It took me a long time, to make this forecast.
1. First point, is prediction of friend of mine, here is it:
As all we can see, here is tapering (
bearish) triangle on daily interval. So, if this triangle will not be broken, at first April we can see price much lower than even 5000 usd. But my friend don't believe that btc price will fall below 4900.
2. Second point, is that my experience tells me that before halvening we may have some small bullrun. For example, in 2016 price rose (66 % increase) from 450 dollars to 750 just in few month (from May to the end of June). So, if in January price will handle near 7k, then we will have bullrun to targets 10 000 -12 000 on April. Or maybe a little lower (around 9000) if we follow 2016th pattern.
It's also fun, that we must predict btc price on the April fool's day
So symbolistic
Also, my bet has been already taken, (double
) so i'll try another price:
My bet is: 11701-11750
For honest, it's really good, it's more fun to win btc on higher prices