🏅Sports Betting discussion thread🏅 for Betslips & Predictions rev🏆

[ralle14]

Anyway, I submitted my jackpot prediction and you know what we only had 66 players participating. I was the 67th people that submitted lol and probably we would have around 80ish players by tomorrow. Most people probably lost interest after losing for the last 2 rounds, not gonna lie the last 2 rounds actually had quite alot unexpected results

Good luck to you guys. I'm also sitting this round out as the trend of draws and upsets could continue and I don't have the same confidence in most of my picks if I do decide to participate.

I'll probably hop back next week or the week after, i'd better take a break when it's needed and the jackpot will always be there anyway.

[rdbase]

But an overall good day to bet on mid-week football for those who needed a team to place a bet on to add to their betslips.

Had a few bets on Europa League, 6 in total and won 5 of them so overall pretty good mid-week for me

Anyway, I submitted my jackpot prediction and you know what we only had 66 players participating. I was the 67th people that submitted lol and probably we would have around 80ish players by tomorrow. Most people probably lost interest after losing for the last 2 rounds, not gonna lie the last 2 rounds actually had quite alot unexpected results

Yes I agree there arallmuus, the interest had dropped off.
I entered mine early in the week and noticed this aswell. I was 62th to join in I believe so that is around half that entered in the week prior.
So what ralle14 had said above is probably valid since this week's is a tough one to predict so people are taking a breather from it and spending it on other matches.

Here is my bet for this EPL done from a freebet credited to my account for placing bets earlier in the week:


Next match is coming up shortly with Manchester City vs Newcastle.
Expect the blues to smash today so have them with an over 3.5 goals across all my parlays.

[arallmuus]

-snip

Yes I agree there arallmuus, the interest had dropped off.
I entered mine early in the week and noticed this aswell. I was 62th to join in I believe so that is around half that entered in the week prior.
So what ralle14 had said above is probably valid since this week's is a tough one to predict so people are taking a breather from it and spending it on other matches.

Total of 104 players in the end. Its still alot

Anyway this could be my shittiest round ever. So far I only have 2 correct answers, going to be 3 if Liverpool wins but it still shits. Total of max 6 if the other 3 predictions ended up winning so yeah that pretty sucks

I was actually happy when I opened flashscore because I thought I would get atleast 5 by now but damn, I didnt even notice how my predictions were this sucks 

[Trofo]

-snip

Yes I agree there arallmuus, the interest had dropped off.
I entered mine early in the week and noticed this aswell. I was 62th to join in I believe so that is around half that entered in the week prior.
So what ralle14 had said above is probably valid since this week's is a tough one to predict so people are taking a breather from it and spending it on other matches.

Total of 104 players in the end. Its still alot

Anyway this could be my shittiest round ever. So far I only have 2 correct answers, going to be 3 if Liverpool wins but it still shits. Total of max 6 if the other 3 predictions ended up winning so yeah that pretty sucks

I was actually happy when I opened flashscore because I thought I would get atleast 5 by now but damn, I didnt even notice how my predictions were this sucks 

I don't know why people would drop off from jackpot competition it has insane ROI. At least for me getting 6 correct and money back bet is almost a guarantee and often it is a bit more. And I don't think I am particularly good at it. Never got 9 correct or 10, but I get 7 on regular basis and I have seen 8 few times last season.
Last 5, i have 3x20$ and 2X100$.


I know I am playing them until they drop the competition or change the rules. That being said this could be the first one where I don't get money back. Only 4 out of 7 so far.

[rdbase]

Yes @Trofo
Completely agree with what you just said about these Jackpot competitions which has been running a couple of months now.

Had the worst start for yesterday as I would imagine everybody else did since Manchester City had a draw 1-1 for the very first match of it.
I was 3 correct and 4 incorrect going into today. Took Ipswich and they got an early goal within the first 8 minutes of the match.
So the best result I could have if I get this one, the later match today and tomorrow would be my entry fee back.

Had a good result this weekend overall not including this one with hitting my UFC Paris acca of @17.75x with a decent wagered amount on it so have enough to place a big parlay for the NFL matches today.

Will be posting it just before the matches begin so not to jinx it since once again, it has a decent staked amount attached to it.

