduling as per usual.
Some of the matches such as the Arsenal matches from what I recall were played out nearer to the end of the season.
So these selections made by the participants in the pool for these weekend matches don't get included into their overall points and the matchweek just gets scratched?

[Igebotz]

Don't believe there will be any EPL matches this weekend going into late next week due to the monarch passing.
So they declared 10 days of mourning for the nation.
It wouldn't feel the same playing a game when you are in this state.
It wouldn't be proper so Chelsea's new manager Potter gets an extra week and a few days to prepare against Fulham.
Very sad state of affairs there now.

I just learned about the sad news a few hours ago. It's a trying time, but I never imagined it would affect sporting events in the nation. If it does, though, I think it's the right thing to do. As for Potter, I hope he uses this one week off to reacquaint the players with themselves because they all seem lost right now, and the Tuchel firing also had an impact on everyone. I was eagerly anticipating this weekend's matches in order to see if I could obtain 4-5 BTS picks.

You are Chelsea supporter, so what is the true reason for sacking Tuchel? I heard he lost dressing room and respect from players when he ended his marriage after 12 years for some younger model. Then I hear Chelsea owner wanted Ronaldo and agreed everything with Chelsea and Tuchel stopped the transfer. Aperantly decison was already made and results were just excuse.

Those are some rumors on social media, but the truth is that Todd wanted Tuchel to get involved in player recruitment and help the club find a good DOF, but Tuchel insists his only job is to manage the players and will not participate in off-field activities. Tuchel was content with Cech and Marina doing the job while he only managed the team, which was the polar opposite of what Todd Beohly desired at the club. At a crossroads, Tuchel and the owner ideals were.

Potter will serve as head coach, but he will be assisted by his smart recruiter who will help with player scouting and the appointment of the DOF for the club

[KTChampions]

Glad to see that judging by the screenshots, someone profited from Arsenal's last game. Personally, I lost the bet because I chose Arsenal to win with a minus one goal handicap. Who could have known that Arteta would decide to save energy/give the opportunity to play to substitute players and release a reserve team 

By the way, the $25 bonus has just been credited and you can already start playing it 

[rdbase]

Made a betslip with the recent changes made for the huge UFC main event late last night so things have shifted considerably.


For a whopping 475x odds after boost.

shared betslip: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/bef53fee-2337-4ca5-b088-8ff6f2325be4

[KTChampions]

Made a betslip with the recent changes made for the huge UFC main event late last night so things have shifted considerably.
https://i.ibb.co/WDC78t2/Betslip-1.jpg
https://i.ibb.co/Z8yGmT3/Betslip-2.jpg
For a whopping 475x odds after boost.

shared betslip: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/bef53fee-2337-4ca5-b088-8ff6f2325be4

Looks like a safe bet 

By the way, look at what series I saw yesterday when I played roulette:



In the first series there is very little white, in the second red, and in the third an almost unbelievable thing happened - the number 36 fell out 3 times in a row! As I understand it, the chance of this event is 1 in 50,653.

[buwaytress]

Strange to say but I haven't found a single Special this season to take. Can't recall the last time I took an offer, but I haven't been as active on Club talk these months so maybe missing a lot.

^GL on the 475x. Seems... plausible haha.

Glad to see that judging by the screenshots, someone profited from Arsenal's last game. Personally, I lost the bet because I chose Arsenal to win with a minus one goal handicap. Who could have known that Arteta would decide to save energy/give the opportunity to play to substitute players and release a reserve team 

By the way, the $25 bonus has just been credited and you can already start playing it 

Oh man! I totally forgot about this promo, was on hand to take the first one (and lost it, and lost the freebet too haha) but completely slipped my mind to take this one.

I'd have chosen Arsenal to win but probably needed handicaps or HT win to take the min odds so would have lost it anyway.

[ralle14]

shared betslip: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/bef53fee-2337-4ca5-b088-8ff6f2325be4

Looks like the F1 pick hit since there's a green mark on it and best of luck on the remaining legs.

Glad to see that judging by the screenshots, someone profited from Arsenal's last game. Personally, I lost the bet because I chose Arsenal to win with a minus one goal handicap. Who could have known that Arteta would decide to save energy/give the opportunity to play to substitute players and release a reserve team 

By the way, the $25 bonus has just been credited and you can already start playing it 

Thanks, I got lucky to get away with that bet and initially, I was planning to bet on the same thing before switching to the totals.

I only got $20 from the last free chips, did the same betting pattern and the last round didn't go in my favor but I don't mind a bit of loss.  

It's unfortunate that we'll be missing out on one of the five free chip rounds since this week's EPL round got postponed due to national mourning.

[Trofo]

In the first series there is very little white, in the second red, and in the third an almost unbelievable thing happened - the number 36 fell out 3 times in a row! As I understand it, the chance of this event is 1 in 50,653.

It isn't, spins in roulette are not connected events, every spin is new event and probability for ball to land on any given number is always 1/37. That is one of the things people forget when using martingale and expecting that there will not be long streaks of red or blacks.

I am playing those free spins quite aggressively and it worked good first time when I walked with 55$, not so good second time, I got just 3.5$. I am playing on Voisins Du Zero, and doubling tripling my stake any when it does not land

For those of you who don't know that is a bet that covers 17 numbers (46% of the wheel) centered around 0. You have to bet at least 9 units cover this spread.

[KTChampions]

In the first series there is very little white, in the second red, and in the third an almost unbelievable thing happened - the number 36 fell out 3 times in a row! As I understand it, the chance of this event is 1 in 50,653.

It isn't, spins in roulette are not connected events, every spin is new event and probability for ball to land on any given number is always 1/37. That is one of the things people forget when using martingale and expecting that there will not be long streaks of red or blacks.