Both threads are below if anyone would like to view the results of these parlays later on:
UFC - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5330519.msg64580330#msg64580330
NFL - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5333903.msg64577693#msg64577693

[arallmuus]

-snip

I don't know why people would drop off from jackpot competition it has insane ROI. At least for me getting 6 correct and money back bet is almost a guarantee and often it is a bit more. And I don't think I am particularly good at it. Never got 9 correct or 10, but I get 7 on regular basis and I have seen 8 few times last season.
Last 5, i have 3x20$ and 2X100$.

Ikr, I personally have gotten decent profit from this jackpot. Even if I had to lose all remaining rounds until the end of the season, Im still left with some profit overall so thats pretty good

I know I am playing them until they drop the competition or change the rules

Speaking of rules change, Im quite sure that the top prize used to be $20k (?) but now its $10k. Its still alot though but yeah I guess someone won or probably Im daydreaming

I was 3 correct and 4 incorrect going into today. Took Ipswich and they got an early goal within the first 8 minutes of the match.

I guess you ended up with max 5 correct answers at this point? As for me, yeah I sucks and I dont wanna remember anything about this round. So lets just skip it until next week LOL  

[rdbase]

I was 3 correct and 4 incorrect going into today. Took Ipswich and they got an early goal within the first 8 minutes of the match.

I guess you ended up with max 5 correct answers at this point? As for me, yeah I sucks and I dont wanna remember anything about this round. So lets just skip it until next week LOL  

No, I had 0 correct today so I will probably end up with three which is not even worth it to mention about and I don't expect nor care what happens in tomorrow's sole match in the EPL between Southampton vs A.F.C. Bournemouth.
All because I hate both these teams but most noteable I don't have any skin in this game namingly any stakes.

[arallmuus]

I was 3 correct and 4 incorrect going into today. Took Ipswich and they got an early goal within the first 8 minutes of the match.

I guess you ended up with max 5 correct answers at this point? As for me, yeah I sucks and I dont wanna remember anything about this round. So lets just skip it until next week LOL  

No, I had 0 correct today so I will probably end up with three which is not even worth it to mention about and I don't expect nor care what happens in tomorrow's sole match in the EPL between Southampton vs A.F.C. Bournemouth.
All because I hate both these teams but most noteable I don't have any skin in this game namingly any stakes.

LOL its a rough week and I have been using btc for my buy-in for the last 2 weeks, it ended up pretty bad lol. Bournemouth won and I had draw on this game, not that it really matters because Im not winning anything

I just checked next round's schedule and it looks like this time its going to be way easier with alot of favourites playing against non favourites team so yeah thats something that could help us atleast get 7/10 score

[rdbase]

I was 3 correct and 4 incorrect going into today. Took Ipswich and they got an early goal within the first 8 minutes of the match.

I guess you ended up with max 5 correct answers at this point? As for me, yeah I sucks and I dont wanna remember anything about this round. So lets just skip it until next week LOL  

No, I had 0 correct today so I will probably end up with three which is not even worth it to mention about and I don't expect nor care what happens in tomorrow's sole match in the EPL between Southampton vs A.F.C. Bournemouth.
All because I hate both these teams but most noteable I don't have any skin in this game namingly any stakes.

LOL its a rough week and I have been using btc for my buy-in for the last 2 weeks, it ended up pretty bad lol. Bournemouth won and I had draw on this game, not that it really matters because Im not winning anything

I just checked next round's schedule and it looks like this time its going to be way easier with alot of favourites playing against non favourites team so yeah thats something that could help us atleast get 7/10 score

Had that idiotic team to win because Southampton is worse looking so far compared to newly promoted teams such as Ipswich Town and even Nottingham/Brentford are better than them.
So after that Bournemouth win had 4 wins which got me nothing for the first time since this promotion began from before the season started for the EPL.

After getting the first three matches of this competition your chances do not look so good at getting a prize by the end of it.

[ralle14]

I just checked next round's schedule and it looks like this time its going to be way easier with alot of favourites playing against non favourites team so yeah thats something that could help us atleast get 7/10 score

The matchups next round are geat on paper, lots of home favorites playing against weaker home teams, but still, we can't be sure when we have a round of Champions, Europa, and Conference League in a few days.

I still think there are a bunch of matches that could easily end in a draw or maybe that's me getting caught up with the recency bias after the past few rounds of unusual results.

[rdbase]

^^
Truth be told @ralle14 those matchups do look like great on paper and everyone will put the favorites to win.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/soccer/matches/future

So if it does play out that way, are you willing to split the grand prize with the other 100+ contestants in this predictor pool?
Of course in reality this will not happen, since we all know there will be atleast an upset and certainly a draw in atleast one or two of these matches.
That is the only guarantee in the life of us who place bets on these games.

[arallmuus]

-snip

Lets mark all the favourites for this round. Obviously its Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea, West Ham for me. I would be picking 5 of them for sure. Ipswich was lucky on their last game but Im not sure if they could pull another stunt like that. So if these 5 ended up correct then all I gotta need is to pick 2 more winners for atleast 7/10 for $100

[rdbase]

Lets mark all the favourites for this round. Obviously its Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea, West Ham for me. I would be picking 5 of them for sure. Ipswich was lucky on their last game but Im not sure if they could pull another stunt like that. So if these 5 ended up correct then all I gotta need is to pick 2 more winners for atleast 7/10 for $100

Ipswich Town FC would be the one which can ruin that perfect matchday pick if you look at their record.
In their last four matches they drew them all!
Didn't realize this until I actually was even bothered to look them up on the table because of this discussion with you guys on here.
And to be honest aswell, West Ham ain't that great so they just might have their fifth draw inrow this weekend too.

But focusing on the one prize amount firstly is a good strategy going into these predictor pools:
Going for the 7/10 is probably your best bet on how to approach this promotion.
If you can manage to get those first few matches correct then target getting the $100 per competition.
Then you will be well ahead of the rest who are entering into these which seem to be getting atleast over 100 participants in the last three having run.

But if Manchester City and Liverpool manage to get another draw again this week, then that strategy is upended and a dud.

[arallmuus]

-snip

But focusing on the one prize amount firstly is a good strategy going into these predictor pools:
Going for the 7/10 is probably your best bet on how to approach this promotion.
If you can manage to get those first few matches correct then target getting the $100 per competition.
Then you will be well ahead of the rest who are entering into these which seem to be getting atleast over 100 participants in the last three having run.

Yeah exactly I mean as long as you can manage constant 7/10 atleast then its free money every week. Getting x5 on your $20 buy-in is absolute gold at this point. Everyone obviously hope to land that 10/10 but you know it probably will happen sooner or later to someone but honestly I cant imagine myself winning it so I'll stick with winning 7/10 atleast for most of the rounds 

[jakelyson]

Lets mark all the favourites for this round. Obviously its Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea, West Ham for me. I would be picking 5 of them for sure. Ipswich was lucky on their last game but Im not sure if they could pull another stunt like that. So if these 5 ended up correct then all I gotta need is to pick 2 more winners for atleast 7/10 for $100

Ipswich Town FC would be the one which can ruin that perfect matchday pick if you look at their record.
In their last four matches they drew them all!
Didn't realize this until I actually was even bothered to look them up on the table because of this discussion with you guys on here.
And to be honest aswell, West Ham ain't that great so they just might have their fifth draw inrow this weekend too.

But focusing on the one prize amount firstly is a good strategy going into these predictor pools:
Going for the 7/10 is probably your best bet on how to approach this promotion.
If you can manage to get those first few matches correct then target getting the $100 per competition.
Then you will be well ahead of the rest who are entering into these which seem to be getting atleast over 100 participants in the last three having run.

But if Manchester City and Liverpool manage to get another draw again this week, then that strategy is upended and a dud.

Great Analysis I also thought the same Ipswich Town FC against West Ham they might have a 5th draw in this match but well that is a maybe we got to see the gameplay of Ham first before saying something like that but in looking in the standings one can surely conclude something but I really like your analysis because West Ham is really not a pushover even though we can assume a 5th draw could be a great bet to try when the game started.