I am playing those free spins quite aggressively and it worked good first time when I walked with 55$, not so good second time, I got just 3.5$. I am playing on Voisins Du Zero, and doubling tripling my stake any when it does not land

For those of you who don't know that is a bet that covers 17 numbers (46% of the wheel) centered around 0. You have to bet at least 9 units cover this spread.

But the probability of three unrelated events repeating is equal to the multiplication of the probabilities of their occurrence, right? So (1/37)³=1/50653

The first time I played non-aggressively (martingale on white-red), and the second time, for reasons beyond my control, I made a mistake and received only $ 4.40, which I immediately lost   But I immediately decided to win back with my money and succeeded in this (however, I am unhappy because it was an emotional decision).

[Trofo]

But the probability of three unrelated events repeating is equal to the product of the probabilities of their occurrence, right? So (1/37)³=1/50653

The first time I played non-aggressively (martingale on white-red), and the second time, for reasons beyond my control, I made a mistake and received only $ 4.40, which I immediately lost  But I immediately decided to win back with my money and succeeded in this (however, I am unhappy because it was an emotional decision).

Nope, that what you saying is the probability when events are related. If the events are not related you can't do math like that on them. Could be I am using wrong words to describe this statistical problem since English is not my main language and I never used it before to explain high math.

Now you made me google the term and it seems that right word is probably independent.

Only thing working towards your thesis is the low of large numbers but that is way more abstract and I never tried to calculate that, if it is even possible.

[KTChampions]

But the probability of three unrelated events repeating is equal to the product of the probabilities of their occurrence, right? So (1/37)³=1/50653

The first time I played non-aggressively (martingale on white-red), and the second time, for reasons beyond my control, I made a mistake and received only $ 4.40, which I immediately lost  But I immediately decided to win back with my money and succeeded in this (however, I am unhappy because it was an emotional decision).

Nope, that what you saying is the probability when events are related. If the events are not related you can't do math like that on them. Could be I am using wrong words to describe this statistical problem since English is not my main language and I never used it before to explain high math.

Now you made me google the term and it seems that right word is probably independent.

Only thing working towards your thesis is the low of large numbers but that is way more abstract and I never tried to calculate that, if it is even possible.

That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)³.
The only caveat is the difference between "seeing three identical numbers in a row" and "getting a specific number 3 times in a row". The probability of seeing three identical numbers in a row is much higher - (1/37)², since it is obvious that some number has already been thrown out and now only two successful attempts are needed to get a row of 3 identical numbers.

[Trofo]

That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)³.

That would be true if roulette was a series of dependent events. When events are independent there is nothing that influences next spin, next spin does not "know" what was the number that was hit in first spin.

Example.
Spin one - probability to get any number 1/37 - 36 was hit
Spin two - probability to get any number 1/37 - probability to hit 36 again - 1/37 - 36 was hit again
Spin three - probability to get any number 1/37 - still same probability to hit 36 once more
I now it sounds a bit strange at first.

You can't chain events in roulette like you can in most card games. In card games deck gets shuffled and cards dealt, each card that gets drawn is removed from stack and you can count probabilities to get any card needed - like in Texas Holdem. In roulette there is no such dependency, wheel is spun with different speed and ball hit in other direction again with different speed every single time.

[KTChampions]

That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)³.

That would be true if roulette was a series of dependent events. When events are independent there is nothing that influences next spin, next spin does not "know" what was the number that was hit in first spin.

Example.
Spin one - probability to get any number 1/37 - 36 was hit
Spin two - probability to get any number 1/37 - probability to hit 36 again - 1/37 - 36 was hit again
Spin three - probability to get any number 1/37 - still same probability to hit 36 once more
I now it sounds a bit strange at first.

You can't chain events in roulette like you can in most card games. In card games deck gets shuffled and cards dealt, each card that gets drawn is removed from stack and you can count probabilities to get any card needed - like in Texas Holdem. In roulette there is no such dependency, wheel is spun with different speed and ball hit in other direction again with different speed every single time.

You are talking about the probability of single independent events, and you are absolutely right. But three numbers in a row in roulette is a series of three single independent events. What do you think is the probability of a series of three identical numbers appearing in roulette? I think it's the same as I showed above.

[slaman29]

I am happy to tell everyone that thanks to Steve my promotions have been returned back to my account

Was playing without promo like for a year or something, something about my location, but decided to just ask to try my luck and they gave it back.

Arsenal roulette free chips one looks the most interesting

That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)³.

That would be true if roulette was a series of dependent events. When events are independent there is nothing that influences next spin, next spin does not "know" what was the number that was hit in first spin.

I think the original probability is still correct though. If you only want 1 number on 1 spin, it is always 1/37 but for an event like that (which is why martingale is shitty lol). BUT, 3 in a row, it happens approximately 1 out of said number of spins, I think the math is correct.

Which is why in roulette probability is fixed, but with card games it keeps shifting with every card given out.

[KTChampions]

I am happy to tell everyone that thanks to Steve my promotions have been returned back to my account

Was playing without promo like for a year or something, something about my location, but decided to just ask to try my luck and they gave it back.

Arsenal roulette free chips one looks the most interesting

By the way, there is another promotion going on today:

Tuesdays: Wager 250 USDT or more in any Live Roulette games - 10 USDT Free Chip on Lightning Roulette
https://sportsbet.io/promotions/2022-09-01-september-daily-challenges

Not as good as free chips per bet in Arsenal games, but if I have time today I will play roulette and try to get that $10.
I must say that these promotions achieve their goal - before I was as indifferent to roulette as possible, but now I'm interested in playing it even without any bonuses.