But I will take that advice of yours it is really viable but looking at a great bet because we already know what would happen in Liverpool VS Crystal Palace and it is one choice we can conclude for Liverpool winning but this is only Matchday 7 but there is a huge chance, and with Man City VS Fulham for me, this is a difficult choice in my opinion as Fulham can have their 3rd win streak or Maybe Man City can make it a draw if they look at the match difficult for them winning it and I can see Erling Haaland in action again.

[danherbias07]

Erik ten Hag's name is hot.

Why Haven't Man United SACKED Ten Hag?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a827YI_7F00

This article even enumerated all the losses of Manchester United just to point out the future of them is bad with Erik ten Hag.
Top 10 Manchester United lows under the doomed Erik ten Hag

10) Copenhagen 4-3 Manchester United (November 8, 2023)
9) Sevilla 3-0 Manchester United (April 20, 2023)
8 ) Manchester City 6-3 Manchester United (October 2, 2022)
7) Manchester United 1-2 Fulham (February 24, 2024)
...
1) Liverpool 7-0 Manchester United (May 5, 2023)

https://www.football365.com/news/opinion-top-ten-manchester-united-lows-erik-ten-hag-sack

But despite all that, the Man United bosses are still keeping Erik and they think that defeat against Tottenham is just a bad start. Still, there's a possibility that what others are thinking might happen especially if they lose both next game. Porto and Aston Villa.

Erik on the other hand is still optimistic that they will be successful this season.
 He says, "Nothing is easy, but this is nothing for me to panic about."

[rdbase]

^^
Winning the FA Cup against Manchester City saved him from getting sacked with Manchester united.
No doubt about that.
But we will see how they are doing when they face-off against Porto later on today in the Europa league:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/soccer/international-clubs/uefa-europa-league/fc-porto-v-manchester-united-66f9614c0d6af00001a56fd8

There was some talk about the court case against Manchester City and the APT on how this will change the rules if they win it.
This would mean that teams such as Newcastle will be able to pour as much money as they would want into their team.
Man City FFP Blow! - That's Football with Mark Goldbridge
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMhyJf7XXpo

Just imagine if a Saudi backed team would be able to put "Visit Saudi Arabia!" on their front jersey team kit as advertisement.
They could put billions into the club if they wanted too without any ill repercussions such as Manchester City has had done to them over the years.

[ralle14]

Ipswich Town FC would be the one which can ruin that perfect matchday pick if you look at their record.
In their last four matches they drew them all!
Didn't realize this until I actually was even bothered to look them up on the table because of this discussion with you guys on here.
And to be honest aswell, West Ham ain't that great so they just might have their fifth draw inrow this weekend too.

Their match is the only one I picked as a draw, and i'm putting the rest of my eggs on the favorites. I think it's worth going against West Ham when this could be a letdown spot and Ipswich is starting to become the draw specialist.

Also, I only found out that participating in the Sportsbet Jackpot makes you eligible to submit predictions for their Pick 4 Win promo which is a nice bonus.  

[rdbase]

^^
This I didn't know either. Thought you were only eligible if you place a bet over 1.5 odds so to qualify for the pick-4 competition.
So yes, nice touch.

Didn't put a deposit quick enough so couldn't enter into this week's Jackpot in the EPL unfortunately.
As ralle14 had said earlier, this week's looks like an easier one than most of the in the past.
That is if all the favorites win their matches and if there aren't any draws.

First match of this weekend is starting in about half an hour from now:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/soccer/england/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-liverpool-fc-66eee678f230530001945e4b

Will Liverpool spoil the start of this one yet again just like Manchester City did last week with a draw?

[danherbias07]

"Close your eyes, Manchester United Fans."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tNkaXaf_mHY
Ten Hag's LAST Chance! ASTON VILLA vs MAN UTD Goldbridge Preview

I posted something about Erik ten Hag in my last post and I said that if he ever loses the last two games, Porto and Villa, he might be fired/sacked by Man United. Fans are not happy anymore and I believe the owners and management will just accept what the fans are saying and fire him. He might have a great connection with them but fans are more important. They bring money.

I still see other fans who are supporting Erik but I don't think it's going to be long especially when they lose the Aston Villa game and I think they will lose it. Morgan Rogers. He plays an electrifying performance against Bayern Munich and there's Jhon Duran. Many fans including the video I shared is thinking they are going to lose that game